{"id":109074,"date":"2026-06-22T00:12:41","date_gmt":"2026-06-21T22:12:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=109074"},"modified":"2026-06-21T12:15:26","modified_gmt":"2026-06-21T10:15:26","slug":"versailles-misto-zenevy-jak-udajny-plan-utoku-otrasl-jednanimi-s-iranem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/06\/22\/versailles-misto-zenevy-jak-udajny-plan-utoku-otrasl-jednanimi-s-iranem\/","title":{"rendered":"Versailles m\u00edsto \u017denevy: Jak \u00fadajn\u00fd pl\u00e1n \u00fatoku ot\u0159\u00e1sl jedn\u00e1n\u00edmi s \u00cdr\u00e1nem"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Podeps\u00e1n\u00ed Memoranda o porozum\u011bn\u00ed mezi Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a \u00cdr\u00e1nem se m\u011blo p\u016fvodn\u011b konat v \u017denev\u011b. Jen n\u011bkolik hodin p\u0159ed o\u010dek\u00e1vanou sch\u016fzkou se v\u0161ak v\u0161e zm\u011bnilo. Podeps\u00e1n\u00ed bylo odlo\u017eeno, m\u00edsto kon\u00e1n\u00ed zm\u011bn\u011bno na Versailles a jedn\u00e1n\u00ed byla op\u011bt ohro\u017eena. Podle geopolitick\u00e9ho analytika Pepe Escobara a jeho kolegy Zulfiqara Aliho se tento v\u00fdvoj t\u00fdk\u00e1 mnohem v\u00edce ne\u017e jen pouh\u00e9ho diplomatick\u00e9ho incidentu.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"BREAKING-PEPE: Pro\u010d se \u00cdr\u00e1nsko-americk\u00e9 podpisy p\u0159esouvaj\u00ed do VERSAILLES - Miz\u00ed podpis mezi USA a \u00cdr\u00e1nem?\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Hy7naTOCjbM?start=375&amp;feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Ve sv\u00e9m po\u0159adu \u201eP\u0159echodov\u00fd protokol\u201c oba informuj\u00ed o informac\u00edch z vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00edch kruh\u016f, o nich\u017e tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee poch\u00e1zej\u00ed p\u0159\u00edmo od lid\u00ed zapojen\u00fdch do rozhovor\u016f. Zam\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed se na tvrzen\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b potvrzen\u00ed mohlo d\u00e1le zhor\u0161it ji\u017e tak napjatou situaci na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Podle Escobara existovala \u201evelmi v\u011brohodn\u00e1 hrozba\u201c, \u017ee izraelsk\u00e1 zpravodajsk\u00e1 slu\u017eba Mossad mohla pl\u00e1novat \u00fatoky na \u010d\u00e1sti nebo dokonce celou \u00edr\u00e1nskou delegaci ve \u0160v\u00fdcarsku. Podle moder\u00e1tor\u016f tuto informaci zachytily p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e9 zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eExistovala v\u011brohodn\u00e1, velmi v\u011brohodn\u00e1 hrozba, \u017ee by Mossad mohl zavra\u017edit jednu nebo dv\u011b, nebo mo\u017en\u00e1 celou, \u00edr\u00e1nskou delegaci ve \u0160v\u00fdcarsku,\u201c \u0159ekl Escobar.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Informace byla pot\u00e9 okam\u017eit\u011b p\u0159ed\u00e1na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu veden\u00ed. Podle dot\u00e1zan\u00fdch to byl hlavn\u00ed faktor, kter\u00fd vedl \u00edr\u00e1nskou delegaci k rozhodnut\u00ed vzd\u00e1t se \u00fa\u010dasti na vysok\u00e9 \u00farovni ve \u0160v\u00fdcarsku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">M\u00edsto toho se \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee ve \u0160v\u00fdcarsku z\u016fstali pouze z\u00e1stupci z ni\u017e\u0161\u00edch \u00farovn\u00ed, zat\u00edmco skute\u010dn\u00e1 \u00farove\u0148 politick\u00e9ho rozhodov\u00e1n\u00ed se cesty zdr\u017eela.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Pro Escobara to nen\u00ed oby\u010dejn\u00e1 krize ohledn\u011b p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eTohle nen\u00ed rutinn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed,\u201c vysv\u011btlil. \u201eTohle jde daleko za r\u00e1mec memoranda.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Podle programu dohodu nep\u0159ipravily pouze \u00cdr\u00e1n a USA. P\u00e1kist\u00e1n p\u0159evzal \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed zprost\u0159edkovatelskou roli, zat\u00edmco \u010c\u00edna se spolu s Katarem, Tureckem, Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bi\u00ed a n\u011bkolika st\u00e1ty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu pod\u00edlela na diplomatick\u00e9 architektu\u0159e v z\u00e1kulis\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Ale t\u00e9to velmi k\u0159ehk\u00e9 struktu\u0159e nyn\u00ed hroz\u00ed zhroucen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Podle z\u00fa\u010dastn\u011bn\u00fdch stran \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed op\u011bt vyslalo prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu jasn\u00fd sign\u00e1l Washingtonu: Pokud by Izrael pokra\u010doval v \u00fatoc\u00edch na Libanon, cel\u00e9 memorandum by se stalo neplatn\u00fdm.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u201ePokud Izrael nep\u0159estane, je p\u0159ipraven zp\u016fsobit Izraeli v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 d\u016fsledky,\u201c \u0159ekl Escobar.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Podle z\u00fa\u010dastn\u011bn\u00fdch stran Teher\u00e1n v\u00fdslovn\u011b pova\u017euje memorandum za bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed dohodu. Pokud jedna strana poru\u0161\u00ed sv\u00e9 z\u00e1vazky, m\u00e1 i druh\u00e1 strana pr\u00e1vo odstoupit.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u201ePokud poru\u0161\u00edte memorandum, poru\u0161\u00edme ho tak\u00e9 \u2013 a mnohem tvrd\u011bji,\u201c zn\u011blo \u00fadajn\u00e9 sd\u011blen\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho velvyslanectv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b pozoruhodn\u00e9 jsou zpr\u00e1vy o postoji \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho veden\u00ed. Podle programu byl nov\u00fd nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed v\u016fdce Mod\u017et\u00e1ba Chamene\u00ed zpo\u010d\u00e1tku k podpisu dohody skeptick\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Z pohledu \u00cdr\u00e1nu jsou Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty z\u00e1sadn\u011b ned\u016fv\u011bryhodn\u00e9. Teprve intenzivn\u00ed rozhovory mezi \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm prezidentem a p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi medi\u00e1tory a diplomatick\u00e9 sign\u00e1ly z \u010c\u00edny nakonec vedly k Teher\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu souhlasu s podpisem dohody.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Ale i po rozhodnut\u00ed se situace ji\u017e vyhrotila.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u201e\u0160v\u00fdcarsko u\u017e bylo ohro\u017eeno,\u201c \u0159ekl Escobar.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zda m\u00e1 memorandum v\u016fbec n\u011bjakou budoucnost, nyn\u00ed z\u00e1vis\u00ed pouze na jednom faktoru.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u201ePokud Izrael bude v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch 48 a\u017e 72 hodin\u00e1ch pokra\u010dovat ve sv\u00fdch \u00fatoc\u00edch, cel\u00e9 memorandum se zhrout\u00ed.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159edn\u00e1\u0161ej\u00edc\u00ed ji\u017e nevykresluj\u00ed P\u00e1kist\u00e1n jako oby\u010dejn\u00e9ho medi\u00e1tora, ale jako nov\u00fd mocensk\u00fd faktor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Podle jejich v\u00fdpov\u011bdi vyslal Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1d jm\u00e9nem Teher\u00e1nu Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm jasn\u00fd sign\u00e1l: Bu\u010f Washington dostane Izrael pod kontrolu, nebo si \u00cdr\u00e1n vyvod\u00ed vlastn\u00ed z\u00e1v\u011bry.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm faktorem se st\u00e1v\u00e1 i Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eHormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv z\u016fstane uzav\u0159en\u00fd, dokud nebudeme spokojeni s jeho op\u011btovn\u00fdm otev\u0159en\u00edm,\u201c prohl\u00e1sil Zulfiqar Ali.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Takov\u00fd krok by m\u011bl dramatick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky pro sv\u011btov\u00fd obchod a zejm\u00e9na pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed trhy s energi\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1rove\u0148 partne\u0159i hovo\u0159\u00ed o dal\u0161\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9 eskalaci: tzv. \u201eseverokorejsk\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud by Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nebo Izrael d\u00e1le zv\u00fd\u0161ily tlak, \u00cdr\u00e1n by mohl znovu roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it sv\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 schopnosti a p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eit se severokorejsk\u00e9mu modelu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u201e\u00cdr\u00e1n je pln\u011b schopen obnovit sv\u016fj jadern\u00fd program,\u201c \u0159ekl Ali.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Podle programu byla tato mo\u017enost ji\u017e projedn\u00e1na v rozhovorech mezi \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm a p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00fdm veden\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Escobar a Ali jsou obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b kriti\u010dt\u00ed k postoji Washingtonu. Domn\u00edvaj\u00ed se, \u017ee americk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da dosud nepochopila strategick\u00e9 zm\u011bny v regionu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u201e\u0160achovnice je dnes \u00fapln\u011b jin\u00e1,\u201c \u0159ekl Escobar.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Podle jeho n\u00e1zoru maj\u00ed Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nyn\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u011b men\u0161\u00ed vliv ne\u017e d\u0159\u00edve. Pokud by memorandum selhalo, Washington by prakticky nem\u011bl \u017e\u00e1dnou p\u00e1ku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u201ePokud o memorandum p\u0159ijdou, nezbude jim nic.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Ani Donald Trump se v tomto zobrazen\u00ed neobjevuje jako suver\u00e9nn\u00ed akt\u00e9r. Podle zdroj\u016f partner\u016f \u00edr\u00e1n\u0161t\u00ed z\u00e1stupci dokonce ozna\u010dovali americk\u00e9ho prezidenta za \u201ezv\u00ed\u0159e v kleci\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Trump se ocit\u00e1 chycen mezi z\u00e1jmy Izraele, americk\u00e9ho establishmentu a vlastn\u00edmi politick\u00fdmi sliby.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n se nicm\u00e9n\u011b rozhodl d\u00e1t dohod\u011b \u0161anci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Ale \u010das se kr\u00e1t\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Podle zdroj\u016f vypr\u0161\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ultim\u00e1tum za\u010d\u00e1tkem p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho t\u00fddne. Pokud by Izrael pokra\u010doval ve sv\u00fdch operac\u00edch a Washington nezas\u00e1hl, ud\u00e1losti by se mohly rychle vyhrotit.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Escobar si je ji\u017e jist\u00fd, \u017ee se geopolitick\u00e1 situace z\u00e1sadn\u011b zm\u011bnila.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eSv\u011bt u\u017e nen\u00ed stejn\u00fd, jako byl p\u0159ed \u00fatokem Izraele a Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f na \u00cdr\u00e1n.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Jeho kritika spo\u010d\u00edvala v tom, \u017ee z\u00e1padn\u00ed elity nebyly schopny uznat vlastn\u00ed strategickou por\u00e1\u017eku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eVe Washingtonu nem\u00e1me Bismarcka,\u201c \u0159ekl Escobar. \u201eNaopak: m\u00e1me podvodn\u00edky, pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 lidi a lidi, kte\u0159\u00ed geopolitice absolutn\u011b nerozum\u00ed.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zda se tyto pochmurn\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bdi napln\u00ed, se m\u016f\u017ee uk\u00e1zat v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch dnech. Jist\u00e9 se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt jen jedno: osud americko-\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho memoranda nyn\u00ed z\u00e1vis\u00ed m\u00e9n\u011b na jednac\u00edm stole v Evrop\u011b ne\u017e na v\u00fdvoji situace v Libanonu, Izraeli a Washingtonu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Podeps\u00e1n\u00ed Memoranda o porozum\u011bn\u00ed mezi Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a \u00cdr\u00e1nem se m\u011blo p\u016fvodn\u011b konat v \u017denev\u011b&#8230;.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":109075,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,107,1060,889],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109074"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=109074"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109074\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/109075"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=109074"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=109074"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=109074"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}