{"id":106952,"date":"2026-05-20T00:20:25","date_gmt":"2026-05-19T22:20:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=106952"},"modified":"2026-05-19T10:46:08","modified_gmt":"2026-05-19T08:46:08","slug":"americka-vlada-se-pripravuje-na-novou-valku-larry-johnson-varuje-pred-eskalaci-proti-iranu-a-strategickou-slabosti-washingtonu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/20\/americka-vlada-se-pripravuje-na-novou-valku-larry-johnson-varuje-pred-eskalaci-proti-iranu-a-strategickou-slabosti-washingtonu\/","title":{"rendered":"Americk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da se p\u0159ipravuje na novou v\u00e1lku \u2013 Larry Johnson varuje p\u0159ed eskalac\u00ed proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu a strategickou slabost\u00ed Washingtonu"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V nov\u00e9m rozhovoru pro po\u0159ad Judging Freedom vykresluje b\u00fdval\u00fd analytik CIA Larry Johnson bez\u00fat\u011b\u0161n\u00fd obraz sou\u010dasn\u00e9 situace na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. V rozhovoru s Andrewem Napolitanem Johnson tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee USA a Izrael jsou na pokraji obnoven\u00ed \u00fatok\u016f proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u2013 zat\u00edmco Washington se z\u00e1rove\u0148 pot\u00fdk\u00e1 s ub\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edmi z\u00e1sobami zbran\u00ed, strategickou z\u00e1vislost\u00ed na \u010c\u00edn\u011b a rostouc\u00edm odporem v r\u00e1mci regionu.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Larry Johnson: USA se p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed na dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1lku\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/zpX2t1KWNbo?feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Johnson popisuje cestu Donalda Trumpa do \u010c\u00edny jako t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 naprost\u00fd fiask. Trumpovi se nepoda\u0159ilo zajistit \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed dohody ani dos\u00e1hnout pokroku v p\u0159\u00edstupu k prvk\u016fm vz\u00e1cn\u00fdch zemin \u2013 surovin\u00e1m, kter\u00e9 jsou podle Johnsona nezbytn\u00e9 pro v\u00fdrobu modern\u00edch americk\u00fdch zbra\u0148ov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f. USA nad\u00e1le slibuj\u00ed v\u00fdvoz zbran\u00ed, p\u0159esto\u017ee ji\u017e dostate\u010dn\u011b nekontroluj\u00ed materi\u00e1ly pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 k v\u00fdrob\u011b t\u011bchto syst\u00e9m\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle Johnsona byl Trump\u016fv pokus p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit \u010c\u00ednu, aby vyvinula tlak na \u00cdr\u00e1n, obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b v\u00fdbu\u0161n\u00fd. Peking v\u0161ak vydal jasn\u00fd odm\u00edtnut\u00ed. \u010c\u00edna a Rusko m\u00edsto toho v z\u00e1kulis\u00ed pracuj\u00ed na nov\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architektu\u0159e pro z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii \u2013 jak\u00e9msi isl\u00e1msk\u00e9m prot\u011bj\u0161ku NATO. Zem\u011b jako Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie, \u00cdr\u00e1n a Turecko by mohly vytvo\u0159it region\u00e1ln\u00ed obrannou alianci, kter\u00e1 by nakonec u\u010dinila americkou vojenskou p\u0159\u00edtomnost zbyte\u010dnou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Johnson je p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den, \u017ee Washington a Tel Aviv ji\u017e provedly konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpravy na nov\u00e9 \u00fatoky na \u00cdr\u00e1n. Rozhoduj\u00edc\u00edm faktorem je v\u0161ak postoj st\u00e1t\u016f Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu. Pokud by Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie a Katar odep\u0159ely USA p\u0159\u00edstup ke sv\u00fdm vojensk\u00fdm z\u00e1kladn\u00e1m a vzdu\u0161n\u00e9mu prostoru, americk\u00e9 \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny by byly v\u00e1\u017en\u011b ohro\u017eeny. V tomto ohledu m\u00e1 zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed v\u00fdznam masivn\u00ed americk\u00e1 leteck\u00e1 z\u00e1kladna Al-Udeid v Kataru \u2013 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed americk\u00e1 z\u00e1kladna v cel\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Johnson nazna\u010duje, \u017ee tyto zem\u011b nyn\u00ed maj\u00ed zna\u010dn\u00fd vliv na strategick\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed Washingtonu. Trump\u016fv tolik propagovan\u00fd pl\u00e1n na n\u00e1siln\u00e9 otev\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu byl n\u00e1hle zastaven po pouh\u00fdch 36 hodin\u00e1ch pot\u00e9, co Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie a Kuvajt odm\u00edtly poskytnout podporu. Ani p\u0159\u00edm\u00fd telefon\u00e1t mezi Trumpem a korunn\u00edm princem Muhammadem bin Salm\u00e1nem na tom nic nezm\u011bnil.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Johnson z\u00e1rove\u0148 pozoruje jasn\u00e9 sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed mezi \u010c\u00ednou a Ruskem. Zat\u00edmco Trump se v Pekingu setkal s chladn\u00fdm p\u0159ijet\u00edm, podle Johnsona je n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bva Vladimira Putina v \u010c\u00edn\u011b demonstrativn\u011b zd\u016fraz\u0148ov\u00e1na. Johnson interpretuje i nen\u00e1padn\u00e9 diplomatick\u00e9 detaily \u2013 jako je \u00fadajn\u00e9 p\u0159ejmenov\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00e9ho ministra zahrani\u010d\u00ed Marca Rubia do \u010d\u00edn\u0161tiny, aby se obe\u0161ly st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed sankce proti n\u011bmu \u2013 jako zn\u00e1mku nedostatku respektu Pekingu k Washingtonu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pozd\u011bji v rozhovoru Johnson tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da se ji\u017e v\u011bnuje konkr\u00e9tn\u00edm v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edprav\u00e1m. Jako kuri\u00f3zn\u00ed ukazatel uv\u00e1d\u00ed tzv. \u201ePizza index\u201c v Pentagonu: historicky prudk\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst objedn\u00e1vek v bl\u00edzk\u00fdch pizzeri\u00edch \u010dasto koreloval s bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00edmi se vojensk\u00fdmi operacemi. Podle Johnsona tento index v posledn\u00ed dob\u011b \u201eprorazil z\u00e1vratnou rychlost\u201c, co\u017e nazna\u010duje intenzivn\u00ed no\u010dn\u00ed pl\u00e1novac\u00ed aktivity.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00dast\u0159edn\u00edm t\u00e9matem rozhovoru je hodnocen\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Johnson odporuje postoji, kter\u00fd ji\u017e l\u00e9ta zast\u00e1v\u00e1 izraelsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Benjamin Netanjahu, podle kter\u00e9ho by se \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd syst\u00e9m v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b vojensk\u00e9ho \u00faderu rychle zhroutil. Nep\u0159\u00edmou podporu m\u00e1 i b\u00fdval\u00fd ministr obrany USA Robert Gates, kter\u00fd v d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00edm rozhovoru uvedl, \u017ee Netanjahu ji\u017e v roce 2009 masivn\u011b podcenil odolnost \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Johnson tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee ani vojensk\u00e9 operace posledn\u00edch t\u00fddn\u016f v\u00fdznamn\u011b neoslabily \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 schopnosti. \u00cdr\u00e1n st\u00e1le m\u016f\u017ee nasadit balistick\u00e9 rakety, st\u0159ely s plochou dr\u00e1hou letu a drony a st\u00e1le efektivn\u011b kontroluje Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv. USA sice zp\u016fsobily \u0161kody, ale strategick\u00e9 dominance nedos\u00e1hly.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b alarmuj\u00edc\u00ed jsou Johnsonova prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed ohledn\u011b americk\u00fdch z\u00e1sob zbran\u00ed. Tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee z\u00e1soby protiraketov\u00fdch st\u0159el Patriot jsou ji\u017e asi z 90 procent vy\u010derp\u00e1ny. Podobn\u00e9 probl\u00e9my zmi\u0148uje i se syst\u00e9my THAAD, \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdmi st\u0159elami Tomahawk a raketami JASSM. Podle Johnsona by v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b prodlou\u017een\u00e9ho konfliktu s \u010c\u00ednou mohly b\u00fdt USA schopny udr\u017eet sv\u00e9 operace pouze n\u011bkolik t\u00fddn\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">D\u016fvodem nejsou jen pen\u00edze nebo v\u00fdrobn\u00ed kapacita, ale obrovsk\u00e1 z\u00e1vislost na \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch vz\u00e1cn\u00fdch zemin\u00e1ch. 80 a\u017e 90 procent modern\u00ed americk\u00e9 zbrojn\u00ed technologie se spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na tyto suroviny. Na rozd\u00edl od Ruska, kter\u00e9 po za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b dok\u00e1zalo masivn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161it svou zbrojn\u00ed produkci, USA podle Johnsona ji\u017e nejsou schopny dostate\u010dn\u011b rychle nahradit sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed z\u00e1soby.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ztr\u00e1ty modern\u00edch dronov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f se tak\u00e9 zvy\u0161uj\u00ed. Johnson poukazuje na drony MQ-9 Reaper \u2013 bezpilotn\u00ed syst\u00e9my v hodnot\u011b p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 35 milion\u016f dolar\u016f \u2013 kter\u00fdch hnut\u00ed H\u00fat\u00ed\u016f v Jemenu ji\u017e sest\u0159elilo des\u00edtky. Stejn\u00e1 hrozba nyn\u00ed hroz\u00ed i \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Bez vzdu\u0161n\u00e9 p\u0159evahy se USA budou muset st\u00e1le v\u00edce spol\u00e9hat na zbran\u011b dlouh\u00e9ho doletu, ale i jejich z\u00e1soby se zmen\u0161uj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Na konci rozhovoru Johnson vyvozuje jasn\u00fd z\u00e1v\u011br: \u010d\u00e1sti Pentagonu si nyn\u00ed uv\u011bdomily, \u017ee vojensk\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed nad \u00cdr\u00e1nem je nere\u00e1ln\u00e9. \u00cdr\u00e1n je dnes sebev\u011bdom\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e p\u0159ed dv\u011bma m\u011bs\u00edci a m\u016f\u017ee se spolehnout na pevnou podporu Ruska a \u010c\u00edny. P\u00e1kist\u00e1n se st\u00e1le v\u00edce chov\u00e1 jako strategick\u00fd partner Pekingu. \u00cdr\u00e1n je otev\u0159en\u00fd diplomacii \u2013 ale nen\u00ed p\u0159ipraven kapitulovat p\u0159ed Washingtonem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>V nov\u00e9m rozhovoru pro po\u0159ad Judging Freedom vykresluje b\u00fdval\u00fd analytik CIA Larry Johnson bez\u00fat\u011b\u0161n\u00fd obraz&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":106953,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,3769,1052,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106952"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=106952"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106952\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/106953"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=106952"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=106952"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=106952"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}