{"id":106995,"date":"2026-05-20T00:28:13","date_gmt":"2026-05-19T22:28:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=106995"},"modified":"2026-05-19T16:44:49","modified_gmt":"2026-05-19T14:44:49","slug":"pepe-escobar-o-si-tin-pchingove-konstruktivni-strategicke-stabilite","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/20\/pepe-escobar-o-si-tin-pchingove-konstruktivni-strategicke-stabilite\/","title":{"rendered":"Pepe Escobar o Si \u0164in-pchingov\u011b \u201ekonstruktivn\u00ed strategick\u00e9 stabilit\u011b\u201c"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Pokud budeme v\u0161ichni dostate\u010dn\u011b \u0161t\u011bd\u0159\u00ed, mohli bychom doj\u00edt k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee se Si a Trump dohodli na t\u0159\u00edlet\u00e9m r\u00e1mci stability.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Titulek na tituln\u00ed stran\u011b den\u00edku China Daily tento \u010dtvrtek h\u0159m\u011bl a bl\u00fdskal se: \u201eRecepce s \u010derven\u00fdm kobercem pro Trumpa v Pekingu\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

No, a to v\u010detn\u011b nad\u0161en\u00fdch d\u011bt\u00ed m\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edch kv\u011btinami a n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy Chr\u00e1mu nebes, postaven\u00e9ho v roce 1420 jako symbol spojen\u00ed mezi nebem a lidstvem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ml\u00e1d\u00ed se setk\u00e1v\u00e1 s tradic\u00ed. Generace, kter\u00e1 povede pln\u011b modernizovanou \u010c\u00ednu, se setk\u00e1v\u00e1 s jej\u00ed hlubokou histori\u00ed. Om\u00e1men\u00fd a zmaten\u00fd prezident USA by jen st\u011b\u017e\u00ed vst\u0159ebal prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed mistrovskou t\u0159\u00eddu civilizace.<\/span><\/p>\n

Si \u0164in-pching byl notoricky s\u017e\u00edrav\u00fd: \u201eM\u011bli bychom b\u00fdt partne\u0159i, ne rivalov\u00e9.\u201c Zast\u00e1nci v\u00fdjimek byli \u0161okov\u00e1ni. A to po nekone\u010dn\u00e9 litanii obchodn\u00edch v\u00e1lek, technologick\u00fdch sankc\u00ed, permanentn\u00ed hysterie kolem Tchaj-wanu, vojensk\u00e9ho obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00ed, geoekonomick\u00e9 konfrontace a proti\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 r\u00e9torice.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uklidni se. Zachovej chladnou hlavu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ach, ty zvraty a obraty nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edho bilater\u00e1ln\u00edho vztahu na planet\u011b. P\u0159esto\u017ee jsou ob\u011b ekonomiky \u00fazce propojeny, bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed obchod se zbo\u017e\u00edm dos\u00e1hl v roce 2025 4,01 bilionu juan\u016f (590 miliard dolar\u016f). V celosv\u011btov\u00e9m m\u011b\u0159\u00edtku se v\u0161ak jedn\u00e1 o sotva p\u0159evratn\u00fd v\u00fdsledek: pouze 8,8 % celkov\u00e9ho zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu \u010c\u00edny.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na st\u00e1tn\u00edm banketu Si \u0164in-pching sv\u00fdmi ostr\u00fdmi r\u00e9torick\u00fdmi v\u00fdroky dos\u00e1hl sjednocen\u00ed MAGA a obrozen\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho n\u00e1roda:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201e\u010c\u00ednsk\u00fd i americk\u00fd lid jsou oba velk\u00e9 n\u00e1rody. Velk\u00e9 obrozen\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho n\u00e1roda a znovuzrozen\u00ed Ameriky mohou j\u00edt ruku v ruce.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Barba\u0159i byli op\u011bt zmateni.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pak Si stru\u010dn\u011b vysv\u011btlil, kde se nach\u00e1z\u00edme. Sta\u010dila mu k tomu jedin\u00e1 v\u011bta:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eTransformace, neviditeln\u00e1 po cel\u00e9 stolet\u00ed, se celosv\u011btov\u011b zrychluje a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed situace je prom\u011bnliv\u00e1 a turbulentn\u00ed.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Srovnejte to s dobou, kdy se o t\u00e9to \u201etransformaci\u201c poprv\u00e9 ve\u0159ejn\u011b zm\u00ednil p\u0159ed glob\u00e1ln\u00edm publikem: bezprost\u0159edn\u011b po setk\u00e1n\u00ed s Putinem v Kremlu na ja\u0159e roku 2023.<\/span><\/p>\n

A pak se Si okam\u017eit\u011b zeptal: \u201eMohou \u010c\u00edna a Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty p\u0159ekonat Thukydidovu past a vytvo\u0159it nov\u00e9 paradigma vztah\u016f mezi velmocemi?\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Jakkoli je Thukydidova past jen dal\u0161\u00edm slab\u00fdm konstruktem z americk\u00e9 zem\u011b think-tank\u016f \u2013 nejlep\u0161\u00edmi analytiky Thukydida jsou \u0158ekov\u00e9 a Italov\u00e9, nikoli klika z Beltway \u2013 Siho metafora skute\u010dn\u011b zd\u016fraznila, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna je nyn\u00ed v\u016fdcem vznikaj\u00edc\u00edho \u0159\u00e1du.<\/span><\/p>\n

A do tohoto bodu se dostalo bez jedin\u00e9ho v\u00fdst\u0159elu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato \u201ekonstruktivn\u00ed strategick\u00e1 stabilita\u201c<\/span><\/h3>\n

Si pot\u00e9 p\u0159edstavil svou novou vizi vztah\u016f mezi USA a \u010c\u00ednou \u2013 alespo\u0148 na p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed t\u0159i roky \u2013 s pon\u011bkud p\u0159ekvapiv\u00fdm sloganem: \u201ekonstruktivn\u00ed strategick\u00e1 stabilita\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

To s sebou ale p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed t\u0159i z\u00e1va\u017en\u00e9 probl\u00e9my.<\/span><\/p>\n

Imp\u00e9rium Chaosu nen\u00ed konstruktivn\u00ed: je destruktivn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nen\u00ed strategick\u00e9: v nejlep\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b je zhruba taktick\u00e9, s neust\u00e1le se m\u011bn\u00edc\u00edmi taktikami.<\/span><\/p>\n

A nejde o stabilitu: jde o vytv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed a vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed chaosu \u2013 spolu se l\u017eemi, drancov\u00e1n\u00edm a, jak vid\u00edme ve Venezuele a zejm\u00e9na v \u00cdr\u00e1nu, pir\u00e1tstv\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Si \u0164in-pching nem\u016f\u017ee rozumn\u011b o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee imp\u00e9rium p\u0159ijme \u201espolupr\u00e1ci\u201c jako \u201ez\u00e1kladn\u00ed k\u00e1men\u201c vztahu, nato\u017e \u201ezdravou stabilitu s konkurenc\u00ed v rozumn\u00fdch mez\u00edch\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud budeme v\u0161ichni dostate\u010dn\u011b velkorys\u00ed, mohli bychom doj\u00edt k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee Si a Trump se dohodli na t\u0159\u00edlet\u00e9m r\u00e1mci stability, kter\u00fd by m\u011bl b\u00fdt interpretov\u00e1n jako struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed restart \u2013 nejprve se spoluprac\u00ed, pot\u00e9 kontrolovanou konkurenc\u00ed a kone\u010dn\u00fdm v\u00fdsledkem bude p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00fd m\u00edr.<\/span><\/p>\n

No, nikdy nezapom\u00ednejme, \u017ee m\u00e1me co do \u010din\u011bn\u00ed s \u201enesmluvn\u00edmi\u201c USA \u2013 jak to definoval nesmrteln\u00fd velmistr Lavrov.<\/span><\/p>\n

A samoz\u0159ejm\u011b je tu \u201etchajwansk\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka\u201c. Si \u0164in-pching ve vrcholn\u00e9 form\u011b: \u201e\u201aTchajwansk\u00e1 nez\u00e1vislost\u2018 a m\u00edr v Tchajwansk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu jsou neslu\u010diteln\u00e9 jako ohe\u0148 a voda.\u201c Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 mus\u00ed p\u0159i \u201e\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed tchajwansk\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky\u201c postupovat \u201eextr\u00e9mn\u011b opatrn\u011b\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Si \u0164in-pching to ozna\u010dil za \u201enejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ot\u00e1zku ve vztahu mezi \u010c\u00ednou a USA\u201c. Pro Peking je to kone\u010dn\u00e1 \u010derven\u00e1 linie. T\u00fdm Trump mo\u017en\u00e1 st\u00e1le nech\u00e1pe, co je v s\u00e1zce. Tchaj-wan je prom\u011bnn\u00e1 s potenci\u00e1lem vynulovat celou optimistickou t\u0159\u00edletou \u201em\u00edrovou\u201c rovnici na nulu.<\/span><\/p>\n

A mimochodem: Vykreslov\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00fdmi mainstreamov\u00fdmi m\u00e9dii, \u017ee Si \u0164in-pching vym\u011bnil americk\u00e9 nevm\u011b\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed se do z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed Tchaj-wanu za americkou \u201epomoc\u201c v \u00cdr\u00e1nu, je naprosto absurdn\u00ed. \u010c\u00edna a \u00cdr\u00e1n maj\u00ed neust\u00e1le se vyv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed strategick\u00e9 partnerstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco se to v\u0161echno odehr\u00e1valo v Pekingu, m\u011bl jsem tu \u010dest str\u00e1vit dlouh\u00fd geopolitick\u00fd ob\u011bd v \u0160anghaji s pozoruhodn\u00fdm Li Bo, gener\u00e1ln\u00edm \u0159editelem Guancha, p\u0159edn\u00edho nez\u00e1visl\u00e9ho \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho medi\u00e1ln\u00edho subjektu s nejm\u00e9n\u011b 120 miliony denn\u00edch sleduj\u00edc\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Li Bo mimo jin\u00e9 prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee Tchaj-wan pro Peking nen\u00ed probl\u00e9mem: je to vnit\u0159n\u00ed z\u00e1le\u017eitost, kter\u00e1 bude vy\u0159e\u0161ena m\u00edrovou cestou. Skute\u010dn\u00fdm probl\u00e9mem je podle n\u011bj znovuvyzbrojen\u00ed Japonska, zejm\u00e9na nyn\u00ed pod otev\u0159en\u011b militaristickou vl\u00e1dou Sanae Takai\u010diho.<\/span><\/p>\n

A te\u010f k t\u011bm skute\u010dn\u00fdm VIP osobnostem show Trump-Xi<\/span><\/h3>\n

Po v\u0161ech t\u011bch \u0159e\u010dech o \u201e\u0159\u00ed\u0161i zla\u201c, hysterii kolem odd\u011blov\u00e1n\u00ed, paranoii sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed rizik, sank\u010dn\u00ed tsunami, celn\u00ed tsunami a v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 r\u00e9torice najednou vid\u00edme oligarchickou skupinu s kombinovanou tr\u017en\u00ed kapitalizac\u00ed p\u0159es 10 bilion\u016f dolar\u016f, kter\u00e1 let\u00ed do Pekingu, aby doslova osobn\u011b prosila Si \u0164in-pchinga o\u2026 obchod.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump byl nad\u0161en\u00fd:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eCht\u011bl jsem jedni\u010dku z ka\u017ed\u00e9 \u0159\u00ed\u0161e! Jensen Huang, Tim Cook, Elon Musk a dal\u0161\u00ed tit\u00e1ni… ti nejlep\u0161\u00ed na sv\u011bt\u011b jsou tady, p\u0159\u00edmo p\u0159ed v\u00e1mi.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Pak ta kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 v\u011bta:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eJsou tu dnes, aby projevili \u00factu v\u00e1m a \u010c\u00edn\u011b. P\u0159ich\u00e1zej\u00ed hladov\u00ed po obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed, investic\u00edch a tvorb\u011b. Z na\u0161\u00ed strany to bude stoprocentn\u011b recipro\u010dn\u00ed.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eNezbytn\u00fd\u201c n\u00e1rod vzd\u00e1v\u00e1 hold skute\u010dn\u00e9 geoekonomick\u00e9 \u0159\u00ed\u0161i 21. stolet\u00ed. Historie z toho bude m\u00edt velk\u00fd \u00fasp\u011bch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kl\u00ed\u010de k nov\u00e9mu Nebesk\u00e9mu chr\u00e1mu<\/span><\/h3>\n

Tesla, Apple, Boeing, GE Aerospace \u2013 v\u0161echny mohou zoufale pot\u0159ebovat \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 vz\u00e1cn\u00e9 zeminy: \u010c\u00edna kontroluje t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 99 % sv\u011btov\u00e9 kapacity zpracov\u00e1n\u00ed vz\u00e1cn\u00fdch zemin. \u010c\u00edna v\u0161ak tyto americk\u00e9 giganty struktur\u00e1ln\u011b ji\u017e nepot\u0159ebuje a st\u00e1le v\u00edce je pot\u0159ebuje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kombinovan\u00e9 tr\u017eby z \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho obchodu dvan\u00e1cti nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch spole\u010dnost\u00ed, jejich\u017e gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159editel\u00e9 se t\u00e9to cesty z\u00fa\u010dastnili, dosahuj\u00ed v\u00edce ne\u017e 300 miliard dolar\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Musk pot\u0159ebuje d\u00e1l stav\u011bt vozy Tesla \u2013 Gigafactory, jeho nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed exportn\u00ed centrum, se nach\u00e1z\u00ed za \u0160anghaj\u00ed \u2013 a bez 100% cel. Jensen Huang pot\u0159ebuje exportn\u00ed licence na \u010dipy, aby Nvidia mohla prod\u00e1vat na tomto obrovsk\u00e9m trhu s um\u011blou inteligenc\u00ed (a\u010dkoli \u010c\u00edna u\u017e Nvidii ve skute\u010dnosti nepot\u0159ebuje). Tim Cook pot\u0159ebuje, aby \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd dodavatelsk\u00fd \u0159et\u011bzec Applu v hodnot\u011b 70 miliard dolar\u016f z\u016fstal stabiln\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Skute\u010dn\u00fdm probl\u00e9mem je Larry Fink z BlackRocku, kter\u00fd dycht\u00ed po tom, aby se \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed trhy \u201eotev\u0159ely\u201c dal\u0161\u00edm zisk\u016fm z Wall Street (Li Bo mi \u0159ekl, \u017ee by jim \u010c\u00ed\u0148an\u00e9 v nejlep\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b dovolili otev\u0159\u00edt malou kancel\u00e1\u0159 na ostrov\u011b Hainan…). Fink je nav\u00edc skute\u010dn\u00fdm nov\u00fdm v\u016fdcem davosk\u00e9 kliky a je p\u0159\u00edmo zodpov\u011bdn\u00fd za financov\u00e1n\u00ed datov\u00fdch center pro sledov\u00e1n\u00ed um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence v cel\u00fdch USA.<\/span><\/p>\n

Prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu nad\u0161en\u011b hovo\u0159ilo o \u201eroz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edstupu americk\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed na \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd trh a zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00fdch \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch investic\u00edch do americk\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu\u201c, o \u201ezv\u00fd\u0161en\u00fdch \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch n\u00e1kupech americk\u00fdch zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fdch produkt\u016f\u201c a o tom, \u017ee Si \u0164in-pching vyj\u00e1d\u0159il \u201ez\u00e1jem o n\u00e1kup v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho mno\u017estv\u00ed americk\u00e9 ropy\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

O \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdch \u201eobchodn\u00edch jedn\u00e1n\u00edch\u201c ze strany \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho ministerstva obchodu v\u0161ak nepadlo ani slovo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tak\u017ee teoreticky jsme m\u011bli skupinu miliard\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch gener\u00e1ln\u00edch \u0159editel\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed zoufale tou\u017eili \u201eotev\u0159\u00edt\u201c \u010c\u00ednu americk\u00e9mu podnik\u00e1n\u00ed a obchodu. Obchodn\u00ed komunita v \u0160anghaji rozhodn\u011b nebyla ohromena. Koneckonc\u016f, \u010c\u00edna si aktivn\u011b buduje vlastn\u00ed nez\u00e1vislost \u2013 to v\u0161e je zakotveno v c\u00edlech nov\u00e9ho p\u011btilet\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu \u2013 zat\u00edmco USA prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm t\u011bchto miliard\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch gener\u00e1ln\u00edch \u0159editel\u016f v podstat\u011b demonstrovaly formalizaci sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed z\u00e1vislosti.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco v Pekingu panoval ve\u0161ker\u00fd tento rozruch, minist\u0159i zahrani\u010d\u00ed Ruska, \u010c\u00edny (ne Wang I, kter\u00fd v Pekingu z\u016fstal bok po boku se Si \u0164in-pchingem), Indie a \u2013 co\u017e je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 \u2013 \u00cdr\u00e1nu, stejn\u011b jako dal\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1stupci, byli v Nov\u00e9m Dill\u00ed na velmi d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9m summitu BRICS, kter\u00fd se zam\u011b\u0159il na to, co Moskva definovala jako reformu syst\u00e9mu \u201eglob\u00e1ln\u00ed spr\u00e1vy v\u011bc\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch\u201c s dominantn\u00ed rol\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00edho Jihu.<\/span><\/p>\n

BRICS je sice mo\u017en\u00e1 v k\u00f3matu. Pokud je ale n\u011bkdo schopen ji o\u017eivit, je to velmistr Lavrov a Rusko \u2013 bok po boku s \u010c\u00ednou a rostouc\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed mocnost\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Op\u011bt je to nov\u00fd Primakov\u016fv troj\u00faheln\u00edk, RIC (Rusko-Indie-\u010c\u00edna), kdo najde skute\u010dn\u00e9 kl\u00ed\u010de k odem\u010den\u00ed nov\u00e9ho Chr\u00e1mu nebes.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pepe Escobar<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pokud budeme v\u0161ichni dostate\u010dn\u011b \u0161t\u011bd\u0159\u00ed, mohli bychom doj\u00edt k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee se Si a Trump…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":106996,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[30,1503,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106995"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=106995"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106995\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/106996"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=106995"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=106995"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=106995"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}