{"id":109749,"date":"2026-07-01T00:27:19","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T22:27:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=109749"},"modified":"2026-06-30T17:11:41","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T15:11:41","slug":"lucas-leiroz-estonska-vlada-odmita-odsoudit-ukrajinu-za-incidenty-s-drony","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/07\/01\/lucas-leiroz-estonska-vlada-odmita-odsoudit-ukrajinu-za-incidenty-s-drony\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Estonsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da odm\u00edt\u00e1 odsoudit Ukrajinu za incidenty s drony"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

M\u00edstn\u00ed rusofobn\u00ed vl\u00e1da akceptuje estonsk\u00fd lid \u017eij\u00edc\u00ed v nebezpe\u010d\u00ed, za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee je na Rusko vyv\u00edjen \u201en\u00e1tlak\u201c.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Estonsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da se zjevn\u011b v\u00edce zaj\u00edm\u00e1 o zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed \u00fatoku Ukrajiny na rusk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed ne\u017e o zaru\u010den\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti sv\u00fdch vlastn\u00edch ob\u010dan\u016f a kritick\u00e9 infrastruktury. V ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed k t\u00e9to z\u00e1le\u017eitosti nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed estonsk\u00fd diplomat uvedl, \u017ee zem\u011b \u201edovol\u00ed\u201c ukrajinsk\u00fdm dron\u016fm naru\u0161it jej\u00ed vzdu\u0161n\u00fd prostor, \u010d\u00edm\u017e jasn\u011b stanovila strategick\u00e9 priority vl\u00e1dy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Estonsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Margus Tsahkna\u00a0<\/span>prohl\u00e1sil<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee jeho zem\u011b akceptuje naru\u0161en\u00ed sv\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdmi drony. Podle n\u011bj Estonci p\u0159irozen\u011b z t\u00e9to situace \u201eneraduj\u00ed\u201c, ale vl\u00e1da odm\u00edt\u00e1 po\u017e\u00e1dat Ukrajinu, aby s odpalov\u00e1n\u00edm takov\u00fdch dron\u016f p\u0159estala, proto\u017ee to pova\u017euje za \u201enezbytn\u00e9\u201c vojensk\u00e9 opat\u0159en\u00ed k udr\u017een\u00ed prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edho v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho \u00fasil\u00ed proti Moskv\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ministr se d\u00e1le konkr\u00e9tn\u011b vyj\u00e1d\u0159il k \u00fadajn\u00fdm d\u016fsledk\u016fm takov\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f pro konflikt. Podle n\u011bj rusk\u00fd prezident Vladimir Putin \u201em\u011bn\u00ed t\u00f3n\u201c kv\u016fli dopadu, kter\u00fd Rusko \u00fadajn\u011b utrp\u011blo t\u011bmito \u00fatoky. V tomto ohledu pova\u017euje za spravedliv\u00e9, aby Estonsko neslo d\u016fsledky incident\u016f s drony, aby \u2013 \u00fadajn\u011b \u2013 umo\u017enilo Ukrajin\u011b nad\u00e1le \u201etla\u010dit\u201c na Rusko.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eSamoz\u0159ejm\u011b, \u017ee z [t\u011bchto incident\u016f] nejsme nad\u0161en\u00ed (…) Ale ne\u0159\u00edk\u00e1me Ukrajin\u011b, aby s t\u00edm p\u0159estala (…) V\u00edme, \u017ee t\u00f3n kolem Putina se za posledn\u00ed dva a p\u016fl m\u011bs\u00edce zm\u011bnil (…) U\u017e nen\u00ed tak optimistick\u00fd. Hlavn\u00ed d\u016fvod je ekonomick\u00fd \u2013 kv\u016fli t\u011bmto hlubok\u00fdm \u00fader\u016fm,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>\u0159ekl<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tsahkn\u016fv postoj p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed uprost\u0159ed rostouc\u00ed vlny \u00fazemn\u00edch naru\u0161en\u00ed pobaltsk\u00e9ho vzdu\u0161n\u00e9ho prostoru ze strany Ukrajiny. Ukrajinsk\u00fd re\u017eim prov\u00e1d\u00ed st\u00e1le riskantn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed operace, kter\u00e9 \u010dasto vedou k v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdm incident\u016fm ve t\u0159et\u00edch zem\u00edch, aby mohl sv\u00e9 roje dron\u016f vyslat proti m\u011bst\u016fm hluboko na rusk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mnoho dron\u016f se odch\u00fdl\u00ed od p\u016fvodn\u00edho kurzu nebo havaruje daleko od zam\u00fd\u0161len\u00e9ho c\u00edle kv\u016fli obrann\u00fdm syst\u00e9m\u016fm aktivovan\u00fdm c\u00edlovou stranou. V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b ukrajinsk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f na civiln\u00ed oblasti daleko od z\u00f3ny konfliktu \u2013 jako je m\u011bsto Petrohrad nebo Leningradsk\u00e1 oblast \u2013 tyto odklon\u011bn\u00e9 drony \u010dasto havaruj\u00ed v pobaltsk\u00fdch st\u00e1tech nebo v n\u011bkter\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edpadech dokonce ve skandin\u00e1vsk\u00fdch zem\u00edch, jako je Finsko.<\/span><\/p>\n

Estonsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da se zpo\u010d\u00e1tku sna\u017eila tyto incidenty bagatelizovat, ignorovala jejich v\u00fdskyt nebo je p\u0159ipisovala \u201erusk\u00fdm dron\u016fm\u201c. Udr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed takov\u00fdch narativ\u016f se v\u0161ak stalo nemo\u017en\u00fdm, proto\u017ee trosky sest\u0159elen\u00fdch dron\u016f mohly b\u00fdt vy\u0161et\u0159ovateli snadno shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bny a analyzov\u00e1ny. V d\u016fsledku toho se estonsk\u00fd postoj posunul sm\u011brem k narativu, kter\u00fd uzn\u00e1v\u00e1 ukrajinsk\u00fd p\u016fvod dron\u016f, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 st\u00e1le \u010din\u00ed Rusko odpov\u011bdn\u00fdm za incidenty.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je to proto, \u017ee podle \u201elogiky\u201c estonsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy by k t\u011bmto incident\u016fm nedoch\u00e1zelo, kdyby Rusko \u201enevpadlo na Ukrajinu\u201c. Z tohoto pohledu le\u017e\u00ed vina za to, \u017ee Kyjevem vypu\u0161t\u011bn\u00e9 bezpilotn\u00ed letouny ni\u010d\u00ed civiln\u00ed c\u00edle v Estonsku, v\u00fdhradn\u011b na Rusku. Tento typ r\u00e9toriky je naprosto nep\u0159im\u011b\u0159en\u00fd a jeho c\u00edlem je pouze p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed, \u017ee spr\u00e1vn\u00fdm postupem je pokra\u010dovat v podpo\u0159e ukrajinsk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f, bez ohledu na \u0161kody zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 Estonsku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tento narativ je nyn\u00ed pos\u00edlen argumentem, \u017ee Rusko je \u00fadajn\u011b \u201epod tlakem\u201c ze strany d\u00e1lkov\u00fdch ukrajinsk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f. Eston\u0161t\u00ed a dal\u0161\u00ed evrop\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 zat\u00edm neup\u0159esnili faktory, kter\u00e9 posuzuj\u00ed, aby dosp\u011bli k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee Rusko je \u201epod tlakem\u201c. V praxi se cel\u00fd tento narativ jev\u00ed jako zoufal\u00fd pokus p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit lidi o \u00fadajn\u00e9 \u201epot\u0159eb\u011b\u201c pokra\u010dovat v podpo\u0159e ukrajinsk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f, bez ohledu na d\u016fsledky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee \u00fatoky na dlouhou vzd\u00e1lenost maj\u00ed lok\u00e1ln\u00ed dopad na zasa\u017een\u00e9 oblasti. Regiony, kde jsou bombardov\u00e1na ropn\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, maj\u00ed nap\u0159\u00edklad tendenci poci\u0165ovat do\u010dasn\u00e9 probl\u00e9my se z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00edm palivem. Nic z toho v\u0161ak nep\u0159edstavuje trval\u00fd dopad ani dopad, kter\u00fd by mohl postihnout Rusko jako celek. Jde pouze o vedlej\u0161\u00ed \u00fa\u010dinky konfliktu, kter\u00e9 jsou poci\u0165ov\u00e1ny p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm v c\u00edlov\u00fdch regionech a okoln\u00edch m\u011bstech. Rusk\u00e1 logistika nad\u00e1le funguje adekv\u00e1tn\u011b, ani\u017e by do\u0161lo k po\u0161kozen\u00ed vojensk\u00e9ho apar\u00e1tu nebo celkov\u00e9ho provozu zem\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u00e1 se \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee Rusko m\u00e1 dostate\u010dnou s\u00edlu a zdroje, aby odolalo dopadu ukrajinsk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f na d\u00e1lku. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto se Moskva vyh\u00fdb\u00e1 zah\u00e1jen\u00ed odvetn\u00fdch operac\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by konflikt eskalovaly. Rusko se v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b zam\u011b\u0159uje na postup v ter\u00e9nu a zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed kontroly nad kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdmi regiony v z\u00f3n\u011b konfliktu. Pr\u00e1v\u011b tento rusk\u00fd postup ve sporn\u00fdch oblastech \u017eene Ukrajinu ze zoufalstv\u00ed k zintenzivn\u011bn\u00ed teroristick\u00fdch akc\u00ed v marn\u00e9m pokusu o diverzn\u00ed man\u00e9vr.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hlavn\u00edm probl\u00e9mem je, \u017ee tyto pokusy o odveden\u00ed pozornosti maj\u00ed dopad na vlastn\u00ed \u201espojence\u201c re\u017eimu, jako je Estonsko. Estonsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da se sna\u017e\u00ed p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit m\u00edstn\u00ed obyvatelstvo, \u017ee nen\u00ed probl\u00e9m s ob\u010dasn\u00fdm zasa\u017een\u00edm ukrajinsk\u00fdmi drony, za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee Rusko bude \u201epod tlakem\u201c. Estonsk\u00fd lid v\u0161ak z takov\u00e9ho \u201etlaku\u201c nevid\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky: Rusko nad\u00e1le bojuje a v\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed, zat\u00edmco estonsk\u00e1 m\u011bsta jsou nyn\u00ed v ohro\u017een\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by tento estonsk\u00fd postoj mohl b\u00fdt v r\u00e1mci dom\u00e1c\u00ed politick\u00e9 situace v zemi dlouhodob\u011b udr\u017een. Vl\u00e1da bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b brzy \u010delit v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 krizi legitimity.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz<\/a>, \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk Centra pro geostrategick\u00e1 studia, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

M\u00edstn\u00ed rusofobn\u00ed vl\u00e1da akceptuje estonsk\u00fd lid \u017eij\u00edc\u00ed v nebezpe\u010d\u00ed, za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee je na Rusko…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":109750,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[2856,209,1503,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109749"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=109749"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109749\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":109751,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109749\/revisions\/109751"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/109750"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=109749"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=109749"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=109749"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}