{"id":110118,"date":"2026-07-05T05:34:43","date_gmt":"2026-07-05T03:34:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=110118"},"modified":"2026-07-05T05:34:43","modified_gmt":"2026-07-05T03:34:43","slug":"ne-co%e2%82%82-nekolik-novych-studii-identifikuje-slunce-jako-hlavni-hnaci-silu-oteplovani","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/07\/05\/ne-co%e2%82%82-nekolik-novych-studii-identifikuje-slunce-jako-hlavni-hnaci-silu-oteplovani\/","title":{"rendered":"Ne CO\u2082: N\u011bkolik nov\u00fdch studi\u00ed identifikuje Slunce jako hlavn\u00ed hnac\u00ed s\u00edlu oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Mno\u017estv\u00ed slune\u010dn\u00edho svitu na Zemi se za posledn\u00edch 40 let v\u00fdrazn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161ilo. Nov\u00fd v\u00fdzkum ukazuje, \u017ee to souvis\u00ed se zm\u011bnami ve struktu\u0159e oblak\u016f. V\u00fdsledkem je oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed Zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 nesouvis\u00ed s CO\u2082.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vnit\u0159n\u00ed nebo p\u0159irozen\u00e9 zm\u011bny ve struktu\u0159e oblak\u016f vedly v posledn\u00edch desetilet\u00edch k tomu, \u017ee na zemsk\u00fd povrch dopadalo v\u00edce slune\u010dn\u00edho z\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed, o \u010dem\u017e sv\u011bd\u010d\u00ed rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 prodlou\u017een\u00ed doby slune\u010dn\u00edho svitu.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 id=\"h-studie-aus-polen\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Studie z Polska<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Studie Andrzeje A. Marsze, Doroty Matuszko a Anny Styszy\u0144sk\u00e9 to potvrzuje pro polsk\u00e9 m\u011bsto Krakov. V\u00fdzkum uv\u00e1d\u00ed n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eTyto v\u00fdsledky nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee hlavn\u00edm d\u016fvodem zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed teploty vzduchu v Krakov\u011b je sp\u00ed\u0161e zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed slune\u010dn\u00edho z\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed (SD) ne\u017e radia\u010dn\u00ed p\u016fsoben\u00ed CO\u2082 (\u2206F).\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">N\u00e1r\u016fst SD je hlavn\u00edm faktorem oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed od 80. let 20. stolet\u00ed a vysv\u011btluje jak teplotn\u00ed kol\u00eds\u00e1n\u00ed, tak teplotn\u00ed trend.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201e\u2026hlavn\u00edm faktorem n\u00e1r\u016fstu teploty po roce 1988 byl tak\u00e9 drastick\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst slune\u010dn\u00edho z\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed. Tyto v\u00fdsledky poukazuj\u00ed na kl\u00ed\u010dovou roli, kterou hraj\u00ed zm\u011bny ve struktu\u0159e oblak\u016f, a tedy i ve slune\u010dn\u00edm z\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed, v pozorovan\u00e9m n\u00e1r\u016fstu teploty vzduchu.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eRegresn\u00ed anal\u00fdza uk\u00e1zala, \u017ee variabilita t\u0159\u00ed uva\u017eovan\u00fdch faktor\u016f \u2013 standardn\u00ed odchylky, intenzity z\u00e1padn\u00ed cirkulace v zim\u011b (NAO) a radia\u010dn\u00edho p\u016fsoben\u00ed (\u2206F) \u2013 pln\u011b vysv\u011btlila pozorovan\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst ro\u010dn\u00ed teploty vzduchu v Krakov\u011b (v r\u00e1mci chyb odhadu).\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zm\u011bny v obla\u010dnosti maj\u00ed mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed dopad na klima ne\u017e n\u00e1r\u016fst koncentrace CO\u2082 v modern\u00ed dob\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201e\u2026i mal\u00e9 zm\u011bny v obla\u010dnosti mohou m\u00edt v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed dopad na radia\u010dn\u00ed bilanci Zem\u011b ne\u017e odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00ed zm\u011bny v koncentrac\u00edch sklen\u00edkov\u00fdch plyn\u016f.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201e\u2026van Wijngaarden a Happer (2025) odhadli, \u017ee role n\u00edzk\u00e9 obla\u010dnosti v \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed p\u0159enosu slune\u010dn\u00ed energie na zemsk\u00fd povrch je je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed a \u017ee sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed n\u00edzk\u00e9 obla\u010dnosti jen o n\u011bkolik procent m\u00e1 stejn\u00fd \u00fa\u010dinek jako zdvojn\u00e1soben\u00ed koncentrace CO\u2082\u00a0<\/span><\/em><em><span dir=\"auto\">.\u00a0<\/span><\/em><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ve skute\u010dnosti hnac\u00ed s\u00edly CO\u2082 odpov\u00eddaj\u00ed pouze za \u201emal\u00fd\u201c pod\u00edl (asi 6 %) trend\u016f oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed a pouze za 3,6 % variability.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eAnal\u00fdza ukazuje, \u017ee prudk\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst SD je zp\u016fsoben zm\u011bnami ve struktu\u0159e oblak\u016f od konce 80. let 20. stolet\u00ed. &#8230; Variabilita SD vysv\u011btluje 58 % rozptylu, variabilita indexu NAO p\u0159edstavuje 7,7 % a variabilita \u2206F p\u0159isp\u00edv\u00e1 3,6 %.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201e\u00daloha antropogenn\u00edho faktoru, konkr\u00e9tn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/em><em><span dir=\"auto\">koncentrace CO\u2082 v atmosf\u00e9\u0159e\u00a0<\/span><\/em><em><span dir=\"auto\">, popsan\u00e9ho radia\u010dn\u00edm p\u016fsoben\u00edm, p\u0159i zp\u016fsobov\u00e1n\u00ed n\u00e1r\u016fstu teploty vzduchu v Krakov\u011b je statisticky v\u00fdznamn\u00e1, ale m\u00e1 margin\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdznam. Nevede k meziro\u010dn\u00ed variabilit\u011b a pouze m\u00edrn\u011b posiluje trend n\u00e1r\u016fstu teploty. Obdobn\u011b byl mal\u00fd vliv radia\u010dn\u00edho p\u016fsoben\u00ed na n\u00e1r\u016fst teploty (~6 %) zji\u0161t\u011bn ve Vratislavi, kter\u00e1 je od Krakova vzd\u00e1lena asi 250 km (Marsz a kol. 2021).\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">(citov\u00e1no z p\u0159ekladu\u00a0<\/span><\/em><em><a href=\"https:\/\/eike-klima-energie.eu\/2026\/06\/29\/3-neue-studien-belegen-einen-anstieg-der-sonneneinstrahlung-seit-den-1980er-jahren-eine-einfache-erklaerung-fuer-die-erwaermung\/\"><span dir=\"auto\">https:\/\/eike-klima-energie.eu\/2026\/06\/29\/3-neue-studien-belegen-einen-anstieg-der-sonneneinstrahlung-seit-den-1980er-jahren-eine-einfache-erklaerung-fuer-die-erwaermung\/<\/span><\/a><\/em><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0)<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<h3 id=\"h-studien-aus-brasilien-und-nigeria\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Studie z Braz\u00edlie a Nig\u00e9rie<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dal\u0161\u00ed nov\u00e1\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.researchgate.net\/profile\/Livia-Gava-2\/publication\/401462592_Sunshine_Duration_in_Brazil_From_Meteosat_1983-2020_Climatology_Variability_and_Long-Term_Trends\/links\/69a98bee1a0d8b29ca70d42b\/Sunshine-Duration-in-Brazil-From-Meteosat-1983-2020-Climatology-Variability-and-Long-Term-Trends.pdf\"><span dir=\"auto\">studie<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u00a0od Livie Gavy,\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.researchgate.net\/scientific-contributions\/Simone-Marilene-Sievert-da-Costa-2341866182?_tp=eyJjb250ZXh0Ijp7ImZpcnN0UGFnZSI6InB1YmxpY2F0aW9uIiwicGFnZSI6InB1YmxpY2F0aW9uIn19\"><span dir=\"auto\">Simone Marilene Sievert da Costy<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.researchgate.net\/scientific-contributions\/Iris-Paraguay-Silva-2322398366?_tp=eyJjb250ZXh0Ijp7ImZpcnN0UGFnZSI6InB1YmxpY2F0aW9uIiwicGFnZSI6InB1YmxpY2F0aW9uIn19\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdrise Paraguaye Silvy<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0z Braz\u00edlie nazna\u010duje obecn\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst slune\u010dn\u00edho z\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed dopadaj\u00edc\u00edho na zemsk\u00fd povrch od roku 1983, co\u017e je v souladu s dal\u0161\u00edmi studiemi, kter\u00e9 zjistily \u201eobecn\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst kr\u00e1tkovlnn\u00e9ho z\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed sm\u011brem dol\u016f (DSWR) v\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Braz\u00edlii<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u00a0mezi lety 1980 a 2016\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eAnal\u00fdzy trend\u016f nazna\u010duj\u00ed obecn\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst d\u00e9lky slune\u010dn\u00edho svitu (SDU) v Braz\u00edlii od za\u010d\u00e1tku 80. let.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-174004 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/report24.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/grafik.png\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1127px) 100vw, 1127px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/report24.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/grafik.png 1127w, https:\/\/report24.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/grafik-768x555.png 768w, https:\/\/report24.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/grafik-600x433.png 600w\" alt=\"\" width=\"856\" height=\"619\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dal\u0161\u00ed nov\u00e1\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/ideas.repec.org\/a\/bdz\/inscte\/v5y2026i1p10-14.html\"><span dir=\"auto\">studie<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u00a0Alexandra Chinaga Budnukaeku z Nig\u00e9rie rovn\u011b\u017e doch\u00e1z\u00ed k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee d\u00e9lka slune\u010dn\u00edho svitu v\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Nig\u00e9rii<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u00a0se mezi lety 1970 a 2022 v\u00fdrazn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161ila, a to p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm v d\u016fsledku klesaj\u00edc\u00ed obla\u010dnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eTato studie zkoum\u00e1 \u010dasovou variabilitu d\u00e9lky slune\u010dn\u00edho svitu a obla\u010dnosti v Nig\u00e9rii od roku 1970 do roku 2022. Vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 satelitn\u00ed a pozemn\u00ed datov\u00e9 sady k objasn\u011bn\u00ed klimatick\u00fdch trend\u016f a jejich dopad\u016f na obnoviteln\u00e9 zdroje energie, zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed a strategie adaptace na zm\u011bnu klimatu. S vyu\u017eit\u00edm dat z klimatick\u00e9 sady SARAH-2 zalo\u017een\u00e9 na dru\u017eici Meteosat, reanal\u00fdzy ERA5 a pozemn\u00edch stanic Nigerijsk\u00e9 meteorologick\u00e9 agentury (NIMET) analyzujeme dlouhodob\u00e9 trendy, sez\u00f3nn\u00ed vzorce a prostorov\u00e9 variace v d\u00e9lce slune\u010dn\u00edho svitu a obla\u010dnosti. V\u00fdsledky nazna\u010duj\u00ed v\u00fdznamn\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst d\u00e9lky slune\u010dn\u00edho svitu v severn\u00ed Nig\u00e9rii, v pr\u016fm\u011bru o 0,5\u20130,7 hodiny za desetilet\u00ed, co\u017e je zp\u016fsobeno klesaj\u00edc\u00ed obla\u010dnost\u00ed, zejm\u00e9na b\u011bhem obdob\u00ed sucha (listopad\u2013b\u0159ezen).\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">Tyto t\u0159i studie shrnul Kenneth Richard pro \u201eNoTricksZone\u201c (\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/notrickszone.com\/2026\/06\/22\/3-new-studies-find-increasing-trends-in-solar-radiation-since-the-1980s-easily-explaining-warming\/\"><span dir=\"auto\">https:\/\/notrickszone.com\/2026\/06\/22\/3-new-studies-find-increasing-trends-in-solar-radiation-since-the-1980s-easily-explaining-warming\/<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0).<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<h3 id=\"h-astrophysiker-nir-shaviv\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Astrofyzik Nir \u0160aviv<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nov\u00e9 studie potvrzuj\u00ed to, co ji\u017e v roce 2023 \u0159ekl p\u0159edn\u00ed izraelsk\u00fd astrofyzik Nir \u0160aviv \u2013 toti\u017e \u017ee klima na Zemi neur\u010duje CO\u2082, ale Slunce.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nir \u0160aviv je vedouc\u00edm katedry fyziky na Hebrejsk\u00e9 univerzit\u011b v Jeruzal\u00e9m\u011b. Jeho prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed se poprv\u00e9 objevila na electroverse.info\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/electroverse.info\/europes-below-average-july-sun-drives-earths-climate-not-co2\/\"><span dir=\"auto\">v angli\u010dtin\u011b a byla\u00a0<\/span><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/eike-klima-energie.eu\/2023\/08\/12\/anerkannter-israelischer-astrophysiker-die-sonne-treibt-das-klima-der-erde-an-nicht-co%e2%82%82\/#comment-334617\"><span dir=\"auto\">p\u0159elo\u017eena<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0pro Evropsk\u00fd institut pro klima a energii (EIKE)\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nir \u0160aviv se ve 13 letech zapsal na izraelskou Technionskou univerzitu \u2013 obdobu MIT \u2013 a z\u00edskal magistersk\u00fd titul b\u011bhem slu\u017eby v proslul\u00e9 jednotce 8200 Izraelsk\u00fdch obrann\u00fdch sil. Vr\u00e1til se na Technion, kde z\u00edskal doktor\u00e1t, a n\u00e1sledn\u011b pracoval jako postdoktorandsk\u00fd v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk na Kalifornsk\u00e9m technologick\u00e9m institutu a v Kanadsk\u00e9m institutu pro teoretickou astrofyziku. Byl tak\u00e9 Einsteinov\u00fdm stipendistou na Institutu pro pokro\u010dil\u00e9 studium v \u200b\u200bPrincetonu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V rozhovoru Shaviv \u0159\u00edk\u00e1: \u201eKlimatick\u00e1 zm\u011bna existuje odjak\u017eiva a je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by zmizela. Emise CO\u2082 v\u0161ak nejsou hlavn\u00edm faktorem. Periodick\u00e1 slune\u010dn\u00ed aktivita ano.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Souhlas\u00ed ale 97 procent klimatolog\u016f s t\u00edm, \u017ee hlavn\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u010dinou klimatick\u00fdch zm\u011bn jsou lid\u00e9? Shaviv odpov\u00edd\u00e1: \u201ePouze lid\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed nerozum\u00ed v\u011bd\u011b, berou statistiku 97 % v\u00e1\u017en\u011b,\u201c odpov\u00edd\u00e1 Shaviv. \u201eV\u00fdsledky pr\u016fzkumu z\u00e1vis\u00ed na tom, koho se zept\u00e1te, kdo odpov\u00ed a jak jsou ot\u00e1zky formulov\u00e1ny. V\u011bda ka\u017edop\u00e1dn\u011b nen\u00ed demokracie. I kdy\u017e 100 % v\u011bdc\u016f n\u011b\u010demu v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u010dlov\u011bk s dobr\u00fdmi d\u016fkazy o opaku m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt st\u00e1le pravdu.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">K mainstreamov\u00e9 mant\u0159e o 97 % lze dodat, \u017ee tato statistika je hrub\u011b zmanipulovan\u00e1, jak\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.manova.news\/artikel\/die-97-prozent-luge\"><span dir=\"auto\">je zde uk\u00e1z\u00e1no<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 id=\"h-entscheidende-sonnenaktivitat\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 slune\u010dn\u00ed aktivita<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Shaviv vysv\u011btluje: \u201eSlune\u010dn\u00ed aktivita v \u010dase kol\u00eds\u00e1. Velk\u00e9 kol\u00eds\u00e1n\u00ed trv\u00e1 p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b jeden\u00e1ct let nebo d\u00e9le, co\u017e jasn\u011b ovliv\u0148uje klima. Tento princip je obecn\u011b zn\u00e1m\u00fd, ale v roce 2008 jsem ho dok\u00e1zal kvantifikovat pomoc\u00ed dat o hladin\u011b mo\u0159e. Kdy\u017e je slunce aktivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, hladina mo\u0159\u00ed na Zemi stoup\u00e1. Vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed teplota zp\u016fsobuje rozp\u00edn\u00e1n\u00ed vody. Kdy\u017e je slunce m\u00e9n\u011b aktivn\u00ed, teplota kles\u00e1 a hladina mo\u0159\u00ed kles\u00e1. Korelace je k\u0159i\u0161\u0165\u00e1lov\u011b jasn\u00e1. Na z\u00e1klad\u011b n\u00e1r\u016fstu slune\u010dn\u00ed aktivity b\u011bhem dvac\u00e1t\u00e9ho stolet\u00ed by m\u011bla b\u00fdt zodpov\u011bdn\u00e1 za polovinu a\u017e dv\u011b t\u0159etiny v\u0161ech klimatick\u00fdch zm\u011bn. To zase znamen\u00e1, \u017ee citlivost klimatu na CO\u2082 by m\u011bla b\u00fdt kolem 1,0 stupn\u011b Celsia na ka\u017ed\u00e9 zdvojn\u00e1soben\u00ed mno\u017estv\u00ed CO\u2082.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Souvislost mezi slune\u010dn\u00ed aktivitou a oteplov\u00e1n\u00edm nebo ochlazov\u00e1n\u00edm Zem\u011b je nep\u0159\u00edm\u00e1, pokra\u010doval v\u011bdec:\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Galaktick\u00e9<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0kosmick\u00e9 z\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed je sm\u011bs\u00ed vysokoenergetick\u00fdch foton\u016f a subatom\u00e1rn\u00edch \u010d\u00e1stic, kter\u00e9 jsou urychlov\u00e1ny sm\u011brem k Zemi explozemi supernov a dal\u0161\u00edmi prudk\u00fdmi ud\u00e1lostmi ve vesm\u00edru.\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Slune\u010dn\u00ed<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0kosmick\u00e9 z\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed je stejn\u00e9, a\u010dkoli jeho zdrojem je Slunce.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Galaktick\u00e9 i slune\u010dn\u00ed kosmick\u00e9 z\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed, kter\u00e9 dopad\u00e1 na zemskou atmosf\u00e9ru, produkuje aerosoly, kter\u00e9 n\u00e1sledn\u011b vedou ke vzniku oblak\u016f (\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41467-017-02082-2\"><span dir=\"auto\">Svensmark<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0a kol.) a maj\u00ed tak z\u00e1sadn\u00ed vliv na po\u010das\u00ed a klima Zem\u011b. B\u011bhem slune\u010dn\u00edho minima magnetick\u00e9 pole Slunce sl\u00e1bne a vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed tlak slune\u010dn\u00edho v\u011btru se sni\u017euje. To umo\u017e\u0148uje v\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu mno\u017estv\u00ed kosmick\u00e9ho z\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed z hlubok\u00e9ho vesm\u00edru proniknout do atmosf\u00e9ry na\u0161\u00ed planety a tvo\u0159it dal\u0161\u00ed oblaka. Tento jev je samoz\u0159ejm\u011b obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b v\u00fdrazn\u00fd b\u011bhem velk\u00e9ho slune\u010dn\u00edho minima \u2013 jako je to, do kter\u00e9ho pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b vstupujeme nyn\u00ed (nebo kter\u00e9 bezprost\u0159edn\u011b n\u00e1sleduje se za\u010d\u00e1tkem 26. slune\u010dn\u00edho cyklu).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eDnes m\u016f\u017eeme demonstrovat vliv Slunce na klima s vyu\u017eit\u00edm \u0161irok\u00e9 \u0161k\u00e1ly d\u016fkaz\u016f, od fosili\u00ed star\u00fdch stovky milion\u016f let a\u017e po m\u011b\u0159en\u00ed b\u00f3j\u00ed a data ze satelitn\u00ed altimetrie z posledn\u00edch desetilet\u00ed,\u201c pokra\u010doval Shaviv. \u201eM\u016f\u017eeme tak\u00e9 reprodukovat a replikovat atmosf\u00e9rick\u00e9 podm\u00ednky v laborato\u0159i, abychom d\u016fkazy potvrdili.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 id=\"h-physik-gegen-klima-ideologen\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Fyzika versus klimati\u010dt\u00ed ideologov\u00e9<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eV\u0161echno ukazuje tot\u00e9\u017e: V\u011bt\u0161ina klimatick\u00fdch zm\u011bn je zp\u016fsobena sluncem prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm jeho vlivu na atmosf\u00e9rick\u00fd n\u00e1boj, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee v\u011bt\u0161ina oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed poch\u00e1z\u00ed z p\u0159\u00edrody \u2013 to vid\u00ed i student fyziky prvn\u00edho ro\u010dn\u00edku.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Na\u0161e zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed jsou pro konven\u010dn\u00ed moudrost velmi nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e1. V\u00edme, \u017ee v minulosti doch\u00e1zelo k velmi velk\u00fdm klimatick\u00fdm v\u00fdkyv\u016fm, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed jen m\u00e1lo spole\u010dn\u00e9ho se spalov\u00e1n\u00edm fosiln\u00edch paliv. P\u0159ed tis\u00edci lety byla Zem\u011b p\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm stejn\u011b tepl\u00e1 jako dnes. B\u011bhem mal\u00e9 doby ledov\u00e9 p\u0159ed t\u0159emi sty lety Tem\u017ee \u010dast\u011bji zamrzala. Tyto ud\u00e1losti byly st\u00e1le zmi\u0148ov\u00e1ny v prvn\u00ed a druh\u00e9 zpr\u00e1v\u011b IPCC. V roce 2001 zmizely. Najednou u\u017e \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zm\u00ednky o p\u0159irozen\u00e9m oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 mal\u00e1 doba ledov\u00e1. Klima posledn\u00edho tis\u00edcilet\u00ed bylo prezentov\u00e1no jako v podstat\u011b nem\u011bnn\u00e9 a\u017e do dvac\u00e1t\u00e9ho stolet\u00ed. Jedn\u00e1 se o druh orwellovsk\u00e9ho vyb\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed si t\u0159e\u0161n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 odpov\u00edd\u00e1 p\u0159edem dan\u00e9mu narativu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Shaviv tak\u00e9 kritizuje nev\u011bdeckou politickou agendu t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se klimatick\u00fdch zm\u011bn: \u201eGlob\u00e1ln\u00ed oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed ji\u017e nen\u00ed \u010dist\u011b v\u011bdeckou ot\u00e1zkou. M\u00e1 dopad na spole\u010dnost. Nabylo tak\u00e9 mor\u00e1ln\u00ed, t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 kvality. Pokud v\u011b\u0159\u00edte tomu, \u010demu v\u011b\u0159\u00ed v\u0161ichni ostatn\u00ed, jste dobr\u00fd \u010dlov\u011bk. Pokud ne, jste \u0161patn\u00fd \u010dlov\u011bk. Kdo by cht\u011bl b\u00fdt h\u0159\u00ed\u0161n\u00edkem?\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle Shaviva m\u00e1 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed k\u0159\u00ed\u017eov\u00e1 v\u00fdprava za omezen\u00ed a nakonec z\u00e1kaz fosiln\u00edch paliv \u201eskute\u010dn\u00e9 soci\u00e1ln\u00ed a ekonomick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky\u201c. P\u0159echod na dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed zdroje energie vytla\u010d\u00ed pr\u016fmysl z industrializovan\u011bj\u0161\u00edch zem\u00ed do chud\u0161\u00edch zem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 si mohou m\u00e9n\u011b dovolit v\u011btrn\u00e9 turb\u00edny a sol\u00e1rn\u00ed panely.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eMohla by to b\u00fdt finan\u010dn\u00ed ob\u011b\u0165, kterou jsou bohat\u00ed ochotni podstoupit,\u201c uzav\u0159el Shaviv. \u201eI v industrializovan\u00fdch zem\u00edch tlak na odklon od fosiln\u00edch paliv vystavuje chud\u00e9 lidi riziku, \u017ee v zim\u011b umrznou, proto\u017ee nemaj\u00ed dostupn\u00e9 vyt\u00e1p\u011bn\u00ed. Hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd r\u016fst rozvojov\u00fdch zem\u00ed bude brzd\u011bn, pokud nebudou m\u00edt p\u0159\u00edstup k \u00fav\u011br\u016fm Sv\u011btov\u00e9 banky na v\u00fdvoj levn\u00fdch elektr\u00e1ren na b\u00e1zi fosiln\u00edch paliv. To jsou v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 lidsk\u00e9 probl\u00e9my tady a te\u010f, ne v n\u011bjak\u00e9 teoretick\u00e9 budoucnosti.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mno\u017estv\u00ed slune\u010dn\u00edho svitu na Zemi se za posledn\u00edch 40 let v\u00fdrazn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161ilo. Nov\u00fd v\u00fdzkum ukazuje,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":110119,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[2692,1100,3389,839],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110118"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=110118"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110118\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/110119"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=110118"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=110118"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=110118"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}