{"id":108230,"date":"2026-06-09T00:11:14","date_gmt":"2026-06-08T22:11:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=108230"},"modified":"2026-06-04T18:20:35","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T16:20:35","slug":"konec-sveta-kde-sila-stacila","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/06\/09\/konec-sveta-kde-sila-stacila\/","title":{"rendered":"Konec sv\u011bta, kde s\u00edla sta\u010dila"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Existuj\u00ed v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e9 posouvaj\u00ed hranice, a jin\u00e9, kter\u00e9 destabilizuj\u00ed t\u011b\u017ei\u0161t\u011b d\u011bjin. Konfrontace s \u00cdr\u00e1nem spad\u00e1 do t\u00e9to druh\u00e9 kategorie.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Na prvn\u00ed pohled nic nenasv\u011bd\u010duje rozchodu. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 kapitulace. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 poni\u017euj\u00edc\u00ed smlouva. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00fd viditeln\u00fd kolaps. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty st\u00e1le \u00fato\u010d\u00ed. Izrael st\u00e1le jedn\u00e1. Aliance dr\u017e\u00ed. Z\u00e1klady z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed na m\u00edst\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee energie je neporu\u0161en\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

A p\u0159ece se n\u011bco zm\u011bnilo. Ne na map\u00e1ch. Ne v komunik\u00e9. Ale ve zp\u016fsobu, jak\u00fdm v\u00e1lka vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 \u2013 nebo u\u017e nevyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 \u2013 sv\u00e9 n\u00e1sledky.<\/span><\/p>\n

To, co se stalo s \u00cdr\u00e1nem, nebyla vojensk\u00e1 por\u00e1\u017eka. Byla to por\u00e1\u017eka modelu, kter\u00fd Z\u00e1padu umo\u017enil prom\u011bnit moc v dominanci. Moc z\u016fstala. Jej\u00ed transforma\u010dn\u00ed schopnost zmizela.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u011bt koncept\u016f pro pochopen\u00ed rozchodu<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Ne\u017e se pod\u00edv\u00e1me na konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpady, poj\u010fme si nast\u00ednit mechanismy, kter\u00e9 prostupuj\u00ed v\u0161emi ned\u00e1vn\u00fdmi konflikty.<\/span><\/p>\n

1. \u201eV\u00e1lka jako slu\u017eba\u201c<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Z\u00e1pad outsourcuje sv\u00e9 konflikty \u2013 Ukrajinu, Izrael \u2013 bez ohledu na lidsk\u00e9 ob\u011bti nebo trv\u00e1n\u00ed. Financuje je, vyzbrojuje, poskytuje diplomatickou podporu. Ale u\u017e neum\u00edr\u00e1 za sv\u00e9 c\u00edle. V\u00fdsledek: spojenci bojuj\u00ed, Z\u00e1pad pozoruje.<\/span><\/p>\n

A kdy\u017e se v\u00e1lka vle\u010de, nem\u016f\u017ee ani odej\u00edt, ani vyhr\u00e1t.<\/span><\/p>\n

2. \u201eParadox zbyte\u010dn\u00e9 moci\u201c<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

\u010c\u00edm siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je Z\u00e1pad, t\u00edm m\u00e9n\u011b rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed se st\u00e1vaj\u00ed jeho n\u00e1stroje.<\/span>
\n\u2022 Technologie: Z\u00e1padn\u00ed dron p\u0159ivol\u00e1 deset nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch dron\u016f, m\u00e9n\u011b p\u0159esn\u00fdch, ale po\u010detn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch. Technologick\u00e1 p\u0159evaha ji\u017e nezaru\u010duje strategickou p\u0159evahu.<\/span>
\n\u2022 Ekonomika: Sankce vedou k obch\u00e1zen\u00ed (j\u00fcan, zlato, BRICS). Z\u00e1padn\u00ed ekonomika se st\u00e1v\u00e1 \u010d\u00edm d\u00e1l men\u0161\u00edm omezen\u00edm.<\/span>
\n\u2022 Diplomacie: Aliance jako NATO se rozpad\u00e1 zevnit\u0159.<\/span><\/p>\n

Moc nezmiz\u00ed. Stane se zbyte\u010dnou \u2013 nebo t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 zbyte\u010dnou.<\/span><\/p>\n

3. \u201eV\u00e1lka ztracen\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh\u016f\u201c<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

V\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed ve v\u00e1lce d\u0159\u00edve znamenalo v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed v narativu. Dnes Z\u00e1pad vyhr\u00e1v\u00e1 bitvy, ale prohr\u00e1v\u00e1 v p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhu.\u00a0<\/span>CNN<\/span><\/em>\u00a0a OSN u\u017e nediktuj\u00ed b\u011bh ud\u00e1lost\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span>Al Jazeera<\/span><\/em>\u00a0, TikTok a dal\u0161\u00ed platformy vnucuj\u00ed protich\u016fdn\u00e9 narativy. Na Ukrajin\u011b, v Gaze a tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 \u00cdr\u00e1nu u\u017e sv\u011bt z\u00e1padn\u00edm prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm nev\u011b\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve sv\u011bt\u011b, kde vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed hraje stejnou roli jako fakta, je ztr\u00e1ta narativu jako prohra v\u00e1lky je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed jej\u00edm za\u010d\u00e1tkem.<\/span><\/p>\n

4. \u201eSyndrom unaven\u00e9 \u0159\u00ed\u0161e\u201c<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Z\u00e1pad u\u017e nechce vyhr\u00e1vat. Chce se prost\u011b vyhnout proh\u0159e. Na Ukrajin\u011b se u\u017e nesna\u017e\u00ed porazit Rusko, ale zabr\u00e1nit ukrajinsk\u00e9mu kolapsu. S Izraelem se u\u017e nesna\u017e\u00ed rozdrtit Hizball\u00e1h, ale vyhnout se region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lce. Tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 \u00cdr\u00e1nu se u\u017e nesna\u017e\u00ed ovl\u00e1dnout Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, ale odvr\u00e1tit glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ropnou krizi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e \u0159\u00ed\u0161e p\u0159estane dob\u00fdvat a spokoj\u00ed se s pouhou obranou, je ji\u017e v \u00fapadku.<\/span><\/p>\n

5. \u201eObr\u00e1cen\u00fd dominov\u00fd efekt\u201c<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Ka\u017ed\u00e9 selh\u00e1n\u00ed Z\u00e1padu posiluje jeho protivn\u00edky \u2013 a inspiruje ostatn\u00ed. Ukrajina uk\u00e1zala Rusku, jak se br\u00e1nit. Gaza uk\u00e1zala Ham\u00e1su, jak p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt. Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv uk\u00e1zal \u00cdr\u00e1nu, jak vyjedn\u00e1vat. V\u00e1lka u\u017e nen\u00ed konfliktem mezi centrem a periferi\u00ed: odehr\u00e1v\u00e1 se v multipol\u00e1rn\u00edm syst\u00e9mu, kde se ka\u017ed\u00e1 krize st\u00e1v\u00e1 laborato\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u011bchto p\u011bt mechanism\u016f nen\u00ed n\u00e1hodn\u00fdch. Vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed nov\u00fd re\u017eim konfliktu, kter\u00fd p\u0159\u00edpady Ukrajiny, Izraele a \u00cdr\u00e1nu ilustruj\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00fd sv\u00fdm vlastn\u00edm zp\u016fsobem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajina: V\u00e1lka p\u0159est\u00e1v\u00e1 rozhodovat<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Prvn\u00ed z t\u011bchto mechanism\u016f byl spu\u0161t\u011bn na V\u00fdchod\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato zm\u011bna neza\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1padn\u00ed v\u016fdci m\u011bs\u00edce slibovali nemo\u017en\u00e9: rychl\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, kolaps Ruska, Putin\u016fv p\u00e1d b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika t\u00fddn\u016f. Sankce m\u011bly Moskvu \u201ezni\u010dit\u201c. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed zbran\u011b m\u011bly \u201ezm\u011bnit b\u011bh d\u011bjin\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nic takov\u00e9ho se nestalo. Sankce nezhroutily ruskou ekonomiku. Vojensk\u00e1 pomoc nep\u0159inesla pr\u016flom. Frontov\u00e9 linie se posunuly beze zm\u011bny. V\u00e1lka se stala dynamikou vy\u010derp\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed, kde ka\u017ed\u00fd pokrok je absorbov\u00e1n proti\u00fatokem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajina nebyla br\u00e1n\u011bna. Byla pou\u017eita jako plnohodnotn\u00e1 laborato\u0159, kde Z\u00e1pad testoval limity sv\u00e9ho modelu \u2013 a kde selhal. Stovky tis\u00edc mrtv\u00fdch, m\u011bsta srovnan\u00e1 se zem\u00ed, zdevastovan\u00fd n\u00e1rod. Pro Z\u00e1pad: vy\u010derpan\u00e9 arzen\u00e1ly, upadaj\u00edc\u00ed obrann\u00fd pr\u016fmysl, inflace, kter\u00e1 ochromila jeho st\u0159edn\u00ed t\u0159\u00eddu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajina uk\u00e1zala, \u017ee v\u00e1lka u\u017e nerozhoduje. Vy\u010derp\u00e1v\u00e1. Od dob Ukrajiny u\u017e v\u00e1lka nen\u00ed n\u011bco, co se d\u00e1 vyhr\u00e1t. Stala se stavem, kter\u00fd se d\u00e1 vydr\u017eet \u2013 nebo prohr\u00e1t.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izrael: Iluze nezranitelnosti<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

V Gaze p\u0159evzaly kontrolu jin\u00e9 mechanismy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izrael dovedl z\u00e1padn\u00ed logiku do extr\u00e9mu: \u00fato\u010dit siln\u011bji, rychleji a d\u00e1le. P\u0159esto ani s ultratechnologickou arm\u00e1dou a neochv\u011bjnou americkou podporou nemohl vyhr\u00e1t.<\/span><\/p>\n

7. \u0159\u00edjen 2023 ot\u0159\u00e1sl t\u0159emi pil\u00ed\u0159i jej\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti: jadern\u00fdm odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00edm (bezmocn\u00fdm proti nep\u0159\u00edteli p\u0159ipraven\u00e9mu zem\u0159\u00edt), technologickou p\u0159evahou (obejitou tunely a levn\u00fdmi drony) a bezpodm\u00edne\u010dnou alianc\u00ed se Z\u00e1padem (bezmocn\u00fdm zabr\u00e1nit jej\u00ed diplomatick\u00e9 izolaci).<\/span><\/p>\n

Izrael zas\u00e1hl Gazu s neb\u00fdval\u00fdm n\u00e1sil\u00edm. Ham\u00e1s nebyl vym\u00fdcen. Palestinsk\u00fd odpor p\u0159etrv\u00e1v\u00e1, je rozpt\u00fdlen\u00fd a decentralizovan\u00fd. Politick\u00e1 cena pro Izrael (a pro Z\u00e1pad) je nevratn\u00e1: odsouzen\u00ed v OSN, glob\u00e1ln\u00ed demonstrace, ekonomick\u00e9 bojkoty.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izrael zt\u011bles\u0148uje vrcholn\u00fd paradox: \u010d\u00edm siln\u011bji ude\u0159\u00edte, t\u00edm v\u00edce ztr\u00e1c\u00edte kontrolu nad narativem, trv\u00e1n\u00edm a v\u00fdsledkem. 7. \u0159\u00edjen nebyl vojenskou por\u00e1\u017ekou. Byla to por\u00e1\u017eka modelu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n: V\u00e1lka bez bodu zlomu<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Ale cel\u00fd syst\u00e9m byl odhalen proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Co Ukrajina odhalila, co Izrael ilustroval, to \u00cdr\u00e1n potvrdil \u2013 a zes\u00edlil.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00edce ne\u017e p\u011bt t\u00fddn\u016f americko-izraelsk\u00e9 n\u00e1lety ni\u010dily infrastrukturu, raketov\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny a \u010d\u00e1st \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva. Dokonce zabily i nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u016fdce Chamene\u00edho. Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv v\u0161ak v praxi z\u016fstal pod efektivn\u00ed kontrolou Teher\u00e1nu. \u00dadery zabily symbol. Ne strategii.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n prom\u011bnil svou viditelnou zranitelnost v neviditelnou zbra\u0148: schopnost udr\u017eet chaos bez kolapsu. Ka\u017ed\u00e1 eskalace byla absorbov\u00e1na. Ka\u017ed\u00fd ekonomick\u00fd tlak byl prom\u011bn\u011bn v p\u00e1ku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee \u00fadery dos\u00e1hly viditeln\u00fdch mo\u017enost\u00ed, ani\u017e by neutralizovaly rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed prost\u0159edky: s\u00e9riov\u00e9 drony, inteligentn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed miny, protilodn\u00ed st\u0159ely a podzemn\u00ed s\u00edt\u011b. To, co umo\u017e\u0148uje kontrolu nad pr\u016flivem, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nedot\u010deno.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nebyl \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd zlom. Pouze demonstrace: technologick\u00e1 p\u0159evaha u\u017e nesta\u010d\u00ed k vynucen\u00ed z\u00e1v\u011bru.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1padn\u00ed kladivo ude\u0159ilo do \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 sk\u00e1ly. Sk\u00e1la se od\u0161t\u00edpla. Kladivo bylo tup\u00e9. A sk\u00e1la st\u00e1le stoj\u00ed a dominuje pr\u016flivu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Paradox zbyte\u010dn\u00e9 s\u00edly: siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u00fadery nep\u0159inesly nic dobr\u00e9ho.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n nedos\u00e1hl vojensk\u00e9ho v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed. P\u0159e\u017eil. A p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 z\u00e1padn\u00ed supervelmoci je v budouc\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b formou strategick\u00e9ho v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Fragmentace sv\u011bta<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Tento posun je umocn\u011bn \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed transformac\u00ed. Sv\u011bt ji\u017e nen\u00ed sjednocen\u00fd. Z\u00e1pad ji\u017e samostatn\u011b nedefinuje normy, spojenectv\u00ed a narativy. Objevuj\u00ed se jin\u00e9 p\u00f3ly a rozv\u00edjej\u00ed se jin\u00e9 logiky.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n nen\u00ed s\u00e1m. Je propojen s energetick\u00fdmi partnery (\u010c\u00edna plat\u00ed za ropu v juanech), se strukturami jako BRICS (kter\u00e1 p\u0159iv\u00edtala \u00cdr\u00e1n, Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bii, Egypt a Etiopii) a se strategickou konvergenc\u00ed s dal\u0161\u00edmi mocnostmi.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00e1lka u\u017e nestav\u00ed Z\u00e1pad proti izolovan\u00e9mu st\u00e1tu, ale proti s\u00edti odolnosti, kter\u00e1 prom\u011b\u0148uje sankce v p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti. Zat\u00edmco Washington a jeho spojenci hledaj\u00ed rozhodn\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed, jin\u00ed nerovnov\u00e1hu pozoruj\u00ed, kalkuluj\u00ed a t\u011b\u017e\u00ed z n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

V multipol\u00e1rn\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b nem\u016f\u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 omezen\u00e1 koalice vnutit glob\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d.<\/span><\/p>\n

Konec z\u00e1padn\u00ed v\u00e1lky<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Z\u00e1padn\u00ed v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed nezmiz\u00ed. Ale p\u0159est\u00e1v\u00e1 b\u00fdt dominantn\u00ed formou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jeho principy \u2013 rychlost, p\u0159evaha, rozhodnost \u2013 ji\u017e nesta\u010d\u00ed k utv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed reality. Objevuj\u00ed se jin\u00e9 formy: vlekl\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, rozpt\u00fdlen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, v\u00e1lky bez jasn\u00e9ho z\u00e1v\u011bru. V\u00e1lky, kde je vytrvalost d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e rychlost, odolnost v\u00edce ne\u017e s\u00edla, \u010das v\u00edce ne\u017e \u0161ok.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1pad vynik\u00e1 ve vojensk\u00e9m sprintu. Ve strategick\u00e9m maratonu je bezmocn\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izrael je toho d\u016fkazem: po bezprecedentn\u00edm n\u00e1sil\u00ed v Gaze se ocitl izolovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, nen\u00e1vid\u011bn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a zraniteln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e d\u0159\u00edve. Sprint selhal. Maraton ani neza\u010dal.<\/span><\/p>\n

Po \u00cdr\u00e1nu, po Izraeli, v\u00e1lka u\u017e nebude z\u00e1padn\u00ed. Ne proto, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad miz\u00ed, ale proto, \u017ee jeho pravidla u\u017e neur\u010duj\u00ed v\u00fdsledek.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu nezm\u011bnila sv\u011bt. Odhalila jeho transformaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tohle nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt konec z\u00e1padn\u00edch v\u00e1lek. Je to konec sv\u011bta, v n\u011bm\u017e sta\u010dily k v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0158\u00ed\u0161e neum\u00edraj\u00ed v z\u00e1\u0159i sl\u00e1vy. Miz\u00ed v lhostejnosti sv\u011bta, kter\u00fd je od t\u00e9 doby ignoruje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mounir Kilani<\/span><\/a><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Existuj\u00ed v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e9 posouvaj\u00ed hranice, a jin\u00e9, kter\u00e9 destabilizuj\u00ed t\u011b\u017ei\u0161t\u011b d\u011bjin. Konfrontace s \u00cdr\u00e1nem spad\u00e1…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":108231,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,276,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108230"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=108230"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108230\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/108231"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=108230"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=108230"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=108230"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}