{"id":106287,"date":"2026-05-11T00:26:26","date_gmt":"2026-05-10T22:26:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=106287"},"modified":"2026-05-10T19:22:06","modified_gmt":"2026-05-10T17:22:06","slug":"kdyz-trump-prirovnava-iran-k-vietnamu-nebo-iraku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/11\/kdyz-trump-prirovnava-iran-k-vietnamu-nebo-iraku\/","title":{"rendered":"Kdy\u017e Trump p\u0159irovn\u00e1v\u00e1 \u00cdr\u00e1n k Vietnamu nebo Ir\u00e1ku"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Ani jeden z p\u0159edchoz\u00edch dvou bahnit\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f nebyl odhalen ve sv\u00e9 katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed hlouposti tak rychle jako Trumpova v\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Satelitn\u00ed sn\u00edmky ukazuj\u00edc\u00ed \u010dern\u00fd kou\u0159 stoupaj\u00edc\u00ed z p\u0159\u00edstavu Salalah 13. b\u0159ezna b\u011bhem \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f na Om\u00e1n.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco se v\u00e1lka Donalda Trumpa vle\u010de a konec je v dohledu, americk\u00fd prezident n\u00e1s \u017e\u00e1d\u00e1, abychom jeho \u201emal\u00fd v\u00fdlet\u201c uvedli \u201edo perspektivy\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle Trumpa trval \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd konflikt ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s Vietnamem a Ir\u00e1kem\u00a0<\/span>\u201evelmi kr\u00e1tkou dobu\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nach\u00e1z\u00ed n\u011bkdo \u00fat\u011bchu ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 katastrofy se dv\u011bma p\u0159edchoz\u00edmi katastrof\u00e1ln\u00edmi v\u00e1lkami Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f?<\/span><\/p>\n

Americk\u00e9 s\u00edly byly zpo\u010d\u00e1tku ve Vietnamu p\u0159\u00edtomny pouze dva m\u011bs\u00edce. Pot\u00e9 se washingtonsk\u00e9 nasazen\u00ed stalo neomezen\u00fdm a v\u00e1lka skon\u010dila a\u017e o v\u00edce ne\u017e deset let pozd\u011bji miliony ob\u011bt\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00e1lka v Ir\u00e1ku za\u010dala jen p\u00e1r dn\u00ed a necel\u00e9 dva m\u011bs\u00edce p\u0159edt\u00edm, ne\u017e Bush prohl\u00e1sil:\u00a0<\/span>\u201eMise spln\u011bna!\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0N\u00e1sledovaly roky chaosu, masov\u00fdch \u00famrt\u00ed a promarn\u011bn\u00fdch miliard dolar\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale ani vietnamsk\u00e1, ani ir\u00e1ck\u00e1 v\u00e1lka neodhalily svou katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed hloupost tak rychle jako Trumpova v\u00e1lka. Dva m\u011bs\u00edce po za\u010d\u00e1tku konfliktu byl americk\u00fd lid a jeho \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farove\u0148, stejn\u011b jako cel\u00e1 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomika, v\u00e1\u017en\u011b zasa\u017een.<\/span><\/p>\n

Benz\u00edn stoj\u00ed jedenap\u016flkr\u00e1t v\u00edce. Nafta zdra\u017eila je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce. Petrolej se zdvojn\u00e1sobil. Ceny potravin budou brzy n\u00e1sledovat stejn\u00fd trend kv\u016fli nedostatku z\u00e1kladn\u00edch slo\u017eek hnojiv, kter\u00fd je\u0161t\u011b zhor\u0161\u00ed Trumpova cla a nedostatek zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9 pracovn\u00ed s\u00edly zp\u016fsoben\u00fd vyst\u011bhov\u00e1n\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump v\u0161ak trv\u00e1 na tom, \u017ee se v\u0161e brzy vr\u00e1t\u00ed do norm\u00e1lu. Cena benz\u00ednu\u00a0po skon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky \u201e\u00a0prudce<\/a><\/em><\/span>\u00a0klesne\u00a0\u201c , tvrd\u00ed prezident.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Zbyl v Americe je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bkdo, kdo v\u011b\u0159\u00ed slib\u016fm Donalda Trumpa o cen\u00e1ch? To je ten mu\u017e, kter\u00fd v roce 2024 p\u0159\u00edsahal, \u017ee pokud bude zvolen,\u00a0<\/span>\u201e\u00a0<\/span>ceny klesnou<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a klesnou rychle, u v\u0161eho<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u201c .\u00a0<\/span>\u201eA\u017e vyhraju,\u00a0<\/span>okam\u017eit\u011b sn\u00ed\u017e\u00edm ceny<\/span><\/a><\/em>\u00a0.\u00a0\u201c<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

Tent\u00fd\u017e mu\u017e, kter\u00fd loni\u00a0<\/span>po\u0159\u00e1d \u0159\u00edkal, \u017ee ceny klesly,<\/span><\/a>\u00a0kdy\u017e v\u0161ichni z vlastn\u00ed zku\u0161enosti v\u011bd\u011bli, \u017ee vzrostly.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dva probl\u00e9my s Trumpov\u00fdmi sliby<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

S jeho posledn\u00edm slibem vyvst\u00e1vaj\u00ed dva probl\u00e9my: zaprv\u00e9, Trump nem\u00e1 v pl\u00e1nu ukon\u010dit v\u00e1lku, krom\u011b toho,\u00a0<\/span>\u017ee bude po\u017eadovat, aby\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u00cdr\u00e1n\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u201e\u00a0<\/span><\/a>volal ke kapitulaci\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>\u201evzdal se sv\u00fdch zbran\u00ed\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nci ale nejsou p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010deni o proh\u0159e a jen m\u00e1lo majitel\u016f tanker\u016f v hodnot\u011b 100 milion\u016f dolar\u016f p\u0159epravuj\u00edc\u00edch ropu v hodnot\u011b a\u017e 200 milion\u016f dolar\u016f je ochotno d\u016fv\u011b\u0159ovat Trumpov\u00fdm bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edm z\u00e1ruk\u00e1m.<\/span><\/p>\n

Za druh\u00e9, p\u0159edchoz\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 v\u00fdvozu ropy z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu se po skon\u010den\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed neobnov\u00ed a ceny neklesnou okam\u017eit\u011b. Jak\u00a0<\/span>\u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed ekonomov\u00e9<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, ceny ropy\u00a0<\/span>\u201estoupaj\u00ed a klesaj\u00ed jako p\u00edrko<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u201c .<\/span><\/p>\n

Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1soby ropy bude nutn\u00e9 doplnit a\u00a0<\/span>odborn\u00edci z ropn\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu poukazuj\u00ed na<\/span><\/a>\u00a0to, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span>\u201esiln\u00e1 popt\u00e1vka generovan\u00e1 dopln\u011bn\u00edm ztracen\u00fdch z\u00e1sob udr\u017e\u00ed ceny na vysok\u00e9 \u00farovni\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u011b\u017eba ropy v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, kter\u00e1 byla b\u011bhem konfliktu pozastavena, se\u00a0po jeho skon\u010den\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>ihned neobnov\u00ed .<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

Nap\u0159\u00edklad Katar dod\u00e1val 20 % sv\u011btov\u00e9ho zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9ho zemn\u00edho plynu. Jeho exportn\u00ed termin\u00e1l byl po\u0161kozen \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi raketami a jeho \u00fapln\u00e1 obnova bude trvat t\u0159i a\u017e p\u011bt let.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rafinerie v cel\u00e9m regionu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0byly po\u0161kozeny a obnoven\u00ed provozu uzav\u0159en\u00fdch ropn\u00fdch vrt\u016f bude trvat m\u011bs\u00edce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kdy se ceny benzinu vr\u00e1t\u00ed na \u00farove\u0148 p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou s Trumpem? Pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b\u00a0<\/span>ne letos . Podle \u0161\u00e9fa\u00a0<\/span><\/a>Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed energetick\u00e9 agentury<\/span><\/a>\u00a0bude trvat dva roky, ne\u017e se ztracen\u00e1 produkce energie nahrad\u00ed\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

A r\u016fst cen energi\u00ed se projev\u00ed i ve zbytku ekonomiky a podn\u00edt\u00ed inflaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak jsme se dostali a\u017e sem?<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump a jeho vl\u00e1da neschopn\u00fdch amat\u00e9r\u016f v\u011b\u0159ili, \u017ee americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da snadno donut\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n k bezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u00e9 kapitulaci, stejn\u011b snadno, jako ameri\u010dt\u00ed voj\u00e1ci unesli venezuelsk\u00e9ho prezidenta.<\/span><\/p>\n

Proto\u017ee se Trump obklopuje n\u00e1padn\u00edky, kte\u0159\u00ed v\u011bd\u00ed, \u017ee mu mus\u00ed \u0159\u00edkat jen to, co chce sly\u0161et, zah\u00e1jil svou v\u00e1lku, ani\u017e by zhodnotil skute\u010dn\u00e1 rizika.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201ePrezident Trump a jeho poradci byli zasko\u010deni<\/span><\/em>\u00a0, \u201c\u00a0<\/span>uvedl<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u010dasopis The\u00a0<\/span>Atlantic<\/span><\/em>\u00a0,\u00a0<\/span>\u201ekdy\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1n reagoval odvetn\u00fdmi \u00fatoky zam\u011b\u0159en\u00fdmi na lodn\u00ed dopravu v oblasti Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu, a konkr\u00e9tn\u011bji v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu. [\u2026] Trumpova administrativa v d\u016fv\u011brn\u00fdch briefingech, jak v\u010dera ve\u010der informovala CNN, uznala, \u017ee nepl\u00e1novala Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv uzav\u0159\u00edt<\/span><\/em>\u00a0. \u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n se po \u00fatoku odplatil? Kdo by to byl \u0159ekl?<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n byl pro Rusko hlavn\u00edm zdrojem vojensk\u00fdch dron\u016f a ukrajinsk\u00e9 a rusk\u00e9 drony transformovaly v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hormuz byl\u00a0<\/span>zn\u00e1mou pevnost\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159esto si ani Trump, ani ministr v\u00e1lky Pete \u201eLethality\u201c Hegseth nedok\u00e1zali p\u0159edstavit, \u017ee by americk\u00e1 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed a leteck\u00e1 s\u00edla nemusela sta\u010dit k neutralizaci \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch dron\u016f a min, a t\u00edm by \u00cdr\u00e1n z\u00edskal absolutn\u00ed kontrolu nad Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump se ze sv\u00fdch zku\u0161enost\u00ed ve Vietnamu a Ir\u00e1ku nic nepou\u010dil.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 se ale z t\u011bchto zku\u0161enost\u00ed pou\u010dili a u\u017e Trumpov\u00fdm l\u017e\u00edm nev\u011b\u0159\u00ed. 61 % z nich\u00a0<\/span>nesouhlas\u00ed s jeho p\u0159\u00edstupem<\/span><\/a>\u00a0k \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu konfliktu a 61 % se domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee se rozhodl\u00a0pou\u017e\u00edt v \u00cdr\u00e1nu vojenskou s\u00edlu\u00a0<\/span>\u0161patn\u011b .<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

M\u016f\u017ee ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed a politick\u00e1 realita donutit Trumpa ke zm\u011bn\u011b kurzu?<\/span><\/p>\n

Trumpova pot\u0159eba prezentovat sv\u00e9 fiasko jako \u00fasp\u011bch to zt\u011b\u017euje a Trump by se st\u00e1le mohl uch\u00fdlit ke sp\u00e1ch\u00e1n\u00ed [dal\u0161\u00edch] v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch zlo\u010din\u016f v zoufal\u00e9 snaze donutit \u00cdr\u00e1n ke kapitulaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

[\u00a0<\/span>Amnesty International<\/span><\/a>\u00a0dosp\u011bla k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee americk\u00e9 s\u00edly sp\u00e1chaly masakr civilist\u016f, p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b \u0161kola\u010dek, p\u0159i \u00fatoku na \u0161koln\u00ed budovu v Minabu v \u00cdr\u00e1nu 28. \u00fanora.\u00a0Prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed tohoto v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho zlo\u010dinu ze strany americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy tento z\u00e1v\u011br sp\u00ed\u0161e podporuje.]<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

Pokud se \u010dlenov\u00e9 jeho vlastn\u00ed strany odm\u00edtnou p\u0159ipojit k \u00fasil\u00ed o zkrocen\u00ed st\u00e1le freneti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00edho, nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u011bj\u0161\u00edho a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b oslaben\u00e9ho prezidenta, americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt nucena p\u0159evz\u00edt svou povinnost neuposlechnout Trumpovy nez\u00e1konn\u00e9 a nemor\u00e1ln\u00ed rozkazy.<\/span><\/p>\n

od\u00a0<\/span>Mitchella Zimmermana<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Zdroj:\u00a0<\/span>Common Dreams<\/span><\/a>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ani jeden z p\u0159edchoz\u00edch dvou bahnit\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f nebyl odhalen ve sv\u00e9 katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed hlouposti tak rychle…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":106288,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,452,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106287"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=106287"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106287\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/106288"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=106287"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=106287"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=106287"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}