{"id":106252,"date":"2026-05-11T00:12:53","date_gmt":"2026-05-10T22:12:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=106252"},"modified":"2026-05-10T13:29:52","modified_gmt":"2026-05-10T11:29:52","slug":"vypsali-na-mou-hlavu-odmenu-profesor-seyed-marandi-varuje-pred-obnovenou-eskalaci-vuci-iranu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/11\/vypsali-na-mou-hlavu-odmenu-profesor-seyed-marandi-varuje-pred-obnovenou-eskalaci-vuci-iranu\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201eVypsali na mou hlavu odm\u011bnu,\u201c \u2013 profesor Seyed Marandi varuje p\u0159ed obnovenou eskalac\u00ed v\u016f\u010di \u00cdr\u00e1nu"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V rozhovoru \u201eVYPISALI NA M\u011a ODM\u011aNU \u2013 Prof. Seyed Marandi o v\u00e1lce s \u00cdr\u00e1nem\u201c \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd politolog Seyed Mohammad Marandi hovo\u0159\u00ed o nebezpe\u010d\u00ed nov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky mezi USA, Izraelem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem, o roli sionismu v americk\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politice, o strategick\u00e9 kontrole Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu a o osobn\u00edch v\u00fdhr\u016f\u017ek\u00e1ch smrt\u00ed, kter\u00e9 mu byly adresov\u00e1ny. Rozhovor vykresluje obraz regionu, kter\u00fd podle Marandiho \u017eije pouze zd\u00e1nliv\u011b v p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, zat\u00edmco v z\u00e1kulis\u00ed ji\u017e prob\u00edhaj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpravy na dal\u0161\u00ed eskalaci.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"\u201eVYPISALI NA M\u011a ODM\u011aNU\u201c - Profesor Seyed Marandi o v\u00e1lce s \u00cdr\u00e1nem\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/oGcvYuO00rg?feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Marandi od za\u010d\u00e1tku jasn\u011b prohla\u0161uje, \u017ee nov\u00fd \u00fatok USA a Izraele na \u00cdr\u00e1n pova\u017euje nejen za mo\u017en\u00fd, ale i za pravd\u011bpodobn\u00fd. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty v posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech masivn\u011b p\u0159esunuly vojenskou techniku \u200b\u200bdo oblasti Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu. Velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed voj\u00e1k\u016f a materi\u00e1lu bylo p\u0159esunuto do Kuvajtu, Bahrajnu a Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1t\u016f. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 je v Kataru, Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii a Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1tech rozm\u00edst\u011bno mnoho st\u00edha\u010dek. Podle Marandiho existuj\u00ed siln\u00e9 d\u016fkazy o tom, \u017ee Washington p\u0159ipravuje jak rozs\u00e1hlou leteckou v\u00e1lku, tak i potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed pozemn\u00ed operace.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b znepokojiv\u00e9 shledal, \u017ee tato rozhodnut\u00ed nebyla \u010din\u011bna racion\u00e1ln\u011b. Chyba z\u00e1padn\u00edch analytik\u016f podle n\u011bj spo\u010d\u00edvala v logick\u00e9m pohledu na situaci. Lid\u00e9 kolem Donalda Trumpa v\u0161ak racion\u00e1ln\u00ed nebyli, tvrdil Marandi. Skute\u010dnou hnac\u00ed silou eskalace byl podle n\u011bj sionismus a vliv izraelsk\u00e9 lobby na americkou politiku. I Trump, tvrdil Marandi, v\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee v\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu nen\u00ed v z\u00e1jmu USA, p\u0159esto byl neust\u00e1le tla\u010den t\u00edmto sm\u011brem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Marandi se odvol\u00e1v\u00e1 na prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed b\u00fdval\u00e9ho vysoce postaven\u00e9ho p\u0159edstavitele americk\u00fdch tajn\u00fdch slu\u017eeb Joea Kenta, kter\u00fd prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n nep\u0159edstavuje jadernou hrozbu a \u017ee skute\u010dnou hnac\u00ed silou eskalace je sionistick\u00e1 agenda. Podle Marandiho se v tomto ohledu za posledn\u00edch n\u011bkolik m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f nic nezm\u011bnilo. S\u00edly, kter\u00e9 v\u00e1lku zah\u00e1jily, z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed aktivn\u00ed a v \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b neztratily sv\u016fj vliv.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd profesor popisuje Trumpa jako politicky nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e9ho. Americk\u00fd prezident pravideln\u011b m\u011bn\u00ed sv\u00e9 postoje b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika hodin. Proto pova\u017euje za zbyte\u010dn\u00e9 seri\u00f3zn\u011b analyzovat jednotliv\u00e1 Trumpova prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed. Zat\u00edmco z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia interpretuj\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00e9 nov\u00e9 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed jako strategick\u00fd sign\u00e1l, on ho vn\u00edm\u00e1 sp\u00ed\u0161e jako impulzivn\u00ed a rozporuplnou komunikaci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Marandi je obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b kritick\u00fd v\u016f\u010di z\u00e1padn\u00ed reakci na Trumpovu r\u00e9toriku ohledn\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Kdy\u017e Trump otev\u0159en\u011b hovo\u0159\u00ed o \u201ezni\u010den\u00ed\u201c nebo \u201en\u00e1vratu \u00cdr\u00e1nu do doby kamenn\u00e9\u201c, neoz\u00fdv\u00e1 se ani pobou\u0159en\u00ed ze strany z\u00e1padn\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00ed, ani odsouzen\u00ed ze strany evropsk\u00fdch parlament\u016f. Podle Marandiho to vypov\u00edd\u00e1 sp\u00ed\u0161e o politick\u00e9 kultu\u0159e Z\u00e1padu ne\u017e o samotn\u00e9m Trumpovi.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00dast\u0159edn\u00ed ot\u00e1zkou rozhovoru je, pro\u010d se p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed po 39denn\u00ed v\u00e1lce mezi \u00cdr\u00e1nem a USA\/Izraelem st\u00e1le v\u00edce hrout\u00ed. Podle Marandiho \u00cdr\u00e1n opakovan\u011b nab\u00edzel Washingtonu p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti k deeskalaci. Po po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed 12denn\u00ed v\u00e1lce po\u017eadovaly USA p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed pot\u00e9, co selhala jejich strategie \u201ebezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u00e9 kapitulace\u201c. Pozd\u011bji USA zah\u00e1jily dal\u0161\u00ed \u00fatok s masivn\u00ed palebnou silou, tentokr\u00e1t s vyu\u017eit\u00edm cel\u00e9ho regionu Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu jako vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny. Navzdory t\u00e9to eskalaci byl v\u0161ak Washington po 39 dnech nakonec nucen p\u0159ijmout \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd desetibodov\u00fd pl\u00e1n jako z\u00e1klad pro dal\u0161\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Marandi popisuje n\u00e1sledn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed jako komplexn\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed dohodu, kter\u00e1 zahrnovala i Gazu a Libanon. \u00cdr\u00e1n souhlasil s t\u00edm, \u017ee lod\u00edm z n\u011bkter\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu znovu umo\u017en\u00ed proplout Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem. Tato pr\u016fliv byl d\u0159\u00edve blokov\u00e1n v\u00fdhradn\u011b pro zem\u011b aktivn\u011b zapojen\u00e9 do americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 koalice \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1t\u016f, Bahrajnu, Kuvajtu, Kataru a Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie. \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e9, rusk\u00e9, p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e9 a indick\u00e9 lod\u011b naopak nikdy nebyly dot\u010deny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle Marandiho v\u0161ak izraelsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Benjamin Netanjahu tuto dohodu \u00famysln\u011b sabotoval. Kr\u00e1tce po zaveden\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed Izrael znovu bombardoval Libanon a pokusil se region\u00e1ln\u00ed dohodu zhatit. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 USA uvalily blok\u00e1du na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edstavy \u2013 tento krok Marandi ozna\u010duje za jasn\u00e9 poru\u0161en\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed a v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd akt.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Marandi ob\u0161\u00edrn\u011b hovo\u0159\u00ed o strategick\u00e9m v\u00fdznamu Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu. V\u00e1lka z\u00e1sadn\u011b zm\u011bnila postoj \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Teher\u00e1n po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed neusiloval o trvalou kontrolu nad pr\u016flivem. Pouze vyu\u017eit\u00ed Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu jako v\u00fdchoz\u00edho bodu pro \u00fatoky proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu tuto politiku zm\u011bnilo. Z pohledu Teher\u00e1nu nesm\u00ed b\u00fdt tento region ji\u017e nikdy pou\u017eit jako vojensk\u00e1 platforma proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu. \u00cdr\u00e1n proto v budoucnu hodl\u00e1 vykon\u00e1vat trvalou kontrolu nad bezpe\u010dnost\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Marandi z toho vin\u00ed p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty. Tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee si Emir\u00e1ty vytvo\u0159ily obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b \u00fazk\u00e9 vazby s Izraelem a USA a aktivn\u011b prosazovaly eskalaci. Podle Marandiho byly b\u011bhem v\u00e1lky p\u0159i \u00fatoc\u00edch na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 c\u00edle pou\u017eity st\u00edha\u010dky Mirage \u2013 letadla, kter\u00e1 USA samy nevlastn\u00ed. \u00cdr\u00e1n se proto domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee Emir\u00e1ty byly do \u00fatok\u016f p\u0159\u00edmo zapojeny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nep\u0159\u00edmo obvi\u0148uje emir\u00e1tsk\u00e9ho prezidenta Muhammada bin Zayeda z ohro\u017een\u00ed vlastn\u00ed zem\u011b kv\u016fli \u00fazk\u00fdm vazb\u00e1m na Izrael. Emir\u00e1ty jsou nyn\u00ed centrem izraelsk\u00e9ho vlivu v oblasti Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu. Struktury Mossadu tam maj\u00ed pevn\u00e9 postaven\u00ed, izrael\u0161t\u00ed voj\u00e1ci v zemi pravideln\u011b operuj\u00ed a emir\u00e1tsk\u00e1 politika se st\u00e1le v\u00edce shoduje s izraelsk\u00fdmi z\u00e1jmy \u2013 jak v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, tak v severn\u00ed Africe a Africk\u00e9m rohu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Marandi z\u00e1rove\u0148 zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n historicky nebyl agresivn\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed mocnost\u00ed. Po dobu p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 300 let \u00cdr\u00e1n nevedl agresivn\u00ed v\u00e1lku proti sousedn\u00edm st\u00e1t\u016fm. M\u00edsto toho se s\u00e1m n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t stal ter\u010dem v\u00e1lek \u2013 zejm\u00e9na b\u011bhem \u00edr\u00e1nsko-ir\u00e1ck\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, kdy Sadd\u00e1m Husajn za\u00fato\u010dil na \u00cdr\u00e1n s podporou z\u00e1padn\u00edch st\u00e1t\u016f a monarchi\u00ed Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu. Marandi p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1, \u017ee v t\u00e9 dob\u011b byly proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu pou\u017eity chemick\u00e9 zbran\u011b a \u017ee s\u00e1m p\u0159e\u017eil dva \u00fatoky jedovat\u00fdm plynem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Profesor obvi\u0148uje st\u00e1ty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu z opakov\u00e1n\u00ed stejn\u00fdch chyb navzdory d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00edm usm\u00ed\u0159en\u00edm. B\u011bhem syrsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky Katar, Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie a dal\u0161\u00ed st\u00e1ty podporovaly extremistick\u00e9 skupiny jako ISIS a al-K\u00e1ida. Nyn\u00ed tyto st\u00e1ty op\u011bt zp\u0159\u00edstupnily sv\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed \u00fatok\u016fm proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Z \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho pohledu se z nich staly v\u00e1l\u010d\u00edc\u00ed strany.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Konverzace nabere obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b v\u00fdbu\u0161n\u00fd sm\u011br, kdy\u017e Marandi odhal\u00ed, \u017ee b\u011bhem v\u00e1lky byla na jeho hlavu ve\u0159ejn\u011b vyps\u00e1na odm\u011bna. Ov\u011b\u0159en\u00fd \u00fa\u010det na X\/Twitteru vybral na jeho \u00fanos milion dolar\u016f. Navzdory \u010detn\u00fdm st\u00ed\u017enostem platforma zpo\u010d\u00e1tku odm\u00edtla v\u00fdzvu k akci odstranit. Vysv\u011btluje, \u017ee b\u011bhem v\u00e1lky \u017eil v izolaci, aby neohrozil ostatn\u00ed, pokud by se stal ter\u010dem \u00fatoku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Marandi vysv\u011btluje, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad systematicky zaml\u010duje skute\u010dn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00ed\u010diny konfliktu. Ani lidsk\u00e1 pr\u00e1va, terorismus, ani \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd jadern\u00fd program nejsou skute\u010dn\u00fdm d\u016fvodem tlaku na \u00cdr\u00e1n. Skute\u010dn\u00fdm j\u00e1drem konfliktu je \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 podpora Palestinc\u016f a jeho odpor ke zni\u010den\u00ed Palestiny. Podle Marandiho Z\u00e1pad fakticky podporuje \u201ezni\u010den\u00ed\u201c Palestinc\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jadern\u00fd program je pouze z\u00e1minkou. Izrael\u0161t\u00ed politici po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed tvrdili, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n je na pokraji v\u00fdroby atomov\u00e9 bomby. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 CIA, mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed agentury pro jadernou energii a dokonce i ameri\u010dt\u00ed tajn\u00ed agenti opakovan\u011b prohla\u0161ovali, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b nevyv\u00edj\u00ed. Marandi se odvol\u00e1v\u00e1 na prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed Joea Kenta a Tulsi Gabbardov\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u011b prohl\u00e1sili, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n na jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00edch nepracuje.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n proto vn\u00edm\u00e1 sv\u016fj jadern\u00fd program jako sv\u00e9 svrchovan\u00e9 pr\u00e1vo. Isl\u00e1msk\u00e1 revoluce byla v kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku projektem n\u00e1rodn\u00ed nez\u00e1vislosti \u2013 rozhodnut\u00ed by m\u011bla b\u00fdt \u010din\u011bna v Teher\u00e1nu, nikoli ve Washingtonu. Podle Marandiho to mus\u00ed Z\u00e1pad kone\u010dn\u011b akceptovat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Na konci rozhovoru Marandi varuje p\u0159ed dramatick\u00fdmi ekonomick\u00fdmi d\u016fsledky nov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. \u0160kody pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku jsou ji\u017e nyn\u00ed obrovsk\u00e9. N\u00e1klady pro americkou a sv\u011btovou ekonomiku se ji\u017e pohybuj\u00ed v bilionech. Pokud by se konflikt d\u00e1le stup\u0148oval, hrozbou by nebyla b\u011b\u017en\u00e1 recese, ale deprese hor\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ta z 30. let. Obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b by byly posti\u017eeny dod\u00e1vky energie, petrochemie, trhy s LNG a glob\u00e1ln\u00ed dodavatelsk\u00e9 \u0159et\u011bzce.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Marandi je proto p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den, \u017ee nov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka by nepos\u00edlila ani USA, ani Izrael. Spustila by pouze je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed zk\u00e1zu, ekonomick\u00fd kolaps a hlub\u0161\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed krizi.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>V rozhovoru \u201eVYPISALI NA M\u011a ODM\u011aNU \u2013 Prof. Seyed Marandi o v\u00e1lce s \u00cdr\u00e1nem\u201c \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":106253,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[2181,38,1052,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106252"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=106252"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106252\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/106253"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=106252"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=106252"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=106252"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}