{"id":110769,"date":"2026-07-15T00:24:03","date_gmt":"2026-07-14T22:24:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=110769"},"modified":"2026-07-14T17:40:47","modified_gmt":"2026-07-14T15:40:47","slug":"trumpovo-memorandum-o-kapitulaci-oslabena-rise-blafuje-a-kupuje-si-cas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/07\/15\/trumpovo-memorandum-o-kapitulaci-oslabena-rise-blafuje-a-kupuje-si-cas\/","title":{"rendered":"Trumpovo \u201eMemorandum o kapitulaci\u201c: Oslaben\u00e1 \u0159\u00ed\u0161e blafuje a kupuje si \u010das"},"content":{"rendered":"
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PROFESOR JUNAID S. AHMAD tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee neleg\u00e1ln\u00ed americk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu odhalila limity americk\u00e9 moci a n\u00e1sledn\u00e1 diplomacie poslou\u017eila k reinterpretaci strategick\u00fdch ne\u00fasp\u011bch\u016f jako politick\u00fdch v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Donald Trump s \u00cdr\u00e1nem nejedn\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1 s pon\u00ed\u017een\u00edm z toho, \u017ee ho nezlomil.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pod p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00edmi, memorandy, zinscenovan\u00fdmi panelov\u00fdmi diskusemi a samolib\u00fdmi apely na \u201estabilitu\u201c se skr\u00fdv\u00e1 fakt, kter\u00fd Washington nem\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ipustit: Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty vstoupily do t\u00e9to konfrontace s o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm podroben\u00ed se a nyn\u00ed se ocitly konfrontov\u00e1ny s vlastn\u00edmi omezen\u00edmi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Cht\u011bli \u00cdr\u00e1n izolovat, odzbrojit a politicky si podmanit. Cht\u011bli rozb\u00edt jeho odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed s\u00edlu, zlikvidovat jeho region\u00e1ln\u00ed vliv a redukovat jeho suverenitu na vlajku, hymnu a nic v\u00edc.<\/span><\/p>\n

Selhali.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n odolal tlaku, udr\u017eel si strategickou v\u00fdhodu a donutil nejmocn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u0159\u00ed\u0161i na Zemi vyjedn\u00e1vat se zem\u00ed, kterou \u00fadajn\u011b cht\u011bl srazit na kolena.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tohle nen\u00ed americk\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jde o zvl\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00e9 por\u00e1\u017eky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Skute\u010dn\u00e1 diplomacie za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1, kdy\u017e ob\u011b strany uznaj\u00ed, \u017ee druh\u00e1 strana m\u00e1 z\u00e1jmy, pr\u00e1va, hranice a moc. Trumpova verze za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 imperi\u00e1ln\u00ed teologi\u00ed: Washington m\u00e1 z\u00e1jmy; Izrael m\u00e1 pr\u00e1va; v\u0161ichni ostatn\u00ed maj\u00ed povinnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n

Americk\u00fd n\u00e1tlak se naz\u00fdv\u00e1 odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed. Izraelsk\u00e1 agrese se naz\u00fdv\u00e1 sebeobrana. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd odpor se naz\u00fdv\u00e1 eskalace.<\/span><\/p>\n

Suverenita je posv\u00e1tn\u00e1, pokud si ji n\u00e1rokuje americk\u00fd klient, a nesnesiteln\u00e1, pokud ji po\u017eaduje americk\u00fd nep\u0159\u00edtel.<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto je podvod, kter\u00fd se nyn\u00ed v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu prod\u00e1v\u00e1 jako m\u00edr: p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed prezentovan\u00e9 jako kapitulace, prozat\u00edmn\u00ed dohoda prod\u00e1van\u00e1 jako pod\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed se a obnoven\u00e1 kampa\u0148 tlaku p\u0159ebalen\u00e1 jako deeskalace.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump konfrontaci nevyhr\u00e1l. Nedos\u00e1hl v\u00fdsledku, kter\u00fd sl\u00edbil. \u00cdr\u00e1n nebyl bombardov\u00e1n do \u00fastran\u00ed. Jeho vl\u00e1da se nezhroutila. Jeho strategick\u00e1 pozice nebyla zni\u010dena. Jeho nep\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9 znovu zjistili, \u017ee zni\u010den\u00ed nen\u00ed kontrola a \u017ee vojensk\u00e1 p\u0159evaha se nerovn\u00e1 politick\u00e9 dominanci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro imp\u00e9rium z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na velen\u00ed je neschopnost vynutit si kapitulaci por\u00e1\u017ekou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trumpova reakce proto nen\u00ed v dodr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed dohody, ale v jej\u00edm podkop\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed. V p\u0159ijet\u00ed dokumentu. V p\u0159epracov\u00e1n\u00ed jeho v\u00fdznamu. V poru\u0161en\u00ed jeho logiky. Vzn\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed nov\u00fdch po\u017eadavk\u016f. A pak v obvin\u011bn\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu ze sabotov\u00e1n\u00ed m\u00edru.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je to diplomacie s beranidlem. Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv je m\u00edstem, kde se tento revizionismus st\u00e1v\u00e1 geografi\u00ed. Pokus o p\u0159esm\u011brov\u00e1n\u00ed lodn\u00edch tras p\u0159es om\u00e1nsk\u00e9 vody nen\u00ed neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed administrativn\u00ed \u00fapravou. Je to pokus zbavit \u00cdr\u00e1n vlivu, kter\u00fd Washington donutil k jednac\u00edmu stolu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eSvoboda plavby\u201c je jen zd\u00e1nliv\u00e1 fale\u0161n\u00e1 vrstva.<\/span><\/p>\n

Skute\u010dn\u00fdm po\u017eadavkem je, aby \u00cdr\u00e1n toleroval nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fd vojensk\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d na sv\u00e9m prahu, opustil sv\u016fj nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed strategick\u00fd p\u016fsobiv\u00fd bod a akceptoval, \u017ee jeho suverenita existuje pouze tehdy, je-li politicky bezcenn\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt pr\u00e1va, za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee je nikdy nevyu\u017eije.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u016f\u017ee si udr\u017eet vliv, za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee Washington rozhodne, kdy jej lze pou\u017e\u00edt.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u016f\u017ee z\u016fstat suver\u00e9nn\u00edm, pokud se chov\u00e1 jako pod\u0159\u00edzen\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tohle nen\u00ed m\u00edr. Je to n\u00e1tlak, p\u0159elo\u017eeno do diplomatick\u00fdch term\u00edn\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Metoda je dob\u0159e zn\u00e1m\u00e1: provokovat, oplatit \u00fader, moralizovat, eskalovat. Ekonomicky u\u0161krtit soupe\u0159e. Vojensky ho ohrozit. Politicky ho vy\u010derpat. Pak \u00fastupky vynucen\u00e9 pod n\u00e1tlakem prezentovat jako triumf um\u00edrn\u011bnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n

Washington to naz\u00fdv\u00e1 \u201ekontrolovanou eskalac\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Formulace je obsc\u00e9nn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nen\u00ed nic kontrolovan\u00e9ho na tom, kdy\u017e do\u017eenete cel\u00fd region do katastrofy a pak si blahop\u0159ejete k tomu, \u017ee m\u00e1te tempo pod kontrolou.<\/span><\/p>\n

A strategie nekon\u010d\u00ed Hormuzem.<\/span><\/p>\n

V Libanonu spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 americko-izraelsk\u00fd projekt v transformaci izraelsk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed doktr\u00edny do libanonsk\u00e9ho n\u00e1rodn\u00edho osudu: izolace \u00cdr\u00e1nu, omezen\u00ed Hizball\u00e1hu a nazv\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00fdsledn\u00e9ho podman\u011bn\u00ed \u201esuverenitou\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

V S\u00fdrii je fragmentace i nad\u00e1le u\u017eite\u010dn\u00e1, proto\u017ee suver\u00e9nn\u00ed, \u00fazemn\u011b soudr\u017en\u00fd st\u00e1t by zabr\u00e1nil nekone\u010dn\u00e9mu vytv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed tlakov\u00fdch bod\u016f. Do zran\u011bn\u00e9 zem\u011b je snaz\u0161\u00ed proniknout, rozd\u011blit ji a potrestat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Regionu se nikdy nedovol\u00ed uzdravit, proto\u017ee jeho r\u00e1ny z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed ziskov\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

R\u016fzn\u00e9 zem\u011b. R\u016fzn\u00e9 n\u00e1stroje. Stejn\u00fd imperi\u00e1ln\u00ed c\u00edl: zvr\u00e1tit politickou realitu vytvo\u0159enou v\u00e1lkou a obnovit zd\u00e1n\u00ed americko-izraelsk\u00e9 hegemonie pot\u00e9, co byly odhaleny jej\u00ed materi\u00e1ln\u00ed limity.<\/span><\/p>\n

Role Izraele nen\u00ed druho\u0159ad\u00e1. Je \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed, ne\u00faprosn\u00e1 a toxick\u00e1. Jeho politick\u00fd apar\u00e1t ve Washingtonu pova\u017euje jakoukoli trvalou \u00edr\u00e1nskou moc za netolerovateln\u00e9 poru\u0161en\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed hierarchie. Neusiluje o bezpe\u010dnost ve vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9m smyslu. Usiluje o trvalou nad\u0159azenost: omezov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu, ponech\u00e1n\u00ed Libanonu zraniteln\u00fdm, fragmentaci S\u00fdrie a nekone\u010dnou militarizaci Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zdr\u017eenlivost m\u016f\u017ee ob\u010das slou\u017eit americk\u00fdm z\u00e1jm\u016fm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Neust\u00e1l\u00e1 konfrontace slou\u017e\u00ed izraelsk\u00e9mu projektu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump je pro toto uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed ide\u00e1ln\u00edm obchodn\u00edkem, proto\u017ee jeho nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm politick\u00fdm talentem nen\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, ale teatr\u00e1ln\u00ed prom\u011bna por\u00e1\u017eek ve triumfy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pot\u0159ebuje kameru, slogan a poddajn\u00fd tisk. Pokud boji\u0161t\u011b nep\u0159inese kapitulaci, tiskov\u00e1 konference ji mus\u00ed p\u0159edst\u00edrat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je podeps\u00e1n dokument.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump prohla\u0161uje v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u00e9dia tu v\u011btu opakuj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00e1tlak pokra\u010duje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z p\u0159edstaven\u00ed se st\u00e1v\u00e1 politika.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n v\u0161ak ji\u017e dos\u00e1hl toho, \u010demu se Washington zoufale sna\u017eil zabr\u00e1nit: P\u0159e\u017eil, udr\u017eel si sv\u016fj odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed \u00fa\u010dinek a donutil imp\u00e9rium \u010delit mez\u00edm sv\u00e9 moci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto je strategick\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ne proto, \u017ee by \u00cdr\u00e1n neutrp\u011bl \u017e\u00e1dnou \u00fajmu. Ne proto, \u017ee by konfrontace byla bez n\u00e1klad\u016f. Ale proto, \u017ee st\u0159edoamerick\u00fd c\u00edl \u2013 podman\u011bn\u00ed si \u2013 byl odep\u0159en.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n nejen\u017ee odolal \u00fatoku. Odhalil tak\u00e9 propast mezi imperi\u00e1ln\u00ed pod\u00edvanou a imperi\u00e1ln\u00edmi schopnostmi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a Izrael mohou devastovat, sankce a vyhro\u017eovat, ale nemohou automaticky diktovat politick\u00fd v\u00fdsledek.<\/span><\/p>\n

To je por\u00e1\u017eka, kterou se Trump sna\u017e\u00ed skr\u00fdt.<\/span><\/p>\n

Teher\u00e1n proto mus\u00ed s ka\u017edou dohodou zach\u00e1zet nikoli jako s darem od Washingtonu, ale jako s boji\u0161t\u011bm, jeho\u017e podm\u00ednky jsou st\u00e1le sporn\u00e9. Dohoda, kter\u00e1 zavazuje pouze \u00cdr\u00e1n, zat\u00edmco Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty si ponech\u00e1vaj\u00ed mo\u017enost ji reinterpretovat, vyv\u00edjet na n\u011bj tlak a trestat, nen\u00ed diplomacie.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je to ultim\u00e1tum maskovan\u00e9 jako diplomacie.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zdr\u017eenlivost bez reciprocity nen\u00ed moudrost.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je to povolen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Povolen\u00ed k p\u0159epracov\u00e1n\u00ed podm\u00ednek.<\/span><\/p>\n

Povolen\u00ed k eskalaci bez n\u00e1klad\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Povolen\u00ed po\u017eadovat kapitulaci po slibu m\u00edru.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00dast\u0159edn\u00ed ot\u00e1zkou nen\u00ed, zda Trump m\u016f\u017ee uspo\u0159\u00e1dat dal\u0161\u00ed ceremoni\u00e1l. Jde o to, zda Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty mohou zru\u0161it jakoukoli dohodu, kter\u00e1 nevede k poslu\u0161nosti.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u00edr nelze budovat na vynucen\u00e9 pod\u0159\u00edzenosti a p\u0159ejmenovan\u00e9 stabilit\u011b. V\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed nelze vytv\u00e1\u0159et na p\u00f3diu, kdy\u017e pom\u011br sil nazna\u010duje opak.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump chce, aby se \u00cdr\u00e1n vzdal p\u00e1ky, kter\u00e1 zma\u0159ila jeho strategii, aby mohl vyhl\u00e1sit v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00dakolem \u00cdr\u00e1nu je mu tuto fikci odep\u0159\u00edt.<\/span><\/p>\n

Aby si zachovala sv\u00e1 pr\u00e1va, upevnila sv\u00e9 \u00fasp\u011bchy a dala jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed o imp\u00e9riu nen\u00ed realitou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je to pouze imp\u00e9rium, kter\u00e9 d\u00e1v\u00e1 rozkazy d\u011bjin\u00e1m \u2013 a znovu zji\u0161\u0165uje, \u017ee se jimi d\u011bjiny neposlouchaj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

*<\/span><\/p>\n

Profesor Junaid S. Ahmad vyu\u010duje pr\u00e1vo, n\u00e1bo\u017eenstv\u00ed a glob\u00e1ln\u00ed politiku a je \u0159editelem Centra pro studium isl\u00e1mu a dekolonizace (CSID \u2013 https:\/\/csidpk.org) v Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1du v P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu. Je \u010dlenem Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho hnut\u00ed za spravedliv\u00fd sv\u011bt (JUST \u2013 https:\/\/just-international.org\/), Hnut\u00ed za osvobozen\u00ed od Nakby (MLN \u2013 https:\/\/nakbaliberation.com\/) a hnut\u00ed Saving Humanity and Planet Earth (SHAPE \u2013 https:\/\/www.theshapeproject.com\/).<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

PROFESOR JUNAID S. AHMAD tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee neleg\u00e1ln\u00ed americk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu odhalila limity americk\u00e9 moci…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":110770,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,452,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110769"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=110769"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110769\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/110770"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=110769"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=110769"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=110769"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}