{"id":109118,"date":"2026-06-22T05:51:14","date_gmt":"2026-06-22T03:51:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=109118"},"modified":"2026-06-22T05:51:14","modified_gmt":"2026-06-22T03:51:14","slug":"michael-svatos-ukrajina-valku-s-ruskem-s-jistotou-totalne-prohraje-nejspis-v-lete-pristiho-roku-naznaky-se-mnozi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/06\/22\/michael-svatos-ukrajina-valku-s-ruskem-s-jistotou-totalne-prohraje-nejspis-v-lete-pristiho-roku-naznaky-se-mnozi\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Ukrajina v\u00e1lku s Ruskem s jistotou tot\u00e1ln\u011b prohraje, nejsp\u00ed\u0161 v l\u00e9t\u011b p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho roku, n\u00e1znaky se mno\u017e\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Ukrajina v\u00e1lku s Ruskem s jistotou tot\u00e1ln\u011b prohraje, nejsp\u00ed\u0161 v l\u00e9t\u011b p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho roku.<\/p>\n

B\u00fdval\u00fd nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed velitel arm\u00e1dy USA v Evrop\u011b\u00a0gener\u00e1l Ben Hodges<\/a>\u00a0sice v\u010dera po sv\u00e9m letit\u00e9m zvyku\u00a0op\u011bt po kyjevsk\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00edch \u0161\u00ed\u0159il naivn\u00ed f\u00e1my<\/a>, \u017ee Ukrajina letos v l\u00e9t\u011b u\u017e definitivn\u011b p\u0159evzala v\u00e1le\u010dnou inciativu, a \u017ee d\u00edky nyn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm hloubkov\u00fdm \u00fader\u016fm proti poloostrovu Krym, a proti hlubin\u011b rusk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed, dojde k rychl\u00e9mu vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska, a t\u00edm ke kone\u010dn\u00e9mu velk\u00e9mu ukrajinsk\u00e9mu v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed ve v\u00e1lce. Av\u0161ak tohoto gener\u00e1la net\u0159eba br\u00e1t p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 v\u00e1\u017en\u011b.<\/p>\n

Ben Hodges byl velitelem US arm\u00e1dy v Evrop\u011b v letech 2014 a\u017e 2018, tedy skoro navlas stejn\u011b, jako se gener\u00e1l Petr Pavel v letech 2015 a\u017e 2018 usilovn\u011b \u010dinil ve funkci p\u0159edsedy Vojensk\u00e9ho v\u00fdboru NATO. A lze si tak s jistou m\u00edrou nads\u00e1zky p\u0159edstavit, \u017ee gener\u00e1l Valerij Gerasimov tou dobou za\u010d\u00ednal ka\u017ed\u00fd sv\u016fj pracovn\u00ed den ve funkci n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edka Gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu Rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy tichou modlitbou, aby tahle poveden\u00e1 dvojka pomaten\u00fdch z\u00e1padn\u00edch strat\u00e9g\u016f slou\u017eila ve sv\u00fdch funkc\u00edch je\u0161t\u011b p\u00e1r dal\u0161\u00edch let k v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed budouc\u00ed sl\u00e1v\u011b velk\u00e9ho Ruska.<\/p>\n

Gener\u00e1l Hodges je toti\u017e poloostrovem Krym doslova posedl\u00fd. U\u017e na ja\u0159e 2023\u00a0zasv\u011bcen\u011b tvrdil<\/a>, \u017ee vojska Kyjevsk\u00e9 brann\u00e9 moci\u00a0v l\u00e9t\u011b 2023 rychle p\u0159ev\u00e1lcuj\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0\u00faderem ze severu zdemoralizovanou ruskou arm\u00e1du zakopanou v z\u00e1poro\u017esk\u00fdch step\u00edch na linii gener\u00e1la Surovikina, a n\u00e1sledn\u00fdm mocn\u00fdm a rychl\u00fdm \u00faderem cel\u00fd krymsk\u00fd poloostrov osvobod\u00ed,\u00a0a Rusko kapituluje<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva \u0159\u00edzen\u00e1 z tajn\u00e9 centr\u00e1ly NATO ve Wiesbadenu tehdy skute\u010dn\u011b nastala, ov\u0161em je\u0161t\u011b rychleji skon\u010dila hordami tlej\u00edc\u00edch t\u011bl ukrajinsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f a stovkami sp\u00e1len\u00fdch n\u011bmeck\u00fdch, britsk\u00fdch a americk\u00fdch tank\u016f, a dal\u0161\u00edch obrn\u011bn\u00fdch vozidel, na z\u00e1poro\u017esk\u00fdch pol\u00edch p\u0159ed Surovikinovou lini\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Gener\u00e1l Hodges v\u011b\u0161t\u00ed okam\u017eit\u00e9 por\u00e1\u017eky Ruska naprosto pravideln\u011b.\u00a0T\u0159eba u\u017e 13. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2022 analyzoval<\/a>, \u017ee Rusko se u\u017e pod \u00fadery ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy hrout\u00ed, a brzy se u\u017e rozpadne, a Z\u00e1pad by se u\u017e m\u011bl p\u0159ipravit na z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00e9 d\u011blen\u00ed Ruska.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Mapa z anal\u00fdzy\u00a0MAP 125<\/a>\u00a0ukazuje situaci na front\u011b 10. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2022, kter\u00e1 vedla 13. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2022 vlivn\u00e9ho US gener\u00e1la Bena Hodgese, aby vydal v\u00fdzvu, aby se Z\u00e1pad p\u0159ipravil na rychl\u00e9 d\u011blen\u00ed Ruska, proto\u017ee Rusko se u\u017e hrout\u00ed. Tato anal\u00fdza a ukrajinsk\u00fd \u00fatok do pust\u00fdch step\u00ed severn\u011b od m\u011bsta Kupjansk, vyvolaly okam\u017eitou \u0161\u00edlenou paniku mezi rusk\u00fdmi nacionalistick\u00fdmi blogery a politiky, a ti za\u010dali v\u0159\u00edskat jako vztekl\u00ed pavi\u00e1ni, aby Putin okam\u017eit\u011b vyh\u00e1zel zr\u00e1dce Gerasimova a \u0160ojgu, a vyhl\u00e1sil mobilizaci. A vskutku, Putin 22. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2022 na\u0159\u00eddil \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dnou mobilizaci. V\u011b\u010dn\u00e1 sl\u00e1va gener\u00e1lovi Ben Hodges, b\u00fdval\u00e9mu veliteli US Arm\u00e1dy v Evrop\u011b za \u010das\u016f, kdy Petr Pavel slou\u017eil jako p\u0159edseda Vojensk\u00e9ho v\u00fdboru NATO, bude tak st\u00e1t v tajn\u00fdch budouc\u00edch skriptech pro v\u00fduku rusk\u00fdch arm\u00e1dn\u00edch strat\u00e9g\u016f, proto\u017ee vyhl\u00e1sit mobilizaci a v\u00e1lku pot\u0159ebuje z\u00e1minku, a pokud ji poskytne nep\u0159\u00edtel dobrovoln\u011b a s\u00e1m, je to na\u0161t\u011bst\u00ed ukrutn\u00fd blbec.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Pokud se pod\u00edv\u00e1me do historie, co tak d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9ho se stalo t\u011bsn\u011b p\u0159ed 13. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2022, kdy gener\u00e1l Hodges vydal toto sv\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzn\u00e9 proroctv\u00ed, zjist\u00edme, \u017ee ten den ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da osvobodila 1000km2 pust\u00fdch step\u00ed severn\u011b od m\u011bsta Kupjask, a kolem Charkova, a rozt\u00e1hla tak frontu o tis\u00edc kilometr\u016f, a roz\u0159edila sv\u00e9 s\u00edly na obranu ze strategick\u00e9ho hlediska naprosto bezv\u00fdznamn\u00fdch kon\u010din. Ale vyvolala mezi rusk\u00fdmi v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdmi blogery takovou paniku, (srovnej dnes), \u017ee Putin za 8 dn\u00ed od Hodgesova proroctv\u00ed vyhl\u00e1sil \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dnou mobilizaci, a aby tak u\u010dinil, pot\u0159eboval p\u0159esn\u011b tento ukrajinsk\u00fd \u00fasp\u011bch, paniku rusk\u00fdch nacionalist\u016f, a proroctv\u00ed b\u00fdval\u00e9ho velitele US Arm\u00e1dy v Evrop\u011b, \u017ee se Z\u00e1pad chyst\u00e1 d\u011blit Rusko!<\/p>\n

Ve sv\u00e9 nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed p\u0159edpov\u011bdi z 21. \u010dervna 2026 gener\u00e1l Hodges zopakoval sv\u00e9 letit\u00e9 narativy, \u017ee od\u0159\u00edznut\u00ed poloostrova Krym drony rozhodne v\u00e1lku v ukrajinsk\u00fd prosp\u011bch \u2013 (Hodges nyn\u00ed n\u011bjakou n\u00e1hodou je \u201cNATO Senior Mentor for Logistics<\/a>\u201c, a jako strat\u00e9g z\u0159ejm\u011b dlouhodob\u011b mysl\u00ed pouze v mantinelech omezen\u00ed arm\u00e1dn\u00edho z\u00e1sobova\u010de, respektive je tzv. \u201cinflexible strategist\u201d)\u00a0 \u2013 a aby tato sv\u00e1 tvrzen\u00ed o ukrajinsk\u00e9m v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed vy\u0161perkoval n\u011bjakou novinkou,\u00a0vypustil dokonce narativ<\/a>, \u017ee N\u011bmecko, Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie a Francie mus\u00ed nyn\u00ed pomoci Ukrajin\u011b k osvobozen\u00ed Krymu dod\u00e1vkami dal\u0161\u00edch zbran\u00ed, proto\u017ee pouze de-okupace Krymu zabezpe\u010d\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Jen\u017ee, mohou Francie, N\u011bmecko, Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie a dal\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b EU zajistit pro Ukrajinu tolik zbran\u00ed a miliard EUR, aby dok\u00e1zala zvr\u00e1tit pr\u016fb\u011bh v\u00e1lky?<\/p>\n

Celkem 52 miliard USD cht\u011bla Ukrajina od sletu G-7 konan\u00e9ho minul\u00fd t\u00fdden, ale dostala jen 2.5 miliardy. Na n\u00e1sledn\u00e9m sletu hlav zem\u00ed EU se nedohodlo pro jistotu pro Ukrajinu rad\u011bji nic. Respektive It\u00e1lie torp\u00e9dovala program EU-PURL, jeho\u017e prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm maj\u00ed zem\u011b EU nakupovat za miliardy EUE ze sv\u00fdch st\u00e1tn\u00edch rozpo\u010dt\u016f americk\u00e9 zbran\u011b pro Ukrajinu. A\u00a0Meloniov\u00e1 dokonce na sletu tvrdila, \u017ee jej\u00ed vl\u00e1da mus\u00ed up\u0159ednostnit zm\u00edrn\u011bn\u00ed \u017eivotn\u00edch n\u00e1klad\u016f Ital\u016f, zejm\u00e9na zm\u00edrn\u011bn\u00ed cen energi\u00ed a paliv<\/a>, a dala tak jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee p\u0159ed nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edmi italsk\u00fdmi volbami konan\u00fdmi v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce nebudou vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 v\u00fddaje u voli\u010d\u016f nijak popul\u00e1rn\u00ed, a politici tou\u017e\u00edc\u00ed po znovuzvolen\u00ed se jim budou vyh\u00fdbat jako \u010derti k\u0159\u00ed\u017ei.<\/p>\n

\u010c\u00ed\u0148an\u00e9 se sletu EU takto vtipn\u011b vysm\u00e1li:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\u010c\u00ednsk\u00fd vtip k posledn\u00edmu summitu EU \u2013 uvozen titulkem \u201cConsistently divided\u201d.\u00a0Publikov\u00e1n m\u00e9diem \u00daV KS-\u010c\u00edny<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Ukrajina letos ani p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok nedostane pro v\u00e1lku s Ruskem dostatek miliard a zbran\u00ed, aby pr\u016fb\u011bh v\u00e1lky zvr\u00e1tila, zcela stejn\u011b, jako tyto miliardy a zbran\u011b nedostala v letech 2022 a 2023, kdy se chystala na svou slavnou ofenz\u00edvu, aby osvobodila Krym.<\/p>\n

Letos je nav\u00edc situace je\u0161t\u011b mnohem dramati\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.\u00a0Pokud bude nakonec Trump\u016fv m\u00edr s Ir\u00e1nem uzav\u0159en, v\u010dera to tak nevypadalo, bude tato m\u00edrov\u00e1 smlouva st\u00e1t podle analytick\u00fdch v\u00fdpo\u010dt\u016f ka\u017edou n\u011bmeckou dom\u00e1cnost dodate\u010dn\u00fdch 400 EUR ro\u010dn\u011b<\/a>, a to p\u0159edstavuje souhrnnou ztr\u00e1tu kupn\u00ed s\u00edly v N\u011bmecku 34 miliard EUR ro\u010dn\u011b, kter\u00e9 m\u00edsto za zbo\u017e\u00ed, slu\u017eby a potraviny, budou muset b\u00fdt utraceny za energie. Pro \u010cR to znamen\u00e1 ztr\u00e1tu 1\/8 kupn\u00ed s\u00edly, proto\u017ee obyvatel \u010cR je p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 8 kr\u00e1t m\u00e9n\u011b, ale jejich v\u00fddaje za energie jsou podobn\u00e9, a tedy Trump\u016fv m\u00edr, pokud bude uzav\u0159en, bude \u010cR st\u00e1t 106 miliard CZK ro\u010dn\u011b, respektive ka\u017ed\u00fd pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd \u010cech zaplat\u00ed o 9 600 CZK ro\u010dn\u011b nav\u00edc za nov\u00e9 Trumpovy m\u00edrov\u00e9 ceny energi\u00ed. Pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1lky p\u0159edstavuje je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, \u017ee. Budou se po pr\u00e1zdnin\u00e1ch opakovat demonstrace z l\u00e9ta 2022? Nedivil bych se.<\/p>\n

Podle p\u00e1r hodin star\u00e9ho pr\u016fzkumu voli\u010dsk\u00fdch preferenc\u00ed v N\u011bmecku,\u00a0(pozor pr\u016fzkum publikovala tamn\u00ed ve\u0159ejnopr\u00e1vn\u00ed televize ARD!<\/a>)\u00a0u\u017e dos\u00e1hly jak vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed CDU, tak opozi\u010dn\u00ed AfD nov\u00fdch absolutn\u00edch rekord\u016f = AfD vystoupala na 28%, a CDU se propadla na 24%. V Sasku-Anhaltsku, kde se 6. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed konaj\u00ed volby, to u\u017e vypad\u00e1 tak, \u017ee AfD sama dos\u00e1hne v zemsk\u00e9m parlamentu absolutn\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161inu! Kancl\u00e9\u0159 Merz je na politick\u00fd odst\u0159el, stejn\u011b jako se tento t\u00fdden o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 \u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 nahrazen\u00ed Keira Starmer nov\u00fdm Andym Burnham ve Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nii. Le\u010d, kdo je Andy Burnham?<\/p>\n

Andy Burnham bude pr\u00fd nov\u00fdm britsk\u00fdm premi\u00e9rem, Keir Starmer u\u017e pr\u00fd p\u00ed\u0161e rezigna\u010dn\u00ed dopis. Andy Burnham je\u00a0p\u0159edstavitel labouritsick\u00e9 levice<\/a>,\u00a0Starmer byl p\u0159edstavitelem labouristick\u00e9 pravice.\u00a0A Burnham hodl\u00e1 ve Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nii zn\u00e1rod\u0148ovat kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 vod\u00e1rensk\u00e9, dopravn\u00ed, a energetick\u00e9 firmy, a zav\u00e9st soci\u00e1ln\u011b hrazen\u00e9 ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 zdravotnictv\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0a st\u00e1tn\u00ed soci\u00e1ln\u00ed bydlen\u00ed. Aby tento program prosadil, co\u017e je jedin\u00e1 \u0161ance pro Labouristy, \u017ee zcela nepropadnou v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch volb\u00e1ch, v\u00ed, \u017ee nesm\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161it dan\u011b, s v\u00fdjimkou vy\u0161\u0161\u00edho zdan\u011bn\u00ed nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch boh\u00e1\u010d\u016f, a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch obchodn\u00edch a technologick\u00fdch megafirem.\u00a0A z\u00e1rove\u0148 v\u0161ichni v\u011bd\u00ed<\/a>,\u00a0\u017ee tento program zn\u00e1rod\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed bude st\u00e1t neskute\u010dn\u00e9 miliardy liber! A tedy budou miliardy liber pouze na nejnutn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed britsk\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 projekty, ale nebudou miliardy na zbran\u011b pro Ukrajinu. Je to bu\u010f, a nebo. A je britskou tradic\u00ed, h\u00e1zet spojence p\u0159es palubu, \u017ee?<\/p>\n

Andy Burnham sice v roce 2024 tvrdil Ukrajinc\u016fm<\/a>: \u201cBudeme s v\u00e1mi st\u00e1t tak dlouho, jak bude pot\u0159eba.\u201d.\u00a0 Le\u010d uvid\u00edme. Proto\u017ee s t\u00edm sam\u00fdm \u00fakolem poslali Britov\u00e9 v l\u00e9t\u011b 1939 sv\u00e9ho v\u011bhlasn\u00e9ho mar\u0161\u00e1la lorda Ironside do Polska, aby tamn\u00ed vl\u00e1du p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dil, \u017ee Pol\u00e1k\u016fm p\u0159ijdou s Francouzi na pomoc, ale Pol\u00e1ci se p\u0159edt\u00edm mus\u00ed ka\u017edop\u00e1dn\u011b Hitlerovi postavit na rozhodn\u00fd odpor, a neuzav\u00edrat s n\u00edm \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 dohody.\u00a0 Mar\u0161\u00e1l Ironside si po n\u00e1vratu z mise v Polsku do sv\u00e9ho den\u00edku tou dobou v Anglii poznamenal, \u017ee Pol\u00e1ci v\u00e1lku s Hitlerem rychle prohraj\u00ed, \u017ee proto varoval britskou vl\u00e1du, \u017ee pom\u00e1hat jim, nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd smysl, a \u017ee\u00a0Francouzi Pol\u00e1k\u016fm bezosty\u0161n\u011b lhali, \u017ee za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na N\u011bmce, a\u010dkoli se nic takov\u00e9ho\u00a0 nechystalo.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

Historie se tak bude opakovat, bych \u0159ekl.<\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ukrajina v\u00e1lku s Ruskem s jistotou tot\u00e1ln\u011b prohraje, nejsp\u00ed\u0161 v l\u00e9t\u011b p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho roku. B\u00fdval\u00fd nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":48371,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,22,26,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109118"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=109118"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109118\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/48371"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=109118"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=109118"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=109118"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}