{"id":109371,"date":"2026-06-26T00:18:53","date_gmt":"2026-06-25T22:18:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=109371"},"modified":"2026-06-25T13:18:40","modified_gmt":"2026-06-25T11:18:40","slug":"emmanuel-todd-evropa-si-zvolila-valku-francouzsky-historik-vidi-zapad-v-nebezpecne-sebezniceni","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/06\/26\/emmanuel-todd-evropa-si-zvolila-valku-francouzsky-historik-vidi-zapad-v-nebezpecne-sebezniceni\/","title":{"rendered":"Emmanuel Todd: \u201eEvropa si zvolila v\u00e1lku\u201c \u2013 Francouzsk\u00fd historik vid\u00ed Z\u00e1pad v nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 sebezni\u010den\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Emmanuel Todd je jedn\u00edm z nejzn\u00e1m\u011bj\u0161\u00edch francouzsk\u00fdch historik\u016f, demograf\u016f a antropolog\u016f na\u0161\u00ed doby. Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed uzn\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00edskal v 70. letech 20. stolet\u00ed svou p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u00ed rozpadu Sov\u011btsk\u00e9ho svazu. Jeho pr\u00e1ce o rodinn\u00fdch struktur\u00e1ch, demografii a soci\u00e1ln\u00edm v\u00fdvoji z n\u011bj ud\u011blala jednoho z nejvlivn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch francouzsk\u00fdch intelektu\u00e1l\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Svou nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed knihou\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">*Por\u00e1\u017eka Z\u00e1padu*<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0Todd op\u011bt vyvolal bou\u0159liv\u00e9 debaty. V n\u00ed nepopisuje jako skute\u010dn\u00e9 krize na\u0161\u00ed doby Rusko, \u010c\u00ednu ani \u00cdr\u00e1n, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e Z\u00e1pad, kter\u00fd se podle n\u011bj nach\u00e1z\u00ed ve stavu politick\u00e9ho, ekonomick\u00e9ho a kulturn\u00edho \u00fapadku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">V rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9m rozhovoru pro \u201eFr\u00e9quence Populaire\u201c Todd vykresluje extr\u00e9mn\u011b bez\u00fat\u011b\u0161n\u00fd obraz situace v Evrop\u011b, na Ukrajin\u011b a v mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm syst\u00e9mu.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Emmanuel Todd - Fronta sever, fronta jih: vrchol t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/lC5jJtw5Baw?start=1&amp;feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eEvropa si zvolila v\u00e1lku\u201c<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Pro Todda je situace v Evrop\u011b nyn\u00ed jasn\u00e1. \u201eEvropa si zvolila v\u00e1lku,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Toto je neobvykl\u00e1 v\u00e1lka. Evropsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty ji nevedou samy, ale prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm Ukrajiny. Evropsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti nejsou mobilizov\u00e1ny, obyvatelstvo nen\u00ed pos\u00edl\u00e1no na frontu, p\u0159esto z\u00e1rove\u0148 evropsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty dod\u00e1vaj\u00ed zbran\u011b, pen\u00edze a politickou podporu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Podle francouzsk\u00e9ho historika se Evropsk\u00e1 unie nyn\u00ed natolik zam\u011b\u0159uje na konfrontaci s Ruskem, \u017ee se v\u00e1lka sama o sob\u011b stala projektem formov\u00e1n\u00ed identity.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Todd je obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b kritick\u00fd k roli N\u011bmecka.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zat\u00edmco Francie a Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie podle jeho n\u00e1zoru disponuj\u00ed pouze omezen\u00fdmi vojensk\u00fdmi a pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdmi schopnostmi, N\u011bmecko si i nad\u00e1le udr\u017euje zna\u010dn\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 a pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 zdroje. Zm\u011bna n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho kurzu pod novou vl\u00e1dou proto zm\u011bnila strategickou situaci.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Ukrajina jako n\u00e1rod ve v\u00e1lce<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Todd tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee Ukrajina nyn\u00ed dos\u00e1hla bodu, kdy se samotn\u00e1 v\u00e1lka stala \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed jej\u00ed n\u00e1rodn\u00ed identity.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Miliony Ukrajinc\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed opustili zemi, byli p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm ti, kte\u0159\u00ed u\u017e nev\u011b\u0159ili ve v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed nebo necht\u011bli \u017e\u00edt norm\u00e1ln\u00ed \u017eivot. Z\u016fstala v\u0161ak z\u00e1kladn\u00ed skupina spole\u010dnosti, kter\u00e1 v\u00e1lku vn\u00edm\u00e1 jako ot\u00e1zku p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eUkrajina existuje v opozici v\u016f\u010di Rusku,\u201c vysv\u011btluje Todd. Dokud bude Z\u00e1pad dod\u00e1vat zbran\u011b, pen\u00edze a podporu, v\u00e1lka bude pokra\u010dovat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Vyjad\u0159uje to obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b drasticky:<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eZd\u00e1 se, \u017ee se Evropa a Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty rozhodly bojovat do posledn\u00edho Ukrajince.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Rusko mysl\u00ed v \u0159\u00e1du desetilet\u00ed<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Todd vid\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd rozd\u00edl v odli\u0161n\u00e9m ch\u00e1p\u00e1n\u00ed \u010dasu, kter\u00e9 zast\u00e1vaj\u00ed z\u00fa\u010dastn\u011bn\u00e9 strany konfliktu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zat\u00edmco z\u00e1padn\u00ed politici uva\u017euj\u00ed v r\u00e1mci volebn\u00edch cykl\u016f, ru\u0161t\u00ed tv\u016frci politik pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed v historick\u00fdch \u010dasov\u00fdch r\u00e1mc\u00edch. Rusko, \u010c\u00edna a \u00cdr\u00e1n jsou dlouhodob\u011b orientovan\u00e9 st\u00e1ty p\u0159ipraven\u00e9 sn\u00e1\u0161et roky konflikt\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Podle jeho n\u00e1zoru rusk\u00e9 veden\u00ed ne\u010dek\u00e1 na vojensk\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed na boji\u0161ti, ale na politick\u00e9 a ekonomick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky z\u00e1padn\u00ed politiky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eRusov\u00e9 nyn\u00ed \u010dekaj\u00ed na kone\u010dnou krizi Evropsk\u00e9 unie.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud by Evropa upadla do v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 nebo politick\u00e9 krize, Ukrajina by p\u0159i\u0161la o svou podporu a st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fd syst\u00e9m by se mohl zhroutit.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv a druh\u00e1 fronta<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Todd nepova\u017euje Ukrajinu a konflikt s \u00cdr\u00e1nem za odd\u011blen\u00e9 krize.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty se nyn\u00ed anga\u017euj\u00ed na dvou front\u00e1ch sou\u010dasn\u011b: na Ukrajin\u011b a na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. Podle jeho n\u00e1zoru by konflikt o Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv mohl m\u00edt zna\u010dn\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky. Rostouc\u00ed ceny energi\u00ed, vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1klady na suroviny a nedostatek z\u00e1kladn\u00edch produkt\u016f by prim\u00e1rn\u011b ovlivnily spojence Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Evropa<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Japonsko<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Ji\u017en\u00ed Korea<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">st\u00e1ty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Rusko a \u00cdr\u00e1n by mohly tento v\u00fdvoj strategicky vyu\u017e\u00edt, ani\u017e by samy usilovaly o p\u0159\u00edmou eskalaci.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1pad jako agresivn\u00ed akt\u00e9r<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Toddova prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed o roli Z\u00e1padu jsou obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b kontroverzn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee z\u00e1padn\u00ed spole\u010dnosti se nyn\u00ed chovaj\u00ed mnohem agresivn\u011bji ne\u017e Rusko nebo \u010c\u00edna.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159edhistorii v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b vid\u00ed v konfliktu na Donbasu a ve snaze Kyjeva vojensky dob\u00fdt zp\u011bt odtr\u017een\u00e9 regiony.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b ozna\u010duje Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty za agresora.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eRealita je takov\u00e1, \u017ee m\u00e1me nemocn\u00fd, extr\u00e9mn\u011b n\u00e1siln\u00fd Z\u00e1pad, kter\u00fd se velmi \u0161patn\u011b vyrovn\u00e1v\u00e1 se sv\u00fdm glob\u00e1ln\u00edm \u00fapadkem.\u201c T\u00edmto prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm Todd z\u00e1sadn\u011b zpochyb\u0148uje p\u0159evl\u00e1daj\u00edc\u00ed zobrazov\u00e1n\u00ed konfliktu v z\u00e1padn\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Nihilismus Evropy<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Todd naz\u00fdv\u00e1 \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed koncept sv\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy \u201enihilismem\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">To se t\u00fdk\u00e1 politick\u00e9ho a ekonomick\u00e9ho v\u00fdvoje, v n\u011bm\u017e st\u00e1ty \u010din\u00ed rozhodnut\u00ed, kter\u00e1 po\u0161kozuj\u00ed jejich vlastn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Odkazuje na:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">opu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed levn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 energie,<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">ekonomick\u00e1 z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e obyvatelstva,<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">rostouc\u00ed soci\u00e1ln\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed,<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">deindustrializace Evropy,<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">politick\u00e9 odcizen\u00ed elit od jejich spole\u010dnost\u00ed.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Todd se domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee evropsk\u00e9 elity ji\u017e nejednaj\u00ed v z\u00e1jmu vlastn\u00edho obyvatelstva.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eNikdy nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, zda na\u0161i v\u016fdci poslouchaj\u00ed Ameri\u010dany nebo N\u011bmce. Jedin\u00e9, co je jasn\u00e9, je, \u017ee neposlouchaj\u00ed Francouze.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Strach z eskalace<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Navzdory sv\u00e9 kritice z\u00e1padn\u00ed politiky Todd opakovan\u011b zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee neidealizuje Rusko, \u010c\u00ednu ani \u00cdr\u00e1n.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">S\u00e1m sebe popisuje jako liber\u00e1ln\u00edho a demokratick\u00e9ho myslitele.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Jeho nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed obavou je, \u017ee z\u00e1padn\u00ed st\u00e1ty by mohly vyvolat eskalaci, kterou samy ji\u017e nebudou moci kontrolovat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">&#8222;Ka\u017ed\u00fd den se modl\u00edm, aby Rusov\u00e9 neztratili odvahu.&#8220;<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Todd tak popisuje paradox sou\u010dasn\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 situace: Z\u00e1padn\u00ed intelektu\u00e1l douf\u00e1, \u017ee geopoliti\u010dt\u00ed protivn\u00edci Z\u00e1padu budou jednat proz\u00edrav\u011bji ne\u017e jeho vlastn\u00ed vl\u00e1dy.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Sv\u011bt v p\u0159echodu<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Todd vid\u00ed sv\u011bt na za\u010d\u00e1tku dlouh\u00e9ho obdob\u00ed transformace. Z\u00e1pad ztr\u00e1c\u00ed ekonomickou a demografickou s\u00edlu. Rusko, \u010c\u00edna a \u00cdr\u00e1n hraj\u00ed o \u010das. Evropsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti sou\u010dasn\u011b \u010del\u00ed energetick\u00fdm probl\u00e9m\u016fm, demografick\u00fdm zm\u011bn\u00e1m a politick\u00e9 polarizaci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zda se jeho p\u0159edpov\u011bdi napln\u00ed, se teprve uvid\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Je v\u0161ak jist\u00e9, \u017ee Emmanuel Todd formuloval jeden z nejradik\u00e1ln\u011bj\u0161\u00edch a z\u00e1rove\u0148 nejvlivn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch protiklad\u016f k dominantn\u00edmu z\u00e1padn\u00edmu pohledu na v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Jeho \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed poselstv\u00ed zn\u00ed:<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm protivn\u00edkem Z\u00e1padu nakonec nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt Rusko, \u010c\u00edna ani \u00cdr\u00e1n \u2013 ale jeho vlastn\u00ed politick\u00e1, ekonomick\u00e1 a soci\u00e1ln\u00ed krize.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Emmanuel Todd je jedn\u00edm z nejzn\u00e1m\u011bj\u0161\u00edch francouzsk\u00fdch historik\u016f, demograf\u016f a antropolog\u016f na\u0161\u00ed doby. Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed uzn\u00e1n\u00ed&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":109372,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[283,1503,40,889],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109371"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=109371"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109371\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/109372"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=109371"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=109371"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=109371"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}