{"id":107176,"date":"2026-05-22T05:56:10","date_gmt":"2026-05-22T03:56:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=107176"},"modified":"2026-05-22T05:56:10","modified_gmt":"2026-05-22T03:56:10","slug":"martin-jay-muze-ted-trump-opravdu-bombardovat-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/22\/martin-jay-muze-ted-trump-opravdu-bombardovat-iran\/","title":{"rendered":"Martin Jay: M\u016f\u017ee te\u010f Trump opravdu bombardovat \u00cdr\u00e1n?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>P\u0159eskupen\u00ed vztah\u016f mezi Radou pro spolupr\u00e1ci arabsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu (GCC) a \u00cdr\u00e1nem a jejich postoje k Izraeli budou Trumpov\u00fdm odkazem.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>V posledn\u00edch dnech \u0159ada respektovan\u00fdch analytik\u016f pouk\u00e1zala na to, \u017ee Donald Trump je v \u00cdr\u00e1nu v pasti. P\u0159esto\u017ee se z n\u00ed zoufale sna\u017e\u00ed dostat, jeho jedinou zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed mo\u017enost\u00ed je podle nich vr\u00e1tit se k bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u00e9to zem\u011b. Varovali, \u017ee toto bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed je na spadnut\u00ed a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b k n\u011bmu dojde b\u011bhem Putinovy n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy u Si \u0164in-pchinga v \u010c\u00edn\u011b. Je pozoruhodn\u00e9, \u017ee jejich p\u0159edpov\u011bdi se do jist\u00e9 m\u00edry naplnily. Trump m\u011bl v \u00famyslu p\u0159istoupit k n\u011b\u010demu, co vypadalo jako druh\u00e1 vlna bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed, p\u0159i kter\u00e9 by st\u00edha\u010dky odp\u00e1lily rakety Tomahawk na kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed. Bli\u017e\u0161\u00ed anal\u00fdza v\u0161ak uk\u00e1zala, \u017ee to s realizac\u00ed takov\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu nemyslel v\u00e1\u017en\u011b a \u017ee \u0161lo sp\u00ed\u0161e o lest, kter\u00e1 m\u011bla p\u0159im\u011bt region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u016fdce, aby mezi sebou na\u0161li \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed, aby Trump mohl vyhl\u00e1sit v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed a odej\u00edt.<\/p>\n<p>Nakonec to byla Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie, kter\u00e1 se op\u011bt postavila Trumpov\u011b \u0161\u00edlenstv\u00ed. Sa\u00fadov\u00e9 odm\u00edtli povolit start letadel pro dopl\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed paliva z americk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen v Rij\u00e1du, kter\u00e1 m\u011bla podporovat F-35 um\u00edst\u011bn\u00e9 v Jord\u00e1nsku \u2013 letadla, kter\u00e1 by k proveden\u00ed \u00faderu pot\u0159ebovala nejm\u00e9n\u011b \u010dty\u0159i letov\u00e9 v\u00fdpady pro dopl\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed paliva. Tentokr\u00e1t v\u0161ak nebyli sami. V\u00fdznamn\u00fd odpor p\u0159i\u0161el tak\u00e9 z Kuvajtu a dokonce i ze Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1t\u016f \u2013 zem\u011b, kter\u00e1 ned\u00e1vno pos\u00edlila sv\u00e9 vztahy s Izraelem a dokonce hovo\u0159ila o spole\u010dn\u00e9 opera\u010dn\u00ed skupin\u011b s Izraelem, kter\u00e1 se \u00fadajn\u011b p\u0159ipravuje na \u00fader proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu. V\u0161ichni Trumpovi sd\u011blili, \u017ee takov\u00fd \u00fader nem\u016f\u017ee prov\u00e9st. Jako by to nebylo dost podivn\u00e9, P\u00e1kist\u00e1n vyslal do Rij\u00e1du 8\u00a0000 sv\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f a \u0159adu st\u00edha\u010dek v mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9m gestu jednoty \u2013 co\u017e vede n\u011bkter\u00e9 analytiky, jako je Larry Johnson, k \u00favah\u00e1m, zda tam nejsou proto, aby chr\u00e1nili Sa\u00fady p\u0159ed Ameri\u010dany.<\/p>\n<p>Region\u00e1ln\u00ed l\u00edd\u0159i za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed procitat a uv\u011bdomovat si, \u017ee Trump mo\u017en\u00e1 ztr\u00e1c\u00ed rozum a je schopen \u010dehokoli, aby ukojil sv\u00e9 k\u0159ehk\u00e9 ego. Mnoz\u00ed byli skute\u010dn\u011b \u0161okov\u00e1ni, kdy\u017e 28. \u00fanora s touto kampan\u00ed skute\u010dn\u011b vyrazil. Bylo mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee zat\u00edmco v\u011bt\u0161ina o pl\u00e1nu v\u011bd\u011bla, m\u00e1lokdo, pokud v\u016fbec n\u011bkdo, si myslel, \u017ee ho skute\u010dn\u011b uskute\u010dn\u00ed? P\u0159edpokl\u00e1dali tak\u00e9, \u017ee jde o hru, kterou hraje, aby donutil \u00cdr\u00e1nce souhlasit s jeho podm\u00ednkami pro trval\u00fd m\u00edr ohledn\u011b obohacov\u00e1n\u00ed uranu v \u00cdr\u00e1nu?<\/p>\n<p>Rychle vznikaj\u00ed nov\u00e1 partnerstv\u00ed, proto\u017ee elity regionu si uv\u011bdomuj\u00ed, \u017ee USA je ji\u017e nemohou chr\u00e1nit. Hor\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee pr\u00e1v\u011b USA z nich s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed ud\u011blaj\u00ed snadn\u00fd ter\u010d a nep\u0159\u00e1tele \u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016f. Je tedy t\u0159eba vypracovat jak diplomatick\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed s \u00cdr\u00e1nem, tak i novou dohodu s Ameri\u010dany o jejich roli v zem\u00edch GCC. Jednou z takov\u00fdch neform\u00e1ln\u00edch dohod je spojen\u00ed Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie, Turecka a P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu za \u00fa\u010delem vytvo\u0159en\u00ed obrann\u00e9ho n\u00e1razn\u00edku proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu a tak\u00e9 n\u00e1razn\u00edku proti Izraeli, proto\u017ee v\u0161echny t\u0159i zem\u011b maj\u00ed sjednocen\u00e9 geopolitick\u00e9 p\u0159edstavy.<\/p>\n<p>Trump od \u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016f nic nedostane. Jsou z n\u011bj unaven\u00ed, ale mnohem hor\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e jejich \u00fanava je to, \u017ee ho nemohou br\u00e1t v\u00e1\u017en\u011b. A tak se nyn\u00ed jedin\u00e1 skute\u010dn\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka t\u00fdk\u00e1 jeho vztah\u016f s Araby. Mo\u017en\u00e1 by je mohl p\u0159im\u011bt, aby plnili jeho p\u0159\u00edkazy, ale pro trval\u00fd m\u00edr si uv\u011bdomuj\u00ed, \u017ee se mus\u00ed obr\u00e1tit na Rusko a \u010c\u00ednu jako na nov\u00e9 hegemony regionu. I Trump si to uv\u011bdomuje, proto\u017ee jeho setk\u00e1n\u00ed s Si \u0164in-pchingem bylo ve skute\u010dnosti o \u017e\u00e1dosti o pomoc v \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Po\u0161etile se dopustil \u0159ady faux pas v diplomatick\u00fdch protokolech v \u010c\u00edn\u011b a dokonce jednou usnul, zat\u00edmco \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd v\u016fdce mluvil. Ale nakonec z n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy ode\u0161el bez konkr\u00e9tn\u00edch v\u00fdsledk\u016f \u2013 pouze s \u0159e\u010dmi o megazak\u00e1zk\u00e1ch, jako jsou letadla Boeing, kter\u00e1 \u010c\u00ed\u0148an\u00e9 ani nepot\u0159ebuj\u00ed. Zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 na t\u00e9to cest\u011b je to, jak \u010c\u00ed\u0148an\u00e9 zach\u00e1zeli s Ameri\u010dany: brali je s nadhledem jako um\u00edraj\u00edc\u00ed imperi\u00e1ln\u00ed mocnost v posledn\u00edch z\u00e1chv\u011bvech, ale dovolili jim chovat se, jako by st\u00e1le vl\u00e1dli sv\u011btu. Takov\u00e1 laskavost byla chytr\u00fdm tahem, ale zem\u011b GCC, kter\u00e9 hledaj\u00ed zcela novou bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed dohodu v regionu \u2013 takovou, kter\u00e1 umo\u017en\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016fm ovl\u00e1dat Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv a zajist\u00ed m\u00edr \u2013 ji nen\u00e1sleduj\u00ed. V s\u00e1zce je prost\u011b p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 mnoho na to, aby se Trumpovi umo\u017enilo pokra\u010dovat v jeho p\u0159edstav\u011b, \u017ee se stane region\u00e1ln\u00edm tyranem, proto\u017ee takov\u00fd nesmysl pro n\u011b znamen\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 vysokou cenu.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0159ekalibrov\u00e1n\u00ed vztah\u016f mezi GCC a \u00cdr\u00e1nem a jejich pohled na Izrael bude Trumpov\u00fdm odkazem \u2013 stejn\u011b jako americk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed s Izraelem, kter\u00e9 se ve Washingtonu st\u00e1v\u00e1 t\u00e9matem diskus\u00ed jako nikdy p\u0159edt\u00edm. Prozat\u00edm to vypad\u00e1, \u017ee hrozba americk\u00e9ho bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu byla za\u017eehn\u00e1na, co\u017e se odrazilo v poklesu ceny ropy Brent 20. kv\u011btna na 89 USD. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee trhy ch\u00e1pou realitu a \u017ee Trump bude muset brzy z regionu odej\u00edt a p\u0159estat s d\u011btinsk\u00fdmi, vrto\u0161iv\u00fdmi hrami s blok\u00e1dou. Maj\u00ed ale Arabov\u00e9 odvahu mu to \u0159\u00edct?<\/p>\n<div class=\"podcarou\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/strategic-culture.su\/news\/2026\/05\/21\/can-trump-really-bomb-iran-now\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">Can Trump really bomb Iran now?<\/a> vy\u0161el 21.5.2026 na Strategic Culture<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>P\u0159eskupen\u00ed vztah\u016f mezi Radou pro spolupr\u00e1ci arabsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu (GCC) a \u00cdr\u00e1nem a jejich&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":98793,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1128,38,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107176"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=107176"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107176\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/98793"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=107176"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=107176"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=107176"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}