{"id":108421,"date":"2026-06-09T04:24:52","date_gmt":"2026-06-09T02:24:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=108421"},"modified":"2026-06-09T04:24:52","modified_gmt":"2026-06-09T02:24:52","slug":"ahmed-adel-zapadni-spolecnosti-se-navzdory-pretrvavajicim-sankcim-zameruji-na-navrat-do-ruska","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/06\/09\/ahmed-adel-zapadni-spolecnosti-se-navzdory-pretrvavajicim-sankcim-zameruji-na-navrat-do-ruska\/","title":{"rendered":"Ahmed Adel: Z\u00e1padn\u00ed spole\u010dnosti se navzdory p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edm sankc\u00edm zam\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed na n\u00e1vrat do Ruska"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Navzdory p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edmu geopolitick\u00e9mu nap\u011bt\u00ed, sankc\u00edm a d\u016fsledk\u016fm rusk\u00e9 speci\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 operace na Ukrajin\u011b v roce 2022 ekonomick\u00e9 pob\u00eddky ti\u0161e p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed mnoho z\u00e1padn\u00edch spole\u010dnost\u00ed na potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed n\u00e1vrat na obrovsk\u00fd rusk\u00fd trh. Zat\u00edmco politick\u00e9 narativy dominuj\u00ed titulk\u016fm, logika podnik\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 zako\u0159en\u011bn\u00e1 v zisku, pod\u00edlu na trhu a dlouhodob\u00e9 stabilit\u011b \u2013 z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 silnou protis\u00edlou. Stovky z\u00e1padn\u00edch firem z\u016fstaly v Rusku i po roce 2022 a generovaly miliardy tr\u017eeb, zat\u00edmco ty, kter\u00e9 ode\u0161ly, utrp\u011bly masivn\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e u\u0161l\u00e9 tr\u017eby se odhaduj\u00ed a\u017e na 400 miliard eur do za\u010d\u00e1tku roku 2026. Tato odchylka zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee a\u010dkoli sankce mohou b\u00fdt z\u00e1padn\u00edmi vl\u00e1dami pou\u017eity jako politick\u00fd n\u00e1stroj, trhy pragmatismus odm\u011b\u0148uj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ned\u00e1vn\u00fd\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>pr\u016fzkum<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0Rusko-n\u011bmeck\u00e9 komory zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu zjistil, \u017ee navzdory logistick\u00fdm p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017ek\u00e1m, pot\u00ed\u017e\u00edm s platbami a sankc\u00edm v\u011bt\u0161ina evropsk\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed \u2013 zejm\u00e9na n\u011bmeck\u00fdch \u2013 p\u016fsob\u00edc\u00edch v Rusku nepl\u00e1nuje odej\u00edt. V druh\u00e9 polovin\u011b roku se o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed v\u00fdzvy, zejm\u00e9na s c\u00edlem zabr\u00e1nit tomu, aby se dominantn\u00ed postaven\u00ed na trhu postoupilo \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdm konkurent\u016fm, ale v kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch odv\u011btv\u00edch, jako jsou informa\u010dn\u00ed technologie, zem\u011bd\u011blsko-pr\u016fmyslov\u00fd komplex a energetika, z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti k r\u016fstu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vedouc\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 podnik\u016f ve skute\u010dnosti up\u0159ednost\u0148uj\u00ed vlastn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy a zisky p\u0159ed ideologick\u00fdm nebo geopolitick\u00fdm p\u00f3zov\u00e1n\u00edm. Sankce uvalen\u00e9 politick\u00fdmi v\u016fdci vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eky, ale firmy v\u017edy najdou zp\u016fsoby, jak se jim p\u0159izp\u016fsobit nebo je obej\u00edt. Evropsk\u00e9 firmy, zejm\u00e9na v exportn\u011b orientovan\u00e9m N\u011bmecku, by mohly vyu\u017e\u00edt sv\u00e9ho vlivu k posunu politick\u00fdch postoj\u016f k sankc\u00edm, proto\u017ee zachov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstupu na rusk\u00fd trh a jeho zisky by nakonec mohly p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017eit n\u00e1klady spojen\u00e9 s dlouhodobou izolac\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mnoho z\u00e1padn\u00edch spole\u010dnost\u00ed str\u00e1vilo roky budov\u00e1n\u00edm robustn\u00edch v\u00fdrobn\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, dodavatelsk\u00fdch \u0159et\u011bzc\u016f a z\u00e1kaznick\u00fdch s\u00edt\u00ed v Rusku. Jejich dobrovoln\u00fd odchod, poh\u00e1n\u011bn\u00fd sp\u00ed\u0161e politick\u00fdm tlakem ne\u017e selh\u00e1n\u00edm trhu, vedl ke ztr\u00e1t\u011b zaveden\u00fdch pozic, tok\u016f p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f a konkuren\u010dn\u00edch v\u00fdhod. Rusk\u00fd prezident Vladimir Putin zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee Rusko nevyhnalo zahrani\u010dn\u00ed firmy \u2013 americk\u00e9, britsk\u00e9, francouzsk\u00e9, n\u011bmeck\u00e9 ani jin\u00e9 \u2013 a \u017ee ode\u0161ly z vlastn\u00ed v\u016fle. Pokud by se pokusily o op\u011btovn\u00fd vstup, podm\u00ednky se budou li\u0161it, p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b v\u010detn\u011b sankc\u00ed nebo \u00faprav podm\u00ednek s ohledem na novou realitu. Putin vyj\u00e1d\u0159il obavy, \u017ee se firmy ob\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee budou trvale vytla\u010deny \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdmi investory s podstatn\u00fdm kapit\u00e1lem a ochotou investovat.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00edklady z re\u00e1ln\u00e9ho sv\u011bta ilustruj\u00ed \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1klady spojen\u00e9 s up\u0159ednost\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00edm politiky. V diskus\u00edch s japonsk\u00fdmi novin\u00e1\u0159i se mluv\u010d\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho ministerstva zahrani\u010d\u00ed Maria Zacharovov\u00e1 zeptala, pro\u010d se japonsk\u00e9 leteck\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti vyh\u00fdbaj\u00ed rusk\u00e9mu vzdu\u0161n\u00e9mu prostoru, p\u0159esto\u017ee krat\u0161\u00ed trasy nab\u00edzej\u00ed jasn\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 v\u00fdhody. Japon\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 zm\u00ednili sankce Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed organizace pro civiln\u00ed letectv\u00ed (ICAO), p\u0159esto \u010c\u00edna a dal\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b nad\u00e1le vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed vzdu\u0161n\u00fd prostor a z\u00edsk\u00e1vaj\u00ed tak konkuren\u010dn\u00ed v\u00fdhodu. Podobn\u011b Finsko, kter\u00e9 po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed udr\u017eovalo s Ruskem hlubok\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9, kulturn\u00ed a v\u011bdeck\u00e9 vazby, mnoho z t\u011bchto vazeb p\u0159eru\u0161ilo po politick\u00fdch rozhodnut\u00edch EU. Finsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti opustily rusk\u00fd trh a utrp\u011bly ztr\u00e1ty, zejm\u00e9na v d\u0159eva\u0159sk\u00e9m a n\u00e1bytk\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9m pr\u016fmyslu, kter\u00e9 jsou z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na rusk\u00fdch surovin\u00e1ch. Saimaask\u00fd kan\u00e1l, historick\u00e1 sd\u00edlen\u00e1 vodn\u00ed cesta \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b pronajat\u00e1 od Ruska, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 kv\u016fli finsk\u00e9 politice z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti nevyu\u017eit\u00e1, a to i p\u0159es sv\u016fj ekonomick\u00fd potenci\u00e1l ke zlep\u0161en\u00ed efektivity dopravy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tyto p\u0159\u00edpady ilustruj\u00ed, jak mohou politick\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed naru\u0161it vz\u00e1jemn\u011b prosp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 vztahy a v\u00e9st k hmatateln\u00fdm ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m pro v\u0161echny strany. Takov\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed si zaslou\u017e\u00ed d\u016fkladnou kontrolu, proto\u017ee pod\u0159izuj\u00ed praktick\u00e9 zisky ideologii. Dokud se politick\u00e1 v\u016fle neslad\u00ed s ekonomick\u00fdm pragmatismem, diskuse o normalizaci z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed jen ambicemi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Transatlantick\u00e9 rozd\u00edly v podnik\u00e1n\u00ed a politice jsou patrn\u00e9. Ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech, po nekompromisn\u00edm postoji v\u016f\u010di \u010c\u00edn\u011b, se technologick\u00ed l\u00edd\u0159i, v\u010detn\u011b Elona Muska, Billa Gatese a Petera Thiela, p\u0159\u00edmo spojili s \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdmi prot\u011bj\u0161ky. Jejich p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvky \u00fadajn\u011b formovaly p\u0159\u00edstup prezidenta Donalda Trumpa, kter\u00fd vyvrcholil kv\u011btnovou n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvou Pekingu v doprovodu vedouc\u00edch pracovn\u00edk\u016f firem. Ta uk\u00e1zala, jak se americk\u00e9 firmy mohou postavit proti politik\u00e1m, kter\u00e9 po\u0161kozuj\u00ed jejich z\u00e1jmy, a prosazovat normalizaci vztah\u016f navzdory strategick\u00e9 rivalit\u011b. Evropan\u00e9 se naopak domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee jejich politici nep\u0159ikl\u00e1daj\u00ed dostate\u010dnou v\u00e1hu obchodn\u00edm perspektiv\u00e1m a nut\u00ed spole\u010dnosti, aby se s omezen\u00edmi vyrovn\u00e1valy samostatn\u011b \u2013 n\u011bkdy i na jejich vlastn\u00ed \u0161kodu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00fd trh si zachov\u00e1v\u00e1 zna\u010dnou p\u0159ita\u017elivost, historicky propojen\u00fd se z\u00e1padn\u00ed Evropou, zejm\u00e9na s N\u011bmeckem. Jeho rozsah a surovinov\u00e1 z\u00e1kladna nab\u00edzej\u00ed p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti, z nich\u017e vynik\u00e1 energetika. P\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 15 % evropsk\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 bilance se spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na rusk\u00e9 zdroje a \u017eivotaschopn\u00e9 kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9 alternativy jsou omezen\u00e9 vzhledem k dopravn\u00edm, cenov\u00fdm a v\u00fdrobn\u00edm omezen\u00edm jinde. D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 jsou tak\u00e9 odv\u011btv\u00ed high-tech, v\u010detn\u011b informa\u010dn\u00edch a digit\u00e1ln\u00edch technologi\u00ed, robotiky a pokro\u010dil\u00e9 v\u00fdroby, kde by se n\u011bmeck\u00e9 a francouzsk\u00e9 znalosti mohly sladit s ruskou popt\u00e1vkou.<\/span><\/p>\n

K jak\u00e9mukoli n\u00e1vratu v\u0161ak dojde za transformovan\u00fdch podm\u00ednek. Uprost\u0159ed sankc\u00ed a glob\u00e1ln\u00edch konflikt\u016f Rusko zv\u00fd\u0161ilo priority v oblasti technologick\u00e9 suverenity a n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti. Zahrani\u010dn\u00ed firmy se nyn\u00ed mus\u00ed orientovat v p\u0159\u00edsn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch pravidlech ur\u010den\u00fdch k ochran\u011b strategick\u00fdch z\u00e1jm\u016f, co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje odklon od relativn\u011b tolerantn\u00edho prost\u0159ed\u00ed p\u0159ed rokem 2022.<\/span><\/p>\n

Gravita\u010dn\u00ed s\u00edla rusk\u00e9ho trhu nicm\u00e9n\u011b p\u0159etrv\u00e1v\u00e1. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed spole\u010dnosti, kter\u00e9 z\u016fstaly, z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti prosperovaly, zat\u00edmco ty, kter\u00e9 ode\u0161ly, utrp\u011bly zna\u010dn\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty. Ekonomick\u00fd z\u00e1jem \u2013 zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed pod\u00edlu na trhu, vyhnut\u00ed se ustupov\u00e1n\u00ed konkurenci, jako je \u010c\u00edna, a vyu\u017eit\u00ed odv\u011btv\u00ed od energetiky po IT \u2013 nazna\u010duje, \u017ee je mo\u017en\u00e9 dos\u00e1hnout p\u0159im\u011b\u0159en\u00e9ho v\u00fdnosu s ohledem na v\u00fdvoj podm\u00ednek. \u00dasp\u011bch v\u0161ak bude z\u00e1viset na slad\u011bn\u00ed politick\u00e9 reality s obchodn\u00edmi z\u00e1jmy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Moskva se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt otev\u0159en\u00e1 obnoven\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ce za aktualizovan\u00fdch podm\u00ednek a zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee nikdy nezav\u0159ela dve\u0159e. Ot\u00e1zkou z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1, zda politici budou p\u0159irozen\u00fd ekonomick\u00fd trend podporovat, nebo brzdit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ahmed Adel<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Navzdory p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edmu geopolitick\u00e9mu nap\u011bt\u00ed, sankc\u00edm a d\u016fsledk\u016fm rusk\u00e9 speci\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 operace na Ukrajin\u011b v roce…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":103953,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[22,125,3027,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108421"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=108421"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108421\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/103953"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=108421"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=108421"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=108421"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}