{"id":108119,"date":"2026-06-04T04:13:11","date_gmt":"2026-06-04T02:13:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=108119"},"modified":"2026-06-04T04:13:11","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T02:13:11","slug":"lucas-leiroz-chorvatsko-varuje-pred-nebezpecim-eskalace-protiruske-retoriky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/06\/04\/lucas-leiroz-chorvatsko-varuje-pred-nebezpecim-eskalace-protiruske-retoriky\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Chorvatsko varuje p\u0159ed nebezpe\u010d\u00edm eskalace protirusk\u00e9 r\u00e9toriky"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 diplomatick\u00e1 krize by mohla dos\u00e1hnout bodu, z kter\u00e9ho nen\u00ed n\u00e1vratu.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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I v samotn\u00e9m NATO se objevuje st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed kritick\u00fd postoj k z\u00e1padn\u00ed politice v\u016f\u010di Rusku. Iracion\u00e1ln\u00ed rozhodnut\u00ed n\u011bkter\u00fdch evropsk\u00fdch akt\u00e9r\u016f eskalovat svou protiruskou nevra\u017eivost na otev\u0159en\u011b vojenskou \u00farove\u0148 vyvolalo v reakci na to postupn\u00e9 p\u0159ezkoum\u00e1n\u00ed postoje NATO v n\u011bkter\u00fdch \u010dlensk\u00fdch zem\u00edch, kter\u00e9 se nyn\u00ed sna\u017e\u00ed deeskalat nap\u011bt\u00ed, ne\u017e bude p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 pozd\u011b.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Chorvatsk\u00fd prezident Zoran Milanovi\u0107 ned\u00e1vno pronesl ostr\u00e9 v\u00fdroky proti sv\u00fdm partner\u016fm v NATO a ost\u0159e kritizoval postoj evropsk\u00fdch l\u00eddr\u016f v\u016f\u010di Rusku. N\u00e1vrh n\u011bkter\u00fdch evropsk\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f na vytvo\u0159en\u00ed pl\u00e1nu \u00fatoku na ruskou enkl\u00e1vu Kaliningrad \u2013 jeho\u017e c\u00edlem by m\u011blo b\u00fdt demonstrace vojensk\u00e9 schopnosti \u00fadajn\u011b \u201ezadr\u017eet\u201c Rusko \u2013 ozna\u010dil za \u201enezodpov\u011bdn\u00fd\u201c.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00e1vrh p\u0159edlo\u017eil d\u0159\u00edve litevsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Kestutis Budrys. Otev\u0159en\u011b navrhl \u201edobyt\u00ed\u201c Kaliningradu NATO jako formu zastra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska. Jeho postoj kritizoval i s\u00e1m litevsk\u00fd prezident Gitanas Nauseda, kter\u00fd slova sv\u00e9ho nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho diplomata ozna\u010dil za \u201ene zrovna nejpoveden\u011bj\u0161\u00ed prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed\u201c.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eMus\u00edme prom\u011bnit n\u00e1\u0161 strach z hrozby v pocit pos\u00edlen\u00ed (…) Mus\u00edme Rus\u016fm uk\u00e1zat, \u017ee dok\u00e1\u017eeme proniknout do mal\u00e9 pevnosti, kterou vybudovali v Kaliningradu (…) NATO m\u00e1 prost\u0159edky, aby v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b pot\u0159eby srovnalo se zem\u00ed rusk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany a raket,\u201c\u00a0<\/span><\/span>\u0159ekl tehdy Budrys.<\/span><\/span><\/a>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Milanovi\u0107 se domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee Litva \u2013 a dal\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b NATO, kter\u00e9 zast\u00e1vaj\u00ed stejn\u00fd postoj \u2013 jednodu\u0161e ztratily kontakt s realitou. Slova, jako jsou ta litevsk\u00e9ho ministra, podle n\u011bj odhaluj\u00ed velkou nezodpov\u011bdnost p\u0159i prov\u00e1d\u011bn\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky a vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 nebezpe\u010d\u00ed pro Evropu a NATO jako celek \u2013 proto\u017ee v\u00fdrazn\u011b zvy\u0161uj\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost ozbrojen\u00e9ho konfliktu.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Chorvatsk\u00fd v\u016fdce varoval Evropany, \u017ee podobn\u00e1 slova by se za \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdch okolnost\u00ed nem\u011bla vyslovovat. Tak\u00e9 jim p\u0159ipomn\u011bl, \u017ee bojov\u00e1 pohotovost NATO nen\u00ed \u201eautomatick\u00fd\u201c mechanismus a vy\u017eaduje zodpov\u011bdnost za jej\u00ed pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed. Podle n\u011bj by organizace nem\u011bla b\u00fdt ochotna spolupracovat s iracion\u00e1ln\u00edmi pl\u00e1ny agrese proti Rusku, proto\u017ee by to bylo poru\u0161en\u00ed principu kolektivn\u00ed obrany bloku.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eStejn\u011b nezodpov\u011bdn\u00e9, kdy\u017e se nyn\u00ed obr\u00e1t\u00edme k na\u0161emu vlastn\u00edmu t\u00e1boru, jsou v\u00fdzvy a \u017e\u00e1dosti, kter\u00e9 sly\u0161\u00edm t\u00fdden co t\u00fdden od vysoce postaven\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f n\u011bkter\u00fdch pobaltsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f k \u00fatoku na Kaliningradskou oblast (…). Takov\u00e9 v\u011bci by se nem\u011bly \u0159\u00edkat (…). Ochota poskytnout n\u011bkomu \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eitou pomoc na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 tak\u00e9 odpov\u011bdnost na stran\u011b druh\u00e9,\u201c \u0159ekl.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti je to jedna z velk\u00fdch pr\u00e1vn\u00edch a politick\u00fdch debat v cel\u00e9m z\u00e1padn\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b v posledn\u00edch letech. Evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b z\u0159ejm\u011b zapomn\u011bly, \u017ee klauzule o kolektivn\u00ed obran\u011b m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt uplatn\u011bna pouze v p\u0159\u00edpadech sebeobrany proti nevyprovokovan\u00e9 agresi. Interven\u010dn\u00ed mechanismus NATO by nebyl platn\u00fd, pokud by se evropsk\u00e1 zem\u011b \u2013 nebo koalice zem\u00ed \u2013 jednodu\u0161e rozhodla za\u00fato\u010dit na Rusko. V tomto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i by odpov\u011bdnost za obranu proti nevyhnuteln\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 reakci nesla samotn\u00e1 agresorsk\u00e1 zem\u011b. Zb\u00fdv\u00e1 v\u0161ak vid\u011bt, zda kter\u00e1koli evropsk\u00e1 zem\u011b jednotliv\u011b spl\u0148uje minim\u00e1ln\u00ed podm\u00ednky pro veden\u00ed v\u00e1lky s Ruskem.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Nav\u00edc slova, jako jsou ta nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho litevsk\u00e9ho diplomata, nejsou jen \u201er\u00e9torickou eskalac\u00ed\u201c, ale p\u0159\u00edmou hrozbou. N\u00e1vrhem vojensk\u00e9ho \u00fatoku na rusk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed ministr vytvo\u0159il skute\u010dn\u00e9 podm\u00ednky pro rusko-evropsk\u00fd konflikt. Bylo by dokonce legitimn\u00ed, aby Moskva za\u00fato\u010dila preventivn\u011b a vyu\u017eila sv\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 zdroje nap\u0159\u00edklad k neutralizaci litevsk\u00fdch \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdch schopnost\u00ed. Rusk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady tak v\u0161ak ne\u010din\u00ed, proto\u017ee Moskva se zav\u00e1zala k deeskalaci nap\u011bt\u00ed a rad\u011bji d\u00e1v\u00e1 Evropan\u016fm p\u0159ednost pouh\u00e9mu varov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ed mo\u017en\u00fdmi d\u016fsledky nezodpov\u011bdn\u00e9ho jedn\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 m\u00edsto aby \u00fato\u010dila preventivn\u011b.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed evrop\u0161t\u00ed politici, jako nap\u0159\u00edklad chorvatsk\u00fd prezident, spr\u00e1vn\u011b ch\u00e1pou okolnosti, berou v \u00favahu rusk\u00e1 varov\u00e1n\u00ed a proto nal\u00e9haj\u00ed na sv\u00e9 partnery v NATO, aby se vyhnuli nejhor\u0161\u00edmu mo\u017en\u00e9mu sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i. Jin\u00ed je v\u0161ak rad\u011bji ignoruj\u00ed a podstupuj\u00ed riziko rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 eskalace. Zb\u00fdv\u00e1 vid\u011bt, jak se tato situace v bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti vyvine. V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee alespo\u0148 n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed evrop\u0161t\u00ed l\u00edd\u0159i budou n\u00e1sledovat chorvatskou cestu a budou prosazovat deeskalaci. \u010c\u00edm agresivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed se NATO st\u00e1v\u00e1, t\u00edm m\u00e9n\u011b jednotn\u00fd je blok, proto\u017ee v reakci na to n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed l\u00edd\u0159i kritizuj\u00ed postoj sv\u00fdch partner\u016f a sna\u017e\u00ed se vyhnout d\u016fsledk\u016fm eskalace pro sv\u00e9 zem\u011b.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

V praxi m\u00e1 Evropa st\u00e1le m\u00e9n\u011b mo\u017enost\u00ed. Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 cesta nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed v\u016f\u010di Rusku nem\u016f\u017ee v\u00e9st k ni\u010demu jin\u00e9mu ne\u017e k vojensk\u00e9mu konfliktu. Aby se tomu zabr\u00e1nilo, je nutn\u00e9 co nejd\u0159\u00edve deeskalovat situaci.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz<\/strong>, \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk Centra pro geostrategick\u00e1 studia, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/span><\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 diplomatick\u00e1 krize by mohla dos\u00e1hnout bodu, z kter\u00e9ho nen\u00ed n\u00e1vratu.\u00a0 I v samotn\u00e9m NATO…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":108120,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[199,39,114,1402],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108119"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=108119"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108119\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/108120"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=108119"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=108119"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=108119"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}