{"id":110624,"date":"2026-07-13T00:15:54","date_gmt":"2026-07-12T22:15:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=110624"},"modified":"2026-07-12T15:13:47","modified_gmt":"2026-07-12T13:13:47","slug":"sileni-vedci-sni-o-bezpecnem-geoinzenyrstvi-media-to-oslavuji","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/07\/13\/sileni-vedci-sni-o-bezpecnem-geoinzenyrstvi-media-to-oslavuji\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0160\u00edlen\u00ed v\u011bdci sn\u00ed o \u201ebezpe\u010dn\u00e9m geoin\u017een\u00fdrstv\u00ed\u201c \u2013 m\u00e9dia to oslavuj\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u010cl\u00e1nek \u201eGeoin\u017een\u00fdrstv\u00ed: El Ni\u00f1o by mohlo b\u00fdt oslabeno c\u00edlen\u00fdm z\u00e1sahem\u201c se objevil 9. \u010dervence v kdysi renomovan\u00e9m v\u011bdeck\u00e9m \u010dasopise Heise. Dozv\u00edd\u00e1me se v n\u011bm, \u017ee t\u00fdm americk\u00fdch v\u011bdc\u016f tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee je mo\u017en\u00e9 zas\u00e1hnout \u201ebezpe\u010dn\u011b\u201c a \u201ebez nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00fdch rizik\u201c. El Ni\u00f1o je p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00ed klimatick\u00fd jev, kter\u00fd ovliv\u0148uje po\u010das\u00ed na cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b. Ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo v posledn\u00edch letech studoval zpr\u00e1vy o po\u010das\u00ed, v\u00ed p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm jednu v\u011bc: \u017ee o po\u010das\u00ed nev\u00edme absolutn\u011b nic.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

El Ni\u00f1o je p\u0159irozen\u00fd klimatick\u00fd jev. Jeho bezprost\u0159edn\u00edm spou\u0161t\u011b\u010dem je oslaben\u00ed nebo do\u010dasn\u00e9 obr\u00e1cen\u00ed sm\u011bru pas\u00e1t\u016f nad tropick\u00fdm Pacifikem. To zp\u016fsobuje p\u0159esun tepl\u00e9 povrchov\u00e9 vody ze z\u00e1padn\u00edho do st\u0159edn\u00edho a v\u00fdchodn\u00edho Pacifiku, zat\u00edmco oce\u00e1nsk\u00e9 Kelvinovy \u200b\u200bvlny mohou tento proces d\u00e1le zes\u00edlit.<\/span><\/p>\n

El Ni\u00f1o se vyskytuje v nepravideln\u00fdch intervalech p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b dvou a\u017e sedmi let, ani\u017e by dodr\u017eoval pevn\u00fd rytmus. Navzdory intenzivn\u00edmu v\u00fdzkumu nejsou p\u0159esn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00ed\u010diny vzniku jednotliv\u00fdch jev\u016f pln\u011b pochopeny. Zast\u00e1nci klimatick\u00fdch zm\u011bn tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee existuje souvislost mezi \u201ezm\u011bnou klimatu vyvolanou \u010dlov\u011bkem\u201c a v\u00fdskytem a intenzitou jev\u016f El Ni\u00f1o, ale dosud neposkytli konzistentn\u00ed \u00fadaje, kter\u00e9 by toto tvrzen\u00ed podpo\u0159ily.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dopady El Ni\u00f1a sahaj\u00ed od siln\u00fdch de\u0161\u0165\u016f a z\u00e1plav v n\u011bkter\u00fdch \u010d\u00e1stech Ji\u017en\u00ed Ameriky a\u017e po sucha v Austr\u00e1lii a jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asii a zm\u011bny teplot a sr\u00e1\u017ekov\u00fdch re\u017eim\u016f v Evrop\u011b, Africe a Severn\u00ed Americe. El Ni\u00f1o je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed p\u0159irozen\u00e9ho klimatick\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu a spolu s chladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed f\u00e1z\u00ed La Ni\u00f1a tvo\u0159\u00ed tzv. cyklus ENSO (El Ni\u00f1o-Southern Oscillation).<\/span><\/p>\n

Fenom\u00e9n El Ni\u00f1o je tak obrovsk\u00fd, \u017ee samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nic o n\u011bm nelze s jistotou vypo\u010d\u00edtat \u2013 stejn\u011b tak m\u00e1lo jako mno\u017estv\u00ed parametr\u016f, kter\u00e9 tento jev spou\u0161t\u011bj\u00ed a ur\u010duj\u00ed jeho s\u00edlu. Existuj\u00ed studie, kter\u00e9 dokumentuj\u00ed El Ni\u00f1o ji\u017e p\u0159ed 10 000 lety \u2013 tento aspekt glob\u00e1ln\u00edho klimatu je pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b star\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e cel\u00e9 lidstvo (a\u010dkoli jsem tento p\u0159edpoklad neprok\u00e1zal).<\/span><\/p>\n

Obecn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee dok\u00e1\u017ee s absolutn\u00ed jistotou p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bt po\u010das\u00ed, by\u0165 jen na n\u011bkolik dn\u00ed dop\u0159edu, je \u0161arlat\u00e1n a podvodn\u00edk. V\u00edme to z ka\u017edodenn\u00edho sledov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u00ed po\u010das\u00ed v m\u00e9di\u00edch, kter\u00e9 jsou \u010dasto nep\u0159esn\u00e9 i pro tent\u00fd\u017e den nebo n\u011bkolik hodin dop\u0159edu. Takov\u00e9 v\u00fdpo\u010dty jsou nekone\u010dn\u011b jednodu\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1n\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u011b dopadov\u00e9ho jevu El Ni\u00f1o. Z\u0159ejm\u00fdm z\u00e1v\u011brem je, \u017ee nev\u00edme absolutn\u011b nic.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na z\u00e1klad\u011b t\u011bchto znalost\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>skupina americk\u00fdch v\u011bdc\u016f tvrd\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee je mo\u017en\u00e9 do syst\u00e9mu zas\u00e1hnout \u2013 a \u017ee by to pro Zemi neznamenalo \u201e\u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e1 rizika\u201c. Heise, zcela neuv\u00e1\u017een\u00fd, s naprostou jistotou zve\u0159ejnil titulek: \u201eGeoin\u017een\u00fdrstv\u00ed: El Ni\u00f1o by mohlo b\u00fdt oslabeno c\u00edlen\u00fdm z\u00e1sahem.\u201c To p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 \u201eprogresivn\u00ed\u201c klam pov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 \u00e9ry, kdy si lidstvo myslelo, \u017ee v\u00ed v\u0161echno a m\u016f\u017ee v\u0161echno ovl\u00e1dat \u2013 vezm\u011bte si nap\u0159\u00edklad nap\u0159\u00edmen\u00ed mnoha \u0159ek. V\u00fdsledkem byly ni\u010div\u00e9 z\u00e1plavy a des\u00edtky tis\u00edc \u00famrt\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je hloup\u00e9 si myslet, \u017ee rozum\u00edte v\u0161emu. A p\u0159esn\u011b takovou hloupost\u00ed se chovaj\u00ed ameri\u010dt\u00ed v\u00fdzkumn\u00edci pod veden\u00edm Jessicy Wan z Kalifornsk\u00e9 univerzity v San Diegu \u2013 probuzen\u00fd americk\u00fd st\u00e1t, kde v\u011b\u0159\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00e9mu levicov\u00e9mu globalistick\u00e9mu braku na sv\u011bt\u011b a vnucuj\u00ed ho obyvatelstvu. V\u00fdzkumn\u00fd t\u00fdm\u00a0<\/span>publikoval svou bludnou my\u0161lenku<\/span><\/a>\u00a0ve v\u011bdeck\u00e9m \u010dasopise Science Advances.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pl\u00e1nem je oslabit El Ni\u00f1o vytvo\u0159en\u00edm um\u011bl\u00fdch mrak\u016f. Podle levicov\u011b orientovan\u00e9 univerzity by to bylo nutn\u00e9 d\u011blat pouze po omezenou dobu n\u011bkolika let a nem\u011blo by to \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 negativn\u00ed d\u016fsledky. Skupina sv\u016fj projekt naz\u00fdv\u00e1 \u201estrategick\u00e9 zjas\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed mo\u0159sk\u00fdch mrak\u016f\u201c. Zda n\u00e1pad vznikl pod vlivem l\u00e1tek, nen\u00ed jist\u00e9 \u2013 sami tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee pozorovali australsk\u00e9 po\u017e\u00e1ry bu\u0161e v letech 2019\/2020. V\u00fdsledn\u00e9 mraky, argumentuj\u00ed, odr\u00e1\u017eely v\u00edce slune\u010dn\u00edho sv\u011btla. Tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee sta\u010d\u00ed jednodu\u0161e vytvo\u0159it srovnateln\u00e9 mraky \u2013 a El Ni\u00f1o by bylo oslabeno \u2013 to podle nich uk\u00e1zaly simulace a modelov\u00e9 v\u00fdpo\u010dty.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mimochodem, Heise se tak\u00e9 pokou\u0161\u00ed prezentovat geoin\u017een\u00fdrstv\u00ed \u2013 tedy masivn\u00ed z\u00e1sahy do p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00edho cyklu se zcela nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00fdmi d\u016fsledky \u2013 v pozitivn\u00edm sv\u011btle. Zodpov\u011bdn\u00fd redaktor Martin Holland p\u00ed\u0161e:<\/span><\/p>\n

Geoin\u017een\u00fdrstv\u00ed ozna\u010duje rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 technologick\u00e9 z\u00e1sahy do p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00edch cykl\u016f Zem\u011b \u2013 zejm\u00e9na v boji proti zm\u011bn\u011b klimatu. P\u0159esto\u017ee se opakovan\u011b objevuj\u00ed varov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ed takov\u00fdmi projekty a obrovsk\u00fdmi riziky, kter\u00e1 p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed, o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee vzhledem ke katastrof\u00e1ln\u00edm d\u016fsledk\u016fm glob\u00e1ln\u00edho oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed bude geoin\u017een\u00fdrstv\u00ed v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch desetilet\u00edch implementov\u00e1no alespo\u0148 v n\u011bkter\u00fdch zem\u00edch.\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Abychom ocenili nejen heise.de: Zpr\u00e1vy o kalifornsk\u00e9m bludu se objevily nap\u0159\u00edklad tak\u00e9 v\u00a0<\/span>ingenieur.de<\/span><\/a>\u00a0,\u00a0<\/span>t3n<\/span><\/a>\u00a0,\u00a0<\/span>Bild der Wissenschaft<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>watson.ch<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u2013 v r\u016fzn\u00fdch podob\u00e1ch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00e9 pozn\u00e1mky: Toto celosv\u011btov\u00e9 medi\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161\u00edlenstv\u00ed tak\u00e9 ukazuje, \u017ee roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00e1, kultovn\u00ed panika, \u017ee kondenza\u010dn\u00ed stopy na obloze jsou um\u011bl\u00e9 geoin\u017een\u00fdrstv\u00ed, pevn\u011b z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 v \u0159\u00ed\u0161i m\u00fdt\u016f a poh\u00e1dek \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00fdch spekulanty a \u0161arlat\u00e1ny. Takzvan\u00e1 \u201ev\u011bda\u201c po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1, testuje, modeluje a sn\u00ed \u2013 ale nen\u00ed schopna zm\u011bnit po\u010das\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u011b ani trvale vytvo\u0159it mraky po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b. \u0160\u00edlen\u00ed v\u011bdci z Kalifornie jsou odcizeni sou\u010dasn\u00e9mu glob\u00e1ln\u00edmu v\u00fdzkumu oblak\u016f. Kondenza\u010dn\u00ed stopy z letadel jsou podez\u0159el\u00e9 z urychlov\u00e1n\u00ed, nikoli zpomalov\u00e1n\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00edho oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed. Moje rada: V\u00e1\u017een\u00ed \u010dten\u00e1\u0159i, nebojte se oblak\u016f; zam\u011b\u0159te se na skute\u010dn\u00e9 probl\u00e9my, jako jsou zkorumpovan\u00ed a zlo\u010dinn\u00ed politici p\u0159\u00edmo p\u0159ed va\u0161ima nosem, a zajist\u011bte, aby nikdy nebyli znovu zvoleni.<\/span><\/p>\n

Koment\u00e1\u0159 od Floriana Machla<\/a><\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u010cl\u00e1nek \u201eGeoin\u017een\u00fdrstv\u00ed: El Ni\u00f1o by mohlo b\u00fdt oslabeno c\u00edlen\u00fdm z\u00e1sahem\u201c se objevil 9. \u010dervence v…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":110625,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[5404,158,276,1561],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110624"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=110624"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110624\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/110625"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=110624"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=110624"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=110624"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}