{"id":107302,"date":"2026-05-25T00:12:24","date_gmt":"2026-05-24T22:12:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=107302"},"modified":"2026-05-24T16:30:35","modified_gmt":"2026-05-24T14:30:35","slug":"exkluzivne-iransky-zastupce-nacrtava-novy-navrh-na-ukonceni-valky-s-usa-zatimco-trump-zvazuje-nove-utoky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/25\/exkluzivne-iransky-zastupce-nacrtava-novy-navrh-na-ukonceni-valky-s-usa-zatimco-trump-zvazuje-nove-utoky\/","title":{"rendered":"EXKLUZIVN\u011a: \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd z\u00e1stupce na\u010drt\u00e1v\u00e1 nov\u00fd n\u00e1vrh na ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky s USA \u2013 zat\u00edmco Trump zva\u017euje nov\u00e9 \u00fatoky"},"content":{"rendered":"
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R\u00e1mec by odlo\u017eil jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o obohacov\u00e1n\u00ed uranu, dokud nebude dosa\u017eeno dohody o ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky a otev\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu, \u0159ekl serveru Drop Site vysoce postaven\u00fd \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159edlo\u017eil medi\u00e1tor\u016fm sv\u016fj nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1vrh na vyjedn\u00e1n\u00ed ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky s USA, \u0159ekl serveru Drop Site News vysoce postaven\u00fd \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk. Stalo se tak uprost\u0159ed pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00edch hrozeb z B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu a zpr\u00e1v, \u017ee Trumpova administrativa by se mohla p\u0159ipravovat na vojenskou eskalaci ji\u017e tento v\u00edkend. Vysoce postaven\u00fd \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk odhalil podrobnosti o prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edch rozhovorech Teher\u00e1nu s Trumpovou administrativou prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm region\u00e1ln\u00edch medi\u00e1tor\u016f a nast\u00ednil nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd n\u00e1vrh na diplomatick\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1stupce uvedl, \u017ee Teher\u00e1n navrhl \u0159adu podm\u00ednek jako r\u00e1mec pro dohodu, v\u010detn\u011b do\u010dasn\u00e9ho znovuotev\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu \u2013 podm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9ho ukon\u010den\u00edm blok\u00e1dy \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f ze strany USA, uvoln\u011bn\u00edm miliard dolar\u016f zmrazen\u00fdch \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch aktiv a pl\u00e1nem na kompenzaci v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch \u0161kod \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Z\u00e1stupce, kter\u00fd si p\u0159\u00e1l z\u016fstat v anonymit\u011b, proto\u017ee nebyl opr\u00e1vn\u011bn se k v\u011bci ve\u0159ejn\u011b vyjad\u0159ovat, rovn\u011b\u017e uvedl, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd r\u00e1mec vy\u017eaduje nejprve dohodu o trval\u00e9m ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky a pot\u00e9 okam\u017eit\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o jadern\u00e9m programu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eMedi\u00e1to\u0159i dnes uvedli, \u017ee Trump m\u00e1 z\u0159ejm\u011b v\u00e1\u017en\u00fd z\u00e1jem o ozn\u00e1men\u00ed ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky,\u201c uvedl z\u00e1stupce, ale dodal, \u017ee sign\u00e1ly ohledn\u011b toho, zda Trump zareaguje na nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 podm\u00ednky pozitivn\u011b, byly sm\u00ed\u0161en\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Varoval v\u0161ak, \u017ee mezi ob\u011bma stranami p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00ed zna\u010dn\u00e9 rozd\u00edly, a zopakoval, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159ipravil odvetn\u00e9 \u00fadery, pokud by USA a Izrael v \u00fatoc\u00edch pokra\u010dovaly.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eVzhledem k tomu, \u017ee americk\u00e1 strana trv\u00e1 na veden\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00fdhradn\u011b v r\u00e1mci jadern\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky, nebylo dosa\u017eeno \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9ho v\u00fdznamn\u00e9ho pokroku ohledn\u011b n\u00e1vrh\u016f vym\u011bn\u011bn\u00fdch p\u0159ed n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvou medi\u00e1tor\u016f.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Uprost\u0159ed rozhovor\u016f Trump \u00fadajn\u011b zva\u017euje dal\u0161\u00ed \u00fatoky na \u00cdr\u00e1n \u2013 taktiku, kterou b\u011bhem vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t pou\u017eil. V p\u00e1tek se v Ov\u00e1ln\u00e9 pracovn\u011b setkal s ministrem obrany Petem Hegsethem a vysok\u00fdmi bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edmi p\u0159edstaviteli. Server Axios informoval, \u017ee Trump \u201ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b zva\u017euje nov\u00e9 \u00fatoky proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, pokud v jedn\u00e1n\u00edch na posledn\u00ed chv\u00edli nedojde k pr\u016flomu\u201c. Pozd\u011bji Trump na Truth Social napsal, \u017ee se nez\u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed svatby sv\u00e9ho syna a prodlou\u017een\u00fd v\u00edkend str\u00e1v\u00ed ve Washingtonu kv\u016fli \u201eokolnostem souvisej\u00edc\u00edm s administrativou a mou l\u00e1skou ke Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm americk\u00fdm\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd z\u00e1stupce vysv\u011btlil, \u017ee kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm bodem sporu z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 po\u0159ad\u00ed ud\u00e1lost\u00ed \u2013 zda \u200b\u200bby m\u011bla nejprve skon\u010dit v\u00e1lka, nebo jadern\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed. Ve sv\u00e9m posledn\u00edm n\u00e1vrhu \u00cdr\u00e1n nab\u00eddl, \u017ee pod dohledem z\u0159ed\u00ed sv\u016fj jadern\u00fd materi\u00e1l a z\u00e1rove\u0148 p\u0159ijme omezen\u00ed sv\u00e9 kapacity obohacov\u00e1n\u00ed uranu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Prezident Donald Trump v\u0161ak podm\u00ednil americkou kampa\u0148 proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u00fapln\u00fdm odstran\u011bn\u00edm \u201eschopnosti \u00cdr\u00e1nu vyr\u00e1b\u011bt jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b\u201c \u2013 co\u017e je \u010derven\u00e1 linie, kterou B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm nad\u00e1le dodr\u017euje. Trump \u201esv\u00e9 \u010derven\u00e9 linie jednozna\u010dn\u011b vyj\u00e1d\u0159il,\u201c uvedla tiskov\u00e1 mluv\u010d\u00ed B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu Anna Kellyov\u00e1 pro CBS News: \u201e\u00cdr\u00e1n nesm\u00ed nikdy vlastnit jadernou zbra\u0148 a \u00cdr\u00e1n si nesm\u00ed ponechat obohacen\u00fd uran.\u201c \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e9 zpravodajsk\u00e9 posouzen\u00ed nikdy nestanovilo, \u017ee by \u00cdr\u00e1n byl bl\u00edzko v\u00fdvoji jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n se domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee samotn\u00fd Trump \u2013 kter\u00fd kol\u00eds\u00e1 mezi divok\u00fdmi hrozbami v\u016f\u010di \u00cdr\u00e1nu a prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edmi o v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed \u2013 je z\u00e1sadn\u00ed p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017ekou jak\u00e9koli dohody. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Abb\u00e1s Arag\u010d\u010d\u00ed v p\u00e1tek gener\u00e1ln\u00edmu tajemn\u00edkovi OSN \u0159ekl, \u017ee hlavn\u00ed p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017ekou dohody jsou \u201ep\u0159ehnan\u00e9 po\u017eadavky\u201c B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eTrumpovo osobn\u00ed politick\u00e9 rozhodnut\u00ed z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00e1\u017enou p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017ekou m\u00edru. Ve sv\u00e9m poselstv\u00ed P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu vyj\u00e1d\u0159il ochotu ukon\u010dit v\u00e1lku, ale pot\u00e9, co p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e1 delegace dnes dorazila do Teher\u00e1nu, zaujal ve vym\u011bn\u011bn\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v\u00e1ch op\u011bt jin\u00fd postoj,\u201c uvedl \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd z\u00e1stupce. \u201eVzhledem k nedostatku konstruktivn\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ce na americk\u00e9 stran\u011b dosud nebyl vypracov\u00e1n \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd n\u00e1vrh dohody.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm zpo\u010d\u00e1tku na \u017e\u00e1dost o koment\u00e1\u0159 nereagoval.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dvoukolejn\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Jedn\u00e1n\u00ed byla rozd\u011blena do dvou samostatn\u00fdch oblast\u00ed, uvedl z\u00e1stupce. Jedna oblast se zam\u011b\u0159uje na dohodu o ofici\u00e1ln\u00edm ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky, druh\u00e1 na spor ohledn\u011b \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho programu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd r\u00e1mec stanov\u00ed, \u017ee po po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed dohod\u011b o ofici\u00e1ln\u00edm ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky a vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed konce americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1dy \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f \u00cdr\u00e1n do\u010dasn\u011b znovu otev\u0159e Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv a zru\u0161\u00ed tranzitn\u00ed poplatky.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eToto ujedn\u00e1n\u00ed z\u016fstane v platnosti, dokud nebude kone\u010dn\u011b zaveden nov\u00fd administrativn\u00ed syst\u00e9m pro Hormuz, kter\u00fd \u00cdr\u00e1n brzy ozn\u00e1m\u00ed,\u201c dodal z\u00e1stupce.<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u00e1le vysv\u011btlil, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n tento vzorec p\u0159ijal v reakci na ni\u010div\u00e9 dopady konfliktu na glob\u00e1ln\u00ed trhy s energi\u00ed a potravinami, jako\u017e i na \u017e\u00e1dosti o pomoc od region\u00e1ln\u00edch, evropsk\u00fdch a asijsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na opl\u00e1tku by USA musely souhlasit s uvoln\u011bn\u00edm \u010d\u00e1sti zmrazen\u00fdch \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch aktiv a z\u0159\u00eddit mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed mechanismus, do kter\u00e9ho by se zapojily USA a dal\u0161\u00ed st\u00e1ty z\u00fa\u010dastn\u011bn\u00e9 ve v\u00e1lce, aby se \u00cdr\u00e1nu kompenzovaly jeho ztr\u00e1ty. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd postoj rovn\u011b\u017e vyz\u00fdv\u00e1 k ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky v cel\u00e9m regionu, zejm\u00e9na v Libanonu, kde Izrael i p\u0159es nomin\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed nad\u00e1le prov\u00e1d\u00ed masivn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 \u00fatoky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Po uzav\u0159en\u00ed dohody o ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky \u00cdr\u00e1n v n\u00e1sledn\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00edch o jadern\u00e9 ot\u00e1zce formuloval podm\u00ednky, kter\u00e9 by zahrnovaly z\u00e1vazek nevyv\u00edjet jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b. Na opl\u00e1tku \u00cdr\u00e1n po\u017eaduje uzn\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00e9ho pr\u00e1va na obohacov\u00e1n\u00ed uranu, kter\u00e9 by podle dohody z\u016fstalo po n\u011bkolik let omezen\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201e\u00cdr\u00e1n dobrovoln\u011b pozastav\u00ed obohacov\u00e1n\u00ed uranu nad 3,6 % na dobu deseti let. St\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed uran s \u00farovn\u00ed obohacen\u00ed nad 20 % bude v \u00cdr\u00e1nu za \u00fa\u010dasti zprost\u0159edkovatel\u016f z\u0159ed\u011bn a v tuzemsku pou\u017eit pro m\u00edrov\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dely,\u201c uvedl \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd z\u00e1stupce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud jde o \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd z\u00e1vazek nevyv\u00edjet jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b, uvedl:<\/span>
\n\u201eZ na\u0161eho pohledu to bude z\u00e1vazn\u00e1 podm\u00ednka za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee budou uzn\u00e1na ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed pr\u00e1va zem\u011b, a bude to v\u00fdslovn\u011b zahrnuto v ofici\u00e1ln\u00edch textech jadern\u00e9 dohody.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Mnoho detail\u016f t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00edch se \u00farovn\u011b obohacov\u00e1n\u00ed a pr\u00e1v zaru\u010den\u00fdch \u00cdr\u00e1nu v r\u00e1mci Smlouvy o ne\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry odpov\u00edd\u00e1 d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00edm \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm n\u00e1vrh\u016fm p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou, stejn\u011b jako \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 dohod\u011b mezi Washingtonem a Teher\u00e1nem z roku 2015.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1stupce v\u0161ak uvedl, \u017ee Trumpova administrativa si p\u0159\u00e1la, aby k jadern\u00e9 dohod\u011b a ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky do\u0161lo sou\u010dasn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eVe zpr\u00e1v\u00e1ch Trumpovy administrativy bylo uvoln\u011bn\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00edch zdroj\u016f v\u00e1z\u00e1no na v\u00fdsledek jadern\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed. To je pro n\u00e1s nep\u0159ijateln\u00e9,\u201c uvedl z\u00e1stupce.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201e\u00dapln\u00e9 zru\u0161en\u00ed sankc\u00ed pova\u017eujeme za rozumn\u00fd v\u00fdsledek v\u00fdm\u011bnou za \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 uzav\u0159en\u00ed jadern\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed. Na\u0161e zmrazen\u00e1 aktiva mus\u00ed b\u00fdt okam\u017eit\u011b uvoln\u011bna pro rekonstrukci zem\u011b \u2013 v\u00fdm\u011bnou za ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed o ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky,\u201c dodal. \u201eV\u00fdslovn\u011b odm\u00edtli jak po\u017eadovanou \u010d\u00e1stku, tak navrhovan\u00fd mechanismus pro p\u0159\u00edstup k finan\u010dn\u00edm prost\u0159edk\u016fm.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

V posledn\u00edch dnech se region\u00e1ln\u00ed st\u00e1ty zapojily do intenzivn\u00ed kyvadlov\u00e9 diplomacie mezi \u00cdr\u00e1nem a USA, zat\u00edmco Trump sou\u010dasn\u011b hrozil obnoven\u00edm \u00fatok\u016f. Pot\u00e9, co USA za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto t\u00fddne p\u0159edlo\u017eily sv\u016fj nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1vrh, Trump prohl\u00e1sil:<\/span>
\n\u201ePokud nedostaneme spr\u00e1vn\u00e9 odpov\u011bdi, v\u011bci se stanou velmi rychle. V\u0161ichni jsme p\u0159ipraveni.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Rozhovory mezi Washingtonem a Teher\u00e1nem ofici\u00e1ln\u011b zprost\u0159edkov\u00e1v\u00e1 P\u00e1kist\u00e1n, zat\u00edmco dal\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b \u010c\u00edny, Kataru, Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie a Egypta \u2013 hraj\u00ed p\u0159i p\u0159\u00edprav\u011b dohody podp\u016frnou roli.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eNa\u0161e n\u00e1vrhy byly p\u0159ijaty v\u0161emi konzultovan\u00fdmi stranami, v\u010detn\u011b p\u0159\u00edmo zprost\u0159edkuj\u00edc\u00edch st\u00e1t\u016f a dal\u0161\u00edch region\u00e1ln\u00edch akt\u00e9r\u016f informovan\u00fdch o procesu vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed,\u201c uvedl z\u00e1stupce. \u201eTento r\u00e1mec je pova\u017eov\u00e1n za prakticky provediteln\u00fd.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da se z\u00e1rove\u0148 p\u0159ipravuje na eskalaci, pokud Trump obnov\u00ed bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eNa\u0161e sou\u010dasn\u00e9 hodnocen\u00ed je takov\u00e9, \u017ee Trumpova vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00e1 ochota dos\u00e1hnout dohody o ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky nen\u00ed zcela spolehliv\u00e1. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 strana proto bude i nad\u00e1le pln\u011b p\u0159ipravena br\u00e1nit zemi,\u201c uvedl z\u00e1stupce.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201ePodle p\u0159ijat\u00fdch vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch politick\u00fdch sm\u011brnic \u00cdr\u00e1n v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v\u00e1lky za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed i na americk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy mimo z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii a ter\u010dem by se mohly st\u00e1t i v\u0161echny st\u00e1ty, kter\u00e9 by v dosahu \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch operac\u00ed hostily takov\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Tlak na \u00cdr\u00e1n<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Americk\u00e1 strategie vyv\u00edjen\u00ed tlaku na \u00cdr\u00e1n \u2013 pot\u00e9, co n\u011bkolik t\u00fddn\u016f spole\u010dn\u00fdch americko-izraelsk\u00fdch n\u00e1let\u016f b\u011bhem operace Epic Fury nedok\u00e1zalo svrhnout vl\u00e1du ani donutit \u00cdr\u00e1n ke kapitulaci \u2013 se nyn\u00ed p\u0159esunula k blok\u00e1d\u011b \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f a \u200b\u200bpokusu o zastaven\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho v\u00fdvozu energie. \u010c\u00edna je hlavn\u00edm odb\u011bratelem \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ropy a p\u0159edstavuje p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 90 % \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho v\u00fdvozu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky USA ud\u011blily do\u010dasn\u00e9 v\u00fdjimky, kter\u00e9 umo\u017enily prodej \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ropy, kter\u00e1 ji\u017e byla na mo\u0159i, a to i p\u0159es sankce, aby se odd\u00e1lil ekonomick\u00fd dopad blok\u00e1dy Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu. S postupuj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00e1lkou a rostouc\u00ed faktickou kontrolou \u00cdr\u00e1nu nad pr\u016flivem v\u0161ak asijsk\u00e9 a evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji obnovovaly diplomatick\u00e9 vztahy s \u00cdr\u00e1nem, p\u0159esto\u017ee se d\u0159\u00edve \u00fa\u010dastnily izola\u010dn\u00ed kampan\u011b proti Teher\u00e1nu veden\u00e9 USA.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201e\u010c\u00edna nyn\u00ed vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 situaci ve sv\u016fj prosp\u011bch a u\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 si sledov\u00e1n\u00ed, jak Amerika pl\u00fdtv\u00e1 sv\u00fdmi vojensk\u00fdmi zdroji a munic\u00ed. Neud\u011blaj\u00ed nic, aby tomu zabr\u00e1nila,\u201c \u0159ekl Mohammed Sani, \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd analytik p\u016fsob\u00edc\u00ed v Teher\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eZd\u00e1 se, \u017ee i dal\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b v Evrop\u011b a Asii, v\u010detn\u011b Ji\u017en\u00ed Koreje, Japonska, Francie a \u0160pan\u011blska, za\u010daly akceptovat realitu situace. D\u0159\u00edve \u010dekaly na vojenskou akci USA, kter\u00e1 by jim otev\u0159ela cestu; nyn\u00ed jedna po druh\u00e9 p\u0159istupuj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edmo k \u00cdr\u00e1nu, okam\u017eit\u011b vyjedn\u00e1vaj\u00ed, akceptuj\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nskou kontrolu a ji\u017e se nespol\u00e9haj\u00ed na americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 tiskov\u00e1 agentura Tasnim, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 bl\u00edzko k Revolu\u010dn\u00edm gard\u00e1m, za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto m\u011bs\u00edce informovala, \u017ee USA op\u011bt ud\u011blily v\u00fdjimky pro prodej \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ropy, co\u017e ameri\u010dt\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 pop\u0159eli.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd z\u00e1stupce v\u0161ak serveru Drop Site sd\u011blil, \u017ee bylo dosa\u017eeno dohody o obnoven\u00ed prodeje n\u011bkter\u00fdch \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch ropn\u00fdch produkt\u016f \u010c\u00edn\u011b, a\u010dkoli tato dohoda dosud nebyla zve\u0159ejn\u011bna.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201e\u010c\u00e1st na\u0161\u00ed ropy jsme prodali do \u010c\u00edny prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm p\u0159edprodeje a dod\u00e1vky nakoupen\u00e9ho mno\u017estv\u00ed ji\u017e za\u010daly,\u201c uvedl z\u00e1stupce.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201ePodle bilater\u00e1ln\u00edch rozhovor\u016f s Pekingem by americk\u00e1 strana nem\u011bla vytv\u00e1\u0159et \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eky pro p\u0159epravu t\u00e9to ropy \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdmi tankery.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Po n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bv\u011b \u010c\u00edny minul\u00fd t\u00fdden, b\u011bhem n\u00ed\u017e Trump od Pekingu nez\u00edskal \u017e\u00e1dnou podporu pro otev\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu za americk\u00fdch podm\u00ednek, Trump televizi Fox News \u0159ekl, \u017ee mu Si \u0164in-pching \u0159ekl:<\/span>
\n\u201eR\u00e1d bych pomohl, pokud mohu jakkoli pomoci,\u201c ale dodal, \u017ee navzdory z\u00e1vazk\u016fm, \u017ee nebude \u00cdr\u00e1nu prod\u00e1vat vojensk\u00e9 vybaven\u00ed, \u010c\u00edna \u201etam nakupuje hodn\u011b ropy a r\u00e1da by v tom pokra\u010dovala\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hroz\u00edc\u00ed eskalace<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Navzdory prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edm rozhovor\u016fm mezi USA a \u00cdr\u00e1nem p\u0159etrv\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 riziko nov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Podle agentury Axios Trump v ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m telefon\u00e1tu s izraelsk\u00fdm premi\u00e9rem Benjaminem Netanjahuem prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee se p\u0159ikl\u00e1n\u00ed k obnoven\u00ed \u00fatok\u016f na \u00cdr\u00e1n, v\u010detn\u011b z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00e9 \u201erozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed\u201c vlny \u00fatok\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump opakovan\u011b vyj\u00e1d\u0159il p\u0159\u00e1n\u00ed rychl\u00e9ho ukon\u010den\u00ed nepopul\u00e1rn\u00ed a n\u00e1kladn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu a z\u00e1rove\u0148 pohrozil \u00fatokem na \u00edr\u00e1nskou energetickou infrastrukturu \u2013 c\u00edl, kter\u00fd podle zpr\u00e1vy Izrael opakovan\u011b po\u017eadoval. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 je Trump v leto\u0161n\u00edm volebn\u00edm roce pod rostouc\u00edm tlakem republik\u00e1nsk\u00fdch sen\u00e1tor\u016f kv\u016fli ekonomick\u00fdm d\u016fsledk\u016fm v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n\u0161t\u00ed analytici s vazbami na Revolu\u010dn\u00ed gardy serveru Drop Site sd\u011blili, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159ipravuje rozs\u00e1hlou ofenzivu v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b nov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e1 by nebyla omezena konkr\u00e9tn\u00edm \u010dasov\u00fdm r\u00e1mcem. C\u00edlem by byla region\u00e1ln\u00ed infrastruktura kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku, stejn\u011b jako americk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed jednotky v dosahu \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed. V nov\u00e9m kole eskalace by pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b byl napaden i pr\u016fliv Bab al-Mandab, kter\u00fd byl dosud v\u00e1lky u\u0161et\u0159en, co\u017e by d\u00e1le zat\u00ed\u017eilo glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201ePokud povedou v\u00e1lku o infrastrukturu, \u00cdr\u00e1n se odvet\u00ed \u2013 nejen bombardov\u00e1n\u00edm energetick\u00fdch z\u00f3n v ji\u017en\u00edm Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, ale tak\u00e9 uzav\u0159en\u00edm pr\u016flivu Bab al-Mandab. Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomika by byla zni\u010dena, v\u010detn\u011b ekonomiky USA,\u201c \u0159ekl Mostafa Khoshchesm, bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed expert s \u00fazk\u00fdmi vazbami na Revolu\u010dn\u00ed gardu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eZkusili to je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00edm \u2013 \u00fato\u010dili na mosty, v\u011bdeck\u00e1 centra, v\u00fdzkumn\u00e9 instituce, univerzity a nemocnice. \u00cdr\u00e1nci si udr\u017eeli sv\u00e9 pozice, nejen ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly, ale i obyvatelstvo a vl\u00e1da. U\u017e si to vyzkou\u0161eli a v\u011bd\u00ed, \u017ee to nebude fungovat. \u00cdr\u00e1nci se nevzdaj\u00ed.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

USA a Izrael od t\u00e9 doby doplnily sv\u00e9 vy\u010derpan\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 zdroje v regionu. Z \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho pohledu si v\u0161ak Teher\u00e1n navzdory masivn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomnosti americk\u00fdch vojsk po po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159est\u0159elce udr\u017eel sv\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 a bezpilotn\u00ed kapacity, a proto si nad\u00e1le udr\u017euje eskala\u010dn\u00ed dominanci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Cho\u0161\u010desm prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n se \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9mu americk\u00e9mu ultim\u00e1tum silou nevyhov\u00ed a \u017ee by dokonce s\u00e1m mohl zah\u00e1jit eskalaci \u2013 v z\u00e1vislosti na v\u00fdvoji situace.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eK \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 dohod\u011b nedojde, pokud se Donald Trump bude dr\u017eet sv\u00e9ho maximalistick\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edstupu a bude cht\u00edt v\u0161echno,\u201c \u0159ekl Cho\u0161\u010desm.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eMnoho lid\u00ed v \u00cdr\u00e1nu se domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee tato v\u00e1lka by m\u011bla b\u00fdt jednou prov\u017edy ukon\u010dena. Mnoz\u00ed vyz\u00fdvaj\u00ed ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly k zah\u00e1jen\u00ed preventivn\u00edho \u00fatoku na americk\u00e9 lod\u011b a dal\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1kladny v regionu. Opr\u00e1vn\u011bn\u011b se domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 navrch a m\u011bl by ji vyu\u017e\u00edt k tomu, aby v\u0161e ukon\u010dil hned te\u010f a nenechal nic otev\u0159en\u00e9ho do budoucna.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Jin\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1n\u0161t\u00ed analytici uvedli, \u017ee nov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka by znamenala zes\u00edlen\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f na st\u00e1ty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu spojence USA a Izraele \u2013 zejm\u00e9na na Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n a Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty pokra\u010dovaly ve vz\u00e1jemn\u00fdch \u00fatoc\u00edch i p\u0159es p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed z 8. dubna. Emir\u00e1ty, kter\u00e9 se b\u011bhem v\u00e1lky \u00fazce spojily s Izraelem, \u00fadajn\u011b za\u00fato\u010dily na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd ropn\u00fd sklad na ostrov\u011b Lavan jen n\u011bkolik hodin po p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed. Za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto m\u011bs\u00edce se pobl\u00ed\u017e jadern\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny Barakah ve Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1tech z\u0159\u00edtil tak\u00e9 dron, kter\u00fd \u00fadajn\u011b vypustily pro\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 milice, co\u017e SAE ozna\u010dily za \u201enevyprovokovan\u00fd teroristick\u00fd \u00fatok\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eV \u00cdr\u00e1nu v\u0161ichni \u010dekaj\u00ed na nov\u00e9 kolo jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, proto\u017ee vzhledem k postoj\u016fm \u00cdr\u00e1nu a Ameri\u010dan\u016f jsou \u0161ance na dohodu pova\u017eov\u00e1ny za velmi mal\u00e9. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee cht\u011bj\u00ed znovu zkusit \u0161t\u011bst\u00ed, ale v\u00fdsledek bude stejn\u00fd \u2013 jen tentokr\u00e1t \u00cdr\u00e1n zareaguje agresivn\u011bji ne\u017e d\u0159\u00edve,\u201c \u0159ekl Sani.<\/span><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9 koordinace s Ansarall\u00e1hem ohledn\u011b uzav\u0159en\u00ed pr\u016flivu Bab al-Mandab S\u00e1n\u00ed uvedl, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n masivn\u011b za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na ekonomick\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy a infrastrukturu ve Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1tech.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco n\u011bkolik region\u00e1ln\u00edch st\u00e1t\u016f, kter\u00e9 d\u0159\u00edve podporovaly americk\u00e9 \u00fatoky, od t\u00e9 doby uzav\u0159elo s \u00cdr\u00e1nem dohody o tom, \u017ee v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b nov\u00e9 eskalace s USA nebudou znovu spolupracovat \u2013 v\u00fdm\u011bnou za to, \u017ee budou u\u0161et\u0159eny \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f \u2013 Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty od uzav\u0159en\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u011b prohloubily sv\u00e9 vztahy s Izraelem.<\/span><\/p>\n

B\u011bhem v\u00e1lky byly na emir\u00e1tsk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed rozm\u00edst\u011bny izraelsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 zdroje. Emir\u00e1ty nav\u00edc nav\u0161t\u00edvili vysoce postaven\u00ed izrael\u0161t\u00ed politici a vojen\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9, v\u010detn\u011b Benjamina Netanjahua.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eSAE hledaj\u00ed probl\u00e9my. Stav\u00ed obrann\u00e9 syst\u00e9my kolem rafineri\u00ed, aby je chr\u00e1nily p\u0159ed \u00fatoky dron\u016f, a p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed se na dal\u0161\u00ed kolo \u00fatok\u016f. Cht\u011bj\u00ed j\u00edt touto cestou a\u017e do konce, st\u00e1t po boku Izraele a st\u00e1t se druh\u00fdm Izraelem v regionu,\u201c \u0159ekl Sani.<\/span><\/p>\n

Po ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9m pokusu z\u00edskat \u010d\u00ednskou podporu pro otev\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu maj\u00ed USA velmi omezen\u00e9 mo\u017enosti \u2013 zejm\u00e9na vzhledem k tomu, co S\u00e1n\u00ed popsal jako novou realitu \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 kontroly nad touto vodn\u00ed cestou.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eJedinou zem\u00ed, kter\u00e1 odm\u00edt\u00e1 tuto realitu uznat, jsou USA. Ale brzy ji budou muset akceptovat \u2013 bu\u010f p\u0159ed, nebo po dal\u0161\u00edm kole boj\u016f. Existuje pouze jedna cesta vp\u0159ed: vyjedn\u00e1vat spole\u010dn\u011b s \u00cdr\u00e1nem a diplomaticky po\u017e\u00e1dat o otev\u0159en\u00ed silnice. Nakonec si, stejn\u011b jako ostatn\u00ed zem\u011b, uv\u011bdom\u00ed, \u017ee pro otev\u0159en\u00ed silnice neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 mo\u017enost a \u017ee USA mus\u00ed s \u00cdr\u00e1nem dos\u00e1hnout dohody.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Jeremy Scahill, Murtaza Hussain<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n
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Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

R\u00e1mec by odlo\u017eil jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o obohacov\u00e1n\u00ed uranu, dokud nebude dosa\u017eeno dohody o ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky a…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":107303,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[38,1503,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107302"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=107302"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107302\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/107303"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=107302"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=107302"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=107302"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}