{"id":108089,"date":"2026-06-03T06:58:26","date_gmt":"2026-06-03T04:58:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=108089"},"modified":"2026-06-03T06:58:26","modified_gmt":"2026-06-03T04:58:26","slug":"michael-svatos-nejvetsi-strategicka-chyba-kyjeva-berlina-a-bruselu-ktera-prinese-rusku-ohromujici-vitezstvi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/06\/03\/michael-svatos-nejvetsi-strategicka-chyba-kyjeva-berlina-a-bruselu-ktera-prinese-rusku-ohromujici-vitezstvi\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed strategick\u00e1 chyba Kyjeva, Berl\u00edna a Bruselu, kter\u00e1 p\u0159inese Rusku ohromuj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Pro Va\u0161i p\u0159edstavu\u00a0na jednoho voj\u00e1ka na rusko-ukrajinsk\u00e9 front\u011b je t\u0159eba ka\u017ed\u00fd den nyn\u00ed dopravit<\/a>\u00a03.5kg potravin, 3.5kg pitn\u00e9 vody, 15kg(18litr\u016f) paliva do gener\u00e1tor\u016f elekt\u0159iny, 2kg v\u00fdstroje, 1kg bateri\u00ed, 5kg pytl\u016f s p\u00edskem, ostnat\u00e9ho dr\u00e1tu, \u0159eziva, betonu, r\u016fzn\u00fdch l\u00e1tek a termick\u00fdch f\u00f3li\u00ed, elektrick\u00fdch a optick\u00fdch kabel\u016f, a dal\u0161\u00edch pot\u0159eb k budov\u00e1n\u00ed bunkr\u016f a z\u00e1kladen, 200gram\u016f l\u00e9k\u016f a zdravotnick\u00fdch pot\u0159eb, 4kg munice (bez d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9 a raketov\u00e9 munice r\u00e1\u017ee vet\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e 155mm), 0.86kg d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9 a raketov\u00e9 munice r\u00e1\u017ee v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e 155mm, 3.3kg (4litry) paliva pro dopravn\u00ed prost\u0159edky pou\u017e\u00edvan\u00e9 na front\u011b.<\/p>\n

A to v\u0161echno dohromady p\u0159edstavuje 38.36kg denn\u011b na ka\u017ed\u00e9ho ze 480 000 Ukrajinsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou nyn\u00ed rozm\u00edst\u011bni od frontov\u00e9 linie a\u017e do hloubky sv\u00e9 obrany 25km, a tedy celkem 18 412 tun v\u0161ech materi\u00e1l\u016f, d\u00e1vek, paliva, a zbran\u00ed, a munice denn\u011b. A k tomu v\u0161emu je t\u0159eba obrovsk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed dopravn\u00edch prost\u0159edk\u016f. Budeme-li po\u010d\u00edtat, \u017ee jeden dopravn\u00ed prost\u0159edek v t\u00e9to z\u00f3n\u011b dominance dron\u016f mus\u00ed b\u00fdt mal\u00fd, proto\u017ee n\u00e1kladn\u00ed automobily jsou okam\u017eit\u011b drony zni\u010deny, je t\u0159eba uskute\u010dnit denn\u011b cca 35 000 p\u0159epravn\u00edch j\u00edzd mal\u00fdmi auty, motorkami, robotick\u00fdmi p\u0159epravn\u00edmi prost\u0159edky, a desetitis\u00edce ukrajinsk\u00fdch p\u011b\u0161\u00e1k\u016f mus\u00ed denn\u011b tyto n\u00e1klady p\u011b\u0161ky tahat na ru\u010dn\u00edch voz\u00edc\u00edch, kolech, a nebo nosit je na z\u00e1dech.<\/p>\n

Leto\u0161n\u00ed rusk\u00e1 m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed produkce frontov\u00fdch dron\u016f, kter\u00e9 \u00fato\u010d\u00ed do hloubky ukrajinsk\u00e9 obrany 25km, se obecn\u011b odhaduje na 20 000 denn\u011b, a p\u0159i d\u00e9lce fronty, na n\u00ed\u017e se te\u010f vedou aktivn\u00ed boje 1200km, (od Chersonu v \u00fast\u00ed Dn\u011bpru po Sumy naproti Kursk\u00e9 gubernii Ruska), to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee ka\u017ed\u00fd den na ka\u017ed\u00e9m kilometru t\u00e9to frontov\u00e9 linie pr\u016fm\u011brn\u011b operuje 16.6 rusk\u00fdch frontov\u00fdch dron\u016f, z nich\u017e nejm\u00e9n\u011b 2\/3 budou zabij\u00e1ck\u00e9 drony FPV, a nebo FPV na optick\u00fdch vl\u00e1knech.<\/p>\n

V\u00fdsledn\u00e9 porovn\u00e1n\u00ed je jasn\u00e9 \u2013 na 35 000 p\u011b\u0161\u00edch a mobiln\u00edch ukrajinsk\u00fdch p\u0159eprav z\u00e1sob na frontu denn\u011b \u00fato\u010d\u00ed 1\/2 ze 2\/3 v\u0161ech rusk\u00fdch frontov\u00fdch dron\u016f, kter\u00e9 jsou ka\u017ed\u00fd den k dispozici, tedy 6 600 zabij\u00e1ck\u00fdch dron\u016f FPV. A p\u0159i \u00fa\u010dinnosti \u00fatoku t\u011bchto rusk\u00fdch dron\u016f 60%, bude 3960 t\u011bchto jednotliv\u00fdch p\u0159eprav zni\u010deno, a tedy skoro 12% v\u0161ech p\u0159epravovan\u00fdch ukrajinsk\u00fdch z\u00e1sob je ka\u017ed\u00fd den zni\u010deno, a nikdy nedoraz\u00ed na frontu. A kolik Ukrajinc\u016f p\u0159i tom p\u0159ijde ka\u017ed\u00fd den o \u017eivot, nebo o zdrav\u00ed?<\/p>\n

Pod\u00edv\u00e1me-li se na druhou stranu fronty, zjist\u00edme, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da mus\u00ed dopravovat ta sam\u00e1 kvanta z\u00e1sob na svoji frontovou linii, proto\u017ee na Ukrajin\u011b nyn\u00ed p\u016fsob\u00ed asi 700 tis\u00edc rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f, z nich\u017e bude p\u0159es l\u00e9to v z\u00f3n\u011b do 25km hloubky rusk\u00e9 sestavy operovat asi 400 000 rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f, ov\u0161em jejich spot\u0159eba munice r\u00e1\u017ee na 152mm je nyn\u00ed asi 4 n\u00e1sobek ukrajinsk\u00e9 spot\u0159eby. Tedy na jednoho rusk\u00e9ho voj\u00e1ka mus\u00ed Gerasimov napl\u00e1novat dopravu 41.9kg v\u0161ech pot\u0159eb, tedy celkem 16 760 tun denn\u011b.<\/p>\n

A zde je k\u00e1men \u00farazu. Ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da sice zaryt\u011b tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee letos vyrob\u00ed 8 milion\u016f dron\u016f, (o milion v\u00edc ne\u017e Rusko), a tedy by nyn\u00ed na front\u011b m\u011blo denn\u011b operovat 21 000 ukrajinsk\u00fdch dron\u016f, tedy 17.66 na ka\u017ed\u00fd kilometr, a ty by m\u011bly skoro 15% rusk\u00e9 p\u0159ifrontov\u00e9 logistiky, le\u010d tak evidentn\u011b ne\u010din\u00ed, proto\u017ee Rusov\u00e9 postupuj\u00ed. Tedy ani 8 milion\u016f dron\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b na zastaven\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho postupu nesta\u010d\u00ed.<\/p>\n

A vznik\u00e1 kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka, m\u016f\u017ee Ukrajina a kolektivn\u00ed Z\u00e1pad vyr\u00e1b\u011bt 64 milion\u016f v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch dron\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b, aby Rusko Ukrajina porazilo? A m\u016f\u017ee Rusko vyr\u00e1b\u011bt 64 milion\u016f v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch dron\u016f, aby Ukrajinu porazilo?<\/p>\n

Podle odhadu strat\u00e9g\u016f Pentagonu se m\u016f\u017ee cel\u00fd \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd pr\u016fmysl do jednoho roku p\u0159eorientovat na v\u00fdrobu 1 miliardy v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch dron\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b<\/a>, ani\u017e by to zpomalilo v\u00fdkon \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 ekonomiky, ale bude k tomu pot\u0159ebovat ob\u011btovat 1% pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 mont\u00e1\u017en\u00ed kapacity cel\u00e9 \u010c\u00edny, 5% v\u0161\u00ed kapacity v\u00fdroby lithiov\u00fdch bateri\u00ed, a nepatrn\u00fd zlomek kapacity \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 produkce desek plo\u0161n\u00fdch spoj\u016f. Strat\u00e9gy Pentagonu tato potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e1 kapacita v\u00fdroby v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch dron\u016f doslova d\u011bsiv\u011b d\u011bs\u00ed.\u00a0\u010c\u00ednsk\u00e1 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e1 mont\u00e1\u017en\u00ed kapacita je tvo\u0159ena 212 miliony \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch zam\u011bstnanc\u016f<\/a>, tedy na mont\u00e1\u017e 1 miliardy v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch dron\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b je t\u0159eba 2.12 milionu v\u00fdkonn\u00fdch mont\u00e1\u017en\u00edch d\u011bln\u00edk\u016f a technik\u016f. Na mont\u00e1\u017e 8 milion\u016f ukrajinsk\u00fdch v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch dron\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b tak mus\u00ed b\u00fdt na Ukrajin\u011b k dispozici 16 900 zam\u011bstnanc\u016f. A to nen\u00ed probl\u00e9m. Le\u010d Ukrajina nevyr\u00e1b\u00ed ani lithiov\u00e9 baterie, a ani z\u00e1kladn\u00ed desky pro plo\u0161n\u00e9 spoje. \u010c\u00edna nyn\u00ed produkuje asi 50 milion\u016f civiln\u00edch dron\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b,\u00a0z nich\u017e 40 milion\u016f exportuje<\/a>. Cel\u00fd \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd pr\u016fmysl civiln\u00edch dron\u016f m\u00e1 hodnotu\u00a026.3 miliardy dolar\u016f<\/a>, tedy jeden pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd civiln\u00ed dron se \u00fa\u010dtuje za 526 dolar\u016f. Nejlevn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed rusk\u00fd frontov\u00fd dron Molnija je za 1000 USD,\u00a0Ukrajinsk\u00fd frontov\u00fd dron na optick\u00fdch vl\u00e1knech s doletem 25km nyn\u00ed stoj\u00ed 3000 USD<\/a>.\u00a0Proto\u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e9 drony jsou montov\u00e1ny z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti z \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch sou\u010d\u00e1stek, a nebo ze z\u00e1padn\u00edch sou\u010d\u00e1stek, mus\u00ed b\u00fdt dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 drony. Proto\u017ee v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd dron je vybaven munic\u00ed, a dal\u0161\u00edmi obrann\u00fdmi REB senzory bude dvakr\u00e1t dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e civiln\u00ed dron, a proto\u017ee USA nakupuj\u00ed nejoby\u010dejn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd dron nyn\u00ed za 3000 USD, lze si p\u0159edstavit, \u017ee z\u00e1kladn\u00ed cena ukrajinsk\u00e9ho frontov\u00e9ho dronu s doletem 25km mus\u00ed \u010dinit nejm\u00e9n\u011b 2000 USD, a to p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 n\u00e1klady 16 miliard USD ro\u010dn\u011b. Respektive \u010c\u00edna je teoreticky schopna vyrobit 1 miliardu v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch dron\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b v cen\u011b 1 bilionu USD, ov\u0161em velikost ekonomiky \u010c\u00edny je letos asi 105 kr\u00e1t vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e velikost ekonomiky Ukrajiny, a \u010c\u00edna tak m\u016f\u017ee snadno vyr\u00e1b\u011bt 125 kr\u00e1t v\u00edce dron\u016f ne\u017e Ukrajina.<\/p>\n

A jsme u kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9ho z\u00e1v\u011bru: Ukrajina letos s podporou EU rozpoutala v\u00e1lku dron\u016f s Ruskem, t\u00edm \u017ee stejn\u011b jako Rusko v roce 2025 za\u010dala napadat rusk\u00e9 t\u00fdly a vytv\u00e1\u0159et svou z\u00f3nu dominance dron\u016f do hloubky 25 a v\u00edce km, a d\u00e1lkov\u00fdmi drony napadat Rusko. Jen\u017ee Rusko snadno s pomoc\u00ed \u010c\u00edny vyrob\u00ed a smontuje n\u00e1sobek ukrajinsk\u00fdch dron\u016f, kde\u017eto Z\u00e1pad se u\u017e te\u010f d\u011bs\u00ed, \u017ee se potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed \u201c\u010c\u00ednsk\u00e1 tov\u00e1rna na v\u00fdrobu v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch dron\u016f\u201d rozjede na pln\u00e9 obr\u00e1tky, a za\u010dne vyr\u00e1b\u011bt miliardu dron\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b. Kyjev, Berl\u00edn i Brusel tak letos spole\u010dn\u011b vyhl\u00e1sili v\u00e1lku dron\u016f Rusku, kter\u00e9 je nejen nukle\u00e1rn\u00ed supervelmoc\u00ed, a m\u016f\u017ee tento \u00fatoky drony okam\u017eit\u011b zastavit jadern\u00fdmi \u00fadery, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 spojencem \u010c\u00edny, kter\u00e1 m\u016f\u017ee okam\u017eit\u011b vyr\u00e1b\u011bt 1 miliardu v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch dron\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b, a tak jako jejich komponenty nyn\u00ed dod\u00e1v\u00e1 Rusku, aby si je skl\u00e1dalo, tak m\u016f\u017ee Rusku za\u010d\u00edt dod\u00e1vat p\u0159\u00edmo v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 drony v neomezen\u00fdch po\u010dtech. Na zastaven\u00ed ve\u0161ker\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 frontov\u00e9 logistiky a zni\u010den\u00ed v\u0161\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy Rusko pot\u0159ebuje pouze 63 milion\u016f v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch dron\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b, a to je po\u010det, kter\u00fd si ani \u010c\u00edna neuv\u011bdom\u00ed, \u017ee vyrobila, proto\u017ee 1 miliardu v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch dron\u016f dok\u00e1\u017ee vyr\u00e1b\u011bt, ani\u017e by to jej\u00ed ekonomika poc\u00edtila!!! Kdy\u017e tedy letos Kyjev, Brusel a Berl\u00edn spole\u010dn\u011b vyhl\u00e1sily v\u00e1lku dron\u016f Rusku, s ur\u010ditost\u00ed j\u00ed prohraj\u00ed, proto\u017ee \u010c\u00edna si nem\u016f\u017ee dovolit, aby Rusko bylo ve v\u00e1lce na Ukrajin\u011b pora\u017eeno, jak \u0159ekl jej\u00ed ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed!<\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia a evropsk\u00fd mainstream sice dnes a denn\u011b nyn\u00ed hl\u00e1saj\u00ed, \u017ee Kyjevsk\u00e1 soldateska nyn\u00ed z\u00edskala nad Rusy p\u0159evahu ve dronech, le\u010d zpr\u00e1vy poln\u00edch komand\u00fdr\u016f z fronty zn\u00ed opa\u010dn\u011b. V\u010dera p\u0159iznal vysok\u00fd ukrajinsk\u00fd komand\u00fdr ze Slovjanska,\u00a0\u017ee\u00a0fin\u00e1le boj\u016f o celou aglomeraci je u\u017e jasn\u00e9<\/a><\/em>\u00a0\u2013 nem\u00e1me mo\u017enost radik\u00e1ln\u011b zlomit pr\u016fb\u011bh nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed v tomto sm\u011bru a odtla\u010dit nep\u0159\u00edtele od m\u011bsta.\u00a0<\/span><\/i>M\u011bsto tedy padne. Ukrajinci \u017e\u00e1dnou p\u0159evahu ve dronech nemaj\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pro Va\u0161i p\u0159edstavu\u00a0na jednoho voj\u00e1ka na rusko-ukrajinsk\u00e9 front\u011b je t\u0159eba ka\u017ed\u00fd den nyn\u00ed dopravit\u00a03.5kg potravin,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":86878,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,41,750,22,26,749],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108089"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=108089"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108089\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/86878"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=108089"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=108089"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=108089"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}