{"id":109793,"date":"2026-07-01T05:55:11","date_gmt":"2026-07-01T03:55:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=109793"},"modified":"2026-07-01T05:55:11","modified_gmt":"2026-07-01T03:55:11","slug":"data-o-pocasi-proti-straseni-zapomenute-vlny-veder-ve-vidni","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/07\/01\/data-o-pocasi-proti-straseni-zapomenute-vlny-veder-ve-vidni\/","title":{"rendered":"Data o po\u010das\u00ed proti stra\u0161en\u00ed: Zapomenut\u00e9 vlny veder ve V\u00eddni"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

\u201eOd za\u010d\u00e1tku z\u00e1znam\u016f\u201c, \u201ebezprecedentn\u00ed\u201c, \u201el\u00e9to stolet\u00ed\u201c \u2013 t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 denn\u011b n\u00e1s mainstreamov\u00e1 m\u00e9dia bombarduj\u00ed apokalyptick\u00fdmi klimatick\u00fdmi varov\u00e1n\u00edmi. Nestrann\u00fd pohled na skute\u010dn\u00e1, dlouhodob\u00e1 data v\u0161ak odhaluje n\u011bco ohromuj\u00edc\u00edho: Dne\u0161n\u00ed horko nen\u00ed v historick\u00e9m kontextu v \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b novinkou. Oliver Lerch na sv\u00e9m blogu zahlenfreak.at zkoumal ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed teplotn\u00ed z\u00e1znamy Geosphere Austria (d\u0159\u00edve ZAMG) pro V\u00edde\u0148 od roku 1775 \u2013 s katastrof\u00e1ln\u00edm zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00edm pro panuj\u00edc\u00ed klimatickou hysterii.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Je to r\u00e9torick\u00fd trik opakovan\u011b pou\u017e\u00edvan\u00fd v klimatick\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v\u00e1ch: odkazuje se na \u201ev\u00fdchoz\u00ed bod v m\u011b\u0159en\u00edch\u201c, kter\u00fd je \u010dasto jen n\u011bkolik desetilet\u00ed v minulosti, nebo se spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na kolektivn\u00ed pam\u011b\u0165 generac\u00ed \u017eij\u00edc\u00edch dnes. Jak Oliver Lerch zcela spr\u00e1vn\u011b zd\u016fraz\u0148uje ve sv\u00e9 fundovan\u00e9 anal\u00fdze na\u00a0<\/span>zahlenfreak.at<\/span><\/a> (kde najdete i p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00e9 tabulky), lid\u00e9 do zhruba 65 let maj\u00ed skute\u010dn\u011b pravdu, kdy\u017e c\u00edt\u00ed: \u201eKdy\u017e jsem byl mlad\u00fd, nikdy nebylo takov\u00e9 horko.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159i pohledu na izolovan\u00e1 meteorologick\u00e1 data pro V\u00edde\u0148 (Hohe Warte) mezi lety 1960 a dne\u0161kem je patrn\u00fd trend m\u00edrn\u00e9ho oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed. Takzvan\u00e1 \u201etropick\u00e1 r\u00e1na\u201c (dny, kdy je teplota ji\u017e v 7:00 r\u00e1no nad 20 stup\u0148\u016f Celsia) se v klimatick\u00e9m obdob\u00ed od roku 1961 do roku 1990 vyskytovala v pr\u016fm\u011bru 10 a\u017e 20kr\u00e1t ro\u010dn\u011b. Dnes ve V\u00eddni \u010dasto vid\u00edme 40 a\u017e 50 takov\u00fdch jev\u016f. To se m\u016f\u017ee b\u011b\u017en\u00e9mu pozorovateli zd\u00e1t dramatick\u00e9. Klimatick\u00e1 historie Rakouska v\u0161ak neza\u010dala po druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pohled na skute\u010dn\u00e1 dlouhodob\u00e1 data: od roku 1775 do sou\u010dasnosti<\/span><\/h3>\n

V\u00edde\u0148 (Hohe Warte) je jedin\u00e1 meteorologick\u00e1 stanice v Rakousku, jej\u00ed\u017e z\u00e1znamy skute\u010dn\u011b poch\u00e1zej\u00ed z roku 1775. Kdy\u017e se do hodnocen\u00ed zahrnou v\u0161echna dostupn\u00e1 data, narativ o \u201ebezprecedentn\u00edm glob\u00e1ln\u00edm oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c se hrout\u00ed jako dome\u010dek z karet. Kdy\u017e Lerch analyzoval data z doby p\u0159ed rokem 1850, narazil na hodnoty, kter\u00e9 by dnes v m\u00e9di\u00edch pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b vedly k vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed klimatick\u00e9 nouze.<\/span><\/p>\n

    \n
  • V letech 1783, 1797 a 1811 bylo v ka\u017ed\u00e9m roce p\u0159es 90 dn\u00ed, kdy teplota v 7 hodin r\u00e1no dosahovala alespo\u0148 20 \u00b0C. (Pro srovn\u00e1n\u00ed: v roce 2024 by ji\u017e 60 dn\u00ed bylo pova\u017eov\u00e1no za extr\u00e9m).<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Takzvan\u00e9 \u201evlny veder\u201c (teploty ji\u017e v 7 hodin r\u00e1no nad 25 \u00b0C) se v t\u011bchto letech vyskytly a\u017e 31kr\u00e1t. V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b m\u00e1me v pr\u016fm\u011bru za posledn\u00edch 20 let asi 5 takov\u00fdch r\u00e1n ro\u010dn\u011b; kolem roku 1800 byl pr\u016fm\u011br dvakr\u00e1t vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed!<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Nejdel\u0161\u00ed zaznamenan\u00e9 \u201etropick\u00e9 rann\u00ed obdob\u00ed\u201c v posledn\u00ed dob\u011b trvalo 23 dn\u00ed (2013). V l\u00e9t\u011b roku 1794 trvala takov\u00e1 vlna veder nep\u0159ekonateln\u00fdch 34 dn\u00ed; v roce 1782 trvala 30 dn\u00ed.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Pro\u010d ml\u010d\u00ed klimati\u010dt\u00ed spekulanti?<\/span><\/h3>\n

    Fakta vyvol\u00e1vaj\u00ed z\u00e1sadn\u00ed ot\u00e1zky. Data nepoch\u00e1zej\u00ed z pochybn\u00fdch zdroj\u016f, ale p\u0159\u00edmo od Geosphere Austria (ZAMG). Pro\u010d jsou tato tepl\u00e1 obdob\u00ed p\u0159ed rokem 1850 ignorov\u00e1na t\u011bmi, kte\u0159\u00ed n\u00e1s cht\u011bj\u00ed tla\u010dit k radik\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 a soci\u00e1ln\u00ed transformaci prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm zastra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed? Lerch to vyjad\u0159uje stru\u010dn\u011b: Bu\u010f jsou tato data z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b potla\u010dov\u00e1na, proto\u017ee panika je lep\u0161\u00edm n\u00e1strojem politick\u00e9 kontroly, nebo jsou ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed data nep\u0159esn\u00e1 \u2013 ale pak by se nem\u011bla objevovat ani v z\u00e1znamech Geosphere.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Kone\u010dn\u011b je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 zd\u016fraznit, \u017ee zkouman\u00e1 \u010dasov\u00e1 obdob\u00ed jsou pro v\u0161echny klimatick\u00e9 a meteorologick\u00e9 tabulky nesm\u00edrn\u011b kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1. Nav\u00edc se jako v\u00fdchoz\u00ed bod \u010dasto pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 konec posledn\u00ed \u201emal\u00e9 doby ledov\u00e9\u201c kolem roku 1850, p\u0159esto\u017ee logick\u00fdm d\u016fsledkem takov\u00e9ho p\u0159irozen\u00e9ho klimatick\u00e9ho posunu je pr\u00e1v\u011b to: rostouc\u00ed teploty. A nejen to: toto chladn\u00e9 obdob\u00ed, kter\u00e9 trvalo p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 550 let, opakovan\u011b zp\u016fsobovalo ne\u00farody, hladomory a rekordn\u00ed mrazy v Evrop\u011b. O to v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed d\u016fvod je tedy rostouc\u00ed teploty v\u00edtat.<\/span><\/p>\n

    \"\"<\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    \u201eOd za\u010d\u00e1tku z\u00e1znam\u016f\u201c, \u201ebezprecedentn\u00ed\u201c, \u201el\u00e9to stolet\u00ed\u201c \u2013 t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 denn\u011b n\u00e1s mainstreamov\u00e1 m\u00e9dia bombarduj\u00ed apokalyptick\u00fdmi klimatick\u00fdmi…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":109794,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1503,2700,354],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109793"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=109793"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109793\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/109794"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=109793"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=109793"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=109793"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}