{"id":107193,"date":"2026-05-23T00:15:54","date_gmt":"2026-05-22T22:15:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=107193"},"modified":"2026-05-22T13:21:37","modified_gmt":"2026-05-22T11:21:37","slug":"scott-ritter-iran-vraci-uder-proc-by-se-valka-proti-teheranu-mohla-stat-pro-trumpa-politickou-katastrofou","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/23\/scott-ritter-iran-vraci-uder-proc-by-se-valka-proti-teheranu-mohla-stat-pro-trumpa-politickou-katastrofou\/","title":{"rendered":"Scott Ritter: \u00cdr\u00e1n vrac\u00ed \u00fader \u2013 Pro\u010d by se v\u00e1lka proti Teher\u00e1nu mohla st\u00e1t pro Trumpa politickou katastrofou"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V nap\u00ednav\u00e9m rozhovoru b\u00fdval\u00fd inspektor OSN pro zbran\u011b a b\u00fdval\u00fd d\u016fstojn\u00edk americk\u00e9 rozv\u011bdky Scott Ritter vykresluje bez\u00fat\u011b\u0161n\u00fd obraz sou\u010dasn\u00e9 situace mezi USA, Izraelem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Ritter tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee Washington a Tel Aviv se nejen dopustily geopolitick\u00e9 chyby, ale tak\u00e9 si uv\u011bdomily, \u017ee p\u0159\u00edm\u00e1 v\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu by se mohla vymknout kontrole \u2013 vojensky, ekonomicky i politicky. Jeho anal\u00fdza je zalo\u017eena na rostouc\u00ed eskalaci na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, masivn\u00edch ztr\u00e1t\u00e1ch, kter\u00e9 utrp\u011bly z\u00e1padn\u00ed syst\u00e9my, a strachu z glob\u00e1ln\u00edho ekonomick\u00e9ho kolapsu.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Scott Ritter: \u00cdr\u00e1n ODPOV\u00cdD\u00c1 na bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed americko-izraelsk\u00fd \u00fader \u2013 Konec hry, Trumpe\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/bK1NeoKW67k?feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ritter popisuje situaci jako krizi, z n\u00ed\u017e se Trumpova administrativa nyn\u00ed zoufale sna\u017e\u00ed vymanit. Ofici\u00e1ln\u011b prezident Donald Trump hovo\u0159\u00ed o \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00edch a z\u00e1m\u011brn\u00e9 deeskalaci. Ve skute\u010dnosti v\u0161ak podle Rittera Washington jednodu\u0161e nen\u00ed schopen v\u00e9st velkou v\u00e1lku proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, ani\u017e by s\u00e1m \u010delil strategick\u00e9 katastrof\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle Rittera se debata soust\u0159ed\u00ed na ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho ministra zahrani\u010d\u00ed Abb\u00e1se Arag\u010d\u010d\u00edho, kter\u00fd prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee se \u00cdr\u00e1n pou\u010dil z p\u0159edchoz\u00edch \u00fatok\u016f a v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b dal\u0161\u00ed eskalace situace ho \u010dek\u00e1 \u201emnoho p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed\u201c. Ritter rovn\u011b\u017e poukazuje na zpr\u00e1vy o masivn\u00edch ztr\u00e1t\u00e1ch z\u00e1padn\u00edch leteck\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f a dron\u016f v minul\u00fdch konfliktech. Zejm\u00e9na zd\u016fraz\u0148uje \u00fadajn\u00e9 zni\u010den\u00ed \u010detn\u00fdch dron\u016f MQ-9 Reaper a dal\u0161\u00edch letadel b\u011bhem pouh\u00fdch 37 dn\u016f aktivn\u00edch boj\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle Rittera se pr\u00e1v\u011b v tomto bod\u011b zm\u011bnila geopolitick\u00e1 realita. Izrael a USA p\u016fvodn\u011b v\u011b\u0159ily, \u017ee mohou destabilizovat \u00cdr\u00e1n c\u00edlen\u00fdmi \u00fadery a nakonec v\u00e9st ke zm\u011bn\u011b re\u017eimu. Izrael p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dil Trumpa, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed je slab\u00e9, populace se st\u00e1v\u00e1 sekul\u00e1rn\u00ed a Isl\u00e1msk\u00e1 republika je na pokraji kolapsu. Ale pr\u00e1v\u011b tento v\u00fdpo\u010det selhal.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ritter tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee izraelsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed prodalo Trumpovi iluzi: my\u0161lenku, \u017ee by bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 eliminovat Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u016fdce, neutralizovat vojensk\u00e9 veden\u00ed a pot\u00e9 dosadit novou vl\u00e1du, kter\u00e1 by ukon\u010dila \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 a jadern\u00e9 programy. Dnes si v\u0161ak Washington uv\u011bdomuje, \u017ee se stal opak: \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed je vnitrost\u00e1tn\u011b siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e d\u0159\u00edve, zat\u00edmco strategick\u00e9 c\u00edle Izraele se staly nedosa\u017eiteln\u00fdmi.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ritterovo hodnocen\u00ed potenci\u00e1ln\u00edch d\u016fsledk\u016f nov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky je obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b dramatick\u00e9. Pokud by do\u0161lo k p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9mu \u00fatoku na \u00cdr\u00e1n, tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee Teher\u00e1n by za\u00fato\u010dil nejen na Izrael, ale tak\u00e9 na celou energetickou infrastrukturu oblasti Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu. Ritter poukazuje konkr\u00e9tn\u011b na Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty, kter\u00e9 podle n\u011bj nyn\u00ed hraj\u00ed \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed roli v izraelsk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed strategii.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n ji\u017e jasn\u011b uvedl, \u017ee v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v\u00e1lky by se ter\u010dem \u00fatok\u016f staly energetick\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, odsolovac\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a syst\u00e9my z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed energi\u00ed st\u00e1t\u016f Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu. Ritter popisuje sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 neust\u00e1l\u00fdch raketov\u00fdch a dronov\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f \u201ehodinu co hodinu, den co den\u201c. Podle jeho odhadu by d\u016fsledky byly zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed: kolaps v\u00fdroby energie, masivn\u00ed naru\u0161en\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00edch dodavatelsk\u00fdch \u0159et\u011bzc\u016f, odst\u00e1vky rafineri\u00ed a v kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku celosv\u011btov\u00e1 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e1 krize.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b v\u00fdbu\u0161n\u00e9 je jeho tvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee USA by takovou v\u00e1lku logisticky jen st\u011b\u017e\u00ed udr\u017eely. Podle Rittera m\u00e1 Washington pouze omezen\u00e9 z\u00e1soby zbran\u00ed dlouh\u00e9ho doletu a syst\u00e9m\u016f protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany. \u00cdr\u00e1n je naopak schopen v\u00e9st vleklou vy\u010derp\u00e1vac\u00ed v\u00e1lku. Podle Rittera by Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm \u201epo t\u00fddnu za\u010dalo doch\u00e1zet v\u0161echno\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dal\u0161\u00edm t\u00e9matem rozhovoru je Trumpova politick\u00e1 situace doma. Ritter vykresluje obraz prezidenta, kter\u00fd je st\u00e1le v\u00edce zanepr\u00e1zdn\u011bn ekonomick\u00fdmi obavami. Americk\u00e1 ve\u0159ejnost se nezaj\u00edm\u00e1 o geopolitick\u00e9 narativy o \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00edch, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e o inflaci, ceny energi\u00ed a rostouc\u00ed \u017eivotn\u00ed n\u00e1klady. Ritter opakovan\u011b odkazuje na slavnou fr\u00e1zi z Clintonovy \u00e9ry: \u201eJe to ekonomika, hlup\u00e1ku.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Trump se nyn\u00ed sna\u017e\u00ed demonstrovat s\u00edlu hrozbami \u00fatoky a n\u00e1sledn\u00fdm prezentov\u00e1n\u00edm se jako m\u00edrotvorce. Ritter to naz\u00fdv\u00e1 \u010dist\u00fdm politick\u00fdm divadlem. Podle jeho anal\u00fdzy si Trump s\u00e1m uv\u011bdomuje, \u017ee v\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu by mohla znamenat jeho politick\u00fd p\u00e1d. Ekonomick\u00fd kolaps v d\u016fsledku prudce rostouc\u00edch cen energi\u00ed by zni\u010dil pr\u016fb\u011bh voleb v polovin\u011b volebn\u00edho obdob\u00ed a nakonec by vedl k impeachmentu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ritter d\u00e1le zah\u00e1jil masivn\u00ed \u00fatok na z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia a zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby. Obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b kritizoval zpr\u00e1vy o \u00fadajn\u00fdch izraelsk\u00fdch kontaktech s b\u00fdval\u00fdm \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm prezidentem Mahm\u00fadem Ahmad\u00edne\u017e\u00e1dem. Ritter tyto p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhy popisuje jako \u201enejlevn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed formu informa\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lky\u201c a obvi\u0148uje CIA a m\u00e9dia jako The New York Times a Financial Times z aktivn\u00ed \u00fa\u010dasti na psychologick\u00e9 manipulaci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle n\u011bj USA v sou\u010dasnosti v \u00cdr\u00e1nu nemaj\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 funk\u010dn\u00ed s\u00edt\u011b pro lidsk\u00e9 zpravodajstv\u00ed. P\u0159edchoz\u00ed struktury CIA byly \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi kontrarozv\u011bdkami zru\u0161eny. Izrael sice dlouhodob\u011b budoval opera\u010dn\u00ed s\u00edt\u011b, ale i ty byly v posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch v\u00e1\u017en\u011b po\u0161kozeny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Na konci rozhovoru Ritter obrac\u00ed svou pozornost k \u0161ir\u0161\u00edmu geopolitick\u00e9mu v\u00fdvoji: strategick\u00e9mu sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed mezi Ruskem a \u010c\u00ednou. Zat\u00edmco Trumpova n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bva Pekingu podle Rittera \u201enic nep\u0159inesla\u201c, na setk\u00e1n\u00ed Vladimira Putina a Si \u0164in-pchinga byly podeps\u00e1ny des\u00edtky konkr\u00e9tn\u00edch dohod. Pro Rittera to demonstruje tektonick\u00fd posun v glob\u00e1ln\u00ed rovnov\u00e1ze sil.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jeho z\u00e1v\u011br je jednozna\u010dn\u00fd:<br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">USA a Izrael se domn\u00edvaly, \u017ee mohou \u00cdr\u00e1n izolovat a destabilizovat. M\u00edsto toho nastala situace, kdy jak\u00e1koli dal\u0161\u00ed eskalace s sebou nese riziko region\u00e1ln\u00edho po\u017e\u00e1ru s glob\u00e1ln\u00edmi ekonomick\u00fdmi d\u016fsledky. Ritter je p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den, \u017ee Washington se ji\u017e neustupuje ze s\u00edly, ale ze strachu z d\u016fsledk\u016f v\u00e1lky, kterou by u\u017e nemusel b\u00fdt schopen kontrolovat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>V nap\u00ednav\u00e9m rozhovoru b\u00fdval\u00fd inspektor OSN pro zbran\u011b a b\u00fdval\u00fd d\u016fstojn\u00edk americk\u00e9 rozv\u011bdky Scott Ritter&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":107194,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,452,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107193"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=107193"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107193\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/107194"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=107193"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=107193"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=107193"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}