{"id":108802,"date":"2026-06-16T06:44:09","date_gmt":"2026-06-16T04:44:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=108802"},"modified":"2026-06-16T06:44:09","modified_gmt":"2026-06-16T04:44:09","slug":"michael-svatos-copak-to-ti-rusaci-zase-v-kyjeve-trefili-ze-z-toho-byl-takovy-povyk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/06\/16\/michael-svatos-copak-to-ti-rusaci-zase-v-kyjeve-trefili-ze-z-toho-byl-takovy-povyk\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Copak to ti \u201cRus\u00e1ci\u201d zase v Kyjev\u011b trefili, \u017ee z toho byl takov\u00fd povyk?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Copak to ti \u201cRus\u00e1ci\u201d zase v Kyjev\u011b trefili, \u017ee z toho byl takov\u00fd povyk? Jak\u00e1 je skute\u010dn\u00e1 \u201c\u0161okuj\u00edc\u00ed\u201d \u00fa\u010dinnost Ukrajinsk\u00e9 protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany? A z \u010deho m\u011bla CIA v\u010dera takovou radost?<\/h3>\n

Velmi zaj\u00edmav\u00e1 situace se vyvinula kolem v\u010derej\u0161\u00edho no\u010dn\u00edho n\u00e1letu rusk\u00fdch dron\u016f a raket na Kyjev. Ukrajinsk\u00e9 m\u00e9dium NV, (v Rusku zak\u00e1zan\u00e9), publikovalo s\u00e9rii fotografi\u00ed, a ty byly jeho zam\u011bstnancem v\u010dera dopoledne po\u0159\u00edzeny ve v\u010dera p\u0159edt\u00edm rusk\u00fdm n\u00e1letem zasa\u017een\u00e9m a pobo\u0159en\u00e9m a vyp\u00e1len\u00e9m kyjevsk\u00e9m N\u00e1rodn\u00edm filmov\u00e9m studiu Olexandra Dov\u017eenka, a z t\u011bchto fotografi\u00ed vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee Ukrajinci v t\u011bchto napaden\u00fdch filmov\u00fdch atelierech ukr\u00fdvali tov\u00e1rnu na v\u00fdrobu velmi nebezpe\u010dn\u00fdch dron\u016f FP-2, kter\u00fdmi nyn\u00ed \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na ruskou logistiku na ji\u017en\u00edm Donbasu, a tedy Rusov\u00e9 v noci na v\u010derej\u0161ek v centru Kyjeva \u00fato\u010dili na vojensk\u00e9 c\u00edle.<\/p>\n

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Na tuto ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed ukrajinskou fotografii,\u00a0kterou report\u00e9r medi\u00e1ln\u00edho port\u00e1lu NV<\/a>\u00a0(The New Voice of Ukraine) Ihor Kuznietsov po\u0159\u00eddil v\u010dera v kyjevsk\u00e9m N\u00e1rodn\u00edm filmov\u00e9m studiu Olexandra Dov\u017eenko, kter\u00e9 bylo v noci na v\u010derej\u0161ek vyp\u00e1leno rusk\u00fdmi drony a raketami, jsem domaloval oran\u017eovou elipsu, a v n\u00ed jsou s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed k\u0159\u00eddla ukrajinsk\u00fdch sebevra\u017eedn\u00fdch \u00fadern\u00fdch dron\u016f FP-1 a FP-2, a t\u011bmi nyn\u00ed jednotky gener\u00e1la Roberta \u201cMa\u010fara\u201d Brovdy napadaj\u00ed ruskou logistiku a rusk\u00e1 m\u011bsta a infrastrukturu a vojensk\u00e9 jednotky hlavn\u011b kolem pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed Azovsk\u00e9ho mo\u0159e.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Na tuto\u00a0kontroln\u00ed ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed ukrajinskou fotografii z kompletace dron\u016f FP-1 a FP-2<\/a>\u00a0jsem domaloval oran\u017eovou elipsu, a v n\u00ed vid\u00edte stejn\u00e9 charakteristick\u00e9 kulat\u00e9 otvory, jako v \u201ck\u0159\u00eddlech dron\u016f\u201d, kter\u00e9 byly v\u010dera vyfotografov\u00e1ny v zasa\u017een\u00e9m a vyp\u00e1len\u00e9m kyjevsk\u00e9m N\u00e1rodn\u00edm filmov\u00e9m studiu Ukrajiny pojmenovan\u00e9m po Olexandrovi Dov\u017eenko.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Pravd\u011bpodobnost, \u017ee v kyjevsk\u00e9m filmov\u00e9m studiu \u201cDov\u017eenko\u201d se vyr\u00e1b\u011bly nebo montovaly drony FP-1 a FP-2, nebo jin\u00e9, je tak vysok\u00e1: (1)\u00a0Ukrajinci se chlub\u00ed, \u017ee tyto drony jsou z 90% vyr\u00e1b\u011bny na Ukrajin\u011b<\/a>.\u00a0(2) N\u00e1rodn\u00ed filmov\u00e9 ateliery zam\u011bstn\u00e1vaj\u00ed velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed umn\u00fdch \u0159emesln\u00edk\u016f, a ti se pro tento typ decentralizovan\u00e9 jednoduch\u00e9 lehk\u00e9 manu\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00fdroby mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b hod\u00ed. Ka\u017ed\u00fd analytik zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby v\u00ed, \u017ee se historicky takto filmov\u00e1 studia a jejich zam\u011bstnanci v\u017edy pou\u017e\u00edvali. (3) Zam\u011bstnanci filmov\u00fdch studi\u00ed obecn\u011b maj\u00ed velmi dobr\u00e9 kontakty na r\u016fzn\u00e9 st\u00e1tn\u00ed nebo vlivn\u00e9 elity, a sehnat si za v\u00e1lky pr\u00e1ci \u201cmont\u00e9ra dron\u016f\u201d, a nebo \u201cre\u017eis\u00e9ra montovny dron\u016f\u201d, znamen\u00e1 vyhnout se mobilizaci do arm\u00e1dy, a to je na Ukrajin\u011b terno, za kter\u00e9 se plat\u00ed \u010d\u00e1stky v n\u011bkolika tis\u00edc\u00edch dolarech. (4) Ukrajinsk\u00e1 mainstreamov\u00e1 m\u00e9dia v\u010dera v podve\u010der o n\u00e1letu na studio \u201cDov\u017eenko\u201d podez\u0159ele zmlkla, a a\u010dkoli lkala nad \u201cobecn\u00fdm rusk\u00fdm barbarstv\u00edm\u201d, a p\u0159inesla seznam kulturn\u00edch objekt\u016f, kter\u00e9 u\u017e \u201cRus\u00e1ci\u201d zni\u010dili,\u00a0nijak v\u00fdrazn\u011b rusk\u00e1 tvrzen\u00ed o zasa\u017een\u00ed vojensk\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f ve studiu \u201cDov\u017eenko\u201d nezpochyb\u0148ovala<\/a>, jako tomu b\u00fdv\u00e1 zvykem v jin\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edpadech.\u00a0 (P\u011bkn\u00e9 fotografie z v\u00fdroby dron\u016f FP-1 a FP-2\u00a0najdete zde<\/a>.)<\/p>\n

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Do mapy publikovan\u00e9 v\u010dera ve\u010der Putinov\u00fdm obl\u00edben\u00fdm rozv\u011bd\u010d\u00edkem Michailem Zvi\u010dukem jsem domaloval \u017eluto-\u010dern\u00fd hexagon = um\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed N\u00e1rodn\u00edho filmov\u00e9ho studia Dov\u017eenko v Kyjev\u011b, kter\u00e9 v\u010dera rusk\u00e9 drony z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti vyp\u00e1lily, proto\u017ee se tam montovaly drony FP-1 a FP-2. Rusov\u00e9 nav\u00edc v\u010dera v Kyjev\u011b vyp\u00e1lili nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed logistick\u00e9 centrum ukrajinsk\u00e9 po\u0161ty, a \u0159adu dal\u0161\u00edch pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch a energetick\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f. Je tak z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee c\u00edlem v\u010derej\u0161\u00edho rusk\u00e9ho \u00fatoku na Kyjev bylo naru\u0161it a poni\u010dit ukrajinskou logistiku decentralizovan\u00e9 v\u00fdroby dron\u016f \u2013 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed t\u0159\u00edd\u00edc\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed Ukrajinsk\u00e9 po\u0161ty je v tomto ohledu mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd c\u00edl. Zvin\u010duk alias \u201cRybar\u201d si v\u010dera spr\u00e1vn\u011b pov\u0161imnul, \u017ee po\u0161kozen\u00ed Kyjevskope\u010dersk\u00e9 l\u00e1vry, kter\u00e1 byla v\u010dera rovn\u011b\u017e p\u0159i \u00fatoku rusk\u00fdch dron\u016f zasa\u017eena a podp\u00e1lena, nevykazuje zn\u00e1mky z\u00e1sahu v\u00fdbu\u0161n\u00fdm dronem nebo v\u00fdbu\u0161nou raketou. A to je velmi zaj\u00edmav\u00e9, co ji tedy mohlo zas\u00e1hnout a podp\u00e1lit. Dal\u0161\u00ed info v anal\u00fdze.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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V\u010dera byla publikovan\u00e1 tato zaj\u00edmav\u00e1 mapa a statistika \u00fasp\u011b\u0161nosti \u00fatok\u016f rusk\u00fdch dron\u016f Shahed-Geranium proti Ukrajin\u011b v dubnu 2026, a ta potvrzuje, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 \u00fatoky jsou mnohem \u00fa\u010dinn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da tvrd\u00ed.\u00a0Ofici\u00e1ln\u011b Ukrajina tvrdila, \u017ee v dubnu zni\u010dila 89% \u00fato\u010d\u00edc\u00edch rusk\u00fdch dron\u016f typu Shahed-Geranium<\/a>, jen\u017ee ve skute\u010dnosti 18% v\u0161ech v dubnu vypu\u0161t\u011bn\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch dron\u016f Shahed-Geranium zas\u00e1hlo c\u00edle, proti kter\u00fdm bylo vypu\u0161t\u011bno. A to je procentu\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00fasp\u011b\u0161nost rusk\u00fdch dron\u016f je\u0161t\u011b ve skute\u010dnosti vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed, nebo\u0165 statistika \u2013 vypu\u0161t\u011bno a zas\u00e1hlo = 18% \u2013 nezohled\u0148uje po\u010det jednotliv\u00fdch dron\u016f, kter\u00e9 c\u00edl zas\u00e1hly sou\u010dasn\u011b. Podrobnosti v anal\u00fdze.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Podle nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho velen\u00ed Kyjevsk\u00e9 brann\u00e9 moci vypustilo Rusko proti Ukrajin\u011b v dubnu 2026 celkem 6583 dron\u016f Shahed-Geranium, a 5861 z nich bylo sest\u0159eleno<\/a>, (89%). Podle statistiky c\u00edl\u016f zasa\u017een\u00fdch v dubnu 2026 na Ukrajin\u011b rusk\u00fdmi drony Shahed-Geranium bylo r\u016fzn\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem zasa\u017eeno 720 jednotliv\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f, n\u011bkter\u00e9 i n\u011bkolika drony, pop\u0159\u00edpad\u011b drony a raketami a bombami sou\u010dasn\u011b.<\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e9 \u00fato\u010d\u00edc\u00ed drony Shahed-Geranium jsou ze 60% drony v\u00fdbu\u0161n\u00e9, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed zas\u00e1hnout c\u00edl, a ze 40% drony klamn\u00e9<\/a>, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed za \u00fakol pouze nal\u00e1kat Ukrajince, aby je sest\u0159elili, a nebo vypou\u0161t\u011bt klamn\u00e9 c\u00edle, aby jimi chr\u00e1nily v\u00fdbu\u0161n\u00e9 drony p\u0159ed sest\u0159elen\u00edm.\u00a0 V dubnu 2026 tak na Ukrajinu za\u00fato\u010dilo pouze 3516 \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdch v\u00fdbu\u0161n\u00fdch dron\u016f Shahed-Geranium, a ty dohromady \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b zas\u00e1hly 720 r\u016fzn\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f, n\u011bkter\u00e9 c\u00edle p\u0159itom sou\u010dasn\u011b zas\u00e1hlo i n\u011bkolik rusk\u00fdch dron\u016f. V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v\u0161ak nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost rusk\u00fdch dron\u016f Shahed-Geranium, \u017ee zas\u00e1hnou a poni\u010d\u00ed c\u00edl, proti kter\u00e9mu byly vysl\u00e1ny, byla v dubnu 20.5%, a nikoli jen 11%, jak tvrdilo nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed velen\u00ed Kyjevsk\u00e9 brann\u00e9 moci.<\/p>\n

Ze statistiky vypu\u0161t\u011bn\u00fdch a zni\u010den\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f nav\u00edc jasn\u011b vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee Ukrajinsk\u00e1 obrana proti rusk\u00fdm dron\u016fm trp\u00ed mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b n\u00edzkou \u00fa\u010dinnost\u00ed. Ukrajinci tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee sest\u0159eluj\u00ed 89% v\u0161ech rusk\u00fdch \u00fato\u010d\u00edc\u00edch dron\u016f Shahed-Geranium, jen\u017ee 40% t\u011bchto dron\u016f jsou pouze klamn\u00e9 c\u00edle, a nosi\u010de mal\u00fdch klamn\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f, a po spln\u011bn\u00ed sv\u00e9ho jedin\u00e9ho \u00fakolu \u2013 vytv\u00e1\u0159et klamy \u2013 sami spadnou na zem, a proto\u017ee nenesou v\u00fdbu\u0161nou n\u00e1lo\u017e, nevybuchnou. A Ukrajinci je tak mohou, a podle sv\u00fdch statistik tak i \u010din\u00ed, je zapo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1vat do statisticky sest\u0159elen\u00fdch dron\u016f. V\u00fdsledn\u00fd po\u010det skute\u010dn\u011b sest\u0159elen\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch dron\u016f typu Shahed-Geranium tak bude zna\u010dn\u011b ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e 70%, a tomuto pom\u011bru dopov\u00edd\u00e1 i v\u010derej\u0161\u00ed po vojensk\u00e9 str\u00e1nce \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdch \u00fatok rusk\u00fdch dron\u016f na Kyjev. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee po\u010det rusk\u00fdch dron\u016f, kter\u00e9 jsou vypou\u0161t\u011bny m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b u\u017e nyn\u00ed p\u0159esahuje 8000 (+1500 oproti dubnu) Ukrajinu ne\u010dekaj\u00ed dobr\u00e9 \u010dasy, bude-li v\u00e1lka pokra\u010dovat.<\/p>\n

I Ukrajina ov\u0161em vyt\u00e1hla v posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch sv\u00e9 dr\u00e1pky, a t\u0159eba\u00a0zde m\u016f\u017eete vid\u011bt video<\/a>,\u00a0jak ukrajinsk\u00fd dron FP-2 zabije p\u00e1r rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f. A\u010dkoli telegramov\u00e9 kan\u00e1ly rusk\u00fdch nacionalist\u016f z tohoto videa\u00a0op\u011bt v\u010dera propadaly z\u00e1chvat\u016fm paniky<\/a>,\u00a0nen\u00ed to zbra\u0148, kter\u00e1 by rozhodovala v\u00e1lky.V\u00fdrobn\u00ed cena dronu FP-2 je cca 50 000 USD, a tedy cena za vypu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed 1000 t\u011bchto dron\u016f m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b je 600 milion\u016f USD, a to je p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 drah\u00e9, aby jich Ukrajina vypou\u0161t\u011bla v\u00edce ne\u017e p\u00e1r tis\u00edc m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b. Tyto\u00a0drony FP-2 maj\u00ed sice dolet kolem 400km<\/a>,\u00a0a Ukrajinci je mohou pou\u017e\u00edvat proti rusk\u00e9 p\u011bchot\u011b, ale rozhodn\u011b ne v po\u010dtu 100 a\u017e 300 tis\u00edc m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b, jako Rusov\u00e9 vypou\u0161t\u011bj\u00ed proti ukrajinsk\u00e9 p\u011bchot\u011b sv\u00e9 n\u011bkolikan\u00e1sobn\u011b levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed frontov\u00e9 zabij\u00e1ck\u00e9 drony. (Mimochodem CIA m\u011bla tento t\u00fdden velkou radost ze sou\u010dasn\u00e9 paniky mezi rusk\u00fdmi nacionalistick\u00fdmi vojensk\u00fdmi blogery, a p\u0159ikl\u00e1dala j\u00ed velk\u00fd v\u00fdznam. \u2013\u00a0podrobnosti tuto st\u0159edu na TV Protiproud u H\u00e1jka<\/a>.)<\/p>\n

Je tedy pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee Kyjevskope\u010derskou l\u00e1vru zap\u00e1lil rusk\u00fd klamn\u00fd dron, kter\u00fd se \u00fa\u010dastnil \u00fatoku na Kyjev, a byl ukrajinskou PVO po\u0161kozen a nebo sest\u0159elen. Jak si pov\u0161imnul Zvin\u010duk, l\u00e1vra nebyla po\u0161kozena v\u00fdbuchem velk\u00e9 n\u00e1lo\u017ee, jakou v\u00fdbu\u0161n\u00fd dron Geranium nese. N\u00ed\u017ee, po\u010det zni\u010den\u00fdch kulturn\u00edch a vzd\u011bl\u00e1vac\u00edch instituc\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b za dobu trv\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1lky, ukrajinsk\u00e1 ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed grafika.\u00a0Dal\u0161\u00ed podrobnosti najdete zde<\/a>.<\/p>\n

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Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Copak to ti \u201cRus\u00e1ci\u201d zase v Kyjev\u011b trefili, \u017ee z toho byl takov\u00fd povyk? Jak\u00e1…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":19465,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,221,3203,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108802"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=108802"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108802\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/19465"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=108802"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=108802"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=108802"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}