{"id":107500,"date":"2026-05-27T03:24:27","date_gmt":"2026-05-27T01:24:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=107500"},"modified":"2026-05-27T03:24:27","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T01:24:27","slug":"mohl-by-iran-zastavit-svetovy-pristup-k-internetu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/27\/mohl-by-iran-zastavit-svetovy-pristup-k-internetu\/","title":{"rendered":"Mohl by \u00cdr\u00e1n zastavit sv\u011btov\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup k internetu?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<h3>\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd tlak na zdan\u011bn\u00ed podmo\u0159sk\u00fdch kabel\u016f v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu ukazuje, jak se tyto kabely st\u00e1vaj\u00ed novou frontou n\u00e1tlakov\u00fdch taktik a technologick\u00fdch rizik<\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Mluv\u010d\u00ed opera\u010dn\u00edho velen\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ebrahim Zolfaghari ned\u00e1vno ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n hodl\u00e1 vyb\u00edrat poplatky za pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed podmo\u0159sk\u00fdch kabel\u016f proch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem. Tato zpr\u00e1va sice nebyla p\u0159ekvapen\u00edm, ale jist\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161ila nap\u011bt\u00ed kolem digit\u00e1ln\u00ed infrastruktury Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Od 18. kv\u011btna kontroluje situaci v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu \u00da\u0159ad pro Persk\u00fd z\u00e1liv. Tento nov\u00fd org\u00e1n byl z\u0159\u00edzen Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed radou n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti \u00cdr\u00e1nu a je odpov\u011bdn\u00fd za sledov\u00e1n\u00ed dodr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch pravidel stanoven\u00fdch Teher\u00e1nem. Byl vytvo\u0159en v reakci na n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1du iniciovanou USA, kter\u00e1 za\u010dala v dubnu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Cel\u00fd Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, v\u010detn\u011b jeho podvodn\u00ed infrastruktury, je nyn\u00ed Teher\u00e1nem vn\u00edm\u00e1n jako sou\u010d\u00e1st jeho jurisdikce a oblast jeho strategick\u00e9 kontroly.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed sou\u010dasnou eskalac\u00ed se v\u0161ak v \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00edch objevily diskuse o podmo\u0159sk\u00fdch internetov\u00fdch kabelech v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu. Toto t\u00e9ma se poprv\u00e9 objevilo v \u010dervenci 2019 b\u011bhem vys\u00edl\u00e1n\u00ed na st\u00e1tn\u00ed televizn\u00ed a rozhlasov\u00e9 s\u00edti IRIB. Tehdy jeden expert tvrdil, \u017ee naru\u0161en\u00ed kabel\u016f v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu by mohlo potenci\u00e1ln\u011b ovlivnit a\u017e 70 % sv\u011btov\u00e9ho internetov\u00e9ho provozu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">I kdy\u017e se toto \u010d\u00edslo zd\u00e1 p\u0159ehnan\u00e9 \u2013 vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee glob\u00e1ln\u00ed s\u00ed\u0165 m\u00e1 z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00ed trasy a velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st tranzitu mezi Evropou a Asi\u00ed se spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na jin\u00e9 cesty, jako je Rud\u00e9 mo\u0159e, Egypt a St\u0159edozemn\u00ed mo\u0159e \u2013 samotn\u00e9 tvrzen\u00ed je pom\u011brn\u011b v\u00fdznamn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">I kdyby glob\u00e1ln\u00ed internetov\u00e9 slu\u017eby nebyly paralyzov\u00e1ny v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9ho po\u0161kozen\u00ed kabel\u016f, zem\u011b na Arabsk\u00e9m poloostrov\u011b by \u010delily v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdm naru\u0161en\u00edm komunikace, sn\u00ed\u017een\u00e9 \u0161\u00ed\u0159ce p\u00e1sma, zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 latenci a selh\u00e1n\u00ed digit\u00e1ln\u00edch slu\u017eeb.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V roce 2019 arabsk\u00e9 n\u00e1rody tato varov\u00e1n\u00ed odm\u00edtly jako persk\u00e9 fantazie. Mo\u017en\u00e1 se ale m\u00fdlily.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Odborn\u00fd n\u00e1zor vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00fd v roce 2019 nebyl ofici\u00e1ln\u00edm prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy o z\u00e1m\u011bru kabely p\u0159e\u0159\u00edznout. Pouk\u00e1zal pouze na potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed zranitelnost kabel\u016f v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed d\u016fsledky v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 region\u00e1ln\u00ed eskalace. \u00cdr\u00e1n tedy ji\u017e v t\u00e9 dob\u011b pova\u017eoval podmo\u0159skou digit\u00e1ln\u00ed infrastrukturu v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu za potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed n\u00e1stroj strategick\u00e9ho vlivu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ot\u00e1zka, zda je \u00cdr\u00e1n skute\u010dn\u011b p\u0159ipraven p\u0159eru\u0161it internetov\u00e9 kabely v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu, by nem\u011bla b\u00fdt vn\u00edm\u00e1na jako izolovan\u00fd technick\u00fd probl\u00e9m, ale jako sou\u010d\u00e1st \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed strategie Teher\u00e1nu vyv\u00edjet tlak na tuto \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eitou vodn\u00ed cestu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pro \u00cdr\u00e1n nyn\u00ed podmo\u0159sk\u00e1 digit\u00e1ln\u00ed infrastruktura slou\u017e\u00ed jako nov\u00e1 p\u00e1ka vedle ropy, tankerov\u00e9 dopravy, p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f a \u200b\u200benergetick\u00e9 logistiky. Existuje v\u0161ak z\u00e1sadn\u00ed rozd\u00edl mezi poukazov\u00e1n\u00edm na zranitelnosti a fyzick\u00fdm ni\u010den\u00edm kabel\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V roce 2026 se \u00cdr\u00e1n vr\u00e1til k t\u00e9matu podmo\u0159sk\u00fdch internetov\u00fdch kabel\u016f a pov\u00fd\u0161il tak probl\u00e9m na novou \u00farove\u0148. Dne 22. dubna zve\u0159ejnila tiskov\u00e1 agentura Tasnim, kter\u00e1 je napojena na Isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 revolu\u010dn\u00ed gardy (IRGC), zpr\u00e1vu mapuj\u00edc\u00ed kabelovou a cloudovou infrastrukturu Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu. V podstat\u011b to slou\u017eilo jako varov\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017ee Teher\u00e1n m\u016f\u017ee vn\u00edmat digit\u00e1ln\u00ed infrastrukturu st\u00e1t\u016f Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu jako sou\u010d\u00e1st konfliktn\u00ed z\u00f3ny. Zpr\u00e1va zd\u016fraznila, \u017ee monarchie v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu se mnohem v\u00edce spol\u00e9haj\u00ed na n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed internetov\u00e9 trasy ne\u017e samotn\u00fd \u00cdr\u00e1n.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V kv\u011btnu 2026 se tato my\u0161lenka vyvinula v rozvinut\u011bj\u0161\u00ed politick\u00fd a ekonomick\u00fd koncept. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 st\u00e1tn\u00ed m\u00e9dia za\u010dala prosazovat narativ, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n by mohl \u00fa\u010dtovat zahrani\u010dn\u00edm technologick\u00fdm spole\u010dnostem poplatky za vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed podmo\u0159sk\u00fdch kabel\u016f vedouc\u00edch Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem. Ne\u0161lo jen o ot\u00e1zku poplatk\u016f; zahrnovalo to tak\u00e9 regula\u010dn\u00ed dohled, kter\u00fd vy\u017eadoval od oper\u00e1tor\u016f a velk\u00fdch technologick\u00fdch firem dodr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch p\u0159edpis\u016f, a tak\u00e9 snahy o monopolizaci slu\u017eeb \u00fadr\u017eby a oprav kabel\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Z vojensk\u00e9ho hlediska m\u00e1 \u00cdr\u00e1n schopnost ohrozit kabelovou infrastrukturu: Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv je pom\u011brn\u011b m\u011blk\u00fd, n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed doprava je hust\u00e1 a kabely jsou fyzicky zraniteln\u00e9 v\u016f\u010di po\u0161kozen\u00ed. V\u011bt\u0161ina po\u0161kozen\u00ed podmo\u0159sk\u00fdch kabel\u016f nevznik\u00e1 v d\u016fsledku sabot\u00e1\u017ee, ale v d\u016fsledku kotev, ryb\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9ho vybaven\u00ed a naviga\u010dn\u00edch chyb. Existuje tedy re\u00e1ln\u00e1 mo\u017enost, \u017ee by se tyto kabely mohly po\u0161kodit. Pokud jde sp\u00ed\u0161e o fyzick\u00e9 naru\u0161en\u00ed ne\u017e o p\u0159esn\u00fd kybernetick\u00fd \u00fatok, zranitelnost takov\u00e9 infrastruktury je z\u0159ejm\u00e1.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"article__cover\">\n<div class=\"media\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2026.05\/original\/6a15a9ba20302776b74dc3a3.jpg\" sizes=\"991px\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2026.05\/original\/6a15a9ba20302776b74dc3a3.jpg\" \/><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"read-more__cover lazyautosizes lazyloaded aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2026.05\/original\/6a15a9ba20302776b74dc3a3.jpg\" sizes=\"991px\" alt=\"RT\" width=\"762\" height=\"508\" data-sizes=\"auto\" data-src=\"https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2026.05\/original\/6a15a9ba20302776b74dc3a3.jpg\" \/><\/picture>\n<div class=\"media__footer media__footer_bottom \">\n<div class=\"media__title media__title_footer\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a9 Mehmet Yaren Bozgun \/ Anadolu p\u0159es Getty Images<br \/>\nx<\/span><\/em><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Z ekonomick\u00e9ho hlediska si \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u016f\u017ee uplatnit sv\u00e9 pr\u00e1vo \u00fa\u010dtovat poplatky za pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed podmo\u0159sk\u00fdch kabel\u016f v r\u00e1mci sv\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed jurisdikce. Podle mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edho pr\u00e1va maj\u00ed pob\u0159e\u017en\u00ed st\u00e1ty pravomoc regulovat instalaci a \u00fadr\u017ebu takov\u00e9 infrastruktury v bl\u00edzkosti sv\u00fdch b\u0159eh\u016f. Proto Teher\u00e1n nepova\u017euje kabely jen za sou\u010d\u00e1st mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed komunika\u010dn\u00ed s\u00edt\u011b, ale za objekt pod svou kontrolou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Politick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky takov\u00fdch akc\u00ed nebo \u00famysln\u00e9ho p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00ed kabel\u016f by pro \u00cdr\u00e1n byly zna\u010dn\u00e9. Takov\u00fd krok by USA, zem\u011b Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu a velk\u00e9 technologick\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nevn\u00edmaly jako \u201esymetrickou reakci\u201c, ale jako \u00fatok na kritickou mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed infrastrukturu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Diskr\u00e9tn\u00ed proveden\u00ed takov\u00e9 operace by nav\u00edc pro \u00cdr\u00e1n bylo mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9, proto\u017ee oblast je pod neust\u00e1l\u00fdm vojensk\u00fdm dohledem a jak\u00fdkoli zjevn\u00fd sabot\u00e1\u017en\u00ed akt by dal teher\u00e1nsk\u00fdm protivn\u00edk\u016fm dostatek d\u016fvod\u016f k tvrd\u00e9 odvetn\u00e9 reakci. Z tohoto d\u016fvodu by pokus o fyzick\u00e9 p\u0159e\u0159\u00edznut\u00ed kabel\u016f v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu byl pro \u00cdr\u00e1n extr\u00e9mn\u011b riskantn\u00edm man\u00e9vrem a fakticky by konflikt vystup\u0148oval na novou \u00farove\u0148.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pod\u00e9l mo\u0159sk\u00e9ho dna Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu vede sedm prim\u00e1rn\u00edch komunika\u010dn\u00edch syst\u00e9m\u016f, kter\u00e9 se v\u0161ak v\u011btv\u00ed do p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 17 odli\u0161n\u00fdch kabelov\u00fdch linek. N\u011bkter\u00e9 slou\u017e\u00ed p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b region\u00e1ln\u00edm \u00fa\u010del\u016fm: syst\u00e9m FALCON spojuje Indii s Om\u00e1nem, \u00cdr\u00e1nem, Katarem, Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bi\u00ed a sah\u00e1 a\u017e do Egypta, zat\u00edmco Ooredoo Gulf Pathway spravuje v\u00fdznamnou \u010d\u00e1st digit\u00e1ln\u00edho provozu v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu. Strategicky d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 jsou i dal\u0161\u00ed kabelov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my, v\u010detn\u011b SEA-ME-WE 5, kter\u00fd spojuje jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asii s Bl\u00edzk\u00fdm v\u00fdchodem a Evropou, a TGN-Gulf, kter\u00fd propojuje infrastrukturu zem\u00ed Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu s Indi\u00ed a glob\u00e1ln\u00edmi s\u00edt\u011bmi, v\u010detn\u011b USA.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Bezpe\u010dnost t\u011bchto kabel\u016f nelze zajistit bez vojensk\u00e9 s\u00edly. Kabelov\u00e1 infrastruktura je rozs\u00e1hl\u00e1, vede pod\u00e9l mo\u0159sk\u00e9ho dna a je fyzicky exponovan\u00e1. Jak v\u0161ak uk\u00e1zaly posledn\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edce, ani jedna ze stran nechce ohrozit sv\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 plavidla.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Oprava po\u0161kozen\u00fdch kabel\u016f p\u0159edstavuje \u0159adu v\u00fdzev. Obnova p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00e9ho kabelu vy\u017eaduje nasazen\u00ed specializovan\u00fdch lod\u00ed do oblasti a zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed jejich bezpe\u010dn\u00e9ho provozu. V kontextu vojensk\u00e9ho nap\u011bt\u00ed se tento probl\u00e9m rychle m\u011bn\u00ed z technick\u00e9ho na politick\u00fd a vojensk\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Bez p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9ho nebo alespo\u0148 tich\u00e9ho souhlasu Teher\u00e1nu by opravy v pr\u016flivu mohly b\u00fdt nemo\u017en\u00e9. Tato situace prom\u011b\u0148uje hrozbu po\u0161kozen\u00ed kabel\u016f v n\u00e1stroj k z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed moci, proto\u017ee krom\u011b naru\u0161en\u00ed dopravy m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt proces opravy komplikovan\u00fd.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Po\u0161kozen\u00ed podmo\u0159sk\u00fdch kabel\u016f v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu by mohlo ovlivnit nejen rychlost internetu, ale tak\u00e9 propojen\u00ed regionu s hlavn\u00edmi glob\u00e1ln\u00edmi IT platformami. V\u00fdznamn\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st digit\u00e1ln\u00ed infrastruktury, v\u010detn\u011b cloudov\u00fdch slu\u017eeb, datov\u00fdch center, firemn\u00edch platforem a finan\u010dn\u00edch syst\u00e9m\u016f, se spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed trasy pro p\u0159enos dat.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"article__cover\">\n<div class=\"media\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2026.05\/original\/6a15aa4a20302703473baaf4.jpg\" sizes=\"991px\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2026.05\/original\/6a15aa4a20302703473baaf4.jpg\" \/><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"read-more__cover lazyautosizes lazyloaded aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2026.05\/original\/6a15aa4a20302703473baaf4.jpg\" sizes=\"991px\" alt=\"RT\" width=\"685\" height=\"452\" data-sizes=\"auto\" data-src=\"https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2026.05\/original\/6a15aa4a20302703473baaf4.jpg\" \/><\/picture>\n<div class=\"media__footer media__footer_bottom \">\n<div class=\"media__title media__title_footer\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a9 Getty Images \/ Sybille Reuter<\/span><\/em><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b citliv\u00e9 by mohlo b\u00fdt naru\u0161en\u00ed komunikace s ji\u017en\u00ed Evropou \u2013 kde se nach\u00e1zej\u00ed velk\u00e1 datov\u00e1 centra spole\u010dnost\u00ed AWS, Microsoft a dal\u0161\u00edch poskytovatel\u016f cloudov\u00fdch slu\u017eeb. Pokud by bylo nutn\u00e9 datov\u00fd provoz ze zem\u00ed Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu nal\u00e9hav\u011b p\u0159esm\u011brovat alternativn\u00edmi trasami, proces by d\u00e1le zat\u00ed\u017eil dal\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti s\u00edt\u011b. V d\u016fsledku toho by u\u017eivatel\u00e9 mohli zaznamenat zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed, sn\u00ed\u017eenou rychlost, nestabiln\u00ed kvalitu slu\u017eeb a p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstupu ke cloudov\u00fdm platform\u00e1m.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bt, kter\u00e9 konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed slu\u017eby budou nejv\u00edce posti\u017eeny, je p\u0159edem t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nemo\u017en\u00e9. Informace o pozemn\u00edch komunika\u010dn\u00edch link\u00e1ch, z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00edch tras\u00e1ch a skute\u010dn\u00fdch sch\u00e9matech p\u0159erozd\u011blen\u00ed provozu obvykle nejsou ve\u0159ejn\u011b dostupn\u00e9. D\u016fsledky proto budou z\u00e1viset nejen na tom, kolik kabel\u016f bude posti\u017eeno, ale tak\u00e9 na tom, jak rychle budou oper\u00e1to\u0159i schopni provoz p\u0159esm\u011brovat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Obecn\u011b plat\u00ed, \u017ee jeden po\u0161kozen\u00fd kabel nezp\u016fsob\u00ed rozs\u00e1hl\u00fd kolaps internetu; provoz lze p\u0159erozd\u011blit z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00edmi trasami. Pokud v\u0161ak sel\u017ee v\u00edce kabel\u016f sou\u010dasn\u011b, zp\u016fsob\u00ed to pokles kvality internetov\u00fdch slu\u017eeb. V zem\u00edch Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu by to mohlo m\u00edt dopad na bankovn\u00ed operace, digit\u00e1ln\u00ed vl\u00e1dn\u00ed slu\u017eby, cloudov\u00e9 platformy, firemn\u00ed komunikaci, aplikace pro zas\u00edl\u00e1n\u00ed zpr\u00e1v a logistick\u00e9 syst\u00e9my.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V glob\u00e1ln\u00edm m\u011b\u0159\u00edtku je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by slu\u017eby jako Telegram zcela p\u0159estaly fungovat. V n\u011bkter\u00fdch zem\u00edch Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu by to v\u0161ak zp\u016fsobilo probl\u00e9my: zpr\u00e1vy by mohly b\u00fdt zpo\u017ed\u011bny, spojen\u00ed by mohlo b\u00fdt nestabiln\u00ed a v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9ho po\u0161kozen\u00ed n\u011bkolika kabel\u016f by mohl b\u00fdt do\u010dasn\u011b naru\u0161en p\u0159\u00edstup k ur\u010dit\u00fdm slu\u017eb\u00e1m.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Je velmi pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee m\u00edsto skute\u010dn\u00e9ho po\u0161kozen\u00ed kabel\u016f \u00cdr\u00e1n vyu\u017eije hrozbu takov\u00e9 mo\u017enosti jako p\u00e1ku vlivu. Teher\u00e1nu sta\u010d\u00ed zm\u00ednit mo\u017enost, \u017ee by se tyto kabely mohly st\u00e1t ter\u010dem. To ji\u017e m\u011bn\u00ed chov\u00e1n\u00ed trhu: oper\u00e1to\u0159i zohled\u0148uj\u00ed dodate\u010dn\u00e1 rizika, oprav\u00e1rensk\u00e9 lod\u011b postupuj\u00ed v z\u00f3n\u011b konfliktu opatrn\u011bji, zem\u011b Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu p\u0159ehodnocuj\u00ed z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00ed trasy a investo\u0159i posuzuj\u00ed zranitelnost regionu nejen z hlediska ropy, ale i digit\u00e1ln\u00ed infrastruktury.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">D\u016fsledky fyzick\u00e9ho po\u0161kozen\u00ed kabel\u016f by se mezit\u00edm li\u0161ily v z\u00e1vislosti na regionu. To by nezp\u016fsobilo glob\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdpadek internetu; existuj\u00ed alternativn\u00ed trasy a tranzit mezi Evropou a Asi\u00ed se op\u00edr\u00e1 o r\u016fzn\u00e9 cesty. Pro st\u00e1ty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu by v\u0161ak byl dopad mnohem z\u00e1va\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a ovlivnil by bankovn\u00ed operace, cloudov\u00e9 slu\u017eby, datov\u00e1 centra, logistiku a platformy digit\u00e1ln\u00ed spr\u00e1vy. Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed nebezpe\u010d\u00ed nespo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v jednor\u00e1zov\u00e9m incidentu, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e v dlouhodob\u00e9m naru\u0161en\u00ed a situaci, kdy by oprav\u00e1rensk\u00e9 lod\u011b nebyly schopny bezpe\u010dn\u011b operovat v z\u00f3n\u011b konfliktu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podmo\u0159sk\u00e9 kabely z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed pro \u00cdr\u00e1n prim\u00e1rn\u011b prost\u0159edkem strategick\u00e9ho n\u00e1tlaku \u2013 zp\u016fsobem, jak demonstrovat, \u017ee reakce na blok\u00e1dy nebo vojensk\u00fd tlak by se mohly roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it i za hranice trhu s ropou a zahrnout i digit\u00e1ln\u00ed infrastrukturu. Fyzick\u00e9 p\u0159e\u0159\u00edznut\u00ed kabel\u016f by bylo krajn\u00ed mo\u017enost\u00ed, mo\u017enou pouze v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 eskalace \u2013 nicm\u00e9n\u011b v logice jeho sou\u010dasn\u00e9 n\u00e1tlakov\u00e9 strategie by to pro \u00cdr\u00e1n nebyl nejracion\u00e1ln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed krok.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">Od\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Farhada Ibragimova<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u00a0\u2013 p\u0159edn\u00e1\u0161ej\u00edc\u00edho na Ekonomick\u00e9 fakult\u011b Univerzity RUDN, experta a p\u0159edn\u00e1\u0161ej\u00edc\u00edho na Kated\u0159e politologie Fakulty soci\u00e1ln\u00edch v\u011bd a masov\u00e9 komunikace Finan\u010dn\u00ed univerzity pod vl\u00e1dou Rusk\u00e9 federace<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"Blog-author__cover\"><a href=\"https:\/\/swentr.site\/op-ed\/authors\/farhad-ibragimov\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.07\/original\/686d28e92030276eba7de023.jpeg\" alt=\"Farhad Ibragimov\" width=\"169\" height=\"208\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"Blog-author__text\">\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd tlak na zdan\u011bn\u00ed podmo\u0159sk\u00fdch kabel\u016f v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu ukazuje, jak se tyto kabely st\u00e1vaj\u00ed&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":107501,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,647,38,276],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107500"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=107500"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107500\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/107501"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=107500"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=107500"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=107500"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}