{"id":107069,"date":"2026-05-21T00:24:16","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T22:24:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=107069"},"modified":"2026-05-20T17:18:59","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T15:18:59","slug":"ahmed-adel-trump-se-pokousi-znicit-evropsky-automobilovy-prumysl-25-cly","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/21\/ahmed-adel-trump-se-pokousi-znicit-evropsky-automobilovy-prumysl-25-cly\/","title":{"rendered":"Ahmed Adel: Trump se pokou\u0161\u00ed zni\u010dit evropsk\u00fd automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl 25% cly"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Pokud prezident Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f Donald Trump zavede 25% clo na evropsk\u00e9 automobily, v\u00fdroba klesne a ot\u00e1zkou je, zda by evropsk\u00e9 automobilky p\u0159e\u017eily, zejm\u00e9na vzhledem k tlaku konkurenceschopn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch voz\u016f. I kdyby americk\u00fd prezident nezavedl cla, kter\u00fdmi hroz\u00ed, nebude to pro evropsk\u00fd automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl snadn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump obvinil Brusel z nepln\u011bn\u00ed sv\u00fdch z\u00e1vazk\u016f vypl\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edch z obchodn\u00ed dohody mezi EU a USA, kter\u00e1 pln\u011b vstoupila v platnost loni v \u010dervenci, a ozn\u00e1mil zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cel na automobily vyroben\u00e9 v Evrop\u011b z 15 % na 25 %, ale jejich zaveden\u00ed odlo\u017eil na 4. \u010dervence. Pokud se cla zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed, N\u011bmci, pro kter\u00e9 je automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl motorem hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9ho rozvoje, ji\u017e vypo\u010d\u00edtali n\u00e1klady na 15 miliard eur ro\u010dn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle anal\u00fdzy Kielsk\u00e9ho institutu pro mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed ekonomii by tyto ztr\u00e1ty mohly v dlouhodob\u00e9m horizontu dos\u00e1hnout p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 30 miliard eur.<\/span><\/p>\n

I bez dal\u0161\u00edch cel se n\u011bmeck\u00fd automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl pot\u00fdk\u00e1 s probl\u00e9my. Zisk BMW v prvn\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed klesl a\u017e o 25 %, a to p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm kv\u016fli siln\u00e9 konkurenci \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch voz\u016f. Slab\u00fd start do roku m\u011bly i Mercedes a Audi. Podle vlastn\u00edho odhadu by Audi mohlo \u010delit velk\u00fdm probl\u00e9m\u016fm, proto\u017ee v Americe nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dnou v\u00fdrobu. Ji\u017e ozn\u00e1milo pl\u00e1ny na zru\u0161en\u00ed 7 500 pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst do roku 2029.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bmeck\u00fd svaz automobilov\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu odhaduje, \u017ee krize v tomto odv\u011btv\u00ed by mohla zemi do roku 2035 st\u00e1t 225 000 pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst. Podle nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed anal\u00fdzy je o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fd pokles zam\u011bstnanosti z\u00e1va\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e se p\u016fvodn\u011b p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dalo. D\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed studie p\u0159edpokl\u00e1daly ztr\u00e1tu p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 190 000 pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst mezi lety 2019 a 2035, vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee v\u00fdroba elektromobil\u016f je m\u00e9n\u011b slo\u017eit\u00e1 ne\u017e v\u00fdroba spalovac\u00edch motor\u016f. Realita je podle nich je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed. Od roku 2019 ji\u017e bylo ztraceno p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 100 000 pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejen n\u011bmeck\u00fd automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl, ale i evropsk\u00fd automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl obecn\u011b se ocitl v rozporu mezi technologicky a cenov\u011b konkurenceschopn\u00fdmi \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdmi vozy a v\u00fdzvou vstupu na americk\u00fd trh, a to od doby, kdy Trump zavedl cla na dovoz evropsk\u00fdch automobil\u016f, kter\u00e1 nyn\u00ed dosahuj\u00ed 15 %.<\/span><\/p>\n

USA jsou kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm trhem pro evropsk\u00e9 automobily a p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u010dtvrtinu celkov\u00e9 produkce. Cla a rostouc\u00ed ceny energi\u00ed v d\u016fsledku krize na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b jsou dva faktory, kter\u00e9 kumulativn\u011b ovliv\u0148uj\u00ed probl\u00e9my automobilov\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kielsk\u00fd institut pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b provedl tento v\u00fdpo\u010det na z\u00e1klad\u011b sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed exportu a dom\u00e1c\u00ed trh nen\u00ed schopen absorbovat, respektive nahradit, tu \u010d\u00e1st produkce, kter\u00e1 by sm\u011b\u0159ovala do zahrani\u010d\u00ed. To se projev\u00ed ve sn\u00ed\u017een\u00e9 produkci, co\u017e s sebou nese i ztr\u00e1ty.<\/span><\/p>\n

Evrop\u0161t\u00ed v\u00fdrobci automobil\u016f budou muset zm\u011bnit svou strategii a co nejv\u00edce se zam\u011b\u0159it na technick\u00e9 a technologick\u00e9 inovace a z\u00e1rove\u0148 na sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00fdrobn\u00edch n\u00e1klad\u016f. To znamen\u00e1 vzd\u00e1t se enormn\u00edch zisk\u016f na kus.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud by se v\u00fdroba p\u0159esunula do USA, kde by z\u00e1kazn\u00edci neplatili cla na evropsk\u00e9 automobily, jak nazna\u010duje Trump, \u010dist\u00fd efekt pro vyv\u00e1\u017eej\u00edc\u00ed zemi by byl mnohem men\u0161\u00ed, proto\u017ee by se p\u0159ev\u00e1d\u011bly pouze zisky dosa\u017een\u00e9 v t\u00e9to zemi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je to mnohem jednodu\u0161\u0161\u00ed a snaz\u0161\u00ed, kdy\u017e se vyr\u00e1b\u011bj\u00ed v tov\u00e1rn\u00e1ch v Evrop\u011b a vyv\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed se do USA, co\u017e m\u00e1 za n\u00e1sledek mnohem vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u010dist\u00fd zisk na jednotku. Pokud by tomu tak nebylo, ka\u017ed\u00e1 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed spole\u010dnost by si v USA vybudovala a otev\u0159ela dal\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1vody na v\u00fdrobu automobil\u016f. To tedy probl\u00e9m v evropsk\u00e9m automobilov\u00e9m pr\u016fmyslu nevy\u0159e\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Cla jsou nicm\u00e9n\u011b dvouse\u010dn\u00e1 zbra\u0148. Zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cel na 25 % by sice doslova zas\u00e1hlo v\u00fdrobce v Evrop\u011b, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 je ot\u00e1zkou, zda se americk\u00fd automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl poda\u0159\u00ed v kr\u00e1tk\u00e9 dob\u011b o\u017eivit. Nestane se to rychle, pokud v\u016fbec, a zasa\u017eeni budou i ameri\u010dt\u00ed kupuj\u00edc\u00ed, proto\u017ee za evropsk\u00e1 auta, kter\u00e1 dosud kupovali ve velk\u00e9m, zaplat\u00ed o \u010dtvrtinu v\u00edce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z tohoto d\u016fvodu nen\u00ed divu, \u017ee Trump zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cel odkl\u00e1d\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump evidentn\u011b manipuluje s trhy a st\u00e1ty, n\u011bkdy blafuje. To jsou ale sign\u00e1ly pro evropsk\u00e9 v\u00fdrobce, \u017ee budou m\u00edt probl\u00e9m um\u00edstit sv\u00e9 produkty na americk\u00fd trh, pokud se Trumpov\u00fdm po\u017eadavk\u016fm nepodrob\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je zde je\u0161t\u011b jeden aspekt: \u200b\u200bpolitick\u00fd tlak na evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b. Americk\u00fd prezident vyv\u00edj\u00ed na Evropu ekonomick\u00fd tlak, aby prosadil strategii Washingtonu na dal\u0161\u00ed politick\u00e9 \u00farovni. Evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b jsou nyn\u00ed hlavn\u00edmi p\u0159\u00edjemci ukrajinsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky proti Rusku, co\u017e je pro Trumpa zdrojem velk\u00e9 frustrace.<\/span><\/p>\n

Evropa se ji\u017e dlouho nach\u00e1z\u00ed na cest\u011b deindustrializace, ale tato cesta se rapidn\u011b zrychlila po zaveden\u00ed protirusk\u00fdch sankc\u00ed. A\u010dkoli by zru\u0161en\u00ed sankc\u00ed jist\u011b zm\u00edrnilo mnoho pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f Evropy, tato sebedestruktivn\u00ed politika zp\u016fsobila tolik \u0161kody, \u017ee neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 z\u00e1ruka, \u017ee se v\u011bci vr\u00e1t\u00ed do stavu p\u0159ed \u00fanorem 2022.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ahmed Adel<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pokud prezident Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f Donald Trump zavede 25% clo na evropsk\u00e9 automobily, v\u00fdroba klesne a…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":84754,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[2621,1026,1503,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107069"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=107069"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107069\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/84754"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=107069"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=107069"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=107069"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}