{"id":108138,"date":"2026-06-04T05:01:40","date_gmt":"2026-06-04T03:01:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=108138"},"modified":"2026-06-04T05:04:41","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T03:04:41","slug":"michael-svatos-bohoduchovsky-kruh-smrti-rusky-utok-zacal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/06\/04\/michael-svatos-bohoduchovsky-kruh-smrti-rusky-utok-zacal\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: \u201cBohoduchovsk\u00fd kruh smrti\u201d \u2013 Rusk\u00fd \u00fatok za\u010dal"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Dopln\u011bn\u00ed v\u010derej\u0161\u00ed anal\u00fdzy: V anal\u00fdze MAP 2623 jsem na z\u00e1klad\u011b r\u016fzn\u00fdch \u00fadaj\u016f p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dal, \u017ee Rusko ka\u017ed\u00fd den na front\u011b proti ukrajinsk\u00fdm voj\u00e1k\u016fm vypust\u00ed 13 200 frontov\u00fdch zabij\u00e1ck\u00fdch dron\u016f FPV. V\u010dera dopoledne v\u0161ak\u00a0prvn\u00ed m\u00edstop\u0159edseda rusk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy Denis Manturov<\/span><\/a>\u00a0ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee ru\u0161t\u00ed voj\u00e1ci maj\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00fd den na front\u011b k dispozici k vypu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed proti Ukrajinc\u016fm 15 000 frontov\u00fdch zabij\u00e1ck\u00fdch dron\u016f FPV, tedy o 1 800 v\u00edce, ne\u017e jsem v\u010dera r\u00e1no p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dal.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

A\u010dkoli Ukrajinci a evropsk\u00fd mainstream\u00a0vytrvale v posledn\u00edch dnech tvrd\u00ed<\/a>, \u017ee Ukrajina dos\u00e1hla bodu obratu ve v\u00e1lce, a to i na boji\u0161ti, situace je tam opa\u010dn\u00e1. V dne\u0161n\u00ed anal\u00fdze se proto zam\u011b\u0159\u00edme na boje o velk\u00e9 Ukrajinsk\u00e9 m\u011bsto Konstantinivka, kter\u00e9 v posledn\u00edch hodin\u00e1ch ne\u010dekan\u011b rychle pad\u00e1 do rusk\u00fdch rukou, a na v\u010derej\u0161\u00ed p\u0159ekvapiv\u00fd vp\u00e1d rusk\u00fdch vojsk do m\u011bste\u010dka\u00a0Kaza\u010da Lopa\u0148, 25km severn\u011b od Charkova.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

(1) Rusov\u00e9 proti Ukrajin\u011b v\u010dera otev\u0159eli novou frontu, a za\u00fato\u010dili sm\u011brem na Charkov p\u0159\u00edmo ze severu, tedy do m\u00edst, kde se od podzimu 2022 nebojovalo, a odkud se Rusov\u00e9 v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2023 st\u00e1hli.<\/h4>\n

V anal\u00fdz\u00e1ch\u00a0MAP 2590<\/a>, a\u00a0MAP 2591<\/a>,\u00a0jsme popisovali n\u00e1hlou neobvykle vysokou aktivitu rusk\u00fdch zabij\u00e1ck\u00fdch a destruk\u010dn\u00edch dron\u016f v tzv. Bohoduchovsk\u00e9m kruhu smrti severov\u00fdchodn\u011b od Charkova, a z n\u00ed jsme vyvodili, \u017ee na tomto sm\u011bru rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da brzy p\u0159ejde k \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdm operac\u00edm.<\/p>\n

Od t\u011bchto na\u0161ich anal\u00fdz uplynul m\u011bs\u00edc, a\u00a0v\u010dera 3. \u010dervna 2026 rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da vtrhla p\u0159es hranici a p\u0159es ukrajinsk\u00e9 vesnice Granov a \u0160ev\u010denko<\/a>\u00a0do severn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti p\u011btitis\u00edcov\u00e9ho m\u011bste\u010dka\u00a0Kaza\u010da Lopa\u0148<\/a>. A\u010dkoli se nejedn\u00e1 o n\u011bjakou velkou ofenz\u00edvu, rychlost s jakou zat\u00edm Rusov\u00e9 na tomto sm\u011bru v\u010dera p\u0159ekonali ukrajinskou obranu ukazuje, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edprava na tento \u00fatok \u2013 vytvo\u0159en\u00ed \u201cBohoduchovsk\u00e9ho kruhu smrti\u201d \u2013 byla op\u011bt metodick\u00e1, s c\u00edlem vyhnout se v\u0161em pozemn\u00edm boj\u016fm s Ukrajinci jejich p\u0159edchoz\u00edm d\u016fsledn\u00fdm vybit\u00edm drony a bombami.<\/p>\n

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Do t\u00e9to mapy z anal\u00fdz o Bohuduchosvk\u00e9m kruhu smrti (na map\u011b velk\u00e9 \u017elut\u00e9 kolo) jsem domaloval mal\u00e9 \u017elut\u00e9 kolo se zelenou \u0161ipkou. Zde v\u010dera Rusov\u00e9 p\u0159es dv\u011b ukrajinsk\u00e9 vesnice vtrhli na severn\u00ed okraj m\u011bsta Kaza\u010da Lopa\u0148.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

(2) Rusk\u00fd \u00fasp\u011bch \u2013 Konstantinivka, (80 tis\u00edc obyvatel p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou, \u010desk\u00e9 srovn\u00e1n\u00ed dle velikosti = Zl\u00edn), v nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edch dnech padne, hl\u00e1s\u00ed jak ru\u0161t\u00ed, tak ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed poln\u00ed komand\u00fd\u0159i, kte\u0159\u00ed o m\u011bsto bojuj\u00ed. Bitva o Konstantinivku ukazuje, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 frontov\u00e9 drony maj\u00ed st\u00e1le drtivou p\u0159evahu nad ukrajinsk\u00fdmi.<\/h4>\n

Bitva o\u00a0Konstantinivku<\/a>\u00a0za\u010dala v polovin\u011b lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho l\u00e9ta. Jej\u00ed pr\u016fb\u011bh nejprve uk\u00e1\u017eu na n\u011bkolika map\u00e1ch, abyste si ud\u011blali z\u00e1kladn\u00ed p\u0159edstavu, jak dlouho p\u0159i sou\u010dasn\u00e9 v\u00e1lce o Ukrajinu trv\u00e1 bitva o osmdes\u00e1titis\u00edcov\u00e9 m\u011bsto, kter\u00e9 Ukrajinci zu\u0159iv\u011b br\u00e1n\u00ed, a Rusov\u00e9 metodicky dob\u00edjej\u00ed. Naschv\u00e1l jsem napsal \u201cdob\u00edjej\u00ed\u201d m\u011bkk\u00e9 i, proto\u017ee dobyt\u00ed m\u011bsta dnes Rusov\u00e9 defacto takticky prov\u00e1d\u00ed \u00fapln\u00fdm metodick\u00fdm vybit\u00edm v\u0161ech jeho obr\u00e1nc\u016f drony, d\u011bly 152mm, a klouzav\u00fdmi bombami. Rusk\u00e1 \u00fato\u010dn\u00e1 p\u011bchota po \u201cvybit\u00ed\u201d obr\u00e1nc\u016f v \u010d\u00e1sti m\u011bsta u\u017e jen prov\u00e1d\u00ed \u201cza\u010distku\u201d takto vybit\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed m\u011bsta, a po n\u00ed se cel\u00fd tento metodick\u00fd postup dob\u00edjen\u00ed \u2013 dobyt\u00ed opakuje v dal\u0161\u00ed \u010dtvrti. \u00dato\u010d\u00edc\u00ed Rusov\u00e9, d\u00edky tomuto sv\u00e9mu metodick\u00e9mu taktick\u00e9mu postupu \u201cdob\u00edjen\u00ed \u2013 dob\u00fdv\u00e1n\u00ed\u201d trp\u00ed p\u0159i \u201cosvobozov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201d m\u011bst zna\u010dn\u011b ni\u017e\u0161\u00edmi ztr\u00e1tami ne\u017e br\u00e1n\u00edc\u00ed se Ukrajinci. Ukrajinci tohoto rusk\u00e9ho \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9ho postupu v siln\u011b br\u00e1n\u011bn\u00fdch m\u011bstech nejsou st\u00e1le je\u0161t\u011b schopni dos\u00e1hnout ani v ojedin\u011bl\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edpadech, a ani se mu nedok\u00e1\u017e\u00ed nijak \u00fa\u010dinn\u011b br\u00e1nit.<\/p>\n

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Bitva o Konstantinivku za\u010dala p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b v polovin\u011b lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho l\u00e9ta, kdy se Rusov\u00e9 za\u010dali k m\u011bstu p\u0159ibli\u017eovat t\u0159emi kolonami z v\u00fdchodu, jihu a z\u00e1padu. Rusk\u00fd \u00fatok na Konstantinivku za\u010dal prakticky ihned po dobyt\u00ed m\u011bsta \u201cDzer\u017einsk\/Toreck<\/a>\u201c, (p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou 31 000 obyvatel, na map\u011b v prav\u00e9m doln\u00edm rohu). Pro zaj\u00edmavost, loni ve m\u011bst\u011b \u201cDzer\u017eisnk\u201d\u00a0p\u0159e\u017e\u00edvalo posledn\u00edch 48 obyvatel<\/a>. M\u011bsto Konstantinivka br\u00e1nily od za\u010d\u00e1tku bitvy elitn\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 jednotky rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00e9 v n\u011bkolika lini\u00edch bunkr\u016f kolem m\u011bsta a ve m\u011bst\u011b samotn\u00e9m. Sebev\u011bdom\u00ed Ukrajinci slibovali Rus\u016fm krvavou bitvu, a por\u00e1\u017eku.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Na za\u010d\u00e1tku lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho prosince se Rusov\u00e9 dv\u011bma kolonami z jihu, a z v\u00fdchodu, prolomili do m\u011bsta Konstantinivka.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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V polovin\u011b leto\u0161n\u00edho b\u0159ezna u\u017e Rusov\u00e9 vstoupili do Konstantinivky i t\u0159et\u00ed kolonou, kter\u00e1 postupovala z jihoz\u00e1padu, a sou\u010dasn\u011b bombami zni\u010dili v\u0161echny hr\u00e1ze pobl\u00ed\u017e ukrajinsk\u00fdch z\u00e1sobovac\u00edch tras\u00e1ch do m\u011bsta, aby z\u00e1plavami zabr\u00e1nili Konstantinivku z\u00e1sobovat, a cel\u00fd ter\u00e9n na ukrajinsk\u00e9 stran\u011b obrany tak maxim\u00e1ln\u011b rozbahnili, aby Ukrajinc\u016fm znemo\u017enili pos\u00edlat do m\u011bsta jak\u00e9koli posily, a sou\u010dasn\u011b za\u010dali m\u011bsto obkli\u010dovat z v\u00fdchodu a z jihoz\u00e1padu. Rusk\u00e9 drony tou dobou u\u017e ni\u010dily 90-95% v\u0161\u00ed dopravy do m\u011bsta, proto\u017ee ta musela prob\u00edhat pouze po silnic\u00edch, v\u0161e ostatn\u00ed bylo rozbahn\u011bno.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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A tato posledn\u00ed mapa ukazuje stav boj\u016f o m\u011bsto Konstatntinivka z noci na dne\u0161ek 4. \u010dervna 2026. Podle rusk\u00fdch hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed u\u017e Rusov\u00e9 ovl\u00e1daj\u00ed 85% hlavn\u00ed m\u011bstsk\u00e9 z\u00e1stavby, v\u010detn\u011b pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch z\u00f3n a panelov\u00fdch dom\u016f. Ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed poln\u00ed komand\u00fd\u0159i zase hl\u00e1sili, \u017ee bitva je ztracena, proto\u017ee rusk\u00e9 drony op\u011bt znemo\u017enily Ukrajinc\u016fm m\u011bsto \u00fa\u010dinn\u011b br\u00e1nit, a z\u00e1sobovat. P\u00e1d m\u011bsta paradoxn\u011b o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed poln\u00ed komand\u00fd\u0159i rychleji n\u011b\u017e rusk\u00e9 telegramov\u00e9 vlasteneck\u00e9 kan\u00e1ly.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Rusk\u00e1 st\u00e1tn\u00ed agentura TASS\u00a0v\u010dera hl\u00e1sila, \u017ee posledn\u00ed zbytky ukrajinsk\u00fdch jednotek, kter\u00e9 p\u0159e\u017eily 6 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f trvaj\u00edc\u00ed bitvu o Konstantinivku, u\u017e z m\u011bsta houfn\u011b prchaj\u00ed<\/a>.\u00a0Ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed komand\u00fd\u0159i v\u010dera p\u0159izn\u00e1vali, \u017ee \u201cprasata<\/em>\u00a0(Rusov\u00e9)\u00a0st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed letectvo a drony k detekci a ni\u010den\u00ed jak\u00fdchkoli c\u00edl\u016f, kter\u00e9 zaji\u0161\u0165uj\u00ed pr\u00e1ci na\u0161\u00ed obrany na tomto \u00faseku fronty\u00a0<\/span><\/i>(Konstantivnivka)<\/span>.\u00a0<\/span><\/i>A tvrdili, \u017ee \u201csituace ve m\u011bst\u011b je kritick\u00e1<\/em>\u201c, a \u017ee \u201cnep\u0159\u00edtel systematicky ni\u010d\u00ed v t\u00e9to oblasti sv\u00fdmi drony ve\u0161kerou ukrajinskou logistiku, a st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji bombarduje mosty, a nyn\u00ed u\u017e p\u0159esouv\u00e1 toto sv\u00e9 destruk\u010dn\u00ed \u00fasil\u00ed z m\u011bsta\u00a0<\/em><\/span>Alexejevo-Dru\u017ekovka<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/em><\/a>\u00a0(7000 obyvatel)\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span>proti\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/em>m\u011bstu\u00a0Dru\u017ekovka<\/a><\/em>\u00a0(48 000 obyvatel). Ob\u011b m\u011bsta le\u017e\u00ed severov\u00fdchodn\u011b od m\u011bsta Konstantinivka, (jsou vid\u011bt na map\u00e1ch 2 a\u017e 4), a vede p\u0159es n\u011b jedin\u00e1 ukrajinsk\u00e1 z\u00e1sobovac\u00ed cesta z m\u011bsta Slovjansk do m\u011bsta Konstantinivka. Tento p\u0159esun c\u00edl\u016f \u00fader\u016f rusk\u00e9ho letectva a dron\u016f sm\u011brem od Konstanivky bl\u00ed\u017ee ke Slovjansku je neklamn\u00fdm znamen\u00edm, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da se u\u017e p\u0159ipravuje na rychl\u00e9 obsazen\u00ed cel\u00e9 Konstantinivky, a p\u0159ipravuje sv\u016fj dal\u0161\u00ed postup proti aglomeraci Slovjansk-Kramatorsk p\u0159es m\u011bsta Alexejevo-Dru\u017ekovka a Dru\u017ekovka.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud si v\u0161echny 4 mapy pozorn\u011b prohl\u00e9dnete, zjist\u00edte, \u017ee obsazen\u00ed m\u011bst\u00a0Alexejevo-Dru\u017ekovka a Dru\u017ekovka bude pro ruskou arm\u00e1du p\u0159edstavovat nutnost obsadit srovnateln\u011b velk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed, jak\u00e9 \u201cosvobodila\u201d od poloviny lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho \u010dervence a\u017e do poloviny leto\u0161n\u00edho \u010dervence p\u0159i bitv\u011b o Konstantinivku. A to nazna\u010duje, \u017ee \u201cosvobozen\u00ed\u201d m\u011bst Alexejevo-Dru\u017ekovka a Dru\u017ekovka by m\u011blo rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b tak\u00e9 trvat 12 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f. (Konstantinivka nebude \u201cza\u010di\u0161t\u011bna\u201d d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e za m\u011bs\u00edc.)<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko je v\u0161ak p\u0159ipraveno v\u00e9st na Ukrajin\u011b dlouhou v\u00e1lku, respektive v\u00e1l\u010dit tak dlouho, dokud nebudou spln\u011bny v\u0161echny jeho c\u00edle, potvrdili v\u010dera na Putinov\u011b f\u00f3ru v Petrohradu nen\u00e1visle na sob\u011b,\u00a0jak n\u00e1m\u011bstek rusk\u00e9ho ministerstva zahrani\u010d\u00ed Sergej Rjabkov<\/a>, tak\u00a0plukovn\u00edk rusk\u00e9 tajn\u00e9 slu\u017eby SVR Andrej Bezrukov<\/a>, profesor strategie na v\u011bhlasn\u00e9 moskevsk\u00e9\u00a0Universit\u011b MGIMO<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161
\n<\/a>
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 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dopln\u011bn\u00ed v\u010derej\u0161\u00ed anal\u00fdzy: V anal\u00fdze MAP 2623 jsem na z\u00e1klad\u011b r\u016fzn\u00fdch \u00fadaj\u016f p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dal, \u017ee Rusko…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":108139,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,22,26,7678],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108138"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=108138"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108138\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/108139"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=108138"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=108138"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=108138"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}