{"id":111331,"date":"2026-07-23T00:11:48","date_gmt":"2026-07-22T22:11:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=111331"},"modified":"2026-07-22T11:30:54","modified_gmt":"2026-07-22T09:30:54","slug":"thomas-roper-proc-si-tak-malo-lidi-uvedomuje-jak-absurdni-a-protichudna-jsou-varovani-pred-ruskou-hrozbou","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/07\/23\/thomas-roper-proc-si-tak-malo-lidi-uvedomuje-jak-absurdni-a-protichudna-jsou-varovani-pred-ruskou-hrozbou\/","title":{"rendered":"Thomas R\u00f6per: Pro\u010d si tak m\u00e1lo lid\u00ed uv\u011bdomuje, jak absurdn\u00ed a protich\u016fdn\u00e1 jsou varov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ed \u201eruskou hrozbou\u201c?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Evropan\u00e9 neust\u00e1le varuj\u00ed p\u0159ed \u00fadajnou \u201eruskou hrozbou\u201c, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee Rusko je dostate\u010dn\u011b siln\u00e9 na to, aby brzy za\u00fato\u010dilo na evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 je v\u0161ak Rusko \u00fadajn\u011b tak slab\u00e9, \u017ee by ho Ukrajina mohla porazit, kdyby jen dostala dostatek zbran\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Je fascinuj\u00edc\u00ed, jak m\u00e1lo lid\u00ed v Evrop\u011b zpochyb\u0148uje to, co jim politici a m\u00e9dia cel\u00fd den \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed. Jinak by si museli kl\u00e1st ot\u00e1zku, jak je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b Rusko \u00fadajn\u011b p\u0159edstavuje pro Evropu tak velkou hrozbu, \u017ee se Evropa mus\u00ed ni\u010div\u011b a na \u00fakor spole\u010densk\u00fdch v\u00fddobytk\u016f znovuzbrojovat, aby se ochr\u00e1nila p\u0159ed \u00fatokem mocn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, zat\u00edmco na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b je Rusko \u00fadajn\u011b tak slab\u00e9, \u017ee Ukrajina je \u00fadajn\u011b na pokraji jeho por\u00e1\u017eky, pokud Evropan\u00e9 budou Kyjevu nad\u00e1le pos\u00edlat obrovsk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed zbran\u00ed a pen\u011bz. V\u011bt\u0161ina lid\u00ed v Evrop\u011b si v\u0161ak tohoto rozporu v z\u00e1padn\u00ed propagand\u011b v\u0161\u00edm\u00e1 stejn\u011b m\u00e1lo jako v\u0161ech ostatn\u00edch rozpor\u016f v z\u00e1padn\u00edch narativech.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">V agentu\u0159e TASS se objevil\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/tass.ru\/opinions\/27936957\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u010dl\u00e1nek<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0o \u00fadajn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 hrozb\u011b , kter\u00fd jsem v t\u00e9to souvislosti shledal zaj\u00edmav\u00fdm, a proto jsem ho p\u0159elo\u017eil.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Za\u010d\u00e1tek p\u0159ekladu:<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Kronika nenapln\u011bn\u00fdch p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u00ed: Pro\u010d se \u201erusk\u00e1 invaze\u201c odkl\u00e1d\u00e1<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Vladimir Kostyrev o tradic\u00edch zastra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed a snu Z\u00e1padu o v\u00e1lce proti Rusku.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Litevsk\u00fd ministr obrany Robertas Kaunas v rozhovoru pro lrt.lt zopakoval, \u017ee Moskva p\u0159ipravuje \u201e\u00fatok\u201c na pobaltsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a Polsko, proto\u017ee \u00fadajn\u011b nedos\u00e1hla c\u00edl\u016f sv\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 operace na Ukrajin\u011b. Takov\u00e9 hysterick\u00e9 sebeklamy se v EU opakuj\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 denn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Gener\u00e1ln\u00ed tajemn\u00edk NATO Mark Rutte dokonce v \u010dervnu 2025 a znovu v lednu 2026 pohrozil Evropan\u016fm, \u017ee se budou muset nau\u010dit rusky, pokud nezv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed sv\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 v\u00fddaje na 2 procenta HDP. P\u0159esn\u011b to je v\u0161ak jeho role: pokud nem\u00e1te proti komu v\u00e1l\u010dit, nepot\u0159ebujete ani alianci, ani jej\u00ed veden\u00ed. Samotn\u00e1 rada je rozumn\u00e1, proto\u017ee kdyby si Evropan\u00e9 \u010detli Lva Tolst\u00e9ho a Fjodora Dostojevsk\u00e9ho v origin\u00e1ln\u00ed ru\u0161tin\u011b, pochopili by o na\u0161\u00ed zemi o n\u011bco v\u00edce. Kv\u016fli tomu by nebylo nutn\u00e9 zvy\u0161ovat vojensk\u00e9 rozpo\u010dty.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1pad mezit\u00edm dokonce navrhuje data rusk\u00e9ho \u201e\u00fatoku\u201c. Nap\u0159\u00edklad gener\u00e1lporu\u010d\u00edk Christian Freuding, vrchn\u00ed velitel n\u011bmeck\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, zm\u00ednil rok 2029. Ministr obrany Boris Pistorius a gener\u00e1ln\u00ed inspektor Bundeswehru Carsten Breuer uvedli jako mo\u017en\u00fd \u010dasov\u00fd r\u00e1mec agrese roky 2028\/29. Andrius Kubilius, komisa\u0159 EU pro obranu a vesm\u00edr, stanovil f\u00e1zi p\u0159\u00edprav na rok 2030. O roce 2030 hovo\u0159il i b\u00fdval\u00fd britsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Keir Starmer.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Existuj\u00ed ale i m\u00e9n\u011b radik\u00e1ln\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e. Ned\u00e1vno prezidenti Litvy a Loty\u0161ska ozn\u00e1mili, \u017ee Rusko m\u00e1 pl\u00e1ny na hybridn\u00ed \u00fatok. Zastra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed obyvatelstva v sousedn\u00edch zem\u00edch nasazen\u00edm tank\u016f se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b stalo obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00edm. Estonec nebo Loty\u0161 se pod\u00edv\u00e1 p\u0159es \u0159eku na ruskou stranu a vid\u00ed tam m\u00edrumilovn\u00fd \u017eivot \u2013 a cel\u00e1 konstrukce klamu se zhrout\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159esto doch\u00e1z\u00ed k v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 eskalaci. Pro pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9ho Evropana je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 nepanika\u0159it a nepodpo\u0159it dal\u0161\u00ed zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed vojensk\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u016f. Jsou ale tyto obavy opr\u00e1vn\u011bn\u00e9? Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b \u017ee ne. Pro\u010d Z\u00e1pad tak aktivn\u011b p\u0159i\u017eivuje tento za\u010darovan\u00fd kruh? Proto\u017ee s\u00e1m chce v\u00e1lku. A historie, ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 i starov\u011bk\u00e1, to potvrzuje.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Utrpen\u00ed Balt\u016f<\/span><\/h3>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Ani dnes nevid\u00edme \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd nov\u00fd koncept, ale pouze variaci my\u0161lenky, kter\u00e1 se objevila v polovin\u011b prvn\u00edho desetilet\u00ed 21. stolet\u00ed, kr\u00e1tce pot\u00e9, co se rusk\u00e1 ekonomika a arm\u00e1da za\u010daly zotavovat. My\u0161lenka spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v tom, \u017ee Moskva \u00fadajn\u011b p\u0159ipravuje pomstu za svou \u201epor\u00e1\u017eku\u201c ve studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lce a hled\u00e1 zp\u016fsoby, jak zni\u010dit NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1padn\u00ed vojensko-politi\u010dt\u00ed experti v t\u00e9 dob\u011b vypracovali sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 potenci\u00e1ln\u00edho konfliktu mezi Ruskem a jedn\u00edm z pobaltsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee st\u00e1ty v tomto regionu jsou \u010dleny NATO, blok by byl povinen jim pomoci. Analytici v\u0161ak okam\u017eit\u011b zpochybnili praktick\u00e9 mo\u017enosti evropsk\u00fdch hlavn\u00edch m\u011bst, kter\u00e1 po roce 1991 v\u00fdrazn\u011b sn\u00ed\u017eila po\u010det sv\u00fdch arm\u00e1d, a tak\u00e9 skute\u010dnou ochotu m\u011bst jako Berl\u00edn a Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e v\u00e9st v\u00e1lku o Tallinn a Rigu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">V tomto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i rusk\u00e9 s\u00edly rychle obsad\u00ed jeden z pobaltsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a rozm\u00edst\u00ed nad n\u00edm \u201ejadern\u00fd de\u0161tn\u00edk\u201c. Proto\u017ee si NATO nep\u0159eje jadernou v\u00e1lku, akceptuje v\u00fdsledek konfliktu. Spojenci se tak p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010d\u00ed, \u017ee Washington a Brusel nemohou zaru\u010dit jejich bezpe\u010dnost, opust\u00ed NATO a blok se nakonec rozpadne.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Tato koncepce z\u00edskala na popularit\u011b d\u00edky knize p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u00ed z roku 2016 s n\u00e1zvem \u201e2017: V\u00e1lka s Ruskem\u201c. Jej\u00ed autor, britsk\u00fd gener\u00e1l Richard Shirreff, kter\u00fd v letech 2011 a\u017e 2014 slou\u017eil jako z\u00e1stupce vrchn\u00edho velitele spojeneck\u00fdch sil v Evrop\u011b, je v pobaltsk\u00fdch st\u00e1tech extr\u00e9mn\u011b nepopul\u00e1rn\u00ed kv\u016fli sv\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bdi, \u017ee budou snadno a rychle pora\u017eeny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Povahu t\u011bchto hororov\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh\u016f nen\u00ed t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 pochopit. V roce 2000 a 2010 pro\u0161lo NATO hlubokou kriz\u00ed identity. Neexistoval \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd protivn\u00edk srovnateln\u00e9 s\u00edly se SSSR a \u010c\u00edna se nijak nehrnula s pou\u0161t\u011bn\u00edm se do glob\u00e1ln\u00ed konfrontace. V\u00e1lka proti terorismu se uk\u00e1zala jako velmi specifick\u00fd \u00fakol, kter\u00fd vy\u017eadoval m\u00e9n\u011b masivn\u00ed vojensk\u00fd stroj ne\u017e schopnost vybudovat stabiln\u00ed instituce, zaru\u010dit bezpe\u010dnost a zajistit skute\u010dn\u00e1 lidsk\u00e1 pr\u00e1va. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, NATO mohlo bombardovat Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1n, ale nebylo schopno jej transformovat v m\u00edrov\u00fd a bezpe\u010dn\u00fd st\u00e1t. D\u016fsledky tohoto \u00fapadku podrobn\u011b popsal francouzsk\u00fd prezident Emmanuel Macron v roce 2019, kdy\u017e diagnostikoval alianci \u201emozkovou smrt\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">V t\u00e9to slep\u00e9 uli\u010dce Z\u00e1pad zah\u00e1jil masivn\u00ed kampa\u0148 s c\u00edlem podn\u00edtit \u201eruskou hrozbu\u201c, roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it svou vojenskou infrastrukturu na v\u00fdchod a vt\u00e1hnout Ukrajinu do sf\u00e9ry vlivu aliance. Dv\u011b desetilet\u00ed provokac\u00ed a tlaku vedla k tomu, \u017ee NATO vytvo\u0159ilo protivn\u00edka, kter\u00fd o tuto konfrontaci p\u016fvodn\u011b nest\u00e1l.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Co je tedy vlastn\u011b tato nechvaln\u011b zn\u00e1m\u00e1 \u201ehrozba\u201c? Pobaltsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nikdo nenapadl; naopak nyn\u00ed zp\u0159\u00edstup\u0148uj\u00ed sv\u016fj vzdu\u0161n\u00fd prostor pro \u00fatoky na rusk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed. Rusko nebojuje proti zem\u00edm NATO, ale proti Ukrajin\u011b, kterou Z\u00e1pad u\u017e l\u00e9ta zaplavuje zbran\u011bmi a nut\u00ed ji tak k vojensk\u00e9mu \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed konfliktu v Donbasu. Je p\u0159\u00edzna\u010dn\u00e9, \u017ee navzdory n\u00e1\u0159k\u016fm Kyjeva zat\u00edm nikdo nen\u00ed ochoten leg\u00e1ln\u011b p\u0159ijmout Ukrajinu do aliance.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Nemluv\u011b o poru\u0161en\u00fdch slibech z\u00e1stupc\u016f aliance o neroz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed NATO na v\u00fdchod: Estonsko, Loty\u0161sko a Litva jsou ji\u017e dlouho \u010dleny bloku. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee k pobaltsk\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm se nebl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed Rusko, ale samotn\u00e9 NATO. Jak Moskva spr\u00e1vn\u011b zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, nem\u011bl by se tedy jednat o ruskou hrozbu pro Z\u00e1pad, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e o existen\u010dn\u00ed hrozbu pro Rusko, kterou Z\u00e1pad p\u0159edstavuje.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Jest\u0159\u00e1bi studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky<\/span><\/h3>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Studen\u00e1 v\u00e1lka byla dobou neb\u00fdval\u00e9 hysterie kolem \u201erusk\u00e9 hrozby\u201c (tehdy je\u0161t\u011b ozna\u010dovan\u00e9 jako \u201esov\u011btsk\u00e1 hrozba\u201c). Ji\u017e v roce 1945 za\u010dali ameri\u010dt\u00ed a brit\u0161t\u00ed gener\u00e1lov\u00e9 vypracov\u00e1vat pl\u00e1ny vojensk\u00e9 konfrontace se SSSR. V kv\u011btnu 1945 byla Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie prvn\u00ed zem\u00ed, kter\u00e1 vypracovala pl\u00e1n preventivn\u00edho \u00faderu proti sov\u011btsk\u00fdm vojsk\u016fm v Evrop\u011b (operace Nemysliteln\u00e9). USA mezit\u00edm rozv\u00edjely jeden sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 za druh\u00fdm pro tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lku s pou\u017eit\u00edm jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, na kterou m\u011bl Washington v bezprost\u0159edn\u00edch pov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch letech monopol.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Aby Z\u00e1pad ospravedlnil tyto agresivn\u00ed pl\u00e1ny p\u0159ed vlastn\u00edm obyvatelstvem, zah\u00e1jil masivn\u00ed propagandistick\u00e9 kampan\u011b. Moskva byla obvi\u0148ov\u00e1na z toho, \u017ee chce n\u00e1sil\u00edm nastolit loaj\u00e1ln\u00ed re\u017eimy po cel\u00e9 Evrop\u011b, a obrazy sov\u011btsk\u00fdch tank\u016f val\u00edc\u00edch se do Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ee napl\u0148ovaly obyvatelstvo strachem a hr\u016fzou. Hollywood a cel\u00e1 americk\u00e1 popul\u00e1rn\u00ed kultura v tom sehr\u00e1ly kl\u00ed\u010dovou roli; sta\u010d\u00ed si vzpomenout na filmy \u201eInvaze do USA\u201c (1952) a \u201eRud\u00fd \u00fasvit\u201c (1984).<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Rivalitu mezi velmocemi v r\u016fzn\u00fdch \u010d\u00e1stech sv\u011bta v pr\u016fb\u011bhu t\u011bchto let lze podrobn\u011b analyzovat, ale jeden fakt z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nezm\u011bn\u011bn: V letech 1945 a\u017e 1991 se Sov\u011btsk\u00fd svaz nikdy nepokusil o postup v Evrop\u011b za hranice, kter\u00e9 osvobodila Rud\u00e1 arm\u00e1da.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1le\u017eitost minulosti<\/span><\/h3>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Ale v\u0161echno to za\u010dalo d\u00e1vno p\u0159ed studenou v\u00e1lkou. Jak se Sov\u011btsk\u00e9 Rusko zotavovalo z ob\u010dansk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky 20. let 20. stolet\u00ed, Z\u00e1pad za\u010dal Evropany stra\u0161it \u201erudou hrozbou\u201c. To bylo obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00e9 v nacistick\u00e9m N\u011bmecku a fa\u0161istick\u00e9 It\u00e1lii, kde tis\u00edce lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed s na\u0161\u00ed zem\u00ed jednodu\u0161e sympatizovali, p\u0159i\u0161ly o \u017eivot v koncentra\u010dn\u00edch t\u00e1borech. Konec toho je dob\u0159e zn\u00e1m\u00fd: nacistickou invaz\u00ed do SSSR.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Mimochodem, nejde o Vladimira Lenina ani o ideologii komunismu. Z\u00e1pad se choval stejn\u011b i za carsk\u00e9 \u00e9ry. Ano, v roce 1914 se Lond\u00fdn a Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e spojily s Petrohradem proti Berl\u00ednu, ale p\u0159edt\u00edm, zejm\u00e9na Britov\u00e9, aktivn\u011b bojovali proti Rusku po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed. Po rusko-tureck\u00e9 v\u00e1lce v letech 1877\/78 zabr\u00e1nil tlak Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nie a Francie kone\u010dn\u00e9mu osvobozen\u00ed Balk\u00e1nu od osmansk\u00e9 nadvl\u00e1dy. A v letech 1853 a\u017e 1856 jsme \u010delili Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nii, Francii a Sardinsk\u00e9mu kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed (pozd\u011bji It\u00e1lii) v krymsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lce. Brit\u0161t\u00ed historici to nyn\u00ed ozna\u010duj\u00ed jako \u201eprvn\u00ed v\u00e1lku o zadr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska\u201c. Z n\u011bjak\u00e9ho d\u016fvodu v\u0161ak bylo tohoto \u201ezadr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c dosa\u017eeno invaz\u00ed evropsk\u00fdch vojsk na rusk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Lze se do p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhu pono\u0159it je\u0161t\u011b hloub\u011bji, ale j\u00e1dro z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nezm\u011bn\u011bno: Z\u00e1pad nejprve um\u011ble nafukuje m\u00fdtus o \u201erusk\u00e9 hrozb\u011b\u201c a pot\u00e9 rozpout\u00e1 agresi proti Rusku.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zp\u00e1tky do budoucnosti<\/span><\/h3>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Uprost\u0159ed \u0159e\u010d\u00ed o \u201erusk\u00e9 invazi\u201c za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 Evropa novou militarizaci. Stagnuj\u00edc\u00ed evropsk\u00e1 ekonomika nal\u00e9hav\u011b pot\u0159ebuje nov\u00fd impuls a vl\u00e1dn\u00ed financov\u00e1n\u00ed, tak\u017ee ti, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou u moci, se je sna\u017e\u00ed zajistit zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00edm produkce zbran\u00ed. Voli\u010di v\u0161ak cht\u011bj\u00ed pochopit, pro\u010d se jejich dan\u011b utr\u00e1cej\u00ed za tanky a ne za soci\u00e1ln\u00ed programy \u2013 a pr\u00e1v\u011b zde p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed na \u0159adu narativ o \u201enep\u0159\u00edteli p\u0159ed branami\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Nejnebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm aspektem t\u00e9to situace je, \u017ee d\u0159\u00edve \u010di pozd\u011bji evropsk\u00e9 elity budou \u010delit logick\u00e9 ot\u00e1zce: Co d\u011blat se v\u0161emi t\u011bmito zbran\u011bmi a t\u011bmi, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou ochotni je pou\u017e\u00edt? Pak bude velk\u00e9 poku\u0161en\u00ed p\u0159ej\u00edt od slov k \u010din\u016fm a vyprovokovat skute\u010dn\u00fd st\u0159et s Moskvou, mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ten na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Rusko tento konflikt absolutn\u011b nepot\u0159ebuje. Teorie o tom, \u017ee Moskva tajn\u011b pl\u00e1nuje zni\u010dit NATO, jsou neopodstatn\u011bn\u00e9 jednodu\u0161e proto, \u017ee p\u0159\u00edm\u00e1 konfrontace nevyhnuteln\u011b nese riziko glob\u00e1ln\u00ed jadern\u00e9 katastrofy. V\u017edy existuje mo\u017enost \u2013 a to je ofici\u00e1ln\u011b zakotveno ve strategick\u00fdch konceptech bloku \u2013 \u017ee aliance sama z trivi\u00e1ln\u00edch d\u016fvod\u016f jako prvn\u00ed pou\u017eije zbran\u011b hromadn\u00e9ho ni\u010den\u00ed. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 geopolitick\u00e1 v\u00fdhoda toto riziko nem\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017eit. A kone\u010dn\u011b, tvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee Moskva by v kontextu ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu dobrovoln\u011b otev\u0159ela druhou frontu proti cel\u00e9 Evrop\u011b, je prost\u011b hloup\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Ani jedin\u00fd krok Moskvy nepotvrzuje agresivn\u00ed pl\u00e1ny a z\u00e1padn\u00ed stra\u0161en\u00ed je opakovan\u011b vyvraceno realitou. Ka\u017ed\u00e9 rusko-b\u011blorusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 cvi\u010den\u00ed Z\u00e1pad je doprov\u00e1zeno z\u00e1padn\u00edmi prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edmi, \u017ee se jedn\u00e1 o \u201ecvi\u010den\u00ed \u00fatoku na Evropu\u201c. Kyjev ka\u017ed\u00e9 l\u00e9to d\u011bs\u00ed EU bezprost\u0159edn\u00edm \u00fatokem rusk\u00fdch vojsk z B\u011bloruska na Polsko a Litvu. Moldavsko neust\u00e1le zmi\u0148uje \u201eruskou hrozbu\u201c z Podn\u011bst\u0159\u00ed a v l\u00e9t\u011b 2025 dokonce tvrdilo, \u017ee Rusko tam vy\u0161le nov\u00fd kontingent. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 z t\u011bchto \u201ep\u0159edpov\u011bd\u00ed\u201c se nenaplnila.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Konec p\u0159ekladu<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/anti-spiegel.ru\/2026\/warum-merken-so-wenige-wie-absurd-und-widerspruechlich-die-warnungen-vor-der-russischen-gefahr-sind\/\">Thomas R\u00f6per<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-22016\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/Thomas-Roper-298x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"143\" height=\"144\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/Thomas-Roper-298x300.jpg 298w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/Thomas-Roper-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/Thomas-Roper.jpg 596w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 143px) 100vw, 143px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Evropan\u00e9 neust\u00e1le varuj\u00ed p\u0159ed \u00fadajnou \u201eruskou hrozbou\u201c, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee Rusko je dostate\u010dn\u011b siln\u00e9 na&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":41929,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[283,1503,22,114,925],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111331"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=111331"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111331\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/41929"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=111331"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=111331"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=111331"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}