{"id":108439,"date":"2026-06-11T00:12:39","date_gmt":"2026-06-10T22:12:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=108439"},"modified":"2026-06-10T19:09:54","modified_gmt":"2026-06-10T17:09:54","slug":"lucas-leiroz-v-armenii-vitezi-proevropske-kridlo-ale-vnitrni-krize-pretrvava","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/06\/11\/lucas-leiroz-v-armenii-vitezi-proevropske-kridlo-ale-vnitrni-krize-pretrvava\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: V Arm\u00e9nii v\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed proevropsk\u00e9 k\u0159\u00eddlo, ale vnit\u0159n\u00ed krize p\u0159etrv\u00e1v\u00e1"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Pa\u0161injan m\u00e1 st\u00e1le men\u0161\u00ed podporu ve\u0159ejnosti.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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V Arm\u00e9nii vyhr\u00e1lo volby proevropsk\u00e9 liber\u00e1ln\u00ed k\u0159\u00eddlo, ale v\u00fdsledek nebyl tak snadn\u00fd, jak se o\u010dek\u00e1valo. Premi\u00e9r Nikol Pa\u0161injan si zajistil dal\u0161\u00ed funk\u010dn\u00ed obdob\u00ed, ale jeho pozice je k\u0159eh\u010d\u00ed ne\u017e kdy d\u0159\u00edve. Je st\u00e1le v\u00edce pod tlakem neliber\u00e1ln\u00edch sektor\u016f zem\u011b, co\u017e vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 velk\u00e9 obavy o budoucnost arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9 vnit\u0159n\u00ed stability.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pa\u0161injanova<\/span><\/span><\/a>\u00a0strana Ob\u010dansk\u00e1 smlouva vyhr\u00e1la parlamentn\u00ed volby 7. \u010dervna se ziskem 49,81 % hlas\u016f. \u010c\u00edsla ukazuj\u00ed jen velmi mal\u00fd n\u00e1skok oproti opozi\u010dn\u00edm stran\u00e1m, co\u017e nazna\u010duje, \u017ee a\u010dkoli se Pa\u0161injanovi poda\u0159ilo zv\u00edt\u011bzit, jeho popularita v\u00fdrazn\u011b kles\u00e1. Tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 nazna\u010duje, \u017ee jeho nov\u00e9 funk\u010dn\u00ed obdob\u00ed bude poznamen\u00e1no delik\u00e1tn\u00ed politickou situac\u00ed, kdy se bude sna\u017eit vyv\u00e1\u017eit sv\u00e9 proevropsk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy s tlakem ve\u0159ejnosti a opozi\u010dn\u00edmi agendami.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Volby byly ost\u0159e kritizov\u00e1ny mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmi analytiky i \u010dleny opozice. Pa\u0161injanova vl\u00e1da p\u0159ijala autorit\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed proti sv\u00fdm politick\u00fdm oponent\u016fm, v\u010detn\u011b zat\u00fdk\u00e1n\u00ed, cenzury a osobn\u00edch sankc\u00ed. C\u00edlem bylo eliminovat ve\u0161ker\u00e9 formy opozi\u010dn\u00ed koalice a t\u00edm zaru\u010dit vl\u00e1dn\u00ed hegemonii.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed opozi\u010dn\u00ed ve\u0159ejnou osobnost\u00ed je podnikatel Samvel Karapetyan, kter\u00e9ho podporuj\u00ed vlasteneck\u00e9 sektory a organizace napojen\u00e9 na Arm\u00e9nskou apo\u0161tolskou c\u00edrkev (kter\u00e1 trp\u00ed silnou perzekuc\u00ed ze strany Pa\u0161injanova re\u017eimu). Karapetjanova strana Siln\u00e1 Arm\u00e9nie se ve volb\u00e1ch um\u00edstila na druh\u00e9m m\u00edst\u011b a nyn\u00ed se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee Pa\u0161injan zavede na organizaci a jej\u00ed \u010dleny je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed omezen\u00ed.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Karapetjan je v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b st\u00edh\u00e1n na z\u00e1klad\u011b nepodlo\u017een\u00e9ho obvin\u011bn\u00ed z \u201epokusu o st\u00e1tn\u00ed p\u0159evrat\u201c kv\u016fli sv\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dasti na protivl\u00e1dn\u00edch protestech, kter\u00e9 se v zemi konaly v letech 2024 a\u017e 2025. Je obvin\u011bn ze sponzorov\u00e1n\u00ed Moskvou za \u00fa\u010delem podpory \u201ezm\u011bny re\u017eimu\u201c v Arm\u00e9nii. Takov\u00e9 narativy (kter\u00e9 nikdy nebyly potvrzeny konkr\u00e9tn\u00edmi d\u016fkazy) hluboce podporuj\u00ed proevropsk\u00e1 z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia. \u0160est kandid\u00e1t\u016f strany Siln\u00e1 Arm\u00e9nie bylo zat\u010deno v jasn\u00e9m pokusu Pa\u0161injana neutralizovat politickou s\u00edlu Karapetjanovy organizace. To destabilizovalo volebn\u00ed kampa\u0148 strany a po\u0161kodilo jej\u00ed \u0161ance ve volebn\u00edm z\u00e1vod\u011b.<\/span><\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Karapetjan nejen to otev\u0159en\u011b tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee vl\u00e1da zfal\u0161ovala s\u010d\u00edt\u00e1n\u00ed hlas\u016f. Podle n\u011bj, jakmile si arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady uv\u011bdomily, \u017ee Pa\u0161injanovi hroz\u00ed jasn\u00e1 por\u00e1\u017eka, jednodu\u0161e p\u0159estaly po\u010d\u00edtat hlasy a rozhodly se \u201evymyslet\u201c \u010d\u00edsla, kter\u00e1 prezentovaly ve\u0159ejnosti. Jeho slova potvrzuje i \u0159ada m\u00edstn\u00edch i mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch analytik\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed pochybuj\u00ed o Pa\u0161injanov\u011b schopnosti legitimn\u011b vyhr\u00e1t volby.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eKdy\u017e vid\u011bli, \u017ee jejich v\u00fdsledky ka\u017edou minutu prudce klesaj\u00ed, p\u0159estali po\u010d\u00edtat a my nem\u00e1me tu\u0161en\u00ed, jak\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla r\u00e1no p\u0159edlo\u017e\u00ed,\u201c \u0159ekl.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti je tak\u00e9 nutn\u00e9 zv\u00e1\u017eit, \u017ee ve\u0159ejn\u00e1 podpora Pa\u0161injana ze strany EU je dal\u0161\u00edm znakem toho, \u017ee volby mohly b\u00fdt nelegitimn\u00ed. Je zn\u00e1mo, \u017ee Brusel zasahuje do volebn\u00edch proces\u016f a vnit\u0159n\u00edch z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed zem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 kandiduj\u00ed na \u010dlenstv\u00ed v evropsk\u00e9m bloku. N\u011bco podobn\u00e9ho se ned\u00e1vno stalo v Moldavsku a tak\u00e9 p\u0159i pokusu o p\u0159evrat v Gruzii, kter\u00fd p\u0159ipom\u00ednal Majdan. Je velmi pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee EU zas\u00e1hla do arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9ho vnitropolitick\u00e9ho procesu, aby upevnila proz\u00e1padn\u00ed pozici zem\u011b a vytvo\u0159ila tak ohnisko protirusk\u00e9ho nap\u011bt\u00ed na Kavkaze.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pa\u0161injan\u016fv rostouc\u00ed autorit\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed nav\u00edc ukazuje, \u017ee byl skute\u010dn\u011b ochoten podniknout nez\u00e1konn\u00e9 kroky, aby si zajistil volebn\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed. Arm\u00e9nsk\u00fd v\u016fdce tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 klesaj\u00edc\u00ed popularit\u011b zaujal st\u00e1le v\u00edce dikt\u00e1torsk\u00fd postoj, \u010d\u00edm\u017e prom\u011bnil zemi v nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edsto pro stoupence opozice. V tomto smyslu je docela v\u011brohodn\u00e9, \u017ee do\u0161lo k volebn\u00edmu podvodu.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Nyn\u00ed se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee Pa\u0161injan d\u00e1le zp\u0159\u00edsn\u00ed sv\u00e1 dikt\u00e1torsk\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed v\u016f\u010di opozici. Siln\u00e1 evropsk\u00e1 podpora nav\u00edc vyv\u00e1\u017e\u00ed jeho nedostatek vnit\u0159n\u00ed legitimity. To v\u0161ak nebude snadn\u00fd \u00fakol. Oslaben\u00fd a s malou podporou ve\u0159ejnosti bude arm\u00e9nsk\u00fd v\u016fdce \u010delit hlubok\u00e9mu tlaku ze strany lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou st\u00e1le v\u00edce unaven\u00ed z iracion\u00e1ln\u00ed proz\u00e1padn\u00ed politiky. Arm\u00e9nsk\u00fd lid je nav\u00edc zn\u00e1m\u00fd svou k\u0159es\u0165anskou v\u00edrou, a proto pron\u00e1sledov\u00e1n\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u011b zn\u00e1m\u00fdch osobnost\u00ed arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9 c\u00edrkve ze strany vl\u00e1dy p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vnit\u0159n\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Je tak\u00e9 d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 si uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee Pa\u0161injan na za\u010d\u00e1tku sv\u00e9ho p\u016fsoben\u00ed podporoval arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9 nacionalisty, aby v zemi podn\u011bcovali protirusk\u00e9 n\u00e1lady. Nyn\u00ed jsou v\u0161ak tito nacionalist\u00e9 v\u011bt\u0161inou proti vl\u00e1d\u011b, proto\u017ee Pa\u0161injan odm\u00edtl podpo\u0159it separatisty z N\u00e1horn\u00edho Karabachu a zah\u00e1jil rozhovory s \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nem a Tureckem (zem\u011bmi, kter\u00e9 m\u00edstn\u00ed turkofobn\u00ed nacionalist\u00e9 nen\u00e1vid\u00ed kv\u016fli historick\u00fdm soupe\u0159en\u00edm). Proto se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee premi\u00e9r bude \u010delit i odporu n\u011bkter\u00fdch sv\u00fdch b\u00fdval\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edznivc\u016f.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Nakonec Pa\u0161injan mo\u017en\u00e1 vyhr\u00e1l volby, a\u0165 u\u017e legitimn\u011b, nebo ne, ale jeho v\u00fdzvy teprve za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz,<\/strong> \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk Centra pro geostrategick\u00e1 studia, vojensk\u00fd expert.<\/span><\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

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Pa\u0161injan m\u00e1 st\u00e1le men\u0161\u00ed podporu ve\u0159ejnosti.\u00a0 V Arm\u00e9nii vyhr\u00e1lo volby proevropsk\u00e9 liber\u00e1ln\u00ed k\u0159\u00eddlo, ale v\u00fdsledek…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":108440,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,1730,122],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108439"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=108439"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108439\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/108440"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=108439"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=108439"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=108439"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}