{"id":107113,"date":"2026-05-22T00:14:30","date_gmt":"2026-05-21T22:14:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=107113"},"modified":"2026-05-21T12:13:05","modified_gmt":"2026-05-21T10:13:05","slug":"valka-dronu-se-vymkla-kontrole-zapad-si-hraje-s-ohnem-a-riskuje-primou-valku-mezi-nato-a-ruskem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/22\/valka-dronu-se-vymkla-kontrole-zapad-si-hraje-s-ohnem-a-riskuje-primou-valku-mezi-nato-a-ruskem\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00e1lka dron\u016f se vymkla kontrole: Z\u00e1pad si hraje s ohn\u011bm a riskuje p\u0159\u00edmou v\u00e1lku mezi NATO a Ruskem"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nov\u00fd\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/2026\/05\/coffee-break-armed-madhouse-ukraine-drone-escalation-peril.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/2026\/05\/coffee-break-armed-madhouse-ukraine-drone-escalation-peril.html\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u010dl\u00e1nek<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0o\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Nah\u00e9m kapitalismu<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0vykresluje bez\u00fat\u011b\u0161n\u00fd obraz sou\u010dasn\u00e9 eskalace v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b. Anal\u00fdza s n\u00e1zvem \u201eOzbrojen\u00fd bl\u00e1zinec \u2013 nebezpe\u010d\u00ed eskalace v d\u016fsledku dron\u016f na Ukrajin\u011b\u201c popisuje v\u00fdvoj, kter\u00fd se st\u00e1v\u00e1 st\u00e1le nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm: Z\u00e1pad se z\u0159ejm\u011b domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee m\u016f\u017ee postupn\u011b \u00fato\u010dit na Rusko se st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed silou, ani\u017e by vyvolal p\u0159\u00edmou konfrontaci mezi NATO a Moskvou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ale pr\u00e1v\u011b tento p\u0159edpoklad by se mohl uk\u00e1zat jako osudov\u00e1 chyba.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To, co se pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f d\u011bje, je mnohem v\u00edc ne\u017e jen region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lka. Vznik\u00e1 zcela nov\u00e1 forma permanentn\u00ed eskalace \u2013 levn\u00e1, decentralizovan\u00e1, technologicky propojen\u00e1 a prakticky nekontrolovateln\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ukrajina nyn\u00ed hromadn\u011b nasazovala drony s dlouh\u00fdm doletem proti c\u00edl\u016fm hluboko v Rusku. Rafinerie, vojensk\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, energetick\u00e1 infrastruktura a strategick\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed se st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji dost\u00e1vaj\u00ed pod palbu. V z\u00e1kulis\u00ed je ji\u017e dlouho jasn\u00e9, \u017ee mnoho z t\u011bchto operac\u00ed by bylo bez z\u00e1padn\u00edch satelitn\u00edch dat, pr\u016fzkumu c\u00edl\u016f, softwaru, komunika\u010dn\u00edch technologi\u00ed a podpory NATO jen st\u011b\u017e\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To st\u00e1le v\u00edce st\u00edr\u00e1 hranici mezi nep\u0159\u00edmou pomoc\u00ed a p\u0159\u00edmou \u00fa\u010dast\u00ed ve v\u00e1lce.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A pr\u00e1v\u011b to d\u011bl\u00e1 situaci v\u00fdbu\u0161nou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">NATO se z\u0159ejm\u011b domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee \u00fatoky dron\u016f p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed jakousi \u201ekontrolovatelnou eskalaci\u201c \u2013 drobn\u00e9 p\u00edchnut\u00ed \u0161pendl\u00edkem, jeho\u017e c\u00edlem je oslabit Rusko, ani\u017e by vyvolalo masivn\u00ed reakci. Z pohledu Moskvy se v\u0161ak vyno\u0159uje jin\u00fd obraz: pl\u00ed\u017eiv\u00e1 v\u00e1lka veden\u00e1 celou z\u00e1padn\u00ed alianc\u00ed proti Rusku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Iluze technologick\u00e9ho odstupu je obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b nebezpe\u010dn\u00e1. Drony drasticky sni\u017euj\u00ed politick\u00fd pr\u00e1h pro \u00fatoky. Politici mohou jednat st\u00e1le agresivn\u011bji, ani\u017e by ztr\u00e1celi vlastn\u00ed voj\u00e1ky. Pr\u00e1v\u011b to n\u00e1hle eskalaci politicky usnad\u0148uje.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Realita je ale krut\u011bj\u0161\u00ed:<\/span><br \/>\n<span dir=\"auto\">Pro Rusko nakonec nehraje velkou roli, zda je pou\u017eita raketa, dron nebo satelitn\u00ed syst\u00e9m \u2013 d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 je, kdo \u00fatok umo\u017en\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A \u010d\u00edm \u010dast\u011bji je zasahov\u00e1no kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed Ruska, t\u00edm v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed je pravd\u011bpodobnost asymetrick\u00e9 nebo p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 reakce.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 varov\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00e9 zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby SVR adresovan\u00e1 st\u00e1t\u016fm NATO, jako je Loty\u0161sko, ukazuj\u00ed, jak v\u00e1\u017en\u011b Moskva nyn\u00ed bere situaci. Rusko st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji signalizuje, \u017ee \u00fazem\u00ed NATO nez\u016fstane automaticky uzav\u0159eno, pokud se tam p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed nebo podporuj\u00ed \u00fatoky proti Rusku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To nebezpe\u010dn\u011b p\u0159ibli\u017euje Evropu k historick\u00e9mu bodu zlomu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Proto\u017ee modern\u00ed v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed dron\u016f m\u011bn\u00ed celou logiku glob\u00e1ln\u00edho odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V minulosti byly p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 \u00fatoky na velmoci vz\u00e1cn\u00e9, drah\u00e9 a vysoce riskantn\u00ed. Dnes mohou relativn\u011b levn\u00e9 drony:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Paralyzovat leti\u0161t\u011b<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">ropn\u00e9 rafinerie jsou po\u0161kozeny<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Destabilizace energetick\u00fdch s\u00edt\u00ed<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Komunika\u010dn\u00ed centra se setk\u00e1vaj\u00ed<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Naru\u0161en\u00ed civiln\u00ed infrastruktury<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Obrana na druhou stranu stoj\u00ed miliardy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad st\u00e1le usiluje o eskalaci:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed rozsahy<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">st\u00e1le agresivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed operace<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">st\u00e1le hlub\u0161\u00ed \u00fatoky<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">st\u00e1le bli\u017e\u0161\u00ed integrace do NATO<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1rove\u0148 je ve\u0159ejnost nad\u00e1le vedena k p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed, \u017ee toto v\u0161e lze kontrolovat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ale v tom spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 mo\u017en\u00e1 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed nebezpe\u010d\u00ed na\u0161\u00ed doby.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Sv\u011bt nen\u00ed ohro\u017een pl\u00e1novanou sv\u011btovou v\u00e1lkou \u2013 ale \u0159et\u011bzcem zd\u00e1nliv\u011b mal\u00fdch eskala\u010dn\u00edch krok\u016f, v nich\u017e si ka\u017ed\u00e1 strana mysl\u00ed, \u017ee m\u00e1 situaci st\u00e1le pod kontrolou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Mezit\u00edm se p\u0159\u00edm\u00e1 konfrontace mezi jadern\u00fdmi mocnostmi st\u00e1le v\u00edce bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Skute\u010dnou ot\u00e1zkou u\u017e nen\u00ed, zda se situace vyhrot\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ot\u00e1zkou ale je, zda je v\u016fbec n\u011bkdo ve Washingtonu, Bruselu nebo Moskv\u011b schopen v\u010das zastavit eskala\u010dn\u00ed spir\u00e1lu.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/2026\/05\/coffee-break-armed-madhouse-ukraine-drone-escalation-peril.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nov\u00fd\u00a0\u010dl\u00e1nek\u00a0o\u00a0Nah\u00e9m kapitalismu\u00a0vykresluje bez\u00fat\u011b\u0161n\u00fd obraz sou\u010dasn\u00e9 eskalace v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b. Anal\u00fdza s n\u00e1zvem \u201eOzbrojen\u00fd bl\u00e1zinec \u2013&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":107114,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[2856,22,40,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107113"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=107113"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107113\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/107114"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=107113"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=107113"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=107113"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}