{"id":107220,"date":"2026-05-23T05:26:47","date_gmt":"2026-05-23T03:26:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=107220"},"modified":"2026-05-23T05:28:06","modified_gmt":"2026-05-23T03:28:06","slug":"uriel-araujo-severni-expanze-nato-priblizuje-evropu-konfliktu-s-ruskem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/23\/uriel-araujo-severni-expanze-nato-priblizuje-evropu-konfliktu-s-ruskem\/","title":{"rendered":"Uriel Araujo: Severn\u00ed expanze NATO p\u0159ibli\u017euje Evropu konfliktu s Ruskem"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Rychl\u00e1 militarizace arktick\u00e9ho a pobaltsk\u00e9ho regionu ze strany NATO m\u011bn\u00ed severn\u00ed Evropu v jeden z nejnest\u00e1lej\u0161\u00edch bod\u016f sv\u00e1ru na sv\u011bt\u011b. Od rostouc\u00ed strategick\u00e9 role Norska a\u017e po nov\u00e9 britsk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed iniciativy a obavy z blok\u00e1dy se nap\u011bt\u00ed s Ruskem nad\u00e1le stup\u0148uje uprost\u0159ed rozkol\u016f uvnit\u0159 samotn\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed aliance.<\/strong><\/p>\n

St\u00e1le v\u00edce n\u00e1znak\u016f nazna\u010duje, \u017ee se severn\u00ed k\u0159\u00eddlo Evropy st\u00e1v\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00edm z nejnebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch d\u011bji\u0161t\u011b dne\u0161n\u00ed nov\u00e9 studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Rusk\u00fd velvyslanec v Norsku Nikolaj Kor\u010dunov ned\u00e1vno\u00a0<\/span>varoval<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee rostouc\u00ed militarizace arktick\u00e9ho a pobaltsk\u00e9ho regionu ze strany Atlantick\u00e9 aliance\u00a0<\/span>riskuje<\/span><\/a>\u00a0vyvol\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 konfrontace s Moskvou; zm\u00ednil sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e zahrnuj\u00edc\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1dy<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a nezam\u00fd\u0161lenou eskalaci s \u201e\u00a0<\/span>fat\u00e1ln\u00edmi d\u016fsledky pro v\u0161echny<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c. Takov\u00e9 pozn\u00e1mky jdou nad r\u00e1mec diplomatick\u00e9 r\u00e9toriky a ve skute\u010dnosti odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed geopolitickou transformaci, kter\u00e1 se odehr\u00e1v\u00e1 ji\u017e l\u00e9ta.<\/span><\/p>\n

Baltsk\u00fd a arktick\u00fd region se ve skute\u010dnosti staly hluboce propojen\u00fdmi d\u011bji\u0161t\u011bmi: roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed atlantick\u00e9ho bloku s p\u0159istoupen\u00edm\u00a0<\/span>\u0160v\u00e9dska a Finska<\/span><\/a>\u00a0z\u00e1sadn\u011b zm\u011bnilo strategickou krajinu severn\u00ed Evropy. M\u016f\u017eeme si vzpomenout, \u017ee je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed n\u011bkolika lety bylo \u0160v\u00e9dsko ofici\u00e1ln\u011b neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed, zat\u00edmco Finsko si zachov\u00e1valo postoj\u00a0<\/span>neanga\u017eovanosti<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ob\u011b zem\u011b\u00a0<\/span><\/a>se<\/span><\/a>\u00a0dnes pozoruhodnou rychlost\u00ed\u00a0integruj\u00ed\u00a0do euroatlantick\u00e9ho opera\u010dn\u00edho pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e Norsko hraje zejm\u00e9na\u00a0<\/span>vedouc\u00ed roli<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Podle Kor\u010dunova hraje Oslo st\u00e1le \u00fast\u0159edn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed roli v integraci nov\u00fdch seversk\u00fdch \u010dlen\u016f do severn\u00ed strategie vojensk\u00e9ho bloku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bylo by chybou si myslet, \u017ee se jedn\u00e1 jen o \u201eodstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c. Ru\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee aktivity Aliance v Baltsk\u00e9m a Arktick\u00e9m boji\u0161ti jdou daleko za r\u00e1mec obrann\u00e9 signalizace a nyn\u00ed zahrnuj\u00ed i \u200b\u200bn\u00e1cvik omezen\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstupu Ruska k mo\u0159i.<\/span><\/p>\n

Moskva proto\u00a0<\/span>varovala<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 z\u00e1padn\u00ed cvi\u010den\u00ed simuluj\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e zahrnuj\u00edc\u00ed izolaci strategicky d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch oblast\u00ed, jako je Kaliningrad a kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 severn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed koridory. V t\u00e9to souvislosti velvyslanec Kor\u010dunov otev\u0159en\u011b obvinil z\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b z p\u0159\u00edprav na mo\u017en\u00e9 \u201e\u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u00e9 nebo \u00fapln\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1dy<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c Ruska.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kolsk\u00fd\u00a0<\/span>poloostrov<\/span><\/a>\u00a0host\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 komponenty rusk\u00e9 infrastruktury jadern\u00e9ho odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed a je\u00a0<\/span>postupn\u011b vystaven<\/span><\/a>\u00a0euroatlantick\u00e9 aktivit\u011b\u00a0<\/span>na D\u00e1ln\u00e9m severu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Finsk\u00fd z\u00e1liv mezit\u00edm z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nepostradateln\u00fd pro rusk\u00fd obchod, v\u00fdvoz energie a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstup do Petrohradu.<\/span><\/p>\n

V roce 2024 jsem\u00a0<\/span>tvrdil<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee militarizace Finsk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu riskuje, \u017ee se Baltsk\u00e9 mo\u0159e prom\u011bn\u00ed v budouc\u00ed vysoce rizikovou oblast pro eskalaci mezi Transatlantickou alianc\u00ed a Moskvou. V t\u00e9 dob\u011b se cvi\u010den\u00ed NATO postupn\u011b zam\u011b\u0159ovala na omezov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstupu rusk\u00fdch lod\u00ed pod z\u00e1minkou \u201ebezpe\u010dnosti Baltsk\u00e9ho mo\u0159e\u201c, co\u017e je probl\u00e9m, kter\u00fd st\u00e1le\u00a0<\/span>p\u0159etrv\u00e1v\u00e1<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Cvi\u010den\u00ed NATO<\/span><\/a>\u00a0sou\u010dasn\u011b nacvi\u010dovala\u00a0<\/span>operace<\/span><\/a>\u00a0zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na\u00a0<\/span>strategick\u00e9 severn\u00ed koridory<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, jako je\u00a0<\/span>Suwalsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, zat\u00edmco paraleln\u00ed cvi\u010den\u00ed v Baltsk\u00e9m a seversk\u00e9m regionu se zam\u011b\u0159ovala na sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e kontroly a omezen\u00ed zahrnuj\u00edc\u00ed samotn\u00fd\u00a0<\/span>Finsk\u00fd z\u00e1liv<\/span><\/a>\u00a0(proto\u017ee vstup Finska prom\u011bnil region v integrovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed opera\u010dn\u00ed prostor z pohledu Aliance).<\/span><\/p>\n

Od roku 2024 se zm\u011bnil rozsah a institucionalizace tohoto procesu.\u00a0Militarizace Severn\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>Aliance se doposud zna\u010dn\u011b\u00a0<\/span><\/a>zintenzivnila<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.\u00a0V cel\u00e9 Skandin\u00e1vii vznikaj\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>nov\u00e9 velitelsk\u00e9 struktury a za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed NATO , v\u00fdrazn\u011b se roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159ila\u00a0<\/span><\/a>britsk\u00e1<\/span><\/a>\u00a0vojensk\u00e1 aktivita v Arktid\u011b (\u00a0<\/span>zdvojn\u00e1soben\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0nasazen\u00fdch vojsk) a nav\u00edc se \u00fadajn\u011b\u00a0zv\u00fd\u0161ily\u00a0<\/a><\/span>dohledov\u00e9<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a zpravodajsk\u00e9 operace\u00a0<\/span>v bl\u00edzkosti<\/span><\/a>\u00a0infrastruktury rusk\u00e9 Severn\u00ed flotily\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

V t\u00e9to nov\u00e9 krajin\u011b\u00a0<\/span>se Norsko<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, opl\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed ropn\u00fdm bohatstv\u00edm a strategicky um\u00edst\u011bn\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>mezi Arktidou a Baltsk\u00fdm<\/span><\/a>\u00a0mo\u0159em, st\u00e1le v\u00edce chov\u00e1 jako severn\u00ed strategick\u00fd koordin\u00e1tor aliance a vede nebo po\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1 velk\u00e1 arktick\u00e1 cvi\u010den\u00ed, jako je\u00a0<\/span>Cold Response<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed analytici hovo\u0159\u00ed o \u201e\u00a0<\/span>vikingsk\u00e9m bloku<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c, kter\u00fd se formuje v severn\u00ed Evrop\u011b. Seversk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 integrace, zpo\u010d\u00e1tku v r\u00e1mci \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed anglo-americk\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 koordinace, se st\u00e1v\u00e1 st\u00e1le viditeln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nav\u00edc\u00a0ned\u00e1vn\u00e1\u00a0<\/span>britsk\u00e1\u00a0<\/span><\/a>mnohon\u00e1rodn\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed iniciativa zahrnuj\u00edc\u00ed Norsko a n\u011bkolik severoevropsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed rostouc\u00ed konsolidaci arktido-baltsk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architektury veden\u00e9 Spojen\u00fdm kr\u00e1lovstv\u00edm, zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed Moskvy \u2013 zat\u00edmco arktick\u00e9 a baltsk\u00e9 divadlo se st\u00e1le v\u00edce propojuje v r\u00e1mci severn\u00edho postoje euroatlantick\u00e9 organizace k \u201ezadr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c Ruska.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tento proces je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed n\u011b\u010deho je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho: postupn\u00e9 \u201e\u00a0<\/span>globalizace NATO<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c (jak ji naz\u00fdv\u00e1 geopolitick\u00fd analytik M. Nazemroaya). Region\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 aliance a bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architektury vznikaj\u00ed v cel\u00e9 Evrop\u011b a Eurasii, \u010dasto za r\u016fzn\u00e9 m\u00edry anglo-americk\u00e9 koordinace.<\/span><\/p>\n

V tomto kontextu se severn\u00ed Evropa stala jedn\u00edm z takov\u00fdch pil\u00ed\u0159\u016f. Polsko usiluje\u00a0<\/span>o v\u016fd\u010d\u00ed postaven\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0ve st\u0159edn\u00ed a v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evrop\u011b, zat\u00edmco Rumunsko ve st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed m\u00ed\u0159e\u00a0<\/span>slou\u017e\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0jako hlavn\u00ed centrum Severoatlantick\u00e9 aliance v oblasti \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e a Turecko zase z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1\u00a0<\/span>slo\u017eit\u00fdm<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, a p\u0159esto nepostradateln\u00fdm hr\u00e1\u010dem\u00a0<\/span>spojuj\u00edc\u00edm<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Kavkaz,\u00a0<\/span>\u010cern\u00e9 mo\u0159e<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ironi\u00ed je v ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee tato militarizace se shoduje s rostouc\u00edmi trhlinami uvnit\u0159 samotn\u00e9ho z\u00e1padn\u00edho bloku. Vztah kontinentu s Tureckem\u00a0<\/span>z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 dostate\u010dn\u011b napjat\u00fd<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, a to i p\u0159es strategick\u00fd v\u00fdznam Ankary pro tranzit energie a bezpe\u010dnost \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mezit\u00edm transatlantick\u00e9 nap\u011bt\u00ed za prezidentstv\u00ed Donalda Trumpa nad\u00e1le roste: americk\u00fd v\u016fdce opakovan\u011b tla\u010dil na evropsk\u00e9 spojence ohledn\u011b obrann\u00e9 z\u00e1t\u011b\u017ee a dokonce nazna\u010dil mo\u017enost sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed nebo \u00fapln\u00e9ho zru\u0161en\u00ed z\u00e1vazk\u016f USA v\u016f\u010di Alianci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nen\u00ed divu, \u017ee evrop\u0161t\u00ed l\u00edd\u0159i neust\u00e1le hovo\u0159\u00ed o \u201estrategick\u00e9 autonomii\u201c. Polsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Donald Tusk ned\u00e1vno zpochybnil, zda by Washington v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b konfliktu skute\u010dn\u011b dodr\u017eel z\u00e1vazky vojensk\u00e9 organizace, a otev\u0159en\u011b\u00a0<\/span>vyzval<\/span><\/a>\u00a0k siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed integraci evropsk\u00e9 obrany.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se tedy, \u017ee kontinent vstupuje do pon\u011bkud rozporupln\u00e9 f\u00e1ze. Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b blok nad\u00e1le stup\u0148uje vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1vazky proti Moskv\u011b, zejm\u00e9na prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm Ukrajiny. Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b evropsk\u00e9 elity pochybuj\u00ed o spolehlivosti samotn\u00e9ho americk\u00e9ho veden\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ned\u00e1vno jsem\u00a0<\/span>argumentoval<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee kontinent se fakticky politicky zapojil do prodlu\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu, a to i p\u0159esto, \u017ee Washington pod veden\u00edm Trumpa aktivn\u011bji prosazuje vyjednan\u00e1 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed. Evropsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy ka\u017edop\u00e1dn\u011b nad\u00e1le masivn\u011b financuj\u00ed Kyjev a z\u00e1rove\u0148 podporuj\u00ed maximalistick\u00e9 po\u017eadavky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mo\u017en\u00e1 si vzpomeneme, \u017ee realistick\u00e9 hlasy jako John Mearsheimer a tak\u00e9 obrann\u00ed analytici establishmentu na Z\u00e1pad\u011b ji\u017e dlouho varovali, \u017ee nekone\u010dn\u00e9 roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed NATO nakonec povede p\u0159esn\u011b k tomuto v\u00fdsledku: k siln\u011b militarizovan\u00e9 Evrop\u011b uv\u011bzn\u011bn\u00e9 v eskaluj\u00edc\u00ed konfrontaci se sv\u00fdm nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm sousedem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dnes je rizika \u010d\u00edm d\u00e1l m\u00e9n\u011b mo\u017en\u00e9 ignorovat. N\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed incidenty v Baltsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i,\u00a0<\/span>\u00fatoky dron\u016f<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v bl\u00edzkosti arktick\u00e9 infrastruktury, zpravodajsk\u00e9 operace, sank\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lka a r\u00e9torika o blok\u00e1d\u011b \u2013 to v\u0161e p\u0159isp\u00edv\u00e1 ke klimatu, kde se chybn\u00e9 odhady st\u00e1vaj\u00ed st\u00e1le riskantn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uriel Araujo, PhD.<\/a> v oboru antropologie, je soci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u011bdec specializuj\u00edc\u00ed se na etnick\u00e9 a n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 konflikty s rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdm v\u00fdzkumem geopolitick\u00e9 dynamiky a kulturn\u00edch interakc\u00ed<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

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Rychl\u00e1 militarizace arktick\u00e9ho a pobaltsk\u00e9ho regionu ze strany NATO m\u011bn\u00ed severn\u00ed Evropu v jeden z…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":107221,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[6669,1503,39,22],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107220"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=107220"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107220\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/107221"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=107220"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=107220"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=107220"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}