{"id":106714,"date":"2026-05-17T00:17:37","date_gmt":"2026-05-16T22:17:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=106714"},"modified":"2026-05-16T15:48:52","modified_gmt":"2026-05-16T13:48:52","slug":"richard-medhurst-ozbrojena-loupez-svetovych-energetickych-zdroju","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/17\/richard-medhurst-ozbrojena-loupez-svetovych-energetickych-zdroju\/","title":{"rendered":"Richard Medhurst: Ozbrojen\u00e1 loupe\u017e sv\u011btov\u00fdch energetick\u00fdch zdroj\u016f"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Forenzn\u00ed vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed toho, jak Washington vyu\u017eil v\u00e1lku v \u00cdr\u00e1nu k nahrazen\u00ed Nord Streamu, z\u00e1chran\u011b dolaru a z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fapln\u00e9 kontroly nad sv\u011btov\u00fdmi energetick\u00fdmi rezervami od Arktidy po Indick\u00fd oce\u00e1n. Zpr\u00e1va Richarda Medhursta:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Je l\u00e1kav\u00e9 se domn\u00edvat, \u017ee s americkou v\u00e1le\u010dnou ma\u0161in\u00e9ri\u00ed je konec. Z vojensk\u00e9ho hlediska \u00cdr\u00e1n skute\u010dn\u011b zp\u016fsobil USA nejhor\u0161\u00ed pon\u00ed\u017een\u00ed v modern\u00edch d\u011bjin\u00e1ch \u2013 o kter\u00e9m jsem ji\u017e rozs\u00e1hle informoval.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ale v z\u00e1kulis\u00ed Washington ti\u0161e a tajn\u011b zah\u00e1jil ozbrojen\u00fd \u00fatok na sv\u011btov\u00e9 z\u00e1soby ropy a plynu. Na v\u0161echny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Toto vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed je mo\u017en\u00e9 zhl\u00e9dnout v m\u00e9m dokumentu \u201e\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=0nt1CgQsgpI\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zrozen\u00ed dolaru Petrogas a pir\u00e1tsk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">B\u011bhem pouh\u00fdch 90 dn\u016f provedly USA energetickou bleskovou v\u00e1lku, kter\u00e1 se p\u0159ipravovala po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Stovky \u00fatok\u016f na rusk\u00e9 tankery a rafinerie<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159eru\u0161en\u00ed jedn\u00e9 t\u0159etiny dod\u00e1vek ropy a LNG do \u010c\u00edny<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Dobyt\u00ed nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch sv\u011btov\u00fdch z\u00e1sob ropy<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Zaveden\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1dy od Arktidy po Indick\u00fd oce\u00e1n<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A b\u011bhem toho byly uneseny a zavra\u017ed\u011bny dv\u011b hlavy st\u00e1t\u016f. Jsme sv\u011bdky p\u0159echodu Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f z imp\u00e9ria k bezpr\u00e1vn\u00e9mu pir\u00e1tsk\u00e9mu st\u00e1tu a zrodu toho, co naz\u00fdv\u00e1m\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">petroplynov\u00fdm dolarem<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0nebo\u00a0<\/span><strong><span dir=\"auto\">LNG dolarem<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u010casov\u00fd harmonogram t\u00e9to kampan\u011b mluv\u00ed s\u00e1m za sebe:<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Chaos je c\u00edlem<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty byly v minulosti velmi citliv\u00e9 na ropn\u00e9 krize. Uzav\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu by bylo katastrofou, proto\u017ee USA by nedok\u00e1zaly produkovat dostatek ropy k uspokojen\u00ed popt\u00e1vky.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dnes jsou v\u0161ak nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm sv\u011btov\u00fdm producentem ropy, plynu a rafin\u00e9rsk\u00fdch produkt\u016f a tak\u00e9 p\u0159edn\u00edm sv\u011btov\u00fdm v\u00fdvozcem zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9ho zemn\u00edho plynu (LNG).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Mnoz\u00ed st\u00e1le v\u011b\u0159\u00ed star\u00e9 mant\u0159e, \u017ee vysok\u00e9 ceny ropy jsou pro USA \u0161patn\u00e9, ale opak je pravdou. Poprv\u00e9 b\u011bhem glob\u00e1ln\u00edho nedostatku dolar nepad\u00e1, zat\u00edmco zlato prudce roste \u2013 je to naopak. Vysok\u00e9 ceny energi\u00ed u\u017e pro Wall Street nep\u0159edstavuj\u00ed hrozbu \u2013 jsou jej\u00edm c\u00edlem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nen\u00ed n\u00e1hoda, \u017ee se USA\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">po<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0v\u00e1lce na Ukrajin\u011b staly p\u0159edn\u00edm sv\u011btov\u00fdm v\u00fdvozcem LNG. V\u00fdhody byly \u010detn\u00e9: USA se transformovaly z dodavatele pokr\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edho pouze 9 procent energetick\u00fdch pot\u0159eb Evropy na p\u0159edn\u00ed zdroj uhl\u00ed, ropy a LNG v Evrop\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!Aa12!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c1b7c0d-dfaf-4846-888f-5186c6ee7a4e_3840x1240.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"864\" height=\"279\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">Dovoz ropy, uhl\u00ed a zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9ho zemn\u00edho plynu do EU z USA (2021\u20132025) Zdroj: EU\/Eurostat<\/span><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Kdy\u017e Condoleezza Rice nebo Joe Biden prohl\u00e1sili, \u017ee by se Evropa m\u011bla \u201espol\u00e9hat\u201c na USA v oblasti energie a sl\u00edbili, \u017ee \u201eukon\u010d\u00ed\u201c projekt Nord Stream, mysleli to doslova. Sankcemi proti Moskv\u011b a zni\u010den\u00edm plynovodu Nord Stream USA nejen\u017ee po\u0161kodily Rusko, ale tak\u00e9 z Evropy ud\u011blaly trval\u00e9ho z\u00e1kazn\u00edka USA, zajistily si dlouhodob\u00e9 zisky a pos\u00edlily dolar za petroplyn.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">USA jsou odd\u011bleny dv\u011bma oce\u00e1ny, co\u017e zdra\u017euje dod\u00e1vky plynu. Nikdo by si nikdy nekoupil americk\u00fd LNG, kdyby byl hned vedle k dispozici levn\u00fd rusk\u00fd plyn. USA tak eliminovaly konkurenci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nejen na \u00fakor Ruska, ale tak\u00e9 t\u00edm, \u017ee v tomto procesu z\u00edskal polovinu katarsk\u00e9ho pod\u00edlu na LNG:<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!RoeB!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8cf1c587-0d1e-4656-a5b4-1681ab7d146d_1261x1267.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"620\" height=\"623\" \/><\/figure>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Dokon\u010dete projekt v Evrop\u011b<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">USA v\u0161ak nyn\u00ed dos\u00e1hly sv\u00e9 pln\u00e9 exportn\u00ed kapacity. I kdy\u017e plyn vlastn\u00ed, nemohou ho dodat dostate\u010dn\u011b rychle, aby obslou\u017eily trh, kter\u00fd vytvo\u0159ily. Washington si uv\u011bdomil, \u017ee k v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed nepot\u0159ebuje budovat dal\u0161\u00ed infrastrukturu. Sta\u010d\u00ed jen znovu eliminovat konkurenci.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Po USA jsou Katar a Austr\u00e1lie nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edmi sv\u011btov\u00fdmi dodavateli zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9ho zemn\u00edho plynu (LNG) a nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edmi konkurenty Ameriky.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!k5hp!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F813e08e4-ec4a-4810-a396-609dde9b1301_4572x3403.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"678\" height=\"505\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Stejn\u011b jako Washington vyu\u017eil v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b, sankce a \u00fatoky na plynovod Nord Stream jako z\u00e1minku k vytla\u010den\u00ed Ruska z Evropy, tak i v\u00e1lku s \u00cdr\u00e1nem jako z\u00e1minku ke zni\u010den\u00ed pozice Kataru jako glob\u00e1ln\u00edho hr\u00e1\u010de v oblasti LNG.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">T\u00edm, \u017ee Washington 4. b\u0159ezna, v prvn\u00edm t\u00fddnu v\u00e1lky, donutil Dauh\u00e1 vyhl\u00e1sit\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed moc<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0a 18. b\u0159ezna zah\u00e1jil odvetn\u00e9 \u00fadery na Ras Laffan, uzav\u0159el nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed plynov\u00e9 pole na sv\u011bt\u011b \u2013 a t\u00edm jedn\u00edm tahem paralyzoval \u00cdr\u00e1n a odsunul Katar na vedlej\u0161\u00ed kolej.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee Izrael provedl tento konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed \u00fatok bez informov\u00e1n\u00ed Washingtonu, je politicky i logisticky nemo\u017en\u00e9 \u2013 co\u017e je jen podez\u0159elej\u0161\u00ed v d\u016fsledku snah Benjamina Netanjahua a Donalda Trumpa co nejv\u00edce distancovat od n\u011bj B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Bez ohledu na to nelze pochybovat o tom, \u017ee to vyprovokovaly USA a Izrael. V t\u00e9 dob\u011b str\u00e1vily t\u0159i t\u00fddny stoup\u00e1n\u00edm po \u017eeb\u0159\u00ed\u010dku eskalace; bombardovaly \u00cdr\u00e1n nep\u0159etr\u017eit\u011b a testovaly jeho reakce.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Teher\u00e1n nav\u00edc (ji\u017e 12. b\u0159ezna) jednozna\u010dn\u011b dal najevo, \u017ee jak\u00e9koli \u00fatoky na \u00edr\u00e1nskou energetickou infrastrukturu budou setkany s p\u0159\u00edstupem \u201eoko za oko\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Paralyzov\u00e1n\u00edm katarsk\u00e9 kapacity LNG \u2013 by\u0165 jen \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u00fdm \u2013 Washington zabil t\u0159i mouchy jednou ranou:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Katar byl nucen ukon\u010dit sv\u00e9 v\u00fdhodn\u00e9 dlouhodob\u00e9 smlouvy s \u010c\u00ednou a Evropou, co\u017e zemi donutilo nakupovat americk\u00fd plyn.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Ceny LNG prudce vzrostly, ale pouze v Evrop\u011b a Asii (v Americe nerostly, jak bude uk\u00e1z\u00e1no d\u00e1le ve studii).<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">USA se v nestabiln\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b etablovaly jako spolehliv\u00fd dodavatel energie.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pak, o t\u00fdden pozd\u011bji, astronomickou shodou okolnost\u00ed \u2013 Austr\u00e1lii, druh\u00e9ho nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edho dodavatele LNG na sv\u011bt\u011b, zas\u00e1hl cyklon. Ten ochromil polovinu jej\u00edch LNG center. Nic tak katastrof\u00e1ln\u00edho jako v Kataru, ale hrozn\u00e9 na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 nebo skv\u011bl\u00e9 na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed, pokud prod\u00e1v\u00e1te americk\u00fd LNG.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">B\u011bhem pouh\u00fdch dev\u00edti dn\u016f byli dva nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed konkurenti Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f vy\u0159azeni ze z\u00e1vodu, co\u017e zp\u016fsobilo prudk\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst cen LNG a pos\u00edlen\u00ed dolaru za LNG.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A dal\u0161\u00edm krokem s neuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u00fdm na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00edm byl den, kdy selhaly dod\u00e1vky LNG do Kataru (18. b\u0159ezna), stejn\u00fd den, kdy Evropsk\u00e1 unie zak\u00e1zala rusk\u00fd spotov\u00fd plyn.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jak n\u00e1zev napov\u00edd\u00e1, jedn\u00e1 se o plyn nakupovan\u00fd na spotov\u00e9m trhu, tedy v mal\u00e9m mno\u017estv\u00ed nebo bez smlouvy \u2013 co\u017e se m\u016f\u017ee hodit v takov\u00fdch chv\u00edl\u00edch, kdy selh\u00e1vaj\u00ed dodavatel\u00e9 z Kataru a Austr\u00e1lie. To by op\u011bt donutilo kupuj\u00edc\u00ed upadnout do n\u00e1ru\u010de USA.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Datum tohoto z\u00e1kazu bylo ve\u0159ejn\u011b zn\u00e1mo m\u011bs\u00edce p\u0159edem.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Levantsk\u00e1 p\u00e1nev<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Levantsk\u00e1 p\u00e1nev je jedno z nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch lo\u017eisek plynu na sv\u011bt\u011b a le\u017e\u00ed u pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed S\u00fdrie, Palestiny a Libanonu. Z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed tohoto \u00fazem\u00ed USA a Izraelem se dokonale shodovalo s v\u00e1lkou proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu a s \u0161ir\u0161\u00edm p\u0159ivlast\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00edm si glob\u00e1ln\u00edch energetick\u00fdch zdroj\u016f Washingtonem. USA a Izrael pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed toto \u00fazem\u00ed vyu\u017e\u00edt k propojen\u00ed Evropy se st\u0159edomo\u0159skou trasou dod\u00e1vek energie \u2013 symetrickou n\u00e1hradou za plynovod Nord Stream, kter\u00fd USA fakticky uzav\u0159ely.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Levantsk\u00e1 p\u00e1nev, kter\u00e1 se nach\u00e1z\u00ed p\u0159\u00edmo na prahu Evropy, by mohla zcela nahradit rusk\u00fd plynovodn\u00ed plyn \u2013 c\u00edl, kter\u00fd v\u00fdslovn\u011b uvedla p\u0159edsedkyn\u011b Evropsk\u00e9 komise Ursula von der Leyenov\u00e1. To by Washingtonu umo\u017enilo pokra\u010dovat v prodeji p\u0159edra\u017een\u00e9ho LNG po mo\u0159i a z\u00e1rove\u0148 by si zajistilo masivn\u00ed druh\u00fd zdroj p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V tomto smyslu podepsala americk\u00e1 spole\u010dnost Chevron v prosinci s Izraelem smlouvu na dod\u00e1vky plynu v hodnot\u011b 35 miliard dolar\u016f \u2013 pro kterou ji\u017e polo\u017eila z\u00e1klady t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 dva roky p\u0159ed genocidou v Gaze.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V\u0161echno \u0161lo jako po m\u00e1sle: nejd\u0159\u00edve p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed v Gaze v \u0159\u00edjnu, pak M\u00edrov\u00e1 rada a nakonec plynov\u00e1 dohoda Chevron.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!__TA!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F460f4a02-d96c-4e48-9d90-29328063fb59_6840x1938.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"825\" height=\"234\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Chevron m\u011bl formalizovat smlouvy a p\u0159evz\u00edt financov\u00e1n\u00ed, zat\u00edmco \u201eM\u00edrov\u00e1 rada\u201c m\u011bla slou\u017eit jako humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed fas\u00e1da.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tento org\u00e1n byl vytvo\u0159en Radou bezpe\u010dnosti OSN, aby leg\u00e1ln\u011b ospravedlnil koloni\u00e1ln\u00ed pl\u00e1n Washingtonu \u2013 pl\u00e1n, jeho\u017e p\u0159ijet\u00ed \u010c\u00edna a Rusko z nevysv\u011btliteln\u00fdch d\u016fvod\u016f povolily.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Bli\u017e\u0161\u00ed pohled na usnesen\u00ed 2803 ukazuje, \u017ee \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">voda, elekt\u0159ina a kanalizace<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c jsou zm\u00edn\u011bny jen kr\u00e1tce. Slova \u201eenergie\u201c nebo \u201eplyn\u201c se neobjevuj\u00ed ani jednou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Na prvn\u00edm summitu M\u00edrov\u00e9 rady se v\u0161ak v reklam\u00e1ch korporac\u00ed na \u201eNovou Gazu\u201c n\u00e1hle objevily plo\u0161iny pro t\u011b\u017ebu ropy a plynu.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!YvAn!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdab19618-163f-4100-963a-a618b76685ca_7570x4134.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"680\" height=\"372\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><span dir=\"auto\">N\u00e1vnada a z\u00e1m\u011bna: Rekonstrukce Gazy podle rezoluce OSN 2803 (vlevo) se ukazuje jako drancov\u00e1n\u00ed plynu a ropy \u201eM\u00edrovou radou\u201c (vpravo)<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Toto do o\u010d\u00ed bij\u00edc\u00ed sd\u011blen\u00ed, spolu s na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00edm izraelsk\u00e9 plynov\u00e9 dohody \u2013 a skute\u010dnost\u00ed, \u017ee v t\u00e9to oblasti p\u016fsob\u00ed pouze Chevron \u2013 n\u00e1s vede k jedin\u00e9mu logick\u00e9mu z\u00e1v\u011bru: \u017ee Izrael a Chevron maj\u00ed v \u00famyslu vydrancovat plynov\u00e1 pole n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva Gazy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V \u0159\u00edjnu 2023 jsem varoval, \u017ee tato v\u00e1lka nikdy nebyla o rukojm\u00edch ani o Ham\u00e1su \u2013 \u0161lo o drancov\u00e1n\u00ed zdroj\u016f Gazy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ani vte\u0159ina nebyla promarn\u011bna. V okam\u017eiku, kdy byly Washington a Chevron p\u0159ipraveny jednat, byla v\u00e1lka odlo\u017eena stranou a n\u00e1hle se za\u010dalo diskutovat o \u201ep\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!fapb!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_lossy\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b8c9e90-9c06-4481-ab6f-e8c2da6cd3de_1075x605.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"597\" height=\"336\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">S\u00fdrie byla dal\u0161\u00edm dominem, kter\u00e9 spadlo. Sotva Chevron v prosinci podepsal smlouvu s Izraelem, spole\u010dnost za\u010dala vyu\u017e\u00edvat syrsk\u00e9 z\u00e1soby ropy a plynu \u2013 a zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed vyslanec USA Tom Barrack se setkal s nov\u00fdmi vl\u00e1dci napojen\u00fdmi na al-K\u00e1idu, kter\u00fdm Washington pomohl uchopit moc v Dama\u0161ku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Do \u00fanora 2026 byla dohoda dokon\u010dena a USA mohly kone\u010dn\u011b za\u010d\u00edt vyu\u017e\u00edvat bohatstv\u00ed zem\u011b v zahrani\u010d\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!Tyfa!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F64e098bb-a4b9-4700-9cdd-dce153cbb0d5_3210x1800.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"606\" height=\"340\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">Americk\u00fd vyslanec Tom Barrack b\u011bhem sv\u00e9ho projevu na slavnostn\u00edm podpisu mezi spole\u010dnost\u00ed Chevron a vl\u00e1dou Jolani.<\/span><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou byla S\u00fdrie, co se t\u00fd\u010de ropy a plynu, zcela sob\u011bsta\u010dn\u00e1. Dnes tuto suverenitu ztratila.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Sy\u0159an\u00e9 maj\u00ed denn\u011b k dispozici jen n\u011bkolik hodin elekt\u0159iny a jsou nuceni ve\u0161kerou elekt\u0159inu z\u00edsk\u00e1vat z Turecka \u2013 t\u00e9ho\u017e st\u00e1tu, kter\u00fd p\u0159isp\u011bl ke zni\u010den\u00ed jejich vlastn\u00ed zem\u011b \u2013 zat\u00edmco Chevron pumpuje syrsk\u00e9 pob\u0159e\u017en\u00ed bohatstv\u00ed p\u0159\u00edmo do Evropy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ale t\u00edm Chevron\u016fv blitzkrieg neskon\u010dil.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zat\u00edmco se dohoda o S\u00fdrii st\u00e1le finalizovala, Chevron si v t\u00e9m\u017ee m\u011bs\u00edci zajistil dal\u0161\u00ed kontrakt na dod\u00e1vky plynu s \u0158eckem a v dubnu dal\u0161\u00ed s Kyprem. V\u0161echno to spolu souviselo.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Washington nyn\u00ed vytvo\u0159il americkou z\u00e1chrannou trasu vedouc\u00ed z Levanty p\u0159es Kypr do \u0158ecka. Plyn, plynovody a n\u00e1jemn\u00ed smlouvy byly na m\u00edst\u011b \u2013 nemluv\u011b o dal\u0161\u00edm odb\u011bru LNG p\u0159es Egypt.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Severn\u00ed plynov\u00fd koridor z Ruska byl nyn\u00ed mrtv\u00fd a na jeho m\u00edst\u011b byl americkou spole\u010dnost\u00ed postaven nov\u00fd \u2013 t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 dokonale symetrick\u00fd \u2013 koridor. Posledn\u00ed h\u0159eb\u00edk do rakve Nord Streamu.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!XG07!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ec80596-141d-45c3-8b2f-f15cb111f315_6971x4905.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"713\" height=\"502\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><span dir=\"auto\">St\u0159edomo\u0159sk\u00e1 tepna: Jak plynovod EastMed Poseidon a rozvoj Levantsk\u00e9 p\u00e1nve nahradily Nord Stream jako nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed energetick\u00fd koridor Evropy.<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Cel\u00e1 p\u00e1nev m\u00e1 hodnotu p\u0159es p\u016fl bilionu dolar\u016f \u2013 co\u017e p\u0159evy\u0161uje kombinovan\u00e9 zisky spole\u010dnost\u00ed BP, Shell, Chevron, ExxonMobil a Total Energies z cel\u00e9 v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b. Tyto nevyu\u017eit\u00e9 z\u00e1soby zmrazila izraelsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da, kter\u00e1 v podstat\u011b funguje jako soukrom\u00ed \u017eold\u00e1ci americk\u00e9 ekonomiky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nen\u00ed n\u00e1hoda, \u017ee v\u0161echny p\u0159\u00edstavy pod\u00e9l tohoto pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed byly zni\u010deny, s v\u00fdjimkou izraelsk\u00fdch. Blok\u00e1dou p\u00e1sma Gazy a paralyzov\u00e1n\u00edm p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f v Bejr\u00fatu a S\u00fdrii zajistili, \u017ee obyvatel\u00e9 Levanty nemaj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstup ke sv\u00e9mu vlastn\u00edmu d\u011bdictv\u00ed \u2013 a z\u00e1rove\u0148 ponechali dve\u0159e otev\u0159en\u00e9 pro spole\u010dnost Chevron, aby mohla skl\u00edzet zisky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pot\u00e9, co byl Katar a \u00cdr\u00e1n eliminov\u00e1n a St\u0159edomo\u0159\u00ed zaji\u0161t\u011bno, americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b planety ji\u017e uvol\u0148ovalo cestu spole\u010dnosti Chevron k p\u0159evzet\u00ed nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch ropn\u00fdch pol\u00ed na sv\u011bt\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00ednsk\u00e9 z\u00e1soby ropy a plynu v centru pozornosti<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Ovl\u00e1dnut\u00ed Evropy a oslaben\u00ed Ruska v\u0161ak byly jen za\u010d\u00e1tkem. Skute\u010dn\u00fdm c\u00edlem je \u010c\u00edna.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!WE0h!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F92e3d72c-4090-4148-8bc0-ba23accc9ab1_3930x2202.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"651\" height=\"365\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00edna je p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00e1 a p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 konkurenceschopn\u00e1 na to, aby ji USA zni\u010dily. C\u00edlem Washingtonu je m\u00edsto toho zemi ovl\u00e1dnout.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Od\u0159\u00edznut\u00edm hlavn\u00edch energetick\u00fdch zdroj\u016f Pekingu se USA sna\u017e\u00ed vynutit si \u00faplnou z\u00e1vislost na americk\u00e9 energii. To vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed nezbytn\u00fd vliv k zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed dolaru a z\u00e1rove\u0148 podkop\u00e1v\u00e1 zem\u011b BRICS, iniciativu P\u00e1s a stezka (BRI) a multipolaritu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00edna z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1 zhruba t\u0159etinu sv\u00e9 ropy dohromady z Venezuely, Ruska a \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u2013 partnerstv\u00ed, kter\u00e1 pova\u017euje za strategicky d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty se v posledn\u00edch 90 dnech st\u00e1le v\u00edce zam\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed na v\u0161echny t\u0159i zem\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!8qo4!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc2d0b3e3-1565-4a5c-b246-0bd4591bbd61_1152x648.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"740\" height=\"416\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><span dir=\"auto\">Strategick\u00e9 z\u00e1soby ropy v \u010c\u00edn\u011b: Celkov\u00fd objem (2025) (Zdroj: GAC China \/ Kpler &amp; Vortexa)<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Venezuela (operace \u201eJi\u017en\u00ed kop\u00ed\u201c)<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Blok\u00e1da za\u010dala v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2025, kdy byla americk\u00e1 flotila nasazena do Karibiku pod z\u00e1minkou \u201eboje proti drog\u00e1m\u201c. Pod velen\u00edm Ji\u017en\u00edho velitelstv\u00ed (USSOUTHCOM) Washington um\u00edstil tyto lod\u011b p\u0159\u00edmo na hranice Venezuely, \u010d\u00edm\u017e zemi fakticky obkl\u00ed\u010dil.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V prosinci flotila odhalila sv\u016fj skute\u010dn\u00fd c\u00edl otev\u0159en\u00fdm drancov\u00e1n\u00edm venezuelsk\u00e9 ropy. Tato kampa\u0148 vyvrcholila v lednu \u00fanosem prezidenta Nicol\u00e1se Madura a zabaven\u00edm nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch sv\u011btov\u00fdch z\u00e1sob ropy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo rozm\u00edstilo sv\u00e9 lod\u011b u pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed Venezuely, kde z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed dodnes. Rozhoduje o tom, kter\u00e9 ropn\u00e9 tankery sm\u011bj\u00ed vplout a vyplut, a samoz\u0159ejm\u011b se jedn\u00e1 p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm o tankery Chevron.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Mezit\u00edm americk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da \u2013 pot\u00e9, co n\u00e1sil\u00edm donutila m\u00edstn\u00ed spr\u00e1vu k pod\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed \u2013 tuto kr\u00e1de\u017e zofici\u00e1lnila t\u00edm, \u017ee sv\u00fdm vlastn\u00edm spole\u010dnostem ud\u011blila v\u00fdjimky od Ministerstva financ\u00ed a v\u0161eobecn\u00e9 licence, jako by vlastnila pr\u00e1va na ropu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">O n\u011bkolik dn\u00ed pozd\u011bji se Trump (ze v\u0161ech mo\u017en\u00fdch m\u00edst zrovna na summitu M\u00edrov\u00e9 rady) pochlubil, \u017ee USA nyn\u00ed ovl\u00e1daj\u00ed 62 procent sv\u011btov\u00e9 ropy. Toto p\u0159evzet\u00ed dos\u00e1hlo pro pir\u00e1tsk\u00fd st\u00e1t dvou kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f: Zaprv\u00e9, okam\u017eit\u011b od\u0159\u00edzlo \u010c\u00ednu od kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9ho energetick\u00e9ho partnera, a zadruh\u00e9, zajistilo druhou strategickou ropnou rezervu, kter\u00e1 by \u010delila chaosu, kter\u00fd se Washington chystal rozpoutat proti Rusku a \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Rusko (operace Arktick\u00e1 hl\u00eddka)<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">V posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch americk\u00e9 a NATO s\u00edly doslova lovily rusk\u00e9 lod\u011b p\u0159epravuj\u00edc\u00ed ropu a plyn po cel\u00e9 planet\u011b, od St\u0159edozemn\u00edho mo\u0159e p\u0159es \u010cern\u00e9 mo\u0159e, Baltsk\u00e9 mo\u0159e, Karibik, Arktidu, severn\u00ed Atlantik a\u017e po Indick\u00fd oce\u00e1n.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!Qz0w!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb44e98c-831e-45ba-9e4f-15bfed6b2bda_1267x713.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"739\" height=\"416\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Rusko dod\u00e1v\u00e1 17 procent celkov\u00e9ho dovozu ropy do \u010c\u00edny. \u010c\u00e1st z t\u00e9to ropy se p\u0159epravuje ropovody, ale v\u011bt\u0161ina p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed po mo\u0159i. Pat\u0159\u00ed sem i d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 sm\u011bs \u201eUrals\u201c, na kter\u00e9 z\u00e1vis\u00ed nez\u00e1visl\u00e9 \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 rafinerie typu \u201e\u010dajov\u00e1 konvice\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Proto\u017ee tento export poch\u00e1z\u00ed ze z\u00e1padn\u00edch rusk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f na pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed Baltsk\u00e9ho mo\u0159e, je obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b zraniteln\u00fd kv\u016fli sv\u00e9 bl\u00edzkosti k NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">USA v\u011bd\u011bly, \u017ee se \u010c\u00edna okam\u017eit\u011b obr\u00e1t\u00ed na Rusko, aby nahradila ztr\u00e1ty ropy ve Venezuele \u2013 aby tomu zabr\u00e1nil, Washington p\u0159esunul kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 bojov\u00e9 skupiny z Karibiku do Arktidy a Atlantiku. Pr\u00e1v\u011b z tohoto d\u016fvodu NATO v \u00fanoru ti\u0161e zah\u00e1jilo \u201eoperaci Arktick\u00fd str\u00e1\u017ece\u201c, ani\u017e by se pokusilo skr\u00fdt jej\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00fd \u00fa\u010del:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1jem \u010c\u00edny o Arktidu tak\u00e9 roste, proto\u017ee Peking usiluje o p\u0159\u00edstup k energii, kritick\u00fdm miner\u00e1l\u016fm a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edm tras\u00e1m. Zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e1 spolupr\u00e1ce mezi Ruskem a \u010c\u00ednou m\u00e1 nav\u00edc strategick\u00e9 a opera\u010dn\u00ed d\u016fsledky pro odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed a obrann\u00e9 postaven\u00ed NATO v regionu.<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c \u2013 Stru\u010dn\u00fd p\u0159ehled o bezpe\u010dnosti NATO v Arktid\u011b<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jednodu\u0161e \u0159e\u010deno, jedn\u00e1 se o embargo na ropu a plyn. NATO otev\u0159en\u011b p\u0159izn\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee jeho c\u00edlem je zastavit Pekingu \u201ep\u0159\u00edstup k energii a kritick\u00fdm miner\u00e1l\u016fm\u201c a naru\u0161it jeho rostouc\u00ed obchod s Ruskem. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 z t\u011bchto ot\u00e1zek nen\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed. Jsou to geostrategick\u00e9 a ekonomick\u00e9 obavy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To vysv\u011btluje, pro\u010d m\u00e1 Trump tak siln\u00fd z\u00e1jem o Gr\u00f3nsko a Kanadu a pro\u010d Kr\u00e1lovsk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc \u2013 a znovu tento t\u00fdden \u2013 nasadilo \u00fadernou skupinu letadlov\u00fdch lod\u00ed do koridoru Gr\u00f3nsko-Island-Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie (GIUK). C\u00edlem je zahnat rusk\u00e9 tankery v Baltsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i a Arktid\u011b do \u00fazk\u00fdch je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159edt\u00edm, ne\u017e se v\u016fbec stihnou vydat na plavbu.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!a6m3!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb6a6341f-42ae-463b-ab36-b890a677fcd1_9074x4998.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"842\" height=\"464\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><span dir=\"auto\">Koridor Gr\u00f3nsko-Island-Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed (GIUK): Br\u00e1na k pol\u00e1rn\u00edmu kruhu.<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tato \u00fa\u017eina je od studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm \u00fazk\u00fdm hrdlem; kdysi to byla jedin\u00e1 cesta, kudy se rusk\u00e9 ponorky mohly dostat do Atlantiku. NATO se tam nyn\u00ed vrac\u00ed s jin\u00fdm c\u00edlem: naru\u0161it obchod pod\u00e9l Severov\u00fdchodn\u00ed cesty (NSR), nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed rusk\u00e9 zkratky do Asie \u2013 a v o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed budouc\u00ed Transpol\u00e1rn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed trasy (TSR).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">M\u00e9dia popsala vypu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed rakety \u201eArctic Sentry\u201c jako diplomatick\u00e9 \u201ev\u00fdchodisko\u201c k \u201esn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed\u201c mezi USA a Gr\u00f3nskem. Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee tato mise nebyla navr\u017eena k \u201edeeskalaci\u201c \u010dehokoli, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e jako trojsk\u00fd k\u016f\u0148, kter\u00fd m\u011bl rozm\u00edstit jednotky NATO k vynucen\u00ed blok\u00e1dy \u2013 zahrnuj\u00edc\u00ed mnoho z\u00e1padn\u00edch n\u00e1mo\u0159nictev, v\u010detn\u011b Francie, \u0160v\u00e9dska, \u0160pan\u011blska a Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nie, kter\u00e1 v\u0161echna aktivn\u011b pom\u00e1haj\u00ed Washingtonu drancovat ruskou ropu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Kdy\u017e jsem v b\u0159eznu poprv\u00e9 p\u0159edstavil svou teorii o \u201epir\u00e1tsk\u00e9m st\u00e1t\u011b\u201c, v t\u00e9 dob\u011b byly posti\u017eeny pouze rusk\u00e9 tankery. V pr\u016fb\u011bhu tohoto vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed se v\u0161ak tyto \u00fatoky roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159ily z lod\u00ed na rafinerie a exportn\u00ed uzly.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To posiluje z\u00e1kladn\u00ed argument, \u017ee jsme sv\u011bdky fyzick\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jen v b\u0159eznu bylo paralyzov\u00e1no p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 40 procent rusk\u00e9 exportn\u00ed kapacity ropy po mo\u0159i \u2013 co\u017e je nejz\u00e1va\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed logistick\u00e9 naru\u0161en\u00ed v modern\u00ed rusk\u00e9 historii.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V dob\u011b publikace tohoto \u010dl\u00e1nku jsou v\u00fdsledky za duben nepopirateln\u00e9: byl to dosud nejhor\u0161\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edc, kter\u00fd donutil Rusko omezit produkci ropy o 300 000 a\u017e 400 000 barel\u016f denn\u011b \u2013 co\u017e je nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed produkce za posledn\u00edch 6 let.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/momr.opec.org\/pdf-download\/res\/pdf_delivery_momr.php?secToken2=1\"><span dir=\"auto\">zpr\u00e1va OPEC potvrzuje<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0, \u017ee Rusko je o 400 000 barel\u016f denn\u011b pod svou ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed kv\u00f3tou, co\u017e ukazuje, \u017ee tyto \u00fatoky maj\u00ed na m\u00edst\u011b zna\u010dn\u00fd dopad.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A to ani nezahrnuje ztr\u00e1ty a \u00fanosy na mo\u0159i.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!xe-Y!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F98518593-1a10-49c8-8aed-11721845de80_998x562.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"648\" height=\"365\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><span dir=\"auto\">B\u0159eznov\u00fd Blitz: Koordinovan\u00e9 \u00fatoky na t\u0159i hlavn\u00ed rusk\u00e1 exportn\u00ed centra a p\u011bt strategick\u00fdch rafineri\u00ed.<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">B\u011bhem \u010dty\u0159 let v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b nebyla rusk\u00e1 energetick\u00e1 infrastruktura nikdy zasa\u017eena tak hluboce a v takov\u00e9m rozsahu. A\u010dkoli kampa\u0148 za\u010dala na podzim roku 2025, bleskov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka proti rusk\u00fdm energetick\u00fdm dod\u00e1vk\u00e1m nabrala na obr\u00e1tk\u00e1ch a\u017e pot\u00e9, co Washington zajistil Venezuelu a zah\u00e1jil v\u00e1lku proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vypo\u010d\u00edtan\u00e9 na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed a glob\u00e1ln\u00ed rozsah tohoto kle\u0161\u0165ov\u00e9ho hnut\u00ed ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee pir\u00e1tsk\u00fd st\u00e1t \u010dekal, a\u017e si zajist\u00ed vlastn\u00ed strategick\u00e9 rezervy, ne\u017e zah\u00e1jil sv\u016fj rozhodn\u00fd \u00fader \u2013 \u010d\u00edm\u017e dos\u00e1hl dvou c\u00edl\u016f najednou: naru\u0161en\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek a konsolidace glob\u00e1ln\u00edho trhu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"Bewegen Sie den Mauszeiger %C3%BCber die Spitzenwerte, um die Aufschl%C3%BCsselung der Sanktionen gegen den russischen Energiesektor anzuzeigen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Interaktivn\u00ed: P\u0159eje\u010fte kurzorem my\u0161i nad maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed hodnoty pro zobrazen\u00ed rozpisu sankc\u00ed proti rusk\u00e9mu energetick\u00e9mu sektoru.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n (operace Epick\u00fd hn\u011bv)<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n vyv\u00e1\u017e\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 60 procent sv\u00e9 produkce ropy a stejn\u011b jako Rusko a Venezuela dod\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161inu ropy do \u010c\u00edny za sn\u00ed\u017eenou cenu. \u00cdr\u00e1n pokr\u00fdv\u00e1 11 procent \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho dovozu ropy po mo\u0159i. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee USA sabotovaly dod\u00e1vky z Venezuely a Ruska, staly se stabiln\u00ed dod\u00e1vky z \u00cdr\u00e1nu je\u0161t\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi \u2013 a Peking odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00edm zp\u016fsobem zv\u00fd\u0161il sv\u016fj dovoz.<\/span><\/h5>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv je pod \u00edr\u00e1nskou kontrolou, m\u011bly by b\u00fdt tyto dod\u00e1vky vzhledem ke strategick\u00e9mu partnerstv\u00ed \u010c\u00edny prioritou. Povaha v\u00e1lky v\u0161ak nevyhnuteln\u011b vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed chaos a experiment\u00e1ln\u00ed m\u00fdtn\u00fd syst\u00e9m v Teher\u00e1nu \u2013 stejn\u011b jako cel\u00e1 infrastruktura \u2013 je systematicky ter\u010dem americko-izraelsk\u00e9 agrese, co\u017e vede k nahromad\u011bn\u00ed dod\u00e1vek.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Potopen\u00edm lodi\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">IRIS Dena<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0v\u00edce ne\u017e 3 200 km od Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu dal pir\u00e1tsk\u00fd st\u00e1t najevo sv\u00e9 z\u00e1m\u011bry v\u0161em lod\u00edm na glob\u00e1ln\u00edm Jihu \u2013 a\u0165 u\u017e ozbrojen\u00fdm, \u010di neozbrojen\u00fdm, uvnit\u0159 \u010di vn\u011b v\u00e1l\u010di\u0161t\u011b. Pouh\u00fd v\u00fdpo\u010det n\u00e1klad\u016f na p\u0159epravu v juanech bohu\u017eel nesta\u010d\u00ed, kdy\u017e n\u00e1m pir\u00e1tsk\u00fd st\u00e1t stoj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edmo p\u0159ed dve\u0159mi a bez rozd\u00edlu drancuje a pot\u00e1p\u00ed lod\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">USA nemaj\u00ed v \u00famyslu situaci deeskalovat. I b\u011bhem \u201ep\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed\u201c ministr obrany Pete Hegseth v\u00fdslovn\u011b prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee Washington se t\u011bchto vod neopust\u00ed \u2013 a\u0165 u\u017e s p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00edm, nebo bez n\u011bj \u2013 \u010d\u00edm\u017e potvrdil to, p\u0159ed \u010d\u00edm\u017e jsem varoval: \u017ee USA na \u00cdr\u00e1n uplatn\u00ed sv\u016fj arktick\u00fd a venezuelsk\u00fd model.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00datok USA a Izraele spolu s p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00edm dod\u00e1vek LNG z Kataru zp\u016fsobil, \u017ee \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd dovoz LNG klesl na osmilet\u00e9 minimum.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00dadaje \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy (GACC) ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee celkov\u00fd dovoz zemn\u00edho plynu klesl od \u00fanora do b\u0159ezna o 16,3 procenta \u2013 tedy o 10 procent ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed se stejn\u00fdm obdob\u00edm lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee ropovody funguj\u00ed na 100 procent sv\u00e9 kapacity, je tento pokles prakticky jist\u00fd kv\u016fli glob\u00e1ln\u00ed blok\u00e1d\u011b uvalen\u00e9 USA a je dosud nejjasn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm ukazatelem toho, \u017ee v\u00e1lky a blok\u00e1dy Washingtonu omezuj\u00ed dod\u00e1vky \u010c\u00edny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.datawrapper.de\/_\/eqzwS\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.datawrapper.de\/_\/eqzwS\/\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zdroj: \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da (GACC) Vytvo\u0159eno pomoc\u00ed Datawrapperu<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Rusko a \u00cdr\u00e1n maj\u00ed nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed prok\u00e1zan\u00e9 z\u00e1soby zemn\u00edho plynu na sv\u011bt\u011b, ale jejich schopnost kompenzovat \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd deficit je fyzicky omezen\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n spot\u0159ebuje 94 procent plynu, kter\u00fd produkuje, a jeho zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed exportn\u00ed potenci\u00e1l byl ji\u017e ovlivn\u011bn ned\u00e1vn\u00fdmi \u00fatoky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Rusko nav\u00edc ji\u017e provozuje sv\u00e9 nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed plynovody a ropovody do \u010c\u00edny (S\u00edla Sibi\u0159e a ESPO) na pln\u00fd v\u00fdkon. Dokon\u010den\u00ed projektu S\u00edla Sibi\u0159e 2 je st\u00e1le vzd\u00e1leno n\u011bkolik let a Rusku chyb\u00ed tankerov\u00e1 flotila \u2013 a\u0165 u\u017e schopn\u00e1 provozu v Arktid\u011b, \u010di nikoli \u2013 kter\u00e1 by \u010c\u00edn\u011b pomohla tyto ztr\u00e1ty po mo\u0159i kompenzovat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">I kdyby tyto lod\u011b byly k dispozici, intenzita \u00fatok\u016f podporovan\u00fdch USA zp\u016fsobila prudk\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst pojistn\u00e9ho pro rusk\u00e9 tankery, co\u017e t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 znemo\u017enilo n\u00e1kup ropy se slevou.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Mnohostrann\u00e1 sabot\u00e1\u017e, mnohostrann\u00e9 zisky<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Prozat\u00edm to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee v\u0161ichni t\u0159i strategick\u00ed dodavatel\u00e9 \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 ropy jsou aktivn\u011b naru\u0161ov\u00e1ni nebo napad\u00e1ni Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!D1om!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F345032f1-45f7-4e1b-937a-526dca3f5ce5_4191x2492.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"749\" height=\"445\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tyto \u00fatoky jsou je\u0161t\u011b n\u00e1kladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, kdy\u017e vezmete v \u00favahu n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed:<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eKonvice\u201c ur\u010den\u00e9 pro t\u011b\u017ek\u00fd olej<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00ednsk\u00e9 rafinerie typu \u201e\u010dajn\u00edk\u201c jsou speci\u00e1ln\u011b navr\u017eeny pro zpracov\u00e1n\u00ed kysel\u00e9 ropy dod\u00e1van\u00e9 z Venezuely, rozkl\u00e1daj\u00ed t\u011b\u017ek\u00fd, visk\u00f3zn\u00ed kal a p\u0159em\u011b\u0148uj\u00ed ho na motorovou naftu, kter\u00e1 poh\u00e1n\u00ed technologicky vysp\u011bl\u00e1 \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e1 odv\u011btv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A\u010dkoli se rusk\u00e1 a \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 ropa chemicky li\u0161\u00ed \u2013 a sn\u00e1ze se rafinuj\u00ed \u2013 \u010c\u00edna je z\u00edsk\u00e1vala za tak p\u0159\u00edznivou cenu, \u017ee se vyplatilo je zpracov\u00e1vat v konvic\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Levn\u00e1 ropa<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nejen fyzick\u00e9 a technick\u00e9 mo\u017enosti konvic z nich ud\u011blaly perfektn\u00ed volbu pro tyto olejov\u00e9 sm\u011bsi: je to i cena. Tyto sm\u011bsi byly do \u010c\u00edny dod\u00e1v\u00e1ny se slevou nebo, v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Venezuely, jako forma spl\u00e1cen\u00ed dluhu. Je prakticky nemo\u017en\u00e9 z\u00edskat identick\u00e9 sm\u011bsi za stejnou konkurenceschopnou cenu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zaprv\u00e9, Washington odstra\u0148uje t\u011b\u017ek\u00fd \u201ekal\u201c, k jeho\u017e zpracov\u00e1n\u00ed byly rafinerie \u010dajov\u00fdch konvic speci\u00e1ln\u011b navr\u017eeny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Za druh\u00e9, eliminac\u00ed levn\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch a \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch alternativ finan\u010dn\u011b znemo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed i \u200b\u200bsamotn\u00e9 uveden\u00ed rafin\u00e9ri\u00ed do provozu. To spou\u0161t\u00ed kask\u00e1dovit\u00fd efekt sabot\u00e1\u017ee proti \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 ekonomice, \u010deho\u017e si Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nepochybn\u011b dob\u0159e uv\u011bdomuj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00edna se sice m\u016f\u017ee dlouhodob\u011b zotavit a jej\u00ed spot\u0159eba energie je diverzifikovan\u00e1, ale sol\u00e1rn\u00ed energie a uhl\u00ed samy o sob\u011b nemohou pln\u011b z\u00e1sobovat pr\u016fmyslovou z\u00e1kladnu zem\u011b. Ani s masivn\u00edmi z\u00e1sobami se tyto zdroje z dlouhodob\u00e9ho hlediska nedaj\u00ed srovn\u00e1vat s dopadem, kter\u00fd by zp\u016fsobil \u00fatok pir\u00e1tsk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu na t\u0159i nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed energetick\u00e9 partnery \u010c\u00edny b\u011bhem 90 dn\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V\u011bt\u0161ina vl\u00e1d by chov\u00e1n\u00ed Washingtonu vn\u00edmala jako v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd akt, nebo by v nejlep\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b probl\u00e9m pova\u017eovala za hrozbu pro n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost \u2013 a m\u011bly by pravdu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Odklon\u011bno do Mexick\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Aby toho nebylo m\u00e1lo, USA odklonily zabavenou venezuelskou ropu do sv\u00fdch vlastn\u00edch rafin\u00e9ri\u00ed v Mexick\u00e9m z\u00e1livu. To Washingtonu zaji\u0161\u0165uje celou \u0159adu v\u00fdhod:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Tyto rafinerie jsou navr\u017eeny ke zpracov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9ho topn\u00e9ho oleje \u2013 stejn\u011b jako \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 konvice. Dod\u00e1vkami venezuelsk\u00e9 ropy funguj\u00ed s maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed efektivitou, \u010d\u00edm\u017e zvy\u0161uj\u00ed pod\u00edl Washingtonu na glob\u00e1ln\u00edm trhu s naftou a jeho ziskov\u00e9 mar\u017ee.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Vyu\u017eit\u00edm kraden\u00e9 t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 ropy na dom\u00e1c\u00edm trhu mohou USA vyv\u00e1\u017eet svou vlastn\u00ed lehkou b\u0159idlicovou ropu do Evropy a Asie za rekordn\u00ed ceny, jako za v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Kuba<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Krom\u011b izolace \u010c\u00edny od Venezuely vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed USA svou kontrolu nad nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edmi ropn\u00fdmi poli na sv\u011bt\u011b k obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00ed Kuby a vyhro\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed zemi zm\u011bnou re\u017eimu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Polovina kub\u00e1nsk\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 s\u00edt\u011b z\u00e1visela na t\u00e9to rop\u011b. Ihned po Madurov\u011b \u00fanosu Washington od\u0159\u00edzl Havanu od proudu, \u010d\u00edm\u017e zemi uvrhl do temnoty a zintenzivnil 60 let trvaj\u00edc\u00ed blok\u00e1du karibsk\u00e9ho n\u00e1roda. To je dal\u0161\u00edm d\u016fkazem toho, \u017ee dobyt\u00ed venezuelsk\u00e9 ropy nebylo jen o chamtivosti korporac\u00ed, ale o strategick\u00fdch, geopolitick\u00fdch c\u00edlech.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159esto\u017ee USA \u201epovolily\u201c jedin\u00e9mu rusk\u00e9mu tankeru dos\u00e1hnout Havany a poskytly 30denn\u00ed odklad pro \u00edr\u00e1nskou a ruskou ropu, tato opat\u0159en\u00ed by nem\u011bla b\u00fdt zam\u011b\u0148ov\u00e1na za zn\u00e1mku deeskalace. Jsou to pouze p\u0159etlakov\u00e9 ventily ur\u010den\u00e9 ke stabilizaci glob\u00e1ln\u00edch trh\u016f, zat\u00edmco Washington dokon\u010duje sv\u00e9 nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 p\u0159evzet\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Transformace v n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed mocnost<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b proch\u00e1zej\u00ed radik\u00e1ln\u00ed transformac\u00ed na n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed mocnost, co\u017e se odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed nejen v jejich vojensk\u00e9 strategii, ale tak\u00e9 v kompletn\u00ed restrukturalizaci glob\u00e1ln\u00edho energetick\u00e9ho trhu.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Naz\u00fdvat to glob\u00e1ln\u00ed blok\u00e1dou nen\u00ed jen obrazn\u00e1 fr\u00e1ze. Geograficky zahrnuje polovinu planety \u2013 od Gr\u00f3nska p\u0159es Venezuelu a\u017e po \u00cdr\u00e1n \u2013 a sleduje jedin\u00fd c\u00edl: naru\u0161it dopravu paliva.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tato blok\u00e1da je tak homogenn\u00ed, \u017ee \u010dasto doslova zahrnuje p\u0159eskakov\u00e1n\u00ed stejn\u00fdch lod\u00ed a pos\u00e1dek z jedn\u00e9 opera\u010dn\u00ed oblasti do druh\u00e9. Tuto arm\u00e1du vede\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">USS Gerald R. Ford<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0, ale zahrnuje tak\u00e9\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">USS Iwo Jima<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0a torp\u00e9doborce\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Churchill<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Spruance<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0. Funguje jako jedin\u00e1 mobiln\u00ed s\u00edla.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Kdykoli je to nutn\u00e9, jej\u00ed velen\u00ed je jednodu\u0161e schv\u00e1leno a p\u0159e\u0159azov\u00e1no mezi USSOUTHCOM, USEUCOM a USCENTCOM. Nap\u0159\u00edklad Ford se z\u00fa\u010dastnil invaze do Venezuely a \u00fatoku na \u00cdr\u00e1n bezprost\u0159edn\u011b po dokon\u010den\u00ed mise v Arktid\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!E-UX!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffdfc2059-6bb7-492e-8f9e-cae52a5e06f5_1920x1314.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"634\" height=\"434\" \/><\/figure>\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">S\u00ed\u0165 vyd\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed na mo\u0159i<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nen\u00ed to jen americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da, kdo m\u00e1 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed flotilu. Zat\u00edmco v\u011bt\u0161ina rusk\u00e9ho nebo norsk\u00e9ho plynu se p\u0159epravuje potrub\u00edm, americk\u00fd zkapaln\u011bn\u00fd zemn\u00ed plyn (LNG) se p\u0159epravuje po mo\u0159i. D\u00edky tomu je mobiln\u00ed \u2013 a drah\u00fd, a proto by ho Evropa a Asie nekupovaly, kdyby k tomu nebyly nuceny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee konkurence je nyn\u00ed fyzicky eliminov\u00e1na, jsou Evropa a Asie nuceny nab\u00edzet p\u0159edra\u017een\u00fd americk\u00fd LNG na spotov\u00e9m trhu. Pro ilustraci, jak tvrd\u00e1 konkurence v tomto odv\u011btv\u00ed panuje: m\u016f\u017eete sledovat, jak tankery s LNG zastavuj\u00ed uprost\u0159ed plavby a v re\u00e1ln\u00e9m \u010dase m\u011bn\u00ed kurz, aby p\u0159il\u00e1kaly nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho dra\u017eitele. Vyhr\u00e1v\u00e1 ten, kdo je ochoten zaplatit nejv\u00edce.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!u3y1!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F43c3b2cc-2679-425d-bd94-1bdd3ddd48f0_1088x612.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"789\" height=\"444\" \/><\/figure>\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">N\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed ak\u010dn\u00ed pl\u00e1n (MAP)<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tento\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/maritimemight\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">dokument<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0zve\u0159ejnil B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm v \u00fanoru 2026 \u2013 sou\u010dasn\u011b se v\u0161emi ostatn\u00edmi v\u00fdznamn\u00fdmi ud\u00e1lostmi t\u00e9to Blitzkriegu. Jedn\u00e1 se o strategick\u00fd politick\u00fd n\u00e1stin, kter\u00fd nasti\u0148uje transformaci Ameriky v n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed mocnost.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nese n\u00e1zev \u201eN\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed ak\u010dn\u00ed pl\u00e1n\u201c (MAP) a ve skute\u010dnosti je pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00edm dokumentu z roku 2025 s n\u00e1zvem \u201e\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/presidential-actions\/2025\/04\/restoring-americas-maritime-dominance\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">OBNOVEN\u00cd AMERICK\u00c9 N\u00c1MO\u0158N\u00cd DOMINANCE<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c \u2013 pro p\u0159\u00edpad, \u017ee by to n\u011bkomu nebylo jasn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!Tuxn!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b5dd222-6016-4980-b5a5-998c91068c50_3188x3959.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"489\" height=\"607\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">MAP v podstat\u011b nut\u00ed v\u0161echny, kdo obchoduj\u00ed se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty, aby p\u0159e\u0161li na lod\u011b vyroben\u00e9 v USA. Tento c\u00edl m\u00e1 sv\u016fj p\u016fvod v z\u00e1kon\u011b \u201e\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.congress.gov\/bill\/119th-congress\/senate-bill\/1541\/text\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Ships for America Act of 2025\u201c (s. 1541)<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0, kter\u00fd stanov\u00ed jasn\u00fd pr\u00e1vn\u00ed r\u00e1mec pro revitalizaci americk\u00e9 flotily. (\u201eFlotila\u201c zahrnuje nejen vojensk\u00e1 plavidla, ale tak\u00e9 tankery na LNG a ropu \u2013 co\u017e zd\u016fraz\u0148uje strategick\u00fd v\u00fdznam, kter\u00fd USA t\u011bmto aktiv\u016fm p\u0159ikl\u00e1daj\u00ed.)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Stanov\u00ed, \u017ee rostouc\u00ed pod\u00edl strategick\u00e9ho n\u00e1kladu mus\u00ed b\u00fdt nakonec p\u0159epravov\u00e1n na lod\u00edch postaven\u00fdch v USA. To zahrnuje celou flotilu obchodn\u00edch lod\u00ed na LNG \u2013 absurdn\u00ed po\u010det lod\u00ed vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee USA jsou ji\u017e nyn\u00ed nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm sv\u011btov\u00fdm v\u00fdvozcem, a t\u00edm si d\u00e1le upev\u0148uj\u00ed kontrolu nad trhem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To plat\u00ed i pro ve\u0161ker\u00fd n\u00e1klad vstupuj\u00edc\u00ed do zem\u011b, v\u010detn\u011b ropy. P\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 40 procent ropy rafinovan\u00e9 v USA poch\u00e1z\u00ed ze zahrani\u010d\u00ed \u2013 USA tak op\u011bt vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed sv\u00e9 postaven\u00ed p\u0159edn\u00edho sv\u011btov\u00e9ho provozovatele rafin\u00e9ri\u00ed k vy\u017ed\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed zdroj\u016f z planety a generov\u00e1n\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edch neo\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ti, kte\u0159\u00ed neinvestuj\u00ed do americk\u00fdch lod\u011bnic, jsou nuceni platit da\u0148. Tak \u010di onak, mus\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">n\u011bco<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0d\u00e1t str\u00fd\u010dku Samovi.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tato transformace v n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed mocnost je tak intenzivn\u00ed, \u017ee Trump tento t\u00fdden bezodkladn\u011b odvolal sv\u00e9ho ministra n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva Johna Phelana. Jeho proh\u0159e\u0161ek? Nebudoval flotilu dostate\u010dn\u011b rychle.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty si jsou evidentn\u011b jist\u00e9 svou geostrategickou polohou a usiluj\u00ed o tot\u00e1ln\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed energetickou dominanci \u2013 a toho vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed k tomu, aby v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch letech, ne-li desetilet\u00edch, zdvojn\u00e1sobily a ztrojn\u00e1sobily sv\u00e9 zdroje p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f (vzpome\u0148te si znovu na \u201ev\u00edcevrstv\u00e9 zisky\u201c).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Transformace je ekonomick\u00e9 i vojensk\u00e9 povahy. A typick\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem Wall Streetu USA dokon\u010d\u00ed tento p\u0159echod k n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed s\u00edle t\u00edm, \u017ee \u00fa\u010det zaplat\u00ed n\u011bkdo jin\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Vyd\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Kone\u010dn\u011b Trump ozn\u00e1mil n\u011bco, co se v podstat\u011b rovn\u00e1 slu\u017eb\u011b bodyguarda: nab\u00eddl, \u017ee americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo bude chr\u00e1nit lod\u011b za \u201evelmi rozumnou cenu\u201c. To monopolu p\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 posledn\u00ed vrstvu vyd\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nen\u00ed t\u0159eba zd\u016fraz\u0148ovat ironii t\u00e9to situace: proto\u017ee jedinou skute\u010dnou hrozbou pro svobodu plavby na otev\u0159en\u00e9m mo\u0159i je pr\u00e1v\u011b mocnost, kter\u00e1 se j\u00ed nab\u00edz\u00ed \u201eochr\u00e1nit\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">USA velmi \u010dasto ani nezabav\u00ed n\u00e1klad t\u011bchto lod\u00ed, ale jednodu\u0161e je potop\u00ed. Pokud se na n\u011b ale dostanou, doslova n\u00e1klad pou\u017eij\u00ed nebo prodaj\u00ed jako ko\u0159ist \u2013 jako pir\u00e1ti \u2013 a prodej v r\u00e1mci americk\u00e9ho pr\u00e1vn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu ospravedl\u0148uj\u00ed odvol\u00e1n\u00edm se na sankce vlastn\u00edho \u00da\u0159adu pro kontrolu zahrani\u010dn\u00edch aktiv (OFAC).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 z t\u011bchto lod\u00ed v\u0161ak nikdy nevplula do USA ani do jejich vod. Americk\u00e9 sankce jsou nav\u00edc mimo USA bezcenn\u00e9 a podle mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va dokonce nez\u00e1konn\u00e9, jak mi v roce 2021 vysv\u011btlila Alena Douhanov\u00e1, zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed zpravodajka OSN pro nep\u0159\u00edzniv\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dinky jednostrann\u00fdch donucovac\u00edch opat\u0159en\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V\u0161echny tyto v\u011bci dohromady zaji\u0161\u0165uj\u00ed Washingtonu diverzifikovan\u00e9 zdroje p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f a \u00faplnou kontrolu nad dod\u00e1vkami energie a v\u00fdrobn\u00edm \u0159et\u011bzcem v ka\u017ed\u00e9m bod\u011b. Prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm pir\u00e1tstv\u00ed, vykonstruovan\u00fdch sankc\u00ed a sv\u00e9ho dominantn\u00edho postaven\u00ed na trhu USA vyd\u00edraj\u00ed planetu, aby platila za pr\u00e1v\u011b tu flotilu, kter\u00e1 na ni \u00fato\u010d\u00ed \u2013 co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje p\u0159echod od \u201emezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho \u0159\u00e1du zalo\u017een\u00e9ho na pravidlech\u201c imp\u00e9ria k bezpr\u00e1vn\u00e9mu pir\u00e1tsk\u00e9mu st\u00e1tu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">[Trump na shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed na Florid\u011b 2. kv\u011btna \u0159ekl: \u201eP\u0159evzali jsme lo\u010f, p\u0159evzali jsme n\u00e1klad, p\u0159evzali jsme ropu. Je to velmi v\u00fdnosn\u00fd byznys. Kdo by si pomyslel, \u017ee n\u011bco takov\u00e9ho ud\u011bl\u00e1me? Jsme jako pir\u00e1ti. Jsme tak trochu jako pir\u00e1ti. Ale nehrajeme si hry.\u201c]<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Strategick\u00e1 zm\u011bna<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Petrodolar je histori\u00ed. Ti\u0161e ho nahradil mnohem nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1stupce: petroplynov\u00fd dolar \u2013 zrovna kdy\u017e si v\u0161ichni mysleli, \u017ee USA upadaj\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V\u0161echno, co dnes za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1me, je v\u00fdsledkem desetilet\u00ed pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed mezi Washingtonem a Wall Street.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Trump sice polo\u017eil kousky skl\u00e1da\u010dky na st\u016fl, ale zat\u00edm se nikomu nepoda\u0159ilo slo\u017eit puzzle dohromady.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eDonroeova doktr\u00edna\u201c je \u0161iroce nepochopena. Mnoz\u00ed se domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee jde pouze o p\u0159ed\u011bl\u00e1n\u00ed Monroeovy doktr\u00edny nebo jednodu\u0161e o kontrolu z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokoule. Ale to tak nen\u00ed. Jde o transformaci z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokoule v n\u011bco jin\u00e9ho. C\u00edlem je p\u0159iv\u00e9st trh do Ameriky a\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">p\u0159esunout glob\u00e1ln\u00ed energetick\u00fd koridor na z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokouli.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tyto pl\u00e1ny nevznikly v\u00fdhradn\u011b od Trumpa, ani nebyly seskl\u00e1d\u00e1ny p\u0159es noc. Jsou produktem Bushovy administrativy a neokonzervativc\u016f, jako je Dick Cheney.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V roce 2001, b\u011bhem sv\u00e9ho p\u016fsoben\u00ed jako viceprezident, uspo\u0159\u00e1dal Cheney\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2005\/05\/11\/4647599\/court-cheney-energy-policy-meetings-can-stay-secret\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">40 tajn\u00fdch sch\u016fzek<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0s energetick\u00fdmi giganty, aby nast\u00ednil strategii Ameriky pro 21. stolet\u00ed. B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm se ve snaze udr\u017eet tato setk\u00e1n\u00ed v tajnosti probojoval a\u017e k Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edmu soudu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud si p\u0159edstav\u00edte n\u011bco jako podez\u0159elou sch\u016fzku vedouc\u00edch pracovn\u00edk\u016f, nejste daleko od pravdy: \u0160\u00e9fov\u00e9 doslova v\u0161ech velk\u00fdch ropn\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed sed\u011bli v m\u00edstnosti s Cheneym a jeho poradci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">N\u00e1vrh, kter\u00fd vze\u0161el z t\u011bchto tajn\u00fdch sch\u016fzek, byl strategick\u00fd dokument s n\u00e1zvem \u201eN\u00e1rodn\u00ed energetick\u00e1 politika\u201c (NEP). U\u017e p\u0159ed 25 lety B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm v\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed venezuelsk\u00fdch ropn\u00fdch rezerv je kl\u00ed\u010dem k \u201ediverzifikaci\u201c dod\u00e1vek ropy do USA.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Postupn\u00fd rozvoj lo\u017eisek tzv. t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 ropy na z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokouli je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdm faktorem, kter\u00fd slibuje v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 zlep\u0161en\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00edch z\u00e1sob ropy a diverzifikaci produkce ropy<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0.\u201c \u2014\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/chrome-extension\/\/efaidnbmnnnibpcajpcglclefindmkaj\/https:\/\/www.nrc.gov\/docs\/ml0428\/ml042800056.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">N\u00e1rodn\u00ed energetick\u00e1 politika, 2001<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed produkce na z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokouli a v samotn\u00fdch USA je \u00fast\u0159edn\u00edm pil\u00ed\u0159em NEP. Dokument zach\u00e1z\u00ed s dovozem ropy ze zem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 USA nemaj\u00ed r\u00e1dy, t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jako s hrozbou pro n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u2026st\u00e1le v\u00edce z\u00e1visl\u00ed na zahrani\u010dn\u00edch dodavatel\u00edch. Pokud si udr\u017e\u00edme sou\u010dasn\u00fd kurz, Amerika bude za 20 let dov\u00e1\u017eet t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 dva ze t\u0159\u00ed barel\u016f ropy \u2013 co\u017e povede k rostouc\u00ed z\u00e1vislosti na zahrani\u010dn\u00edch mocnostech, kter\u00e9 ne v\u017edy dbaj\u00ed na z\u00e1jmy Ameriky.<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0\u201c \u2013 N\u00e1rodn\u00ed energetick\u00e1 politika, 2001<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eHrozba\u201c, kterou USA bu\u010f eliminuj\u00ed kr\u00e1de\u017e\u00ed ropy, nebo jej\u00edm vyhozen\u00edm do pov\u011bt\u0159\u00ed, aby ji ostatn\u00ed nemohli pou\u017e\u00edvat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tento pl\u00e1n nebyl d\u00edlem n\u00e1hodn\u00fdch politik\u016f. Byla to vl\u00e1da skrz naskrz protkan\u00e1 velk\u00fdmi ropn\u00fdmi spole\u010dnostmi: Cheney pr\u00e1v\u011b p\u0159i\u0161el z Halliburtonu; rodinn\u00e9 jm\u011bn\u00ed Bush\u016f bylo vybudov\u00e1no v texask\u00e9m ropn\u00e9m pr\u016fmyslu; a Condoleezza Riceov\u00e1 p\u016fsobila deset let ve spr\u00e1vn\u00ed rad\u011b Chevronu \u2013 ano, t\u00e9 sam\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti, kter\u00e1 pr\u00e1v\u011b za 90 dn\u00ed spolkla bohatstv\u00ed Venezuely, S\u00fdrie a Palestiny. (Chevron po n\u00ed dokonce pojmenoval ropn\u00fd tanker, SS Condoleezza Riceov\u00e1.)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V roce 2003 Cheney a Bush vpadli do Ir\u00e1ku kv\u016fli jeho rop\u011b. USA se sna\u017eily tuto kr\u00e1de\u017e ukr\u00fdt za rou\u0161ku \u201edemokracie\u201c. Tehdy Washington ropu doslova pot\u0159eboval \u2013 ale dnes jsou USA dominantn\u00edm producentem a Trump se nezab\u00fdv\u00e1 venezuelsk\u00fdmi zdroji, aby p\u0159ekonal jej\u00ed nedostatek.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Hlavn\u00ed c\u00edl nicm\u00e9n\u011b z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 stejn\u00fd: konsolidace strategick\u00e9 druh\u00e9 rezervy. Opu\u0161t\u011bn\u00edm divadla \u201ebudov\u00e1n\u00ed n\u00e1roda\u201c se americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da prom\u011bnila v \u010dist\u011b pir\u00e1tskou s\u00edlu, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 zajistit, aby se z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokoule stala jedin\u00fdm energetick\u00fdm koridorem sv\u011bta.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokoule: Nov\u00fd Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">T\u00edm, \u017ee se z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokoule stane hlavn\u00edm m\u011bstem ropy a plynu, bude vy\u0159e\u0161eno mnoho probl\u00e9m\u016f, kter\u00e9 m\u011bl petrodolar.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V minulosti byl petrodolar p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 z\u00e1visl\u00fd na politick\u00e9m d\u011bn\u00ed na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. S touto strategi\u00ed v\u0161ak USA kontroluj\u00ed cel\u00fd proces, ani\u017e by se musely spol\u00e9hat na z\u00e1stupce na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, a\u0165 u\u017e se jedn\u00e1 o Izrael, st\u00e1ty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu nebo skute\u010dn\u00e9 americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A\u0165 u\u017e jde o ropnou krizi, uzav\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu nebo konflikt v Palestin\u011b \u2013 nic z toho u\u017e nem\u016f\u017ee ot\u0159\u00e1st stabilitou dolaru, proto\u017ee cel\u00fd proces \u2013 od t\u011b\u017eby a\u017e po rafinaci \u2013 nyn\u00ed prov\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed lok\u00e1ln\u011b na z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokouli americk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Modern\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed kapitalistick\u00fd finan\u010dn\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d byl zalo\u017een v Bretton Woods v roce 1944. Dolar byl v\u00e1z\u00e1n na zlato a\u017e do 70. let 20. stolet\u00ed, kdy byl odd\u011blen a neofici\u00e1ln\u011b napojen na ropu z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dnes jsme sv\u011bdky dal\u0161\u00ed revoluce dolaru ve stejn\u00e9m rozsahu, ale spojen\u00e9 s n\u011b\u010d\u00edm mnohem mocn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm: produkc\u00ed plynu a ropy v USA \u2013 a tak\u00e9 s rezervami, kter\u00e9 USA zmoc\u0148uj\u00ed v\u00e1lkou a pir\u00e1tstv\u00edm, a tak vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed petroplynov\u00fd dolar.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">LNG dolar<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">LNG dolar, neboli petroplynov\u00fd dolar, nen\u00ed siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed jen proto, \u017ee je bezpe\u010dn\u011b ukryt v Mexick\u00e9m z\u00e1livu. Jak n\u00e1zev napov\u00edd\u00e1, pr\u00e1v\u011b p\u0159id\u00e1n\u00ed LNG\/zemn\u00edho plynu ho \u010din\u00ed diverzifikovan\u011bj\u0161\u00edm a stabiln\u011bj\u0161\u00edm.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm LNG USA u\u010dinily p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed Evropy z\u00e1visl\u00fdm na dolaru a uzav\u0159en\u00fd trh vytvo\u0159en\u00fd po roce 2022 je pr\u00e1v\u011b to, co z Washingtonu ud\u011blalo p\u0159edn\u00edho sv\u011btov\u00e9ho export\u00e9ra.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A nyn\u00ed, po jejich v\u00e1lce proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u2013 a\u0165 u\u017e to vn\u00edm\u00e1me jako z\u00e1m\u011br, nebo jen jako pohodln\u00fd vedlej\u0161\u00ed efekt \u2013 je faktem, \u017ee USA z\u00edskaj\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pod\u00edl na glob\u00e1ln\u00edm trhu s LNG.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">USA ji\u017e nyn\u00ed zauj\u00edmaj\u00ed na trhu se zemn\u00edm plynem tak dominantn\u00ed postaven\u00ed, \u017ee spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00e9 ceny v Americe sotva kol\u00edsaj\u00ed, kdy\u017e za\u010dnou v\u00e1lky \u2013 ale tent\u00fd\u017e plyn v Evrop\u011b a Asii vyst\u0159el\u00ed v cen\u011b a stoj\u00ed spot\u0159ebitele jm\u011bn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!e4nx!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22bc22a0-eeea-4edb-a055-4a24f3f84e0a_2134x2568.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"731\" height=\"880\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jak ukazuje obr\u00e1zek, neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 \u201eglob\u00e1ln\u00ed\u201c energetick\u00e1 krize. Krize je omezena na americk\u00e9 konkurenty.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">I kdyby ceny ropy porostou, USA budou u\u0161et\u0159eny nejhor\u0161\u00edch dopad\u016f. Ameri\u010dt\u00ed energetick\u00ed giganti, jako\u017eto p\u0159edn\u00ed producenti a provozovatel\u00e9 rafin\u00e9ri\u00ed, nemohou ve skute\u010dnosti prohr\u00e1t. Prost\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed ceny ropy a vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed zisky si str\u010d\u00ed do kapsy. D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 je, \u017ee tyto zisky jsou generov\u00e1ny v americk\u00fdch dolarech a z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed v americk\u00e9 ekonomice.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tito giganti v sou\u010dasnosti generuj\u00ed sv\u00e9 historicky nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed zisky \u2013 a ocen\u011bn\u00ed jejich akci\u00ed je na rekordn\u00edch maximech. Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 v\u00e1lka v \u00cdr\u00e1nu je v podstat\u011b jejich dosud nejziskov\u011bj\u0161\u00edm obdob\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!E1j4!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa52a3439-90ab-4986-8ba4-394f91ca7da2_4381x2902.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"720\" height=\"477\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Poprv\u00e9 od druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty prod\u00e1vaj\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u00edce ropy, ne\u017e dov\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed. A jak se dalo o\u010dek\u00e1vat, jejich hlavn\u00edmi z\u00e1kazn\u00edky (\u010dti: ob\u011b\u0165mi) jsou Evropa a Asie.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dal\u0161\u00ed bezprecedentn\u00ed rekord byl dosa\u017een v b\u0159eznu, kdy transakce SWIFT v americk\u00fdch dolarech dos\u00e1hly rekordn\u00edch\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.swift.com\/swift-resource\/252551\/download\"><span dir=\"auto\">51,1 procenta<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0, oproti 49,25 procenta v \u00fanoru. To potvrzuje, \u017ee sv\u011bt je fyzicky nucen vr\u00e1tit se k dolaru, aby mohl platit za jedinou energii, kter\u00e1 je na trhu st\u00e1le k dispozici.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tradi\u010dn\u00ed analytici ropn\u00e9ho trhu a ropn\u00fdch trh\u016f nech\u00e1pou strategickou hodnotu toho, co se v sou\u010dasnosti d\u011bje. V\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee sv\u011bt za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 a kon\u010d\u00ed volbami v polovin\u011b volebn\u00edho obdob\u00ed a nespokojen\u00fdmi Ameri\u010dany, kte\u0159\u00ed u \u010derpac\u00edch stanic plat\u00ed dvojn\u00e1sobek.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Takhle mana\u017ee\u0159i z Wall Streetu neuva\u017euj\u00ed. Jedinou \u201elekc\u00ed\u201c, kterou se nau\u010dili po v\u00e1lce v Ir\u00e1ku a v roce 2008, bylo, \u017ee si m\u016f\u017eou dovolit cokoli a \u017ee je nikdo nezastav\u00ed. Jsou to arogantn\u00ed pred\u00e1to\u0159i.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Celkov\u011b vzato americk\u00e1 strategie zaji\u0161\u0165uje, \u017ee v\u0161ichni<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><span dir=\"auto\">je nucen<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0kupovat americk\u00e9 v\u00fdrobky, proto\u017ee str\u00fd\u010dek Sam ochromil ostatn\u00ed dodavatele<\/span><\/li>\n<li><strong><span dir=\"auto\">je nucena<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0platit v americk\u00fdch dolarech, co\u017e oslabuje jej\u00ed vlastn\u00ed m\u011bny.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><strong><span dir=\"auto\">je nucen<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0platit v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 ceny, co\u017e celou v\u011bc je\u0161t\u011b zhor\u0161uje.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Co\u017e vede k nejsmrteln\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu bodu:<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Deindustrializace<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Zdra\u017eov\u00e1n\u00edm ropy a plynu v Evrop\u011b a Asii nut\u00ed USA spole\u010dnosti, aby si vybraly mezi uzav\u0159en\u00edm sv\u00fdch provoz\u016f a p\u0159em\u00edst\u011bn\u00edm do Ameriky.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tento proces byl spu\u0161t\u011bn na Ukrajin\u011b a ochromil mnoho evropsk\u00fdch pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch odv\u011btv\u00ed \u2013 od n\u011bmeck\u00e9 oceli po francouzsk\u00e9 sklo \u2013 a pokud USA dokon\u010d\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 p\u0159evzet\u00ed, bude se jen stup\u0148ovat. Tato strategie ve skute\u010dnosti pohlcuje p\u0159\u00e1tele i nep\u0159\u00e1tele a Wall Street s t\u00edm nem\u00e1 probl\u00e9m.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!OR8x!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa5126234-9ddf-45e6-8af7-df5d045e2c63_7680x4320.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"755\" height=\"425\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tento pr\u016fmyslov\u00fd exodus vede tak\u00e9 k masivn\u00edmu \u00faniku kapit\u00e1lu. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee tov\u00e1rny a aktiva jsou fyzicky p\u0159emis\u0165ov\u00e1na z Evropy a Asie do USA, ka\u017ed\u00e1 spole\u010dnost stahuje sv\u016fj kapit\u00e1l \u2013 hotovost, akcie, \u00fav\u011bry \u2013 ze sv\u00e9 domovsk\u00e9 zem\u011b a pumpuje ho do americk\u00e9 ekonomiky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To p\u0159esouv\u00e1 zam\u011b\u0159en\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiky sm\u011brem k Americe a d\u00e1le posiluje dolar za petroplyn.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/home.treasury.gov\/news\/press-releases\/sb0448\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Podle \u00fadaj\u016f americk\u00e9ho ministerstva financ\u00ed (TIC)<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0fyzick\u00fd objem dolar\u016f proud\u00edc\u00edch do zem\u011b nejen rostl \u2013 ale dramaticky se zvy\u0161oval soub\u011b\u017en\u011b s roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00edm energetick\u00fdch konflikt\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Mezi lednem a \u00fanorem 2026 se \u010dist\u00fd tok kapit\u00e1lu do USA zcela obr\u00e1til. V lednu kapit\u00e1l opustil USA s deficitem 25 miliard dolar\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ale o m\u011bs\u00edc pozd\u011bji, v \u00fanoru, za\u010daly pen\u00edze proudit\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">do<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0USA \u2013 nikoli z nich \u2013 s p\u0159ebytkem 184,5 miliardy dolar\u016f \u2013 a to na vrcholu chaosu, kter\u00fd USA zp\u016fsobily v Rusku a na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To je v\u00fdkyv ve v\u00fd\u0161i 209,5 miliardy dolar\u016f za jedin\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc \u2013 prost\u011b bezprecedentn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Je\u0161t\u011b odhaluj\u00edc\u00ed je fakt, \u017ee v\u011bt\u0161ina tohoto kapit\u00e1lu poch\u00e1z\u00ed od soukrom\u00fdch zahrani\u010dn\u00edch investor\u016f, nikoli od zahrani\u010dn\u00edch vl\u00e1d nebo centr\u00e1ln\u00edch bank.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jen v \u00fanoru dos\u00e1hl \u010dist\u00fd soukrom\u00fd p\u0159\u00edliv 166,5 miliardy dolar\u016f. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee lid\u00e9 se aktivn\u011b\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">rozhoduj\u00ed<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0ukl\u00e1dat sv\u00e9 pen\u00edze v USA, proto\u017ee tento pir\u00e1tsk\u00fd st\u00e1t zp\u016fsobuje v\u0161ude jinde tolik chaosu, \u017ee se zd\u00e1, \u017ee je to jedin\u00e1 bezpe\u010dn\u00e1 investice.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tento rekordn\u00ed objem soukrom\u00e9ho kapit\u00e1lu je rozd\u011blen do dvou tok\u016f:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Polovina z toho se pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 na n\u00e1kup americk\u00e9 ropy a plynu za ceny z v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch dob.\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bea.gov\/news\/2026\/us-international-trade-goods-and-services-february-2026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Podle americk\u00e9ho \u00da\u0159adu pro ekonomick\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy (BEA)<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0vzrostl celkov\u00fd americk\u00fd export v \u00fanoru 2026 o 4,2 procenta na rekordn\u00edch 314,8 miliard dolar\u016f. Tento n\u00e1r\u016fst byl t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u00fdhradn\u011b zp\u016fsoben pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdm zbo\u017e\u00edm a materi\u00e1ly, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e samotn\u00fd export zemn\u00edho plynu se za jedin\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc zv\u00fd\u0161il o 1,3 miliardy dolar\u016f, proto\u017ee partne\u0159i se sna\u017eili nahradit naru\u0161en\u00e9 dod\u00e1vky z Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu a Ruska.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Druh\u00e1 polovina je investov\u00e1na do st\u00e1tn\u00edch dluhopis\u016f, co\u017e dokazuje zjevnou d\u016fv\u011bru lid\u00ed v dolar \u2013 i kdy\u017e USA omezuj\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed dod\u00e1vky energie. To d\u00e1le ilustruje, jak je Washington izolov\u00e1n od chaosu, kter\u00fd rozpout\u00e1 na v\u0161echny ostatn\u00ed.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Firmy si nebal\u00ed kufry a nest\u011bhuj\u00ed se ka\u017ed\u00fd den \u2013 tak\u017ee jakmile jsou v USA, je velmi nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee se tam na dlouho znovu p\u0159est\u011bhuj\u00ed. Tento kapit\u00e1l pak z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 v americk\u00e9 ekonomice a tyto spole\u010dnosti budou sv\u00e9 podnik\u00e1n\u00ed prov\u00e1d\u011bt v\u00fdhradn\u011b v dolarech \u2013 co\u017e d\u00e1le posiluje dolar.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">USA ve skute\u010dnosti nejen p\u0159esouvaj\u00ed energetick\u00fd koridor planety na z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokouli, ale tak\u00e9 jej\u00ed pr\u016fmyslovou z\u00e1kladnu. Jedno p\u0159irozen\u011b vede k druh\u00e9mu; funguje to jako dominov\u00fd efekt a posiluje dolar za petroplyn.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, strategie je zna\u010dn\u011b machiavellistick\u00e1 a odv\u00edj\u00ed se kask\u00e1dovit\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Zaprv\u00e9, Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty eliminuj\u00ed svou z\u00e1vislost na ostatn\u00edch t\u00edm, \u017ee produkuj\u00ed tolik ropy a plynu, \u017ee dok\u00e1\u017eou p\u0159e\u010dkat bou\u0159i. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, mohou zah\u00e1jit v\u00e1lky na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b planety, ani\u017e by poc\u00edtily n\u00e1sledky.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">D\u00e1le p\u0159\u00edmo \u010di nep\u0159\u00edmo zni\u010d\u00ed infrastrukturu v\u0161ech ostatn\u00edch (nap\u0159. Nord Stream, Ras Laffan) a donut\u00ed je tak nakupovat energii z USA.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Kdy\u017e se n\u011bkdo pokus\u00ed prodat vlastn\u00ed ropu a plyn, aby obe\u0161el sankce Washingtonu, n\u00e1klad je b\u011bhem p\u0159epravy ukraden. To zvy\u0161uje glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ceny a d\u00e1v\u00e1 USA naprost\u00fd monopol na trhu.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">T\u00edm, \u017ee se energie st\u00e1v\u00e1 nedostupnou v\u0161ude jinde, se americk\u00e1 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e1 z\u00e1kladna automaticky st\u00e1v\u00e1 nejkonkurenceschopn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, co\u017e nut\u00ed nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed spole\u010dnosti se p\u0159est\u011bhovat do Ameriky, zat\u00edmco zbytek zanik\u00e1.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">V\u0161echny tyto mechanismy posiluj\u00ed americkou m\u011bnu a nut\u00ed planetu obchodovat washingtonsk\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem a s\u00e1hnout si kv\u016fli tomu hluboko do kapsy.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">V minulosti USA svrh\u00e1valy vl\u00e1dy, aby z\u00edskaly svou ropu; dnes pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed k svr\u017een\u00ed vl\u00e1d svou vlastn\u00ed ropu.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ve v\u00e1lce na Ukrajin\u011b se USA nemusely chopit kontroly nad ruskou ropou a plynem u zdroje. Prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm sankc\u00ed, sabot\u00e1\u017e\u00ed a pir\u00e1tstv\u00ed se jim poda\u0159ilo vylou\u010dit Rusko ze z\u00e1padn\u00edho trhu a donutit pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 giganty k p\u0159est\u011bhov\u00e1n\u00ed do Ameriky. Pokud se jednalo o zku\u0161ebn\u00ed provoz, pl\u00e1n fungoval a USA na n\u011bm nyn\u00ed stav\u00ed a roz\u0161i\u0159uj\u00ed tento model glob\u00e1ln\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Typick\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edkladem je podivn\u00fd osud Kataru. ExxonMobil a QatarEnergy \u2013 partne\u0159i v rafin\u00e9rii Ras Laffan, kter\u00e1 byla v b\u0159eznu uzav\u0159ena \u2013 p\u0159esn\u011b v\u011bd\u011bli, kdy pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed st\u00e1hnout sv\u00e9 t\u0159\u00edsky z Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu a p\u0159em\u00edstit je do USA.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">22. dubna oslavili svou prvn\u00ed dod\u00e1vku LNG z Golden Pass v Texasu, kde Katar dr\u017e\u00ed 70% v\u011bt\u0161inov\u00fd pod\u00edl. D\u00e1 se s jistotou \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee za t\u011bchto cen z v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 doby spole\u010dnost mnohon\u00e1sobn\u011b vynahrad\u00ed v\u0161e, co ztratila v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu \u2013 a to v\u0161e p\u0159i bezpe\u010dn\u00e9m fungov\u00e1n\u00ed v r\u00e1mci americk\u00e9ho ekonomick\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"PIR\u00c1TSK\u00dd ST\u00c1T - s Richardem Medhurstem\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/8t54dBNuN_w?feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">BRICS a dedolarizace<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Co znamen\u00e1 \u201epetrogasov\u00fd dolar\u201c pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed Jih?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Po \u00fatoc\u00edch na plynovod Nord Stream v roce 2022 a sankc\u00edch proti Rusku se multipolarita za\u010dala rozv\u00edjet z nutnosti. Rusko se obr\u00e1tilo na v\u00fdchod a prod\u00e1valo ropu a plyn v rublech; a byli jsme sv\u011bdky toho, jak se propojily ekonomiky, platebn\u00ed syst\u00e9my (Mir, Shitab) a bankovn\u00ed syst\u00e9my (CIPS, SPFS, SEPAM) mezi Moskvou, Teher\u00e1nem, Caracasem a Pekingem<\/span><\/strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V tomto smyslu nyn\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n vyb\u00edr\u00e1 poplatek za bezpe\u010dn\u00fd pr\u016fjezd Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem, jeho\u017e cena je stanovena v dolarov\u00fdch alternativ\u00e1ch, jako je nap\u0159\u00edklad j\u00fcan.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Z geopolitick\u00e9ho hlediska jsou to v\u0161echny spr\u00e1vn\u00e9 kroky. Aby v\u0161ak dedolarizace fungovala, mus\u00ed b\u00fdt obchod fyzicky mo\u017en\u00fd. Nem\u016f\u017eete dovolit pir\u00e1tsk\u00e9mu st\u00e1tu, aby \u00fato\u010dil na p\u0159epravovan\u00fd n\u00e1klad nebo ni\u010dil va\u0161e vlastn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00ed zdroje.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Americk\u00e1 strategie se posunula od jednostrann\u00fdch sankc\u00ed k fyzick\u00e9mu obl\u00e9h\u00e1n\u00ed. Washington ji\u017e nejen vylu\u010duje zem\u011b ze z\u00e1padn\u00edch trh\u016f, ale fyzicky jim br\u00e1n\u00ed v obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed mezi sebou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Toto obl\u00e9h\u00e1n\u00ed se neomezuje pouze na pir\u00e1tstv\u00ed na mo\u0159i; je to tak\u00e9 blok\u00e1da konkuren\u010dn\u00edch obchodn\u00edch koridor\u016f. Svr\u017een\u00edm vl\u00e1dy v Dama\u0161ku a zni\u010den\u00edm syrsk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f Lat\u00e1kie a Tartusu USA zabily n\u011bkolik mouch jednou ranou:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Zajistili pro Chevron levantskou plynovou p\u00e1nev.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Zlikvidovali jedin\u00fd propalestinsk\u00fd arabsk\u00fd st\u00e1t a<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Fyzicky odd\u011blili Novou Hedv\u00e1bnou stezku od St\u0159edomo\u0159\u00ed \u2013 co\u017e po\u0161kozuje jak \u010c\u00ednu, tak glob\u00e1ln\u00ed Jih.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech se ir\u00e1ck\u00e9mu odboji poda\u0159ilo po v\u00edce ne\u017e dvou desetilet\u00edch vyhnat okupaci NATO. To je pro iniciativu P\u00e1s a stezka kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9, proto\u017ee ir\u00e1ck\u00e1 \u017eeleznice m\u011bla p\u0159\u00edmo propojit Asii se St\u0159edomo\u0159\u00edm. Navzdory pokroku Ir\u00e1ku v\u0161ak tato v\u00fdzva zdaleka nekon\u010d\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zru\u0161en\u00ed leteck\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9, ale nebude to sta\u010dit. Odpor si mus\u00ed uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee Washington se odkl\u00e1n\u00ed od sv\u00e9ho modelu pozemn\u00ed okupace a sm\u011b\u0159uje k modelu glob\u00e1ln\u00edho pir\u00e1tstv\u00ed a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1dy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee se USA st\u00e1le v\u00edce spol\u00e9haj\u00ed na n\u00e1lety, blok\u00e1dy a d\u00e1lkov\u011b \u0159\u00edzen\u00fd chaos, leteck\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny ztr\u00e1cej\u00ed na v\u00fdznamu. Kdy\u017e se bitva p\u0159esune na vodu, mus\u00ed se odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00edm zp\u016fsobem zm\u011bnit strategie odporu.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Co mus\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n ud\u011blat pro v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Z \u010dist\u011b hern\u011b-teoretick\u00e9ho hlediska maj\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n, Rusko a \u010c\u00edna st\u00e1le na hrac\u00ed desce n\u011bkolik strategick\u00fdch tah\u016f:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00fdvoj alternativn\u00edch zdroj\u016f paliv, kter\u00e9 nelze fyzicky un\u00e9st ani sabotovat.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Pokus o neutralizaci americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva v jeho p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00fdch opera\u010dn\u00edch oblastech (a\u010dkoli, jak jsme vid\u011bli, blok\u00e1da je nyn\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed).<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Porazit pir\u00e1tsk\u00fd st\u00e1t v jeho vlastn\u00ed h\u0159e \u2013 konkr\u00e9tn\u011b v jeho rafineri\u00edch a tankerech.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle st\u0159\u00edzliv\u00e9 matematiky teorie her je posledn\u00ed mo\u017enost nejefektivn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm tahem \u2013 ale tak\u00e9 t\u00edm, kter\u00fd s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed spust\u00ed t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btovou v\u00e1lku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Bereme jako samoz\u0159ejmost, \u017ee nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 akce proti pevninsk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti USA automaticky p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed \u010dervenou linii. To se dost\u00e1v\u00e1 k j\u00e1dru hlubok\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 asymetrie: Jak je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee Washington m\u016f\u017ee zapalovat rafinerie a \u00fato\u010dit na hlavy st\u00e1t\u016f, ani\u017e by za\u017e\u00edval stejn\u00fd strach z odvety?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Z n\u011bjak\u00e9ho d\u016fvodu se Rusku, \u010c\u00edn\u011b a \u00cdr\u00e1nu nepoda\u0159ilo vytvo\u0159it a udr\u017eet d\u016fv\u011bryhodn\u00fd odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed prost\u0159edek proti z\u00e1padn\u00ed agresi.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nejde o ropu ani m\u011bnu, ale o suverenitu. Jadern\u00e9 arzen\u00e1ly \u010c\u00edny a Ruska jsou kv\u016fli ne\u010dinnosti t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 znehodnocov\u00e1ny, co\u017e je samo o sob\u011b mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00fd paradox.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Od za\u010d\u00e1tku t\u00e9to v\u00e1lky bojovala Osa odporu daleko za hranicemi sv\u00fdch mo\u017enost\u00ed. P\u0159esto\u017ee v\u0161ak zni\u010dila majetek v hodnot\u011b miliard, americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo se ji\u017e posouv\u00e1 k modelu tot\u00e1ln\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1dy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zni\u010den\u00ed radarov\u00e9 stanice nebo ranveje je taktick\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, ale nijak to nezastav\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1du Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Washington si u\u017e ani nep\u0159eje, aby sou\u010dasn\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed trasy existovaly, nato\u017e aby fungovaly. Podkop\u00e1v\u00e1 je, aby mohl p\u0159esunout energetick\u00fd koridor planety na z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokouli \u2013 a t\u00edm ur\u010dovat n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed obchodn\u00ed trasy a energetickou politiku nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edho stolet\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Led je\u0161t\u011b ani nerozt\u00e1l a USA u\u017e blokuj\u00ed transpol\u00e1rn\u00ed arktickou trasu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pro pir\u00e1tsk\u00fd st\u00e1t, kter\u00fd sl\u00edbil, \u017ee bude \u201ecel\u00fd den pr\u0161et smrt a zk\u00e1zu z nebe\u201c, nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 cena za dosa\u017een\u00ed t\u011bchto c\u00edl\u016f p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 vysok\u00e1 \u2013 a pr\u00e1v\u011b proto by \u00cdr\u00e1n nem\u011bl podce\u0148ovat americk\u00fd n\u00e1siln\u00fd potenci\u00e1l.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vojensk\u00e1 por\u00e1\u017eka a ekonomick\u00e1 por\u00e1\u017eka proto nejsou tot\u00e9\u017e. Dokud budou \u00cdr\u00e1n a glob\u00e1ln\u00ed Jih pokra\u010dovat v boji proti USA na sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed p\u016fd\u011b, nikdy tento pir\u00e1tsk\u00fd st\u00e1t neporaz\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Cel\u00e1 americk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 doktr\u00edna je zalo\u017eena na principu nikdy nev\u00e9st v\u00e1lku na dom\u00e1c\u00ed p\u016fd\u011b, aby se ochr\u00e1nil americk\u00fd lid a pr\u016fmyslov\u00e1 z\u00e1kladna. Je to stejn\u00e1 logika, kter\u00e1 je z\u00e1kladem p\u0159esunu energetick\u00e9ho koridoru.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">USA p\u0159esouvaj\u00ed hlavn\u00ed m\u011bsto ropy a plynu planety na z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokouli ze stejn\u00e9ho d\u016fvodu, pro\u010d vedou v\u00e1lky na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b: aby ochr\u00e1nily motor imp\u00e9ria mezi dv\u011bma oce\u00e1ny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pon\u00ed\u017een\u00ed USA tis\u00edce mil od jejich pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny se u\u017e stalo d\u0159\u00edve \u2013 ve Vietnamu, Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu a nyn\u00ed i v \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u2013 a p\u0159esto imp\u00e9rium \u017eije d\u00e1l, p\u0159ipraven\u00e9 znovu drancovat dal\u0161\u00ed den. Dokud se Wall Street bude c\u00edtit nedotknuteln\u00e1, americk\u00fd imperialismus bude p\u0159etrv\u00e1vat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">Jak je vid\u011bt v dokumentu<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u201eP\u016fvod dolaru Petrogas a pir\u00e1tsk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu\u201c od novin\u00e1\u0159e Richarda Medhursta.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span dir=\"auto\">[\u00a0<\/span><\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=0nt1CgQsgpI\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">YouTube<\/span><\/em><\/a><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0|\u00a0<\/span><\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/rumble.com\/v78jbx2-the-petrogas-dollar-the-secret-us-strategy-behind-the-iran-war.html?e9s=src_v1_ucp_f\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">Rumble<\/span><\/em><\/a><em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0]<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Dolar Petrogasu: Tajn\u00e1 americk\u00e1 strategie za v\u00e1lkou s \u00cdr\u00e1nem\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/0nt1CgQsgpI?feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/consortiumnews.com\/2026\/05\/11\/an-armed-robbery-of-the-worlds-energy-supply\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Forenzn\u00ed vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed toho, jak Washington vyu\u017eil v\u00e1lku v \u00cdr\u00e1nu k nahrazen\u00ed Nord Streamu, z\u00e1chran\u011b dolaru&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":106715,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,285,1720,310,276,3290],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106714"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=106714"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106714\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":106716,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106714\/revisions\/106716"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/106715"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=106714"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=106714"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=106714"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}