{"id":110210,"date":"2026-07-07T00:21:19","date_gmt":"2026-07-06T22:21:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=110210"},"modified":"2026-07-06T10:36:43","modified_gmt":"2026-07-06T08:36:43","slug":"klimaticka-lez-o-explodujicich-skodach-zpusobenych-pocasim","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/07\/07\/klimaticka-lez-o-explodujicich-skodach-zpusobenych-pocasim\/","title":{"rendered":"Klimatick\u00e1 le\u017e o exploduj\u00edc\u00edch \u0161kod\u00e1ch zp\u016fsoben\u00fdch po\u010das\u00edm"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Politici a mainstreamov\u00e1 m\u00e9dia n\u00e1s neust\u00e1le bombarduj\u00ed zpr\u00e1vami, \u017ee \u00fadajn\u00e1 \u201ezm\u011bna klimatu zp\u016fsoben\u00e1 \u010dlov\u011bkem\u201c zp\u016fsobuje st\u00e1le ni\u010div\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a n\u00e1kladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00ed katastrofy. \u0160kody \u00fadajn\u011b exploduj\u00ed. Bli\u017e\u0161\u00ed pohled na \u010d\u00edsla a skute\u010dn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj v\u0161ak ukazuje: To je prost\u011b \u0161patn\u011b. Renomovan\u00fd v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. analyzoval ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed data Evropsk\u00e9 agentury pro \u017eivotn\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed (EEA) \u2013 s ni\u010div\u00fdm v\u00fdsledkem pro klimatickou lobby.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Ned\u00e1vno se evropsk\u00fd komisa\u0159 pro klima Wopke Hoekstra postavil a prohl\u00e1sil obvyklou mantru: \u201eRealita je takov\u00e1, \u017ee s postupuj\u00edc\u00ed zm\u011bnou klimatu se bude zvy\u0161ovat po\u010det vln veder, sucha, z\u00e1va\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00edch pov\u011btrnostn\u00edch jev\u016f a samoz\u0159ejm\u011b i z\u00e1plav\u2026 Uvid\u00edte v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u0161kody.\u201c To zn\u00ed hroziv\u011b \u2013 a p\u0159esn\u011b to je \u00fa\u010del takov\u00fdch prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed. Jejich c\u00edlem je vyvolat strach a prodat ob\u010dan\u016fm rozs\u00e1hl\u00e1 politick\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed a zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed dan\u00ed jako \u201ejedinou mo\u017enost\u201c. Bohu\u017eel Roger Pielke Jr., expert na hodnocen\u00ed dat o katastrof\u00e1ch, ud\u011blal p\u0159esn\u011b to, \u010demu se novin\u00e1\u0159i z mainstreamov\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed obvykle vyh\u00fdbaj\u00ed:\u00a0<\/span>Prozkoumal nezpracovan\u00e1 data, m\u00edsto aby recitoval p\u0159edem p\u0159ipraven\u00fd p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jeho anal\u00fdza nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edch podrobnost\u00ed o katastrof\u00e1ch z EEA bo\u0159\u00ed konstrukci l\u017e\u00ed: jakmile je do rovnice spr\u00e1vn\u011b zapo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1n p\u0159irozen\u00fd glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00fd r\u016fst, \u0161kody zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 katastrofami souvisej\u00edc\u00edmi s po\u010das\u00edm se v Evrop\u011b ve skute\u010dnosti od roku 1990 nezv\u00fd\u0161ily. Trend je zcela stagnuj\u00edc\u00ed. Jak tedy mohou politici mluvit o \u201erekordn\u00edch \u0161kod\u00e1ch\u201c? Jednodu\u0161e \u0159e\u010deno: pracuj\u00ed s neupraven\u00fdmi, absolutn\u00edmi \u010d\u00edsly. Ve skute\u010dnosti \u010dist\u00e9, inflac\u00ed upraven\u00e9 n\u00e1klady za posledn\u00ed t\u0159i desetilet\u00ed vzrostly. K\u0159ivka je vzestupn\u00e1 a pr\u00e1v\u011b tato k\u0159ivka je nemilosrdn\u011b prezentov\u00e1na ve\u0159ejnosti na panick\u00fdch summitech a diskusn\u00edch show. Toto srovn\u00e1n\u00ed je v\u0161ak metodologicky chybn\u00e9, ne-li p\u0159\u00edmo podvod.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dne\u0161n\u00ed Evropa nen\u00ed Evropou roku 1990. Za t\u011bch 35 let prob\u011bhla masivn\u00ed v\u00fdstavba. M\u011bsta se rozrostla, domy jsou mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed a l\u00e9pe vybaven\u00e9 a infrastruktura vl\u00e1d a firem se zn\u00e1sobila. Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno: kdy\u017e dnes ude\u0159\u00ed bou\u0159e nebo krupobit\u00ed, je v cest\u011b k po\u0161kozen\u00ed prost\u011b mnohem dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed materi\u00e1l (v\u010detn\u011b velk\u00fdch sol\u00e1rn\u00edch farem). I kdyby dnes Evropu zas\u00e1hla m\u00e9n\u011b siln\u00e1 bou\u0159e ne\u017e v roce 1990, finan\u010dn\u00ed \u0161kody by byly st\u00e1le mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed, jednodu\u0161e proto, \u017ee existuje mnohem cenn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed infrastruktura. Proto ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee po\u010das\u00ed se stalo nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm pouze proto, \u017ee rostou n\u00e1klady na opravy, klame lidi.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n

Trend byl napraven: Z klimatick\u00e9 paniky u\u017e nic nezbylo.<\/span><\/h3>\n

K identifikaci skute\u010dn\u00fdch trend\u016f pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed renomovan\u00ed v\u00fdzkumn\u00edci n\u00e1stroj \u201enormalizace\u201c. Ta zahrnuje vztah mezi n\u00e1klady na \u0161kody a p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00fdm hrub\u00fdm dom\u00e1c\u00edm produktem (HDP). Ot\u00e1zkou je: Kolik by st\u00e1la bou\u0159e z roku 1990, kdyby zas\u00e1hla dne\u0161n\u00ed infrastrukturu? Tato metoda nen\u00ed n\u011bjakou ezoterickou okrajovou v\u00edrou, ale uzn\u00e1van\u00fdm glob\u00e1ln\u00edm standardem, kter\u00fd pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 dokonce i OSN. Aplikace t\u00e9to standardn\u00ed metody na evropsk\u00e1 data z let 1990 a\u017e 2024 prask\u00e1 bublinu p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u00ed katastrofy. \u00dadajn\u00e1 eskalace miz\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pielke su\u0161e poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1: \u201eJakmile se vezme v \u00favahu hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd r\u016fst, normalizovan\u00e9 n\u00e1klady na extr\u00e9mn\u00ed pov\u011btrnostn\u00ed a klimatick\u00e9 jevy v Evrop\u011b se mezi lety 1990 a 2024 nezv\u00fd\u0161ily. Celkov\u00fd trend je stagnuj\u00edc\u00ed.\u201c Tato data ji\u017e zahrnuj\u00ed tragick\u00e9 z\u00e1plavy z roku 2021 (v\u010detn\u011b z\u00e1plav v \u00fadol\u00ed Ahr). I takov\u00e9 ud\u00e1losti, k nim\u017e doch\u00e1z\u00ed jednou za stolet\u00ed, jsou, metodologicky zdrav\u011b vn\u00edm\u00e1ny, bezprobl\u00e9mov\u011b za\u010dle\u0148ov\u00e1ny do celkov\u00e9ho obrazu, ani\u017e by zkreslovaly dlouhodob\u00fd vzestupn\u00fd trend. Pokud vezmeme v \u00favahu skute\u010dn\u00fd potenci\u00e1l \u0161kod, byly roky 1990, 1999 a 2002 stejn\u011b ni\u010div\u00e9, nebo dokonce hor\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 \u201eklimatick\u00e9 \u0161oky\u201c zorganizovan\u00e9 m\u00e9dii.<\/span><\/p>\n

IPCC to v\u00ed \u2013 ale pravdu zatajuje.<\/span><\/h3>\n

Z\u00e1ke\u0159n\u00e9 je, \u017ee tato skute\u010dnost je ve v\u011bdeck\u00fdch kruz\u00edch starou zpr\u00e1vou. Je ironi\u00ed, \u017ee i Mezivl\u00e1dn\u00ed panel pro zm\u011bnu klimatu (IPCC) ve sv\u00fdch dlouh\u00fdch hodnot\u00edc\u00edch zpr\u00e1v\u00e1ch ji\u017e d\u00e1vno p\u0159ipustil, \u017ee neexistuj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010div\u00e9 d\u016fkazy o tom, \u017ee by rekordn\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty samy o sob\u011b byly d\u016fkazem \u201ehor\u0161\u00edho po\u010das\u00ed\u201c. S\u00e1m IPCC uzn\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span>za dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed \u0161kody je prim\u00e1rn\u011b zodpov\u011bdn\u00e1 zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e1 prosperita<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Tento ne\u0161\u0165astn\u00fd detail (\u201ezv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty prim\u00e1rn\u011b v d\u016fsledku v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho bohatstv\u00ed\u201c) v\u0161ak jen z\u0159\u00eddka p\u0159e\u017eije cestu od n\u011bkolikatis\u00edcistr\u00e1nkov\u00e9 v\u011bdeck\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy k tiskov\u00e9 zpr\u00e1v\u011b pro novin\u00e1\u0159e.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 jen politicky motivovan\u00e9 r\u00e1mov\u00e1n\u00ed. Ka\u017ed\u00fd den \u010dteme o neust\u00e1le rostouc\u00edch \u201emiliardov\u00fdch \u0161kod\u00e1ch\u201c, kter\u00e9 slou\u017e\u00ed jako bi\u010d k prosazov\u00e1n\u00ed povinn\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed v oblasti CO2 a ni\u010den\u00ed prosperity. Srovn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed absolutn\u00edch \u010d\u00edsel \u0161kod bez ekonomick\u00e9 \u00fapravy je v\u0161ak stejn\u011b neup\u0159\u00edmn\u00e9 jako snaha srovn\u00e1vat n\u00e1klady na \u0161kody zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 nehodou automobilu z 50. let 20. stolet\u00ed s dne\u0161n\u00edmi high-tech modely bez zm\u00ednky o technologick\u00e9m pokroku. Evropsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti se mus\u00ed p\u0159izp\u016fsobit p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00edmu klimatu, jak to v\u017edy d\u011blaly. Ale narativ o bezprecedentn\u00ed spir\u00e1le katastrof vedouc\u00edch k na\u0161emu p\u00e1du nen\u00ed podlo\u017een ofici\u00e1ln\u00edmi \u00fadaji.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Politici a mainstreamov\u00e1 m\u00e9dia n\u00e1s neust\u00e1le bombarduj\u00ed zpr\u00e1vami, \u017ee \u00fadajn\u00e1 \u201ezm\u011bna klimatu zp\u016fsoben\u00e1 \u010dlov\u011bkem\u201c zp\u016fsobuje…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":110211,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[873,1503,1094,158],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110210"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=110210"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110210\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/110211"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=110210"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=110210"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=110210"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}