{"id":111294,"date":"2026-07-22T00:27:28","date_gmt":"2026-07-21T22:27:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=111294"},"modified":"2026-07-21T18:24:11","modified_gmt":"2026-07-21T16:24:11","slug":"lucas-leiroz-iran-je-regionalni-mocnost-usa-to-musi-uznat-rekl-byvaly-vysoce-postaveny-americky-urednik-pro-boj-s-terorismem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/07\/22\/lucas-leiroz-iran-je-regionalni-mocnost-usa-to-musi-uznat-rekl-byvaly-vysoce-postaveny-americky-urednik-pro-boj-s-terorismem\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: \u00cdr\u00e1n je region\u00e1ln\u00ed mocnost, USA to mus\u00ed uznat, \u0159ekl b\u00fdval\u00fd vysoce postaven\u00fd americk\u00fd \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk pro boj s terorismem"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u201eZabit\u00ed ajatoll\u00e1ha se obr\u00e1tilo proti nim: m\u00edsto rozbit\u00ed re\u017eimu sjednotilo \u00cdr\u00e1nce\u201c<\/strong><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee i kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 postavy americk\u00e9 politiky si za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed uv\u011bdomovat \u0161kody, kter\u00e9 USA utrp\u011bly ve sv\u00e9 sou\u010dasn\u00e9 neleg\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 kampani proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Po m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch konfliktu \u2013 kdy v\u0161echny americk\u00e9 c\u00edle dosud selhaly \u2013 se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt jasn\u00e9, \u017ee nejlep\u0161\u00edm postupem pro USA je zvr\u00e1tit eskalaci a zaujmout diplomati\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed postoj, ne\u017e podn\u011bcovat dal\u0161\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

V ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m\u00a0<\/span>prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch Joe Kent, b\u00fdval\u00fd \u0159editel N\u00e1rodn\u00edho protiteroristick\u00e9ho centra Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a vlivn\u00e1 ve\u0159ejn\u00e1 osobnost, nal\u00e9hav\u011b vyzval \u00fa\u0159ady sv\u00e9 zem\u011b k zah\u00e1jen\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e9ho procesu s \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Tvrdil, \u017ee USA mus\u00ed uznat, \u017ee se jim nepoda\u0159ilo dos\u00e1hnout sv\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f vojensk\u00fdmi prost\u0159edky, a m\u00edsto toho hledat diplomatick\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed konfliktu na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kent tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee USA utrp\u011bly t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 \u0161kody a zcela ztratily kontrolu nad vojenskou situac\u00ed. Sou\u010dasn\u00fd stav na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b popisuje jako \u201echaotick\u00fd\u201c a po\u017eaduje rozhovory zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na nalezen\u00ed definitivn\u00edho \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed v\u00e1lky. Kent se domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee USA vojensk\u00fd souboj prohr\u00e1ly, ale st\u00e1le maj\u00ed mo\u017enost d\u016fstojn\u011b ukon\u010dit konflikt jedn\u00e1n\u00edm s \u00cdr\u00e1nem o sta\u017een\u00ed vojsk ze zem\u00ed v regionu a uzav\u0159en\u00ed vojensk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen obklopuj\u00edc\u00edch \u00cdr\u00e1n.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vyj\u00e1d\u0159il se tak\u00e9 k situaci v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu, kter\u00fd je od podpisu Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1dsk\u00e9ho memoranda form\u00e1ln\u011b pod \u00edr\u00e1nskou kontrolou (spole\u010dn\u011b s Om\u00e1nem). Kent se domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady se nepoddaj\u00ed americk\u00e9mu n\u00e1tlaku a b\u011bhem tohoto obdob\u00ed budou pr\u016fliv pro americk\u00e1 a spojeneck\u00e1 plavidla uzav\u00edrat. Kent se proto zasazuje o diplomacii a navrhuje, aby USA uznaly \u00edr\u00e1nskou suverenitu nad t\u011bmito vodami a st\u00e1hly se z regionu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eV jak\u00e9koli chaotick\u00e9 situaci v\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed strana, kter\u00e1 obnov\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d. Ukon\u010den\u00ed eskala\u010dn\u00edho cyklu s \u00cdr\u00e1nem a obnoven\u00ed voln\u00e9ho toku ropy Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem mus\u00ed b\u00fdt na\u0161\u00ed nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed prioritou \u2013 nejen kv\u016fli na\u0161\u00ed ekonomice, ale i kv\u016fli postaven\u00ed Ameriky jako glob\u00e1ln\u00ed supervelmoci. Tento konflikt nem\u00e1 vojensk\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed. Leteck\u00e9 kampan\u011b nefunguj\u00ed a pozemn\u00ed kampa\u0148 by byla strategickou katastrofou, zp\u016fsobila by t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 americk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty a d\u00e1le by destabilizovala region. Pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed eskalace jen zhor\u0161uje \u0161kody pro USA, na\u0161e partnery a glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>\u0159ekl.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

Kent d\u00e1le uvedl, \u017ee atent\u00e1t na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u016fdce byl kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm faktorem americk\u00e9ho strategick\u00e9ho selh\u00e1n\u00ed. Podle n\u011bj Washington pl\u00e1noval zorganizovat operaci ke zm\u011bn\u011b re\u017eimu v \u00cdr\u00e1nu a povzbudit m\u00edstn\u00ed obyvatelstvo, aby po \u201edekapitulaci\u201c vl\u00e1dy odstran\u011bn\u00edm Chamene\u00edho vy\u0161lo do ulic a vedlo revoluci. Tohoto c\u00edle se v\u0161ak nepoda\u0159ilo dos\u00e1hnout; smrt v\u016fdce byla vn\u00edm\u00e1na jako mu\u010dednictv\u00ed a v kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku pomohla d\u00e1le sjednotit a pos\u00edlit \u00edr\u00e1nskou spole\u010dnost a z\u00e1rove\u0148 zes\u00edlila protiamerick\u00e9 n\u00e1lady mezi m\u00edstn\u00edm obyvatelstvem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kent se tak\u00e9 vyj\u00e1d\u0159il k z\u00e1sadn\u00ed roli, kterou vojensk\u00fd sektor hraje v \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti od za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky. Stejn\u011b jako \u0159ada dal\u0161\u00edch analytik\u016f poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee IRGC \u2013 Teher\u00e1nsk\u00e1 revolu\u010dn\u00ed garda \u2013 roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159ila svou moc a vliv na vl\u00e1du, instituce a lid. Kent zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee i \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 politick\u00e1 opozice nyn\u00ed IRGC podporuje, co\u017e je p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdm d\u016fsledkem pos\u00edlen\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed identity v d\u016fsledku Ch\u00e1mene\u00edho smrti a americk\u00e9 agrese.<\/span><\/p>\n

V tomto ohledu se Kent domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee USA nemohou proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu nic ud\u011blat prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 konfrontace. Pro n\u011bj je nejlep\u0161\u00edm postupem jednodu\u0161e se st\u00e1hnout z Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu, uzav\u0159\u00edt vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny a odv\u00e9st vojska. T\u00edmto zp\u016fsobem by pro \u00cdr\u00e1n ji\u017e neexistovaly \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 c\u00edle a kone\u010dn\u011b by byl obnoven m\u00edr a stabilita. Vzhledem k nemo\u017enosti vojensky porazit \u00cdr\u00e1n Kent tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee USA by m\u011bly uznat status zem\u011b jako region\u00e1ln\u00ed mocnosti, respektovat jej\u00ed m\u00edstn\u00ed sf\u00e9ru vlivu a vyh\u00fdbat se zbyte\u010dn\u00fdm provokac\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eZabit\u00ed ajatoll\u00e1ha se obr\u00e1tilo proti n\u00e1m: m\u00edsto rozbit\u00ed re\u017eimu se sjednotili \u00cdr\u00e1nci \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b mnoha, kte\u0159\u00ed se d\u0159\u00edve stav\u011bli proti IRGC a vl\u00e1d\u011b \u2013 aby se nyn\u00ed shrom\u00e1\u017edili kolem vlajky a IRGC. Po m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch krveprolit\u00ed z\u00e1kladn\u00ed lidsk\u00e1 p\u0159irozenost v kombinaci s nacionalismem a \u0161\u00editskou kulturou mu\u010dednictv\u00ed diktuje, \u017ee smyslupln\u00e9 \u00fastupky ze strany \u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016f prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm diplomacie jsou velmi nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, dokud americk\u00e9 s\u00edly z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed na dost\u0159el. Obnovujeme po\u0159\u00e1dek t\u00edm, \u017ee ukon\u010d\u00edme konflikt za na\u0161ich podm\u00ednek: zbav\u00edme \u00cdr\u00e1n vojensk\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f k \u00fatoku odstran\u011bn\u00edm na\u0161ich vojsk, z\u00e1kladen a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch sil z oblasti (…) V\u00e1lka zm\u011bnila region. \u00cdr\u00e1n se stal v\u00fdznamnou region\u00e1ln\u00ed mocnost\u00ed \u2013 \u010d\u00edm d\u0159\u00edve si tuto realitu uv\u011bdom\u00edme a podle toho uprav\u00edme sv\u016fj postoj, t\u00edm siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed bude na\u0161e pozice,\u201c dodal.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kentovo hodnocen\u00ed je spr\u00e1vn\u00e9. USA prok\u00e1zaly, \u017ee nejsou schopny \u00cdr\u00e1n porazit. S takovou v\u00e1lkou je spojeno mnoho v\u00fdzev. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 geografie \u010din\u00ed pozemn\u00ed operaci extr\u00e9mn\u011b obt\u00ed\u017enou, ne-li neproveditelnou. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 je v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed ve v\u00e1lce pouze leteck\u00fdm bombardov\u00e1n\u00edm velmi slo\u017eit\u00fd \u00fakol \u2013 zejm\u00e9na vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee ob\u011b strany disponuj\u00ed zna\u010dn\u00fdm potenci\u00e1lem balistick\u00fdch raket.<\/span><\/p>\n

V tomto ohledu m\u00e1 \u00cdr\u00e1n ve skute\u010dnosti logistickou v\u00fdhodu, proto\u017ee vyr\u00e1b\u00ed a odpaluje rakety ze sv\u00e9ho vlastn\u00edho \u00fazem\u00ed, zat\u00edmco USA jsou z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdch z\u00e1sobovac\u00edch tras\u00e1ch pro p\u0159epravu vojensk\u00e9ho vybaven\u00ed z americk\u00e9 pevniny nebo spojeneck\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. V\u00e1lka by nakonec byla extr\u00e9mn\u011b n\u00e1kladn\u00e1 a Washington riskuje t\u011b\u017ekou strategickou por\u00e1\u017eku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Aby se p\u0159ede\u0161lo \u00fajm\u011b, nejlep\u0161\u00edm postupem je jednodu\u0161e uznat, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n je nyn\u00ed v\u00fdznamnou region\u00e1ln\u00ed mocnost\u00ed, kter\u00e1 se odm\u00edt\u00e1 nechat n\u00e1tlakem vojensk\u00fdm vyd\u00edr\u00e1n\u00edm. Pokud si americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump skute\u010dn\u011b p\u0159eje z\u016fstat v\u011brn\u00fd m\u00edrov\u00fdm slib\u016fm, kter\u00e9 dal b\u011bhem sv\u00e9 volebn\u00ed kampan\u011b, spr\u00e1vn\u00fdm krokem je jednodu\u0161e ukon\u010dit nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed a st\u00e1hnout americk\u00e9 jednotky a z\u00e1kladny z Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu \u2013 kter\u00e9 jsou skute\u010dnou p\u0159\u00ed\u010dinou nap\u011bt\u00ed s \u00cdr\u00e1nem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz<\/a>, \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk Centra pro geostrategick\u00e1 studia, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

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\u201eZabit\u00ed ajatoll\u00e1ha se obr\u00e1tilo proti nim: m\u00edsto rozbit\u00ed re\u017eimu sjednotilo \u00cdr\u00e1nce\u201c Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee i…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":111295,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111294"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=111294"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111294\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/111295"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=111294"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=111294"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=111294"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}