{"id":109162,"date":"2026-06-23T00:26:52","date_gmt":"2026-06-22T22:26:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=109162"},"modified":"2026-06-22T19:45:28","modified_gmt":"2026-06-22T17:45:28","slug":"andrew-korybko-rusko-musi-porazit-ukrajinu-nez-se-skutecne-rozjede-vyhlazovaci-valka-trumpa-2-0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/06\/23\/andrew-korybko-rusko-musi-porazit-ukrajinu-nez-se-skutecne-rozjede-vyhlazovaci-valka-trumpa-2-0\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Rusko mus\u00ed porazit Ukrajinu, ne\u017e se skute\u010dn\u011b rozjede \u201evyhlazovac\u00ed v\u00e1lka\u201c Trumpa 2.0"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Jedinou \u00falevou v tomto temn\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i, krom\u011b zni\u010den\u00ed Ukrajiny a neutralizace hrozeb NATO, kter\u00e9 odtud vych\u00e1zej\u00ed, jednou prov\u017edy, jak je c\u00edlem speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operace, by bylo, kdyby Rusko prodalo USA pod\u00edly v odv\u011btv\u00ed p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00edch zdroj\u016f a dal\u0161\u00edch kritick\u00fdch pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch odv\u011btv\u00edch jako \u201ebezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruku\u201c.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Loni na podzim se objevilo varov\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017ee \u201e\u00a0<\/span>USA pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed v\u00e9st intenzivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1stupnou v\u00e1lku vy\u010derp\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed proti Rusku<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c, a nyn\u00ed, kdy\u017e Trump pr\u00e1v\u011b nazna\u010dil, \u017ee pl\u00e1nuje \u201e\u00a0<\/span>eskalovat s c\u00edlem deeskalat<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c vztahy s Ruskem v souladu s podm\u00ednkami spole\u010dn\u00e9ho prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed G7, kter\u00e9 podepsal, t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00edmi se zbran\u00ed a sankc\u00ed, by se to mohlo za\u010d\u00edt d\u00edt. Pro p\u0159ipomenut\u00ed, Wall Street Journal uvedl, \u017ee tato t\u0159\u00edf\u00e1zov\u00e1 strategie zahrnuje pomoc Ukrajin\u011b p\u0159ekonat rusk\u00e9 schopnosti v oblasti dron\u016f,\u00a0<\/span>dal\u0161\u00ed sekund\u00e1rn\u00ed sankce<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed nepokoj\u016f uvnit\u0159 Ruska.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky dron\u016f s dlouh\u00fdm doletem se zam\u011b\u0159ily na energetickou infrastrukturu v\u00a0<\/span>Petrohradu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0,\u00a0<\/span>Moskv\u011b<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a dokonce i\u00a0<\/span>v Tjumeni<\/span><\/a>\u00a0(druhou jmenovanou oblast pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b napadly drony vypu\u0161t\u011bn\u00e9 z\u00a0<\/span>Kazachst\u00e1nu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0bez v\u011bdom\u00ed Astany). Ukrajina pot\u00e9 v pond\u011bl\u00ed zas\u00e1hla\u00a0<\/span>tov\u00e1rnu na elektroniku<\/span><\/a>\u00a0ve Voron\u011b\u017ei a\u00a0<\/span>centrum satelitn\u00ed komunikace<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v Moskevsk\u00e9 oblasti. Dva dny p\u0159edt\u00edm, v sobotu, hlava Krymu\u00a0<\/span>pozastavila<\/span><\/a>\u00a0prodej pohonn\u00fdch hmot v\u0161em krom\u011b vl\u00e1dy, co\u017e zd\u016fraznilo d\u016fsledky\u00a0<\/span>ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u201eblok\u00e1dy Krymu dron\u016f\u201c<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201e\u00a0<\/span>V\u00e1lka na vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c, kterou Ukrajina nyn\u00ed vede proti Rusku prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm strategick\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f na energetickou a dal\u0161\u00ed infrastrukturu, je na\u010dasov\u00e1na na p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed volby do Dumy v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed. Jednotn\u00e9 Rusko si nemus\u00ed udr\u017eet 49,82 % lidov\u00e9ho hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00a0<\/span>posledn\u00edch voleb v roce 2021<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, co\u017e by je mohlo donutit ke koalici s komunistickou nebo nacionalistickou opozic\u00ed v z\u00e1vislosti na tom, jak vysok\u00fd bude protestn\u00ed hlas. Putinovi zahrani\u010dn\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9 se domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee by to Rusko oslabilo,\u00a0<\/span>m\u00edsto aby ho omladilo<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, a cht\u011bj\u00ed k tomu napomoci.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00e9 \u00fadery jsou tak sp\u00e1rov\u00e1ny se Zelensk\u00e9ho ultim\u00e1tem Luka\u0161enkovi, aby st\u00e1hl protivzdu\u0161nou obranu a stanice pro p\u0159enos dron\u016f z hranic, jinak to za n\u011bj ud\u011bl\u00e1 Ukrajina.\u00a0<\/span>Zde<\/span><\/a>\u00a0bylo zhodnoceno , \u017ee Putin m\u00e1 nyn\u00ed \u0161anci obnovit odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed efekt, pokud Zelenskyj povol\u00ed \u00fatoky na\u00a0<\/span>500 c\u00edl\u016f<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, o kter\u00fdch jeden z jeho nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edch velitel\u016f dron\u016f d\u0159\u00edve tvrdil, \u017ee byly identifikov\u00e1ny v B\u011blorusku. Pokud se odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed efekt obnov\u00ed, Rusko by mohlo udr\u017eet tempo k por\u00e1\u017ece Ukrajiny, a t\u00edm rychle ukon\u010dit konflikt.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud se v\u0161echno vyvine jinak, nap\u0159\u00edklad pokud Rusko po rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9m ukrajinsk\u00e9m \u00fatoku na B\u011blorusko neobnov\u00ed odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed mechanismy, nebo k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9mu takov\u00e9mu \u00fatoku nedojde a konflikt se bude t\u00e1hnout, pak by se Trumpova \u201evy\u010derp\u00e1vac\u00ed v\u00e1lka\u201c mohla skute\u010dn\u011b rozb\u011bhnout a za\u010d\u00edt systematicky ni\u010dit v\u0161echny rusk\u00e9 c\u00edle jeden po druh\u00e9m. B\u00fdval\u00fd \u0161pi\u010dkov\u00fd rusk\u00fd \u0161pion Andrej Bezrukov\u00a0<\/span>ned\u00e1vno p\u0159iznal<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee \u201enebyli jsme p\u0159ipraveni\u201c na to, \u017ee Starlink pom\u016f\u017ee s \u00fadery proti kritick\u00e9 infrastruktu\u0159e, a doporu\u010dil maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed ochranu v\u0161ech c\u00edl\u016f bez prodlen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

To je v tak velk\u00e9 zemi, jako je Rusko, obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9. Pokud tedy Trump \u201eeskaluje, aby deeskalaci zm\u00edrnil\u201c tak, \u017ee radik\u00e1ln\u011b zv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed strategick\u00e9 \u00fatoky dron\u016f ze strany Ukrajiny, Rusko by se mohlo ocitnout v nev\u00fdhod\u011b, proto\u017ee \u010das by ji\u017e nebyl na jeho stran\u011b, jak se d\u0159\u00edve v Moskv\u011b mnoz\u00ed domn\u00edvali. Ukrajinsk\u00e1 logistika je dnes pod jadern\u00fdm de\u0161tn\u00edkem NATO, tak\u017ee\u00a0<\/span>pokud Rusko neriskuje t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btovou v\u00e1lku<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00faderem a nes\u00e1z\u00ed na to, \u017ee nikdo (nato\u017e USA) se neodvet\u00ed, mohlo by \u010delit \u201esmrti tis\u00edci ranami\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jedinou \u00falevou, krom\u011b zni\u010den\u00ed Ukrajiny a neutralizace hrozeb NATO, kter\u00e9 odtud vych\u00e1zej\u00ed, jak je c\u00edlem\u00a0<\/span>speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operace<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, by bylo, kdyby Rusko prodalo USA pod\u00edly ve sv\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00edch zdroj\u00edch a dal\u0161\u00edch kritick\u00fdch pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch odv\u011btv\u00edch jako \u201ebezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruku\u201c. Vzhledem k Trumpovi by pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b po\u017eadoval, aby byly prod\u00e1ny za hal\u00e9\u0159e za dolar, a\u00a0<\/span>p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b by zahrnovaly i kontroln\u00ed akcie<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, co\u017e by v podstat\u011b vzdalo rusk\u00e9 suverenity. Proto mus\u00ed Rusko porazit Ukrajinu, ne\u017e se jeho \u201evyhlazovac\u00ed v\u00e1lka\u201c skute\u010dn\u011b rozb\u011bhne.<\/span><\/p>\n

Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jedinou \u00falevou v tomto temn\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i, krom\u011b zni\u010den\u00ed Ukrajiny a neutralizace hrozeb NATO, kter\u00e9 odtud…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":109163,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,39,22,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109162"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=109162"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109162\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/109163"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=109162"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=109162"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=109162"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}