{"id":110229,"date":"2026-07-07T00:26:46","date_gmt":"2026-07-06T22:26:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=110229"},"modified":"2026-07-06T15:40:11","modified_gmt":"2026-07-06T13:40:11","slug":"andrew-korybko-polsko-si-konecne-uvedomuje-geostrategickou-vyzvu-kterou-predstavuje-ukrajina","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/07\/07\/andrew-korybko-polsko-si-konecne-uvedomuje-geostrategickou-vyzvu-kterou-predstavuje-ukrajina\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Polsko si kone\u010dn\u011b uv\u011bdomuje geostrategickou v\u00fdzvu, kterou p\u0159edstavuje Ukrajina"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">O tom s opo\u017ed\u011bn\u00edm napsaly p\u0159edn\u00ed polsk\u00e9 konzervativn\u00ed noviny Rzeczpospolita.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Polsk\u00fd novin\u00e1\u0159 Marek Kutarba publikoval \u010dl\u00e1nek o tom, jak by \u201e\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/archive.is\/vESUY\"><span dir=\"auto\">Volydim\u00fdr Zelensk\u00fd r\u00e1d zaujal m\u00edsto Donalda Tuska v evropsk\u00fdch sal\u00f3nech<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c. Napsal, \u017ee \u201ez pohledu Kyjeva [\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/heres-why-im-a-proud-volhynia-genocide\"><span dir=\"auto\">polsko-ukrajinsk\u00fd spor<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0] nen\u00ed sporem o minulost. Je to za\u010d\u00e1tek rivality o budoucnost regionu: kdo bude hlavn\u00edm partnerem Z\u00e1padu v politice v\u016f\u010di Rusku, kdo bude definovat bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed agendu st\u0159edn\u00ed a v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evropy a kdo se stane politick\u00fdm t\u011b\u017ei\u0161t\u011bm v t\u00e9to \u010d\u00e1sti kontinentu.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Kutarba d\u00e1le uvedl, \u017ee \u201eprobl\u00e9m Var\u0161avy spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v tom, \u017ee [N\u011bmecko a Ukrajina] jsou z\u00e1rove\u0148 na\u0161imi kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdmi partnery i na\u0161imi nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi konkurenty. Li\u0161\u00ed se pouze rozsahem a povahou t\u00e9to sout\u011b\u017ee. V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b N\u011bmecka jde o struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed dominanci v EU a schopnost diktovat evropskou politiku. V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Ukrajiny jde o sout\u011b\u017een\u00ed o status \u201akl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu\u2018 pro Z\u00e1pad, v\u010detn\u011b Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, v kontextu omezov\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle Kutarby \u201eUkrajina u\u017e nen\u00ed jen p\u0159\u00edjemcem polsk\u00e9 podpory. St\u00e1v\u00e1 se t\u00edm, \u010d\u00edm se m\u011bla st\u00e1t \u2013 na\u0161\u00edm konkurentem. Konkurentem, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 nyn\u00ed d\u00edky v\u00e1lce ve vztaz\u00edch s Washingtonem, Berl\u00ednem a Bruselem siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed politick\u00fd argument ne\u017e Polsko, p\u0159esto\u017ee Polsko buduje jednu z nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch arm\u00e1d NATO. Ukrajina mezit\u00edm ji\u017e m\u00e1 druhou arm\u00e1du NATO, i kdy\u017e mimo jeho struktury.\u201c Zapomenuto je, \u017ee N\u011bmecko pl\u00e1nuje vybudovat nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed arm\u00e1du EU.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Kdy\u017e se zamysl\u00edme nad t\u00edm, co napsal Kutarba, Polsko si kone\u010dn\u011b uv\u011bdomuje geostrategickou v\u00fdzvu, kterou pro n\u011bj Ukrajina p\u0159edstavuje, a to jako rival\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/september-2025-was-the-most-eventful-month-for-poland-since-the-end-of-communism\"><span dir=\"auto\">o region\u00e1ln\u00ed veden\u00ed<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0, kter\u00fd koordinuje sv\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed s N\u011bmeckem o zadr\u017een\u00ed Polska. Zelensk\u00e9ho hlavn\u00ed poradce Michail Podoljak v l\u00e9t\u011b 2023\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/kievs-prediction-of-post-conflict\"><span dir=\"auto\">v\u00fdslovn\u011b prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee se jejich zem\u011b po skon\u010den\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/russia-faces-five-geostrategic-challenges-as-the-special-operation-enters-its-fifth-year\">ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu<\/a><\/span><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0stanou konkurenty\u00a0<\/span><span dir=\"auto\">a \u017ee \u201ejasn\u011b zaujmeme proukrajinsk\u00e9 postoje, budeme tyto z\u00e1jmy chr\u00e1nit a zu\u0159iv\u011b je h\u00e1jit\u201c, ale polsk\u00fd vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed duopol to ignoroval.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/przemysaw-piasta-has-a-point-post\"><span dir=\"auto\">Przemyslaw Piasta<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0ned\u00e1vno psal o hrozb\u011b, kterou bude pro Polsko p\u0159edstavovat postkonfliktn\u00ed Ukrajina, k \u010demu\u017e do\u0161lo jen n\u011bkolik dn\u00ed p\u0159edt\u00edm, ne\u017e \u201e\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/a-senior-ukrainian-sergeant-threatened\"><span dir=\"auto\">vysok\u00fd ukrajinsk\u00fd ser\u017eant vyhro\u017eoval Polsku \u00fatoky dron\u016f na jeho m\u011bsta<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c. I kdy\u017e je Kyjevem podporovan\u00e9 teroristicko-separatistick\u00e9 povst\u00e1n\u00ed na jihov\u00fdchodn\u00edch polsk\u00fdch \u00fazem\u00edch, kter\u00e1 si ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed nacionalist\u00e9 n\u00e1rokuj\u00ed za sv\u00e1, prozat\u00edm nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, nelze ho v budoucnu vylou\u010dit, stejn\u011b jako sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, \u017ee by N\u011bmecko toto povst\u00e1n\u00ed op\u011bt podpo\u0159ilo, jako tomu bylo v meziv\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9m obdob\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Polsko \u010dek\u00e1 na nal\u00e9hav\u00e9 \u00fakoly v oblasti n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti, kter\u00e9 jsou tedy troj\u00ed: 1) modernizovat sv\u016fj\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/polands-military-industrial-complex\"><span dir=\"auto\">trapn\u011b nedostate\u010dn\u011b rozvinut\u00fd vojensko-pr\u016fmyslov\u00fd komplex<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0se\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/polands-military-build-up-might-have\"><span dir=\"auto\">zam\u011b\u0159en\u00edm na nov\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 trendy,<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0jako je v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed s drony; 2) ud\u011blat v\u0161e, co je v jeho sil\u00e1ch, zejm\u00e9na trvale hostit americk\u00e9 s\u00edly a\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/its-in-polands-interests-to-host\"><span dir=\"auto\">ide\u00e1ln\u011b<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0i jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b, aby se stalo hlavn\u00edm evropsk\u00fdm spojencem USA; a 3) \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b se etablovat jako hlavn\u00ed st\u0159edoevropsk\u00fd st\u00e1t \u201e\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/whats-the-likelihood-of-a-nato-russian-1fc\"><span dir=\"auto\">sanit\u00e1rn\u00edho kordonu<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c, strategicky spojuj\u00edc\u00ed \u201e\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/norway-wants-to-lead-a-viking-bloc\"><span dir=\"auto\">Vikingsk\u00fd blok<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c\u00a0<\/span><span dir=\"auto\">a \u201e\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/the-russian-triad-is-now-on-the-same\"><span dir=\"auto\">Organizaci turkick\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Je ve spole\u010dn\u00e9m z\u00e1jmu N\u011bmecka a Ukrajiny, \u017ee Polsko selh\u00e1v\u00e1 se v\u0161emi t\u0159emi stranami a pod\u0159izuje se jejich vizi postkonfliktn\u00ed Evropy, v n\u00ed\u017e je Polsko spole\u010dn\u011b obsa\u017eeno. Necht\u011bj\u00ed siln\u00e9, prosperuj\u00edc\u00ed a suver\u00e9nn\u00ed Polsko, kter\u00e9 sebev\u011bdom\u011b h\u00e1j\u00ed sv\u00e9 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy. Ukrajina se\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/ukraine-is-expected-to-pivot-closer\"><span dir=\"auto\">ji\u017e p\u0159izp\u016fsobuje<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0sv\u00e9mu\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/germanys-military-patronage-of-ukraine\"><span dir=\"auto\">nov\u00e9mu n\u011bmeck\u00e9mu vojensk\u00e9mu patronovi<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0a vede proti Polsku intenzivn\u00ed informa\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lku. Proto je na \u010dase vyhnout se\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/nawrocki-strongly-alluded-to-the\"><span dir=\"auto\">temn\u00e9mu osudu<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0, kter\u00fd N\u011bmecko a Ukrajina Polsku pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/poland-finally-realizes-the-geostrategic\">Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-22017\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko-300x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"172\" height=\"172\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/andrew-korybko.jpg 400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 172px) 100vw, 172px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>O tom s opo\u017ed\u011bn\u00edm napsaly p\u0159edn\u00ed polsk\u00e9 konzervativn\u00ed noviny Rzeczpospolita. Polsk\u00fd novin\u00e1\u0159 Marek Kutarba publikoval&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":110230,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,944,31,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110229"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=110229"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110229\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/110230"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=110229"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=110229"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=110229"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}