{"id":108422,"date":"2026-06-09T04:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-09T02:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=108422"},"modified":"2026-06-09T04:30:00","modified_gmt":"2026-06-09T02:30:00","slug":"lucas-leiroz-iransky-utok-narusil-rovnovahu-sil-na-blizkem-vychode","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/06\/09\/lucas-leiroz-iransky-utok-narusil-rovnovahu-sil-na-blizkem-vychode\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd \u00fatok naru\u0161il rovnov\u00e1hu sil na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Teher\u00e1n je nyn\u00ed ochoten p\u0159evz\u00edt vojenskou iniciativu, m\u00edsto aby pouze reagoval odvetn\u00fdmi opat\u0159en\u00edmi, a jedn\u00e1 v legitimn\u00ed sebeobran\u011b t\u0159et\u00edch zem\u00ed.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 nov\u00e1 eskalace. K\u0159ehk\u00e1 dohoda o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mezi \u00cdr\u00e1nem a izraelsko-americkou koalic\u00ed se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt \u010d\u00edm d\u00e1l m\u00e9n\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 s postupn\u00fdm stup\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00edm nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed. \u00cdr\u00e1n a Izrael obnovily vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed. Na rozd\u00edl od v\u0161ech ostatn\u00edch p\u0159\u00edpad\u016f p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9ho konfliktu mezi t\u011bmito zem\u011bmi se v\u0161ak tentokr\u00e1t \u00cdr\u00e1n chopil iniciativy a za\u00fato\u010dil na Izrael jako odvetu za \u00fatok na Libanon, co\u017e ukazuje, jak se rychle m\u011bn\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e1 rovnov\u00e1ha.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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7. \u010dervna<\/span><\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1n zah\u00e1jil rozs\u00e1hl\u00fd \u00fatok na izraelsk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed, zam\u011b\u0159en\u00fd p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm na severn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st zem\u011b. Krom\u011b dron\u016f dlouh\u00e9ho doletu bylo odp\u00e1leno nejm\u00e9n\u011b p\u011bt vln balistick\u00fdch raket, kter\u00e9 zas\u00e1hly n\u011bkolik m\u011bst. Izraelsk\u00e1 protivzdu\u0161n\u00e1 obrana dok\u00e1zala mnoho projektil\u016f neutralizovat, ale za okolnost\u00ed masivn\u00edch \u00fatok\u016f je nemo\u017en\u00e9 zabr\u00e1nit tomu, aby n\u011bkter\u00e9 z raket a dron\u016f dos\u00e1hly sv\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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V ofici\u00e1ln\u00edm prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady jasn\u011b uvedly, \u017ee \u00fatok byl reakc\u00ed na p\u0159edchoz\u00ed eskalaci izraelsk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch operac\u00ed v Libanonu. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ministerstvo zahrani\u010d\u00ed d\u00e1le up\u0159esnilo, \u017ee \u00fatoky byly reakc\u00ed tak\u00e9 na izraelskou spolupr\u00e1ci s ned\u00e1vn\u00fdmi poru\u0161en\u00edmi p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed ze strany USA a tak\u00e9 na akty n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edho pir\u00e1tstv\u00ed u \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u201eV n\u00e1vaznosti na opakovan\u00e9 poru\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed a agresivn\u00ed akce sionistick\u00e9ho re\u017eimu proti Libanonu a \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 republice, v\u010detn\u011b spolu\u00fa\u010dasti s teroristickou arm\u00e1dou Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f na \u00fatoc\u00edch v posledn\u00edch dvou t\u00fddnech na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 lod\u011b a c\u00edle v ji\u017en\u00edch oblastech zem\u011b, jako\u017e i spolu\u00fa\u010dasti s americk\u00fdm re\u017eimem na n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edm pir\u00e1tstv\u00ed proti \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu n\u00e1rodu, ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 republiky v ned\u011bli ve\u010der 7. \u010dervna 2026 zas\u00e1hly n\u011bkolik vojensk\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f na severu okupovan\u00fdch palestinsk\u00fdch \u00fazem\u00ed v r\u00e1mci inherentn\u00edho pr\u00e1va na sebeobranu v souladu s \u010dl\u00e1nkem 51 Charty Organizace spojen\u00fdch n\u00e1rod\u016f,\u201c uv\u00e1d\u00ed se v\u00a0<\/span><\/span>prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed<\/span><\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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USA a \u00cdr\u00e1n si ve skute\u010dnosti ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve vym\u011bnily bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed kv\u016fli poru\u0161en\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed ze strany USA \u2013 na co\u017e reagovaly \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi \u00fatoky na americk\u00e9 c\u00edle v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu. Izrael nav\u00edc bombarduje Libanon ji\u017e t\u00fddny, a to jak v p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b \u0161\u00editsk\u00e9 ji\u017en\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti, tak i v samotn\u00e9m hlavn\u00edm m\u011bst\u011b Bejr\u00fatu. V n\u011bkolika libanonsk\u00fdch okresech byly vyd\u00e1ny evakua\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edkazy, co\u017e mezi m\u00edstn\u00edm obyvatelstvem vyvolalo paniku a teror.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Tel Aviv tato opat\u0159en\u00ed \u201eospravedl\u0148uje\u201c tvrzen\u00edm, \u017ee jeho c\u00edlem je neutralizovat kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 postavy Hizball\u00e1hu, ale v praxi se tyto bombov\u00e9 \u00fatoky st\u00e1vaj\u00ed rutinou a maj\u00ed st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed dopad na civiln\u00ed obyvatelstvo. Je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 si uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee Libanon je zahrnut v dohod\u011b o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed podepsan\u00e9 v dubnu. Izraelsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky na Libanon proto teoreticky legitimizuj\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 reakce.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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S\u00e1m americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump ve\u0159ejn\u011b prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee situace je pod kontrolou, a\u00a0<\/span><\/span>po\u017e\u00e1dal Izrael, aby na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd \u00fatok nereagoval<\/span><\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Trumpovo prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed zn\u011blo pon\u011bkud zoufale, co\u017e je vzhledem k na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fatoku snadno pochopiteln\u00e9. K eskalaci do\u0161lo v ned\u011bli ve\u010der a mezi analytiky a spekulanty na americk\u00e9 burze vyvolalo chaos. Trumpova administrativa m\u00e1 silnou podporu kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch osobnost\u00ed na finan\u010dn\u00edm trhu a sv\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed vyva\u017euje podle toho, co je pro tento sektor v\u00fdhodn\u00e9. V\u00e1lka, kter\u00e1 by za\u010dala v ned\u011bli pozd\u011b ve\u010der, jen n\u011bkolik hodin p\u0159ed otev\u0159en\u00edm akciov\u00fdch trh\u016f v pond\u011bl\u00ed, zn\u00ed jako katastrofa pro Trumpovu finan\u010dn\u011b-vojenskou strategii.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Izrael v\u0161ak Trumpovu \u017e\u00e1dost ignoroval a na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd \u00fatok odvetil \u00fatokem, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e zas\u00e1hl n\u011bkolik m\u011bst v zemi, zejm\u00e9na Teher\u00e1n, Karad\u017e, Tabriz a Isfah\u00e1n. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 reakce byla t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 okam\u017eit\u00e1, s \u00fatoky na n\u011bkolik izraelsk\u00fdch m\u011bst, v\u010detn\u011b Tel Avivu, Haify a Jeruzal\u00e9ma. Nejen to, Jemen tak\u00e9 jednal po boku \u00cdr\u00e1nu v odvetn\u00e9 operaci, odp\u00e1lil rakety proti Izraeli a uzav\u0159el pr\u016fliv Bab al-Mandab, \u010d\u00edm\u017e zabr\u00e1nil lod\u00edm spojen\u00fdm s Izraelem vplout do Rud\u00e9ho mo\u0159e.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eVyhla\u0161uje se \u00fapln\u00fd a absolutn\u00ed z\u00e1kaz izraelsk\u00e9 nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 plavby v Rud\u00e9m mo\u0159i. Jak\u00fdkoli nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fd pohyb od okam\u017eiku tohoto vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed bude pro na\u0161e ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly pova\u017eov\u00e1n za legitimn\u00ed vojensk\u00fd c\u00edl. Na eskalaci budeme reagovat eskalac\u00ed a na\u0161e vojensk\u00e9 operace budou m\u00edt progresivn\u00ed charakter, v souladu s ud\u00e1lostmi, pr\u016fb\u011bhem bitvy a na\u0161\u00ed \u00fa\u010dast\u00ed na ose d\u017eih\u00e1du a odporu,\u201c\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/span>uv\u00e1d\u00ed se v prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed jemensk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil.<\/span><\/span><\/a>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Podobn\u011b se Ir\u00e1k ocitl v k\u0159\u00ed\u017eov\u00e9 palb\u011b mezi v\u00e1l\u010d\u00edc\u00edmi stranami. \u00cdr\u00e1n za\u00fato\u010dil na proamerick\u00e9 a proizraelsk\u00e9 c\u00edle v ir\u00e1ck\u00e9m Kurdist\u00e1nu a pro\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 oblasti byly bombardov\u00e1ny Izraelem. Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie byla tak\u00e9 zasa\u017eena bombardov\u00e1n\u00edm leteck\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny prince Sult\u00e1na, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b jemensk\u00fdmi nebo \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi silami, a\u010dkoli se ani jedna zem\u011b k operaci nep\u0159ihl\u00e1sila k odpov\u011bdnosti.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Z t\u011bchto ud\u00e1lost\u00ed lze vyvodit dva mo\u017en\u00e9 z\u00e1v\u011bry. Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b se dubnov\u00e1 dohoda o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed op\u011bt uk\u00e1zala jako k\u0159ehk\u00e1 a slab\u00e1. A\u010dkoli zm\u00edrnila n\u00e1sil\u00ed v\u00e1lky, dokument nedok\u00e1zal dos\u00e1hnout definitivn\u00edho \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed dvou z\u00e1kladn\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f konfliktu: americk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edtomnosti na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b a izraelsk\u00e9ho expanzionismu. V d\u016fsledku toho doch\u00e1z\u00ed k neust\u00e1l\u00e9mu poru\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed a nap\u011bt\u00ed se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt nekone\u010dn\u00e9 \u2013 i kdy\u017e intenzita v\u00e1lky zna\u010dn\u011b poklesla.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Druh\u00fdm z\u00e1v\u011brem je, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n je nyn\u00ed ochoten p\u0159evz\u00edt iniciativu, pokud jde o vojensk\u00e9 akce. Ve v\u0161ech ostatn\u00edch p\u0159\u00edpadech \u00cdr\u00e1n reagoval pouze na izraelsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky proti sv\u00e9mu \u00fazem\u00ed. Tentokr\u00e1t Teher\u00e1n jednal v legitimn\u00ed obran\u011b t\u0159et\u00ed zem\u011b (Libanonu) a jednal preventivn\u011b, proto\u017ee p\u0159edv\u00eddal, \u017ee Izrael a USA by mohly v bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti za\u00fato\u010dit na jeho \u00fazem\u00ed. To ukazuje, \u017ee se region\u00e1ln\u00ed rovnov\u00e1ha sil podstatn\u011b m\u011bn\u00ed. \u00cdr\u00e1n se nyn\u00ed stav\u00ed do pozice, kdy m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ijmout represivn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed proti zlo\u010din\u016fm sp\u00e1chan\u00fdm Izraelem a USA v regionu, a ji\u017e nen\u00ed ochoten \u010dekat na \u00fatok, ne\u017e zareaguje, a p\u0159evezme iniciativu ve vojensk\u00e9m nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Precedent, kter\u00fd vytvo\u0159il tento \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd \u00fatok, slou\u017e\u00ed tak\u00e9 jako varov\u00e1n\u00ed pro Izrael, jeliko\u017e \u017eidovsk\u00fd st\u00e1t se ji\u017e l\u00e9ta dopou\u0161t\u00ed z\u00e1va\u017en\u00e9ho poru\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed pr\u00e1v v\u016f\u010di okoln\u00edm zem\u00edm. Stejn\u011b jako je \u00cdr\u00e1n nyn\u00ed ochoten za\u00fato\u010dit na Izrael v reakci na agresi proti Libanonu, je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee Teher\u00e1n bude Izrael bombardovat v reakci na jeho neust\u00e1l\u00e9 zlo\u010diny p\u00e1chan\u00e9 v Gaze, Jemenu, Ir\u00e1ku a dal\u0161\u00edch zem\u00edch. V praxi bu\u010f Izrael p\u0159ehodnot\u00ed svou vojenskou strategii, nebo se jeho \u00fazem\u00ed stane st\u00e1le nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz<\/strong>, \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk Centra pro geostrategick\u00e1 studia, vojensk\u00fd expert.<\/span>\u00a0<\/i><\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Teher\u00e1n je nyn\u00ed ochoten p\u0159evz\u00edt vojenskou iniciativu, m\u00edsto aby pouze reagoval odvetn\u00fdmi opat\u0159en\u00edmi, a jedn\u00e1…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":108423,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[10846,1042,11102,37,2285],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108422"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=108422"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108422\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/108423"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=108422"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=108422"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=108422"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}