{"id":107733,"date":"2026-05-30T00:22:03","date_gmt":"2026-05-29T22:22:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=107733"},"modified":"2026-05-29T13:22:23","modified_gmt":"2026-05-29T11:22:23","slug":"jiri-paroubek-usa-a-iran-hra-na-sraba","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/30\/jiri-paroubek-usa-a-iran-hra-na-sraba\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: USA a Ir\u00e1n &#8211; hra na sraba"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>Tato hra spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v tom, \u017ee dv\u011b auta jedou velkou rychlost\u00ed proti sob\u011b. A ten \u0159idi\u010d, kter\u00fd se sv\u00fdm autem uhne d\u0159\u00edv, je srab. Tak mi p\u0159ipad\u00e1 sou\u010dasn\u00fd stav m\u00edrov\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed mezi Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Ka\u017ed\u00e1 ze stran jedn\u00e1n\u00ed se tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed jakoby dohodu s tou druhou stranou vlastn\u011b v\u016fbec nepot\u0159ebovaly.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 s\u00e1z\u00ed na to, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n je, v d\u016fsledku blok\u00e1dy jeho p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f (co\u017e je poru\u0161en\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va) a nemo\u017enosti vyv\u00e1\u017eet ropu a dal\u0161\u00ed exportn\u00ed komodity, p\u0159ipravov\u00e1n o obrovsk\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edjmy. Co\u017e ve sv\u00fdch d\u016fsledc\u00edch zvy\u0161uje &#8211; podle Ameri\u010dan\u016f &#8211; jeho\u00a0 ochotu k uzav\u0159en\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e9 smlouvy, kter\u00e1 bude co nejv\u00fdhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pro Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a jeho spojence, Izrael.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Naopak, \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee prezident Trump a jeho vl\u00e1da se postupn\u011b dost\u00e1vaj\u00ed pod tlak mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho spole\u010denstv\u00ed i americk\u00e9ho ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed v d\u016fsledku r\u016fstu cen ropy, zemn\u00edho plynu a dal\u0161\u00edch komodit. Ob\u011b dv\u011b premisy, oba dva p\u0159edpoklady jsou v z\u00e1sad\u011b racion\u00e1ln\u00ed. Respektive maj\u00ed racion\u00e1ln\u00ed j\u00e1dro. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty ov\u0161em nebojuj\u00ed se st\u00e1tem, kter\u00fd le\u017e\u00ed v Evrop\u011b. \u00cdr\u00e1n je st\u00e1tem s pozoruhodn\u011b dlouhou historii a historickou pam\u011bt\u00ed. Nen\u00ed to zem\u011b, kter\u00e1 by se cht\u011bla podvolit vojensk\u00e9mu a politick\u00e9mu tlaku bez boje. Dosavadn\u00ed v\u00fdsledky v\u00e1lky ostatn\u011b nenasv\u011bd\u010duj\u00ed tomu, \u017ee by se \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u011bl a cht\u011bl polo\u017eit na lopatky.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1n prakticky nelze vojensk\u00fd porazit. Jak chcete porazit zemi, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 p\u0159es 90 milion\u016f obyvatel, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 vnit\u0159n\u011b koherentn\u00ed a m\u00e1 velk\u00e9 odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed uh\u00e1jit svou suverenitu, zejm\u00e9na pokud jde o disponov\u00e1n\u00ed s vlastn\u00edm nerostn\u00fdm bohatstv\u00edm. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed se nepochybn\u011b pou\u010dilo ze zku\u0161enost\u00ed Vietnamu a Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu. \u010c\u00edm v\u00edc\u00a0\u00a0Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 \u00fato\u010dili na strategick\u00e9 s\u00edle v Severn\u00edm Vietnamu, \u010d\u00edm v\u00edce ni\u010dili jeho infrastrukturu, t\u00edm m\u00e9n\u011b bylo severovietnamsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed ochotno k jak\u00fdmkoliv politick\u00fdm \u00fastupk\u016fm. A stejn\u011b tak nebylo ochotno k politick\u00fdm \u00fastupk\u016fm ani tehdy, pokud Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 p\u0159eru\u0161ili vojensk\u00e9 \u00fatoky na Severn\u00ed Vietnam.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A mezit\u00edm pracovalo proti americk\u00e9 vl\u00e1d\u011b vlastn\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed. Pokud americk\u00fd prezident s\u00e1z\u00ed\u00a0\u00a0na to, \u017ee m\u00e1 dostatek \u010dasu na \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed, s ohledem na to, \u017ee dopl\u0148ovac\u00ed volby do Kongresu USA jsou a\u017e za\u010d\u00e1tkem listopadu, velice se m\u00fdl\u00ed. \u010cas Trump prost\u011b nem\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pot\u0159eboval by i s ohledem na sv\u00e9 spojence v Evrop\u011b a na spokojenost americk\u00e9 ve\u0159ejnosti pokud jde o ceny pohonn\u00fdch hmot, ukon\u010dit konflikt co nejrychleji. A \u010d\u00edm rychleji konflikt bude cht\u00edt ukon\u010dit, t\u00edm vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed politickou cenu bude muset zaplatit. P\u0159edstava, \u017ee se \u00cdr\u00e1n vzd\u00e1 programu rozvoje balistick\u00fdch raket a z\u016fstane tak nah\u00fd v sou\u010dasn\u00e9m rozbou\u0159en\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b, je \u00fapln\u011b lich\u00e1. Stejn\u011b tak je naivn\u00ed p\u0159edstava, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159ed\u00e1 obohacen\u00fd uran do rukou Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">To je p\u0159edstava, kter\u00e1 mus\u00ed u trochu realisticky uva\u017euj\u00edc\u00edho \u010dlov\u011bka vyvolat jenom \u00fatrpn\u00fd \u00fasm\u011bv.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Jin\u00e1 v\u011bc je ov\u0161em snaha Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f obnovit norm\u00e1ln\u00ed provoz v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu s t\u00edm, \u017ee z\u016fstane sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vod. To je zcela spr\u00e1vn\u00fd politick\u00fd c\u00edl, ale za jeho akceptov\u00e1n\u00ed budou muset Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 n\u011bco ve vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed politicky zaplatit.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vasevec.info\/komentare\/usa-iran-hra-na-sraba\">Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-2342\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/paroubek-300x208.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"208\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/paroubek-300x208.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/paroubek.jpg 318w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tato hra spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v tom, \u017ee dv\u011b auta jedou velkou rychlost\u00ed proti sob\u011b. A ten&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":103089,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[38,1503,452,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107733"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=107733"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107733\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/103089"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=107733"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=107733"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=107733"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}