{"id":110622,"date":"2026-07-13T00:15:02","date_gmt":"2026-07-12T22:15:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=110622"},"modified":"2026-07-12T14:45:27","modified_gmt":"2026-07-12T12:45:27","slug":"hormuzsky-pruliv-proc-se-lodni-doprava-hrouti-navzdory-mirove-dohode","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/07\/13\/hormuzsky-pruliv-proc-se-lodni-doprava-hrouti-navzdory-mirove-dohode\/","title":{"rendered":"Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv: Pro\u010d se lodn\u00ed doprava hrout\u00ed navzdory \u201em\u00edrov\u00e9 dohod\u011b\u201c"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Takzvan\u00e1 \u201em\u00edrov\u00e1 dohoda\u201c z poloviny \u010dervna poskytla jen kr\u00e1tk\u00fd oddech. N\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed doprava p\u0159es strategicky d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv se op\u011bt dramaticky zhroutila. P\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed \u2013 pokud se tak v\u016fbec d\u00e1 nazvat \u2013 se ukazuje jako k\u0159ehk\u00fd konstrukt a toto \u00fazk\u00e9 hrdlo glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiky z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 pro plavbu uzav\u0159en\u00e9.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201eM\u00edrov\u00e1 dohoda\u201c mezi USA a \u00cdr\u00e1nem, ozn\u00e1men\u00e1 s velkou pompou v polovin\u011b \u010dervna, se, jak se dalo o\u010dek\u00e1vat, ukazuje jako bezcenn\u00fd kus pap\u00edru. Podle aktu\u00e1ln\u00edch \u00fadaj\u016f Spole\u010dn\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edho informa\u010dn\u00edho centra je lodn\u00ed doprava v pr\u016flivu na pouh\u00fdch 24 procentech p\u0159edv\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b. Americk\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 lod\u011b, kter\u00e9 se pokou\u0161ej\u00ed doprov\u00e1zet n\u00e1kladn\u00ed lod\u011b, jsou k ni\u010demu. Majitel\u00e9 lod\u00ed prost\u011b necht\u011bj\u00ed riskovat sv\u00e9 pos\u00e1dky a plavidla v krupobit\u00ed kulek.<\/span><\/p>\n

K tomu se p\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 finan\u010dn\u00ed krach zadn\u00edmi vr\u00e1tky:\u00a0<\/span>Agentura Reuters informuje<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee poji\u0161\u0165ovny ji\u017e nal\u00e9hav\u011b nedoporu\u010duj\u00ed lodn\u00edm spole\u010dnostem plavbu Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem. Pojistn\u00e9 pro lod\u011b v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu se za velmi kr\u00e1tkou dobu prudce zv\u00fd\u0161ilo ze dvou na t\u0159i procenta z celkov\u00e9 hodnoty lodi. V z\u00e1kulis\u00ed n\u011bkter\u00e9 poji\u0161\u0165ovny po\u017eaduj\u00ed dokonce p\u011bt procent. Jednodu\u0161e \u0159e\u010deno, to znamen\u00e1: Pr\u016fliv je sice teoreticky otev\u0159en\u00fd, ale v praxi se j\u00edm u\u017e t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 lodn\u00ed spole\u010dnost nechce plavit. Je to prost\u011b p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Eskalace situace je zp\u016fsobena tak\u00e9 ned\u00e1vn\u00fdm v\u00fdvojem ve Washingtonu a Teher\u00e1nu. Donald Trump ofici\u00e1ln\u011b ozn\u00e1mil ji\u017e tak vratkou dohodu p\u0159ed n\u011bkolika dny, proto\u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da nad\u00e1le \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na lod\u011b a sousedn\u00ed zem\u011b. Okam\u017eit\u011b n\u00e1sledovaly americk\u00e9 leteck\u00e9 \u00fadery na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 pozice, v\u010detn\u011b leteck\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny \u00cdr\u00e1n\u0161\u00e1hr. Mull\u00e1hov\u00e9 nev\u00e1hali a odvetili \u00fatokem na z\u00e1kladny v partnersk\u00fdch st\u00e1tech USA, Kuvajtu a Jord\u00e1nsku.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Americk\u00e9 \u00fatoky na zhruba 90 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b pob\u0159e\u017en\u00edch radarov\u00fdch stanic, bateri\u00ed protilodn\u00edch raket, odpalovac\u00edch m\u00edst pro drony, velitelsk\u00fdch center a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch z\u00e1kladen \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 revolu\u010dn\u00ed gardy \u2013 v\u0161ak zjevn\u011b nijak nezmen\u0161ily trvaj\u00edc\u00ed kontrolu Teher\u00e1nu nad Gibraltarsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem. Pro radik\u00e1ln\u00ed islamistick\u00fd re\u017eim mull\u00e1h\u016f sta\u010d\u00ed opakovan\u00e9 a \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 ost\u0159elov\u00e1n\u00ed lod\u00ed k efektivn\u00edmu ochromen\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed dopravy. A tato taktika \u201e\u0161pi\u010dkov\u00e9ho \u00fatoku\u201c evidentn\u011b funguje. Zat\u00edmco Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie a Om\u00e1n mohou p\u0159esm\u011brovat sv\u016fj v\u00fdvoz ropy alternativn\u00edmi trasami, Katar, Kuvajt a Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty jsou\u00a0<\/span>v pasti<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed ekonomick\u00e1 data za druh\u00e9 \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed by m\u011bla odhalit pln\u00fd rozsah \u0161kod zp\u016fsoben\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016fm Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 situaci v Libanonu jako z\u00e1minku k prolomen\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed. Teher\u00e1n se sna\u017e\u00ed vinu svalit na Jeruzal\u00e9m. Realita je v\u0161ak jin\u00e1, ne\u017e se muslimsk\u00e1 propaganda sna\u017e\u00ed Z\u00e1padu namluvit: Izrael se soustavn\u011b br\u00e1n\u00ed pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00edmu teroru Hizball\u00e1hu v ji\u017en\u00edm Libanonu a po\u017eaduje jeho \u00fapln\u00e9 rozpu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159edt\u00edm, ne\u017e je v\u016fbec mo\u017en\u00e9 sta\u017een\u00ed vojsk. Pro premi\u00e9ra Benjamina Netanjahua je bezpe\u010dnost jeho vlastn\u00edho lidu nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed prioritou.<\/span><\/p>\n

V Izraeli v\u0161ak s\u00edl\u00ed dom\u00e1c\u00ed politick\u00fd tlak. Des\u00edtky tis\u00edc evakuovan\u00fdch ob\u010dan\u016f se ji\u017e m\u011bs\u00edce nemohou vr\u00e1tit do sv\u00fdch domov\u016f pod\u00e9l severn\u00ed hranice a po\u017eaduj\u00ed definitivn\u00ed a \u00fa\u010dinnou bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruku proti raketov\u00e9 palb\u011b ze strany st\u00e1tu. Napjatou situaci ilustruje ned\u00e1vn\u00fd pr\u016fzkum televize Channel 13: Nov\u00e1 strana \u201eJa\u0161ar\u201c b\u00fdval\u00e9ho n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edka gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu IDF Gadiho Eisenkota v pr\u016fzkumech z\u00edskala zna\u010dn\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed podpory. Izrael\u0161t\u00ed voli\u010di sice v obdob\u00ed p\u0159ed o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fdmi volbami na konci \u0159\u00edjna nad\u00e1le up\u0159ednost\u0148uj\u00ed nekompromisn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 po\u017eaduj\u00ed jasnou a udr\u017eitelnou strategii pro boj s hrozbou na hranic\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Situace na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b tak z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nestabiln\u00ed a na kritick\u00e9 \u00farovni. Vyvst\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u0161ak tak\u00e9 ot\u00e1zka, jak dlouho budou trhy s ohledem na tento v\u00fdvoj schopny udr\u017eet ceny ropy na relativn\u011b n\u00edzk\u00e9 \u00farovni pod 80 dolary za barel. Navzdory n\u011bkter\u00fdm alternativn\u00edm tras\u00e1m a zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 produkci od jin\u00fdch producent\u016f ropy na sv\u011btov\u00e9m trhu chyb\u00ed velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st dod\u00e1vek p\u0159es Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv \u2013 stejn\u011b jako zna\u010dn\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st dod\u00e1vek z Ruska, jeho\u017e ropn\u00fd pr\u016fmysl je pod \u00fatokem ukrajinsk\u00fdch dron\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Takzvan\u00e1 \u201em\u00edrov\u00e1 dohoda\u201c z poloviny \u010dervna poskytla jen kr\u00e1tk\u00fd oddech. N\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed doprava p\u0159es strategicky d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":110623,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[6382,38,1503,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110622"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=110622"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110622\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/110623"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=110622"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=110622"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=110622"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}