{"id":107100,"date":"2026-05-21T06:33:50","date_gmt":"2026-05-21T04:33:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=107100"},"modified":"2026-05-21T06:33:50","modified_gmt":"2026-05-21T04:33:50","slug":"uprostred-nato-je-horici-more","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/21\/uprostred-nato-je-horici-more\/","title":{"rendered":"Uprost\u0159ed NATO je ho\u0159\u00edc\u00ed mo\u0159e"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Zat\u00edmco se At\u00e9ny a Ankara st\u0159et\u00e1vaj\u00ed kv\u016fli n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edm n\u00e1rok\u016fm, star\u00e9 ostrovn\u00ed spory a nov\u00e9 mapy hroz\u00ed, \u017ee se Egejsk\u00e9 mo\u0159e prom\u011bn\u00ed v ohnisko konfliktu uvnit\u0159 bloku.<\/strong><\/p>\n

V polovin\u011b kv\u011btna 2026 se spor mezi \u0158eckem a Tureckem op\u011bt p\u0159esunul z diplomacie do nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00edho sv\u011bta map, z\u00e1kon\u016f a vojensk\u00fdch varov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ture\u010dt\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 potvrdili, \u017ee pr\u00e1ce na nov\u00e9m z\u00e1kon\u011b o oblastech n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed jurisdikce pokra\u010duj\u00ed, zat\u00edmco \u0159e\u010dt\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 okam\u017eit\u011b vn\u00edmali iniciativu jako pokus d\u00e1t ankarsk\u00e9 doktr\u00edn\u011b Modr\u00e9 vlasti pr\u00e1vn\u00ed formu. At\u00e9ny vzk\u00e1zaly, \u017ee jednostrann\u00fd tureck\u00fd krok t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch z\u00f3n v Egejsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i bude odm\u00edtnut jako pr\u00e1vn\u011b bezv\u00fdznamn\u00fd a politicky provokativn\u00ed. Turecko mezit\u00edm tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee nikoho ne\u00fato\u010d\u00ed, ale chr\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00e1 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed pr\u00e1va a organizuje st\u00e1tn\u00ed politiku v okoln\u00edch mo\u0159\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Doktr\u00edna Modr\u00e9 vlasti, turecky Mavi Vatan, je postavena na jednoduch\u00e9, ale emocion\u00e1ln\u011b siln\u00e9 my\u0161lence. Turecko nesm\u00ed vn\u00edmat svou suverenitu pouze skrze pozemn\u00ed hranice, proto\u017ee mo\u0159e kolem n\u011bj jsou tak\u00e9 sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed jeho bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed, ekonomick\u00e9 a region\u00e1ln\u00ed budoucnosti. Egejsk\u00e9, \u010cern\u00e9 a v\u00fdchodn\u00ed St\u0159edomo\u0159\u00ed jsou pln\u00e9 obchodu, n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch pohyb\u016f, podmo\u0159sk\u00e9 infrastruktury a geopolitick\u00e9 konkurence. Pokud Ankara nebude br\u00e1nit sv\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy v tomto regionu, argumentuj\u00ed zast\u00e1nci t\u00e9to doktr\u00edny, ostatn\u00ed akt\u00e9\u0159i j\u00ed nakresl\u00ed mapu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Diskuse se m\u011bn\u00ed v z\u00e1kon<\/span><\/h2>\n

Koncept Modr\u00e9 vlasti vze\u0161el z tureck\u00fdch n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch a strategick\u00fdch kruh\u016f a jeho intelektu\u00e1ln\u00edmi architekty jsou obvykle ozna\u010dov\u00e1ni jako admir\u00e1l ve v\u00fdslu\u017eb\u011b Cem G\u00fcrdeniz a kontradmir\u00e1l ve v\u00fdslu\u017eb\u011b Cihat Yayc\u0131. G\u00fcrdeniz je \u0161iroce spojov\u00e1n se zrodem a popularizac\u00ed fr\u00e1ze Mavi Vatan v polovin\u011b prvn\u00edho desetilet\u00ed 21. stolet\u00ed, zat\u00edmco Yayc\u0131 pomohl transformovat tuto my\u0161lenku do konkr\u00e9tn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed geopolitick\u00e9 a pr\u00e1vn\u00ed doktr\u00edny.<\/span><\/p>\n

G\u00fcrdeniz dal tomuto konceptu \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed strategick\u00fd jazyk a prom\u011bnil mo\u0159e v \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed prvek tureck\u00e9 geopolitick\u00e9 p\u0159edstavivosti. Yayc\u0131 se zase sna\u017eil d\u00e1t t\u00e9to p\u0159edstavivosti techni\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a kartografickou podobu. Propojil n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed z\u00f3ny, kontinent\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161elfy, ostrovn\u00ed spory a v\u00fdchodn\u00ed St\u0159edomo\u0159\u00ed do jednoho strategick\u00e9ho obrazu. V jist\u00e9m smyslu je Modr\u00e1 vlast reakc\u00ed na hlubokou tureckou obavu, \u017ee zem\u011b je odtla\u010dov\u00e1na od mo\u0159\u00ed, kter\u00e1 ji obklopuj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tento p\u016fvod tak\u00e9 vysv\u011btluje, pro\u010d nelze tuto doktr\u00ednu redukovat na osobn\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku prezidenta Recepa Tayyipa Erdo\u011fana. Doktr\u00edna Modr\u00e1 vlast vze\u0161la z tradice, kter\u00e1 vn\u00edmala budoucnost Turecka jako z\u00e1vislou na tom, zda se stane v\u00e1\u017enou n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed mocnost\u00ed, a pozd\u011bji byla pohlcena politikou a stala se sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed \u0161ir\u0161\u00edho n\u00e1rodn\u00edho p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhu. To je jeden z d\u016fvod\u016f, pro\u010d p\u0159e\u017eila r\u016fzn\u00e9 taktick\u00e9 f\u00e1ze v tureck\u00e9 politice. Nemluv\u00ed jen k islamist\u016fm, nacionalist\u016fm nebo n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edm d\u016fstojn\u00edk\u016fm, ale i k \u0161ir\u0161\u00edmu pocitu uvnit\u0159 Turecka, \u017ee zem\u011b je omezena region\u00e1ln\u00edm \u0159\u00e1dem navr\u017een\u00fdm jin\u00fdmi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro \u0158ecko v\u0161ak tato doktr\u00edna zn\u00ed mnohem m\u00e9n\u011b defenzivn\u011b. At\u00e9ny vn\u00edmaj\u00ed Modrou vlast jako pokus zpochybnit pr\u00e1vn\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d Egejsk\u00e9ho mo\u0159e, omezit n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed pr\u00e1va \u0159eck\u00fdch ostrov\u016f a znovu otev\u0159\u00edt ot\u00e1zky, kter\u00e9 \u0158ecko pova\u017euje za vy\u0159e\u0161en\u00e9 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmi smlouvami. Obava nespo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 jen v tom, \u017ee Ankara chce v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vliv na mo\u0159i, ale tak\u00e9 v tom, \u017ee Turecko postupn\u011b normalizuje my\u0161lenku, \u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti Egejsk\u00e9ho mo\u0159e jsou pr\u00e1vn\u011b nejasn\u00e9, a proto vystaven\u00e9 tlaku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1v\u011b zde se spor o 152 mal\u00fdch ostrov\u016f, ostr\u016fvk\u016f a \u00fates\u016f st\u00e1v\u00e1 tak citliv\u00fdm. V tureck\u00e9m nacionalistick\u00e9m a strategick\u00e9m diskurzu jsou tyto \u00fatvary \u010dasto popisov\u00e1ny jako \u00fazem\u00ed, jejich\u017e status nebyl jasn\u011b definov\u00e1n mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmi dohodami. \u0158ecko tento argument odm\u00edt\u00e1 a trv\u00e1 na tom, \u017ee suverenita jeho ostrov\u016f nen\u00ed p\u0159edm\u011btem diskuse.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vzpom\u00ednka na krizi Imia\/Kardak z roku 1996 st\u00e1le vis\u00ed nad ob\u011bma zem\u011bmi. Tato konfrontace za\u010dala kolem mal\u00fdch neobydlen\u00fdch ostr\u016fvk\u016f, ale \u0158ecko a Turecko m\u00e1lem uvrhla do otev\u0159en\u00e9ho konfliktu. V Egejsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i m\u016f\u017ee eskalace za\u010d\u00edt hl\u00eddkov\u00fdm \u010dlunem, vrtuln\u00edkem, ryb\u00e1\u0159skou lod\u00ed, televizn\u00edm vys\u00edl\u00e1n\u00edm nebo nacionalistick\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvkem na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch. Kdy\u017e je geografie napjat\u00e1 a politick\u00e9 nervy jsou odhaleny, m\u016f\u017ee eskalace postupovat rychleji ne\u017e diplomacie.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 situace je obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b k\u0159ehk\u00e1, proto\u017ee spor se p\u0159esouv\u00e1 z r\u00e9toriky do legislativy. Projev lze opravit a vojensk\u00e9 cvi\u010den\u00ed m\u016f\u017ee skon\u010dit, ale z\u00e1kon m\u00e1 jinou politickou v\u00e1hu. Pokud Ankara kodifikuje z\u00e1kon Modr\u00e9 vlasti, automaticky to nezm\u011bn\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pr\u00e1vo, ale m\u016f\u017ee to zm\u011bnit tureckou politiku. Zt\u00ed\u017eilo by to budouc\u00ed kompromisy a umo\u017enilo by to nacionalistick\u00fdm sil\u00e1m obvinit jakoukoli vl\u00e1du z toho, \u017ee se vzdala pr\u00e1v, kter\u00e1 ji\u017e byla zakotvena v z\u00e1kon\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e se nikdo ned\u00edv\u00e1<\/span><\/h2>\n

Potenci\u00e1l ohniska konfliktu v tomto probl\u00e9mu je umocn\u011bn jeho na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00edm. Egejsk\u00e9 mo\u0159e ji\u017e ne\u017eije ve stabiln\u00edm mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm prost\u0159ed\u00ed, kde by velk\u00e9 mocnosti mohly zmrazit lok\u00e1ln\u00ed konflikty a nutit spojence vr\u00e1tit se do p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00fdch kolej\u00ed. Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d proch\u00e1z\u00ed drsnou transformac\u00ed, kdy v\u00e1lka kolem \u00cdr\u00e1nu prom\u011bnila \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod v z\u00f3nu neust\u00e1l\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 a ekonomick\u00e9 nervozity. Tento konflikt a n\u00e1sledn\u00e1 krize v lodn\u00ed doprav\u011b uk\u00e1zaly, \u017ee n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed prostor se op\u011bt stal jednou z hlavn\u00edch tepen v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed krize m\u011bn\u00ed pohled Ankary a At\u00e9n na stejn\u00e9 mo\u0159e. Kdy\u017e je v regionu klid, \u0158ecko a Turecko si mohou sv\u00e9 spory udr\u017eet v diplomatick\u00e9m prostoru a v r\u00e1mci kan\u00e1l\u016f NATO. Ale kdy\u017e Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv ukazuje, jak rychle se n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed trasy mohou st\u00e1t boji\u0161t\u011bm, ka\u017ed\u00fd pob\u0159e\u017en\u00ed st\u00e1t za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 p\u0159em\u00fd\u0161let z hlediska strategick\u00e9 hloubky. Turecko se na tento chaos d\u00edv\u00e1 a vid\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed argument pro Modrou vlast. \u0158ecko se na to d\u00edv\u00e1 a vid\u00ed o to v\u00edce d\u016fvod\u016f, pro\u010d nedovolit vznik \u0161ed\u00fdch z\u00f3n v Egejsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je tu tak\u00e9 faktor Trump. Jako nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u010dlen NATO by se od Washingtonu o\u010dek\u00e1valo, \u017ee bude jednat jako mana\u017eer konflikt\u016f mezi spojenci, ale v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b m\u00e1 pln\u00e9 ruce pr\u00e1ce s v\u00e1lkou v \u00cdr\u00e1nu a s n\u00ed spojen\u00fdmi dom\u00e1c\u00edmi tlaky. Potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed eskalace mezi \u0158eckem a Tureckem pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nespo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v spolehliv\u00e9m americk\u00e9m zprost\u0159edkov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro Ankaru se to m\u016f\u017ee jevit jako p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost k formalizaci Modr\u00e9 vlasti a k \u200b\u200bprosazov\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00fdch n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch n\u00e1rok\u016f s v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed sebed\u016fv\u011brou. Pro At\u00e9ny je to hroziv\u00fd okam\u017eik, kdy politick\u00fd de\u0161tn\u00edk bezpe\u010dnosti NATO kol\u00eds\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00e1lka v Egejsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i sice nemus\u00ed nutn\u011b p\u0159ij\u00edt, ale spou\u0161t\u011b\u010d takov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky se stal snadn\u011bji aktivovateln\u00fdm. Z\u00e1konn\u00fd n\u00e1vrh z\u00e1kona v Anka\u0159e, prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed \u0159eck\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, hl\u00eddka pobl\u00ed\u017e sporn\u00e9ho \u00fatesu, medi\u00e1ln\u00ed kampa\u0148 o okupovan\u00fdch ostrovech nebo n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed incident, kter\u00fd se kdysi mohl poda\u0159it zvl\u00e1dnout \u2013 cokoli z toho, odehr\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed se ve sv\u011bt\u011b, kde jsou v\u0161ichni u\u017e ozbrojeni a napjat\u00ed, a lok\u00e1ln\u00ed spor m\u016f\u017ee snadno p\u0159estat b\u00fdt lok\u00e1ln\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Egejsk\u00fd uzel<\/span><\/h2>\n

Turecko se domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee m\u00e1 d\u016fvody k nekompromisn\u00edmu postoji. Z pohledu Ankary \u0158ecko vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 sv\u00e9 ostrovy, z nich\u017e mnoh\u00e9 se nach\u00e1zej\u00ed velmi bl\u00edzko tureck\u00e9ho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed, k n\u00e1rokov\u00e1n\u00ed si n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch z\u00f3n, co\u017e by Turecku zanechalo omezen\u00fd prostor v Egejsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i a v\u00fdchodn\u00edm St\u0159edomo\u0159\u00ed. Ture\u010dt\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 a analytici \u010dasto argumentuj\u00ed, \u017ee dlouh\u00e9 kontinent\u00e1ln\u00ed pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed nem\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt sev\u0159eno mal\u00fdmi ostrovy le\u017e\u00edc\u00edmi t\u011bsn\u011b u tohoto pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed. Prezentuj\u00ed Modrou vlast nikoli jako expanzi, ale jako odpor v\u016f\u010di tomu, co pova\u017euj\u00ed za nespravedliv\u00fd region\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0158ecko vn\u00edm\u00e1 stejn\u00fd argument jako revizionismus. Pro At\u00e9ny jsou ostrovy obydlen\u00fdmi komunitami, vojensk\u00fdmi pozicemi, historick\u00fdmi prostory a suver\u00e9nn\u00edm \u00fazem\u00edm. Pokud \u0158ecko akceptuje, \u017ee jejich status nebo n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed dopad lze vyjedn\u00e1vat pod tlakem, mnoho \u0158ek\u016f se ob\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee by se cel\u00fd egejsk\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d mohl za\u010d\u00edt rozpadat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ka\u017ed\u00e1 strana si kolem tohoto sporu vybudovala sv\u016fj vlastn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh \u2013 a ka\u017ed\u00e1 z nich se vn\u00edm\u00e1 jako defenzivn\u00ed a druh\u00e1 jako hrozbu. Ture\u010dt\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee \u0158ecko chce jejich zemi uv\u011bznit pod\u00e9l anatolsk\u00e9ho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed, zat\u00edmco \u0159e\u010dt\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 varuj\u00ed, \u017ee Turecko chce pod tlakem revidovat hranice a smlouvy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Eskalace jako jedin\u00e1 mo\u017enost?<\/span><\/h2>\n

Medi\u00e1ln\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed p\u0159il\u00e9v\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce oleje do ohn\u011b. Zat\u00edmco provl\u00e1dn\u00ed m\u00e9dia v Turecku obvykle zachov\u00e1vaj\u00ed ur\u010ditou zdr\u017eenlivost, nacionalistick\u00e9 kan\u00e1ly a \u00fa\u010dty na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch ji \u010dasto ne\u010din\u00ed. Mluv\u00ed o\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>\u201eukraden\u00fdch ostrovech\u201c,\u00a0<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u201eokupaci\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u00a0a\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>\u201epon\u00ed\u017een\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u00a0\u0158eck\u00e1 m\u00e9dia a politick\u00e9 hlasy \u010dasto reaguj\u00ed se stejnou emocion\u00e1ln\u00ed silou a varuj\u00ed, \u017ee Ankara p\u0159ipravuje p\u0159\u00edmou v\u00fdzvu \u0159eck\u00e9 suverenit\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

NATO nem\u016f\u017ee tento probl\u00e9m snadno vy\u0159e\u0161it, p\u0159esto\u017ee jsou \u0158ecko i Turecko \u010dleny aliance. \u010clenstv\u00ed sni\u017euje pravd\u011bpodobnost tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky, ale neodstra\u0148uje spor. NATO m\u016f\u017ee vyz\u00fdvat ke zdr\u017eenlivosti, zaji\u0161\u0165ovat vojenskou komunikaci a pom\u00e1hat p\u0159edch\u00e1zet nehod\u00e1m, ale nem\u016f\u017ee rozhodovat o suverenit\u011b ostrov\u016f. Aliance chce jednotu, ale nem\u016f\u017ee nic d\u011blat s odv\u011bkou rivalitou mezi dv\u011bma sv\u00fdmi \u010dleny.<\/span><\/p>\n

EU m\u00e1 vliv, ale ne takov\u00fd vliv, kter\u00fd by mohl v\u00e9st k urovn\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 proto\u017ee \u0158ecko a Kypr jsou \u010dleny, ale Turecko ne. Ve skute\u010dnosti je to dlouhodob\u00fd aspirant, kter\u00fd \u010dasto c\u00edt\u00ed ho\u0159kost nad t\u00edm, \u017ee jin\u00e9 zem\u011b se \u201efrontu na \u010dlenstv\u00ed\u201c zbavuj\u00ed \u2013 od doby, kdy Ankara po\u017e\u00e1dala o \u010dlenstv\u00ed v bloku, jich bylo 15. Pro Turecko je tedy Brusel sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed diplomatick\u00e9ho prost\u0159ed\u00ed, ale je na stran\u011b \u0158ek\u016f a Kyp\u0159an\u016f a nen\u00ed neutr\u00e1ln\u00edm soudcem EU, tak\u017ee At\u00e9ny a Nik\u00f3sie o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed evropskou solidaritu. Ankara v\u0161ak \u010dasto vn\u00edm\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed EU jako postoje \u0158ecka a Kypru v evropsk\u00e9m jazyce.<\/span><\/p>\n

A jak se prostor pro diplomacii zmen\u0161uje, \u0158ecko a Turecko st\u00e1le mluv\u00ed o r\u016fzn\u00fdch v\u011bcech, a tak nikam nevedou. At\u00e9ny cht\u011bj\u00ed, aby se diskuse zam\u011b\u0159ila hlavn\u011b na vymezen\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch oblast\u00ed, zat\u00edmco Ankara trv\u00e1 na \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed agend\u011b, kter\u00e1 zahrnuje vzdu\u0161n\u00fd prostor, teritori\u00e1ln\u00ed vody, demilitarizaci a status ur\u010dit\u00fdch formac\u00ed v Egejsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i. Nejen\u017ee se neshodnou na odpov\u011bdi \u2013 nemohou se k n\u00ed ani dostat, proto\u017ee se neshodnou na tom, co je v prvn\u00ed \u0159ad\u011b ot\u00e1zka. S t\u00edmto p\u0159edpokladem riskuje, \u017ee se ka\u017ed\u00e9 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed stane dal\u0161\u00edm projevem neshody.<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u0159\u00edve \u010di pozd\u011bji se At\u00e9ny a Ankara budou muset n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed ot\u00e1zkou v\u00e1\u017en\u011b zab\u00fdvat, a to jednodu\u0161e kv\u016fli nem\u011bnn\u00e9 geografii. Egejsk\u00e9 mo\u0159e nem\u016f\u017ee z\u016fstat v\u011b\u010dn\u011b ovl\u00e1d\u00e1no v krizov\u00e9m re\u017eimu a budou si muset vybrat mezi obt\u00ed\u017en\u00fdm diplomatick\u00fdm procesem a budoucnost\u00ed, v n\u00ed\u017e ka\u017ed\u00fd mal\u00fd incident riskuje, \u017ee se stane jiskrou konfliktu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Region prozat\u00edm \u017eije kontrolovanou eskalac\u00ed. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee ani jedna strana si nep\u0159eje v\u00e1lku, ale ob\u011b strany podnikaj\u00ed kroky, kter\u00e9 sni\u017euj\u00ed flexibilitu a zvy\u0161uj\u00ed podez\u0159\u00edvavost. Toto je nejnebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed druh klidu \u2013 kdy vl\u00e1dy mohou \u0159\u00edkat, \u017ee v\u0161e je pod kontrolou, zat\u00edmco politick\u00fd prostor pro deeskalaci se den ode dne zmen\u0161uje, a\u017e se konflikt stane jedin\u00fdm mo\u017en\u00fdm v\u00fdvojem.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed doktr\u00edna Modr\u00e9 vlasti se stala prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm o m\u00edst\u011b Turecka v regionu a jeho odm\u00edtnut\u00ed akceptovat to, co pova\u017euje za n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed omezen\u00ed. \u0158eck\u00fd odpor v\u016f\u010di n\u00ed je zase obranou n\u00e1rodn\u00ed mapy, historick\u00e9 pam\u011bti a st\u00e1tn\u00ed identity vybudovan\u00e9 kolem ostrov\u016f v Egejsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i. V j\u00e1dru se tento spor to\u010d\u00ed kolem n\u00e1rodn\u00ed d\u016fstojnosti \u2013 a to ho \u010din\u00ed tak nebezpe\u010dn\u00fdm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Murad\u00a0<\/span><\/em>Sadygzade<\/em><\/strong> , prezident Centra pro bl\u00edzkov\u00fdchodn\u00ed studia, hostuj\u00edc\u00ed lektor na Univerzit\u011b HSE (Moskva).<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

\"Murad<\/a><\/div>\n
\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Zat\u00edmco se At\u00e9ny a Ankara st\u0159et\u00e1vaj\u00ed kv\u016fli n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edm n\u00e1rok\u016fm, star\u00e9 ostrovn\u00ed spory a nov\u00e9 mapy…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":107101,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,39,539,55],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107100"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=107100"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107100\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/107101"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=107100"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=107100"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=107100"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}