{"id":110615,"date":"2026-07-13T00:11:14","date_gmt":"2026-07-12T22:11:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=110615"},"modified":"2026-07-12T14:32:08","modified_gmt":"2026-07-12T12:32:08","slug":"larry-c-johnson-v-hormuzskem-prulivu-je-zase-den-svistu-zase","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/07\/13\/larry-c-johnson-v-hormuzskem-prulivu-je-zase-den-svistu-zase\/","title":{"rendered":"Larry C. Johnson: V Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu je zase Den svi\u0161\u0165\u016f… Zase!"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Byl to ru\u0161n\u00fd t\u00fdden, v n\u011bm\u017e USA zcela poru\u0161ily memorandum o porozum\u011bn\u00ed. D\u016fraz byl kladen na formulaci v p\u00e1t\u00e9m odstavci memoranda:<\/span><\/p>\n

Podpisem tohoto memoranda o porozum\u011bn\u00ed se \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 isl\u00e1msk\u00e1 republika zav\u00e1\u017ee k zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed bezpe\u010dn\u00e9 plavby obchodn\u00edch lod\u00ed mezi Persk\u00fdm a Om\u00e1nsk\u00fdm z\u00e1livem a naopak, a to pouze po dobu 60 dn\u016f a bez poplatk\u016f.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Neobsahuje ani slovo o USA, Om\u00e1nu ani \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 jin\u00e9 zemi v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu \u2013 pouze o \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na z\u00e1klad\u011b tohoto zn\u011bn\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n z\u0159\u00eddil\u00a0<\/span>\u00da\u0159ad pro Persk\u00fd z\u00e1liv (PGSA)<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0a stanovil pravidla pro bezpe\u010dn\u00fd pr\u016fplav lod\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u00edsto p\u0159ijet\u00ed t\u00e9to dohody zah\u00e1jily USA s\u00e9rii provokac\u00ed s c\u00edlem zpochybnit autoritu \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n 6.\u00a0<\/span>a 7. \u010dervence<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0za\u00fato\u010dil na nejm\u00e9n\u011b t\u0159i obchodn\u00ed lod\u011b v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu nebo v jeho bl\u00edzkosti \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b tankeru\u00a0<\/span>M\/T Al Rekayyat<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0pluj\u00edc\u00edho pod mar\u0161alovskou vlajkou , sa\u00fadskoarabsk\u00e9ho tankeru\u00a0<\/span>M\/T Wedyan<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0a liberijsk\u00e9ho tankeru\u00a0<\/span>M\/T Cyprus Prosperity<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 pot\u00e9, co se pokusily obej\u00edt pravidla PGSA.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty tvrdily, \u017ee se jedn\u00e1 o poru\u0161en\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed. To se v\u0161ak nestalo. USA n\u00e1sledn\u011b za\u00fato\u010dily na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 pozice pod\u00e9l Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu. \u00cdr\u00e1n reagoval \u00fatoky na americk\u00e9 c\u00edle v Kuvajtu a Bahrajnu.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159est\u0159elka pokra\u010dovala a\u017e do \u010dtvrtka. Pot\u00e9, co \u00cdr\u00e1n zachytil dal\u0161\u00ed lod\u011b, kter\u00e9 nedodr\u017eovaly p\u0159edpisy, USA za\u00fato\u010dily na c\u00edle v Bandar Abb\u00e1s a jeho okol\u00ed a na ostrov\u011b Ke\u0161m.<\/span><\/p>\n

V p\u00e1tek z\u016fstal klid.<\/span><\/p>\n

Donald Trump ale vydal \u00cdr\u00e1nu ultim\u00e1tum:<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u011bl by vyhl\u00e1sit Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv za otev\u0159en\u00fd a p\u0159estat pou\u017e\u00edvat s\u00edlu proti lod\u00edm, kter\u00e9 poru\u0161uj\u00ed pravidla PGSA.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e jsem to sly\u0161el, p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bl jsem, \u017ee USA za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed do 24 hodin.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159esn\u011b to se stalo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed lod\u011b s vazbami na z\u00e1padn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy se pokusily prolomit blok\u00e1du, co\u017e vyvolalo \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd \u00fatok. USA op\u011bt reagovaly leteck\u00fdmi \u00fadery, \u00fadajn\u011b v\u010detn\u011b pou\u017eit\u00ed\u00a0raket\u00a0<\/span>ATACMS<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>HIMARS .<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

V dob\u011b psan\u00ed tohoto \u010dl\u00e1nku \u00cdr\u00e1n odp\u00e1lil rakety na\u00a0<\/span>Kuvajt, Bahrajn, Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty, Katar (leteck\u00e1 z\u00e1kladna Al-Udeid)<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0a jord\u00e1nskou leteckou z\u00e1kladnu\u00a0<\/span>Muwaffaq al-Salti<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Co se stane d\u00e1l?<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud je minulost n\u011b\u010d\u00edm nasv\u011bd\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed, Trump pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b v ned\u011bli nebo nejpozd\u011bji v pond\u011bl\u00ed brzy r\u00e1no vyd\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed, kter\u00e9 m\u00e1 uklidnit finan\u010dn\u00ed trhy a zpomalit r\u016fst ceny ropy.<\/span><\/p>\n

I kdy\u017e nemohu vylou\u010dit mo\u017enost, \u017ee se tato v\u00fdm\u011bna \u00fader\u016f d\u00e1le zintenzivn\u00ed a potrv\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bkolik dn\u00ed, p\u0159ipome\u0148me si, co\u00a0se stalo od\u00a0<\/span>7. dubna 2026 .<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

P\u0159i pohledu na ud\u00e1losti od tohoto data, den za dnem, se objevuje n\u00e1padn\u00fd vzorec:<\/span><\/p>\n

Americk\u00e9 \u00fatoky na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 c\u00edle v p\u00e1tek nebo sobotu \u2013 n\u00e1sledovan\u00e9 Trumpov\u00fdm prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm v ned\u011bli nebo pond\u011bl\u00ed, v n\u011bm\u017e hovo\u0159\u00ed o pokroku v jedn\u00e1n\u00edch.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Tento vzorec se z\u0159eteln\u011b vyskytl dvakr\u00e1t a s m\u00edrn\u00fdmi obm\u011bnami t\u0159ikr\u00e1t.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jin\u00fdmi slovy:<\/span><\/p>\n

Mohlo by se jednat o dal\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpad d\u00e9j\u00e0 vu<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 v\u00fdrazu, kter\u00fd se \u010dasto\u00a0p\u0159ipisuje b\u00fdval\u00e9mu baseballov\u00e9mu hr\u00e1\u010di\u00a0<\/span>Yogi Berrovi .<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

23.\u201324. kv\u011btna<\/span><\/h3>\n

V sobotu\u00a0<\/span>23. kv\u011btna<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0Trump prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee dohoda byla \u201ez velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti vyjedn\u00e1na\u201c.\u00a0<\/span>24. kv\u011btna<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0to v\u00fdslovn\u011b zopakoval\u00a0<\/span>\u201enavzdory prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edm americk\u00fdm vojensk\u00fdm \u00fader\u016fm v regionu<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u201c .<\/span><\/p>\n

30.\u201331. kv\u011btna \u2192 pond\u011bl\u00ed 1. \u010dervna<\/span><\/h3>\n

CENTCOM potvrdil \u00fatoky na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 radarov\u00e9 a bezpilotn\u00ed stanovi\u0161t\u011b pobl\u00ed\u017e\u00a0<\/span>Goruku<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0a na\u00a0<\/span>ostrov\u011b Qeshm<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0pot\u00e9, co byl nad mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmi vodami sest\u0159elen americk\u00fd bezpilotn\u00ed letoun MQ-1.<\/span><\/p>\n

1.\u00a0<\/span>\u010dervna<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0Trump prohl\u00e1sil \u2013 navzdory zpr\u00e1v\u00e1m \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch st\u00e1tn\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00ed o p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00ed rozhovor\u016f \u2013, \u017ee jedn\u00e1n\u00ed pokra\u010duj\u00ed \u201erychl\u00fdm tempem\u201c. Popsal to jako \u201evelmi produktivn\u00ed telefon\u00e1t\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

13.\u201314. \u010dervna<\/span><\/h3>\n

Memorandum o ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky bylo ozn\u00e1meno\u00a014.\u00a0<\/span>\u010dervna .<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

P\u0159edt\u00edm medi\u00e1to\u0159i hovo\u0159ili o\u00a0<\/span>\u201esituaci zub za zub\u201c<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0se vz\u00e1jemn\u00fdmi vlnami \u00fatok\u016f, p\u0159esto\u017ee Trump ji\u017e\u00a0<\/span>11. \u010dervna<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0ozn\u00e1mil , \u017ee pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 leteck\u00e9 \u00fadery zru\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

20.\u201322. \u010dervna<\/span><\/h3>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n 20.\u00a0<\/span>\u010dervna<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0op\u011bt prohl\u00e1sil Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv za uzav\u0159en\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump pot\u00e9 pohrozil, \u017ee \u00fa\u017einu \u201ep\u0159evezme\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rozhovory ve \u0160v\u00fdcarsku skon\u010dily v ned\u011bli ve\u010der \u201ekonstruktivn\u011b\u201c, uv\u00e1d\u00ed se v ofici\u00e1ln\u00edm prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed. V pond\u011bl\u00ed ob\u011b strany vydaly spole\u010dn\u00e9 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed, v n\u011bm\u017e ocenily \u201epozitivn\u00ed a konstruktivn\u00ed atmosf\u00e9ru\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

26.\u201328. \u010dervna \u2192 pond\u011bl\u00ed 29. \u010dervna<\/span><\/h3>\n

USA o v\u00edkendu za\u00fato\u010dily na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 c\u00edle v reakci na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky proti lodn\u00ed doprav\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

V ned\u011bli vysok\u00fd americk\u00fd p\u0159edstavitel prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee technick\u00e9 rozhovory prob\u00edhaj\u00ed \u201epodle pl\u00e1nu\u201c a \u017ee ob\u011b strany zachov\u00e1vaj\u00ed zdr\u017eenlivost.<\/span><\/p>\n

V pond\u011bl\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>29. \u010dervna<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0Trump napsal:<\/span><\/p>\n

„\u00cdr\u00e1n po\u017e\u00e1dal o sch\u016fzku. Bude se konat z\u00edtra v Dauh\u00e1!“<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 Marco Rubio a Steve Witkoff informovali Kongres o prvn\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohod\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je pozoruhodn\u00e9, \u017ee Trump v sobotu prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n\u00a0<\/span>\u201eji\u017e nebude existovat\u201c,<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0ne\u017e o dva dny pozd\u011bji ozn\u00e1mil zah\u00e1jen\u00ed rozhovor\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

K t\u011bmto rozhovor\u016fm v\u0161ak nikdy nedo\u0161lo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na v\u00fdchodn\u00edm pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed USA je brzy r\u00e1no a \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 odvetn\u00e9 opat\u0159en\u00ed proti americk\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm pokra\u010duj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u00ed\u010d je nyn\u00ed \u2013 op\u011bt \u2013 na stran\u011b Donalda Trumpa.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Pokud se rozhodne pro dal\u0161\u00ed vojenskou reakci, domn\u00edv\u00e1m se, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b rozs\u00e1hleji.<\/span><\/p>\n

Navzdory Trumpov\u011b bojovn\u00e9 r\u00e9torice si Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nemohou dovolit n\u00e1vrat k rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 v\u00e1lce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1soby d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch americk\u00fdch zbra\u0148ov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b\u00a0st\u0159el\u00a0<\/strong><\/span>Tomahawk<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0a JASSM\u00a0\u2013 doch\u00e1zej\u00ed a v kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9m horizontu je nelze nahradit kv\u016fli omezen\u00e9 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 kapacit\u011b USA a nedostatku dod\u00e1vek vz\u00e1cn\u00fdch zemin.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Byl to ru\u0161n\u00fd t\u00fdden, v n\u011bm\u017e USA zcela poru\u0161ily memorandum o porozum\u011bn\u00ed. D\u016fraz byl kladen…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":105714,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[9547,6382,38,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110615"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=110615"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110615\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/105714"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=110615"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=110615"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=110615"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}