{"id":108755,"date":"2026-06-16T00:13:29","date_gmt":"2026-06-15T22:13:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=108755"},"modified":"2026-06-15T13:52:53","modified_gmt":"2026-06-15T11:52:53","slug":"blizi-se-valka-mezi-usa-a-iranem-ke-konci-marandi-varuje-izrael-by-mohl-utokem-na-bejrut-dohodu-sabotovat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/06\/16\/blizi-se-valka-mezi-usa-a-iranem-ke-konci-marandi-varuje-izrael-by-mohl-utokem-na-bejrut-dohodu-sabotovat\/","title":{"rendered":"Bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed se v\u00e1lka mezi USA a \u00cdr\u00e1nem ke konci? Marandi varuje: Izrael by mohl \u00fatokem na Bejr\u00fat dohodu sabotovat"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">V rozhovoru s moder\u00e1torem Danielem \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd politolog Mohammad Marandi p\u0159edlo\u017eil teorii, \u017ee USA a \u00cdr\u00e1n jsou k dohod\u011b bl\u00ed\u017ee, ne\u017e si mnoz\u00ed mysl\u00ed \u2013 a \u017ee ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 izraelsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky na Bejr\u00fat by mohly b\u00fdt zam\u011b\u0159eny pr\u00e1v\u011b na to, aby t\u00e9to dohod\u011b zabr\u00e1nily.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Marandi poukazuje na to, \u017ee Teher\u00e1n nikdy nepotvrdil optimismus \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00fd Washingtonem ohledn\u011b ji\u017e uzav\u0159en\u00e9 dohody. P\u0159esto\u017ee bylo dosa\u017eeno pokroku, kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky \u2013 zejm\u00e9na pln\u011bn\u00ed a d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost americk\u00fdch z\u00e1vazk\u016f \u2013 z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed nevy\u0159e\u0161eny. \u00datok na Bejr\u00fat by proto mohl b\u00fdt interpretov\u00e1n jako pokus o \u00famyslnou sabot\u00e1\u017e jedn\u00e1n\u00ed. Alternativn\u011b by se mohlo jednat o koordinovanou hru \u201ehodn\u00fd policajt, \u200b\u200bzl\u00fd policajt\u201c mezi Washingtonem a Tel Avivem. Marandi v\u0161ak pova\u017euje za pravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee se Izrael nez\u00e1visle pokou\u0161\u00ed dohodu sabotovat.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"V\u00e1lka mezi USA a \u00cdr\u00e1nem SKON\u010cILA? \u00cdr\u00e1n se p\u0159ipravuje na \u00daTOK, Izrael sabotuje dohodu | Mohammad Marandi\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/rr0IuMJ1O2c?feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b pozoruhodn\u00e9 je jeho hodnocen\u00ed, \u017ee skute\u010dn\u00e9 nebezpe\u010d\u00ed ji\u017e nen\u00ed pouze vojensk\u00e9 povahy. Tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed kolem Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu by mohlo dotla\u010dit glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku do kritick\u00e9ho bodu. Jak\u00e9koli zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed v dosa\u017een\u00ed dohody zhor\u0161uje energetickou krizi a zvy\u0161uje riziko glob\u00e1ln\u00edho ekonomick\u00e9ho \u0161oku. Hlavn\u00ed odpov\u011bdnost za to p\u0159ipisuje izraelsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1d\u011b pod veden\u00edm Benjamina Netanjahua. Tato interpretace je zjevn\u011b politicky motivovan\u00e1, ale odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed obavy, \u017ee geopolitick\u00e1 eskalace by mohla m\u00edt d\u016fsledky daleko za hranicemi regionu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Podle Marandiho jsou n\u00e1zory v \u00cdr\u00e1nu rozd\u011blen\u00e9. Spole\u010dnost o potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed dohod\u011b intenzivn\u011b diskutuje. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed ji pova\u017euj\u00ed za nezbytn\u00fd krok k deeskalaci, zat\u00edmco jin\u00ed varuj\u00ed p\u0159ed opakov\u00e1n\u00edm jadern\u00e9 dohody z roku 2015. Teher\u00e1n tehdy podle Marandiho plnil sv\u00e9 z\u00e1vazky, zat\u00edmco Washington sv\u00e9 sliby pln\u011b nesplnil. V d\u016fsledku toho nyn\u00ed panuje zna\u010dn\u00e1 ned\u016fv\u011bra k americk\u00fdm z\u00e1ruk\u00e1m. Kl\u00ed\u010dovou ot\u00e1zkou proto nen\u00ed zn\u011bn\u00ed dohody, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e to, jak\u00e9 z\u00e1ruky skute\u010dn\u011b obsahuje.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Jeho hlavn\u00edm z\u00e1v\u011brem je, \u017ee izraelsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky na Bejr\u00fat zm\u011bnily politickou dynamiku. I kdyby dohoda byla v principu mo\u017en\u00e1, Teher\u00e1n bude nyn\u00ed jednat mnohem opatrn\u011bji. Pravd\u011bpodobnost \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 odvety se zv\u00fd\u0161ila, zat\u00edmco rychl\u00fd pr\u016flom v jedn\u00e1n\u00edch se stal je\u0161t\u011b vzd\u00e1len\u011bj\u0161\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zda je Marandiho hodnocen\u00ed spr\u00e1vn\u00e9, se teprve uvid\u00ed. Jasn\u00e9 v\u0161ak je, \u017ee pokud by skute\u010dn\u011b existovalo skute\u010dn\u00e9 okno p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti k dohod\u011b mezi Washingtonem a Teher\u00e1nem, pak ned\u00e1vn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj mohl toto okno v\u00fdrazn\u011b z\u00fa\u017eit. Nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed dny proto pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b rozhodnou nejen o v\u00e1lce nebo diplomacii na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, ale tak\u00e9 o tom, zda glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomika \u010del\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 zkou\u0161ce.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>V rozhovoru s moder\u00e1torem Danielem \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd politolog Mohammad Marandi p\u0159edlo\u017eil teorii, \u017ee USA a \u00cdr\u00e1n&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":103415,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[38,1052,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108755"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=108755"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108755\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/103415"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=108755"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=108755"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=108755"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}