{"id":106114,"date":"2026-05-08T07:24:16","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T05:24:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=106114"},"modified":"2026-05-08T07:24:16","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T05:24:16","slug":"svetovy-rad-se-zhroutil-ted-prichazi-ta-nebezpecna-cast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/08\/svetovy-rad-se-zhroutil-ted-prichazi-ta-nebezpecna-cast\/","title":{"rendered":"Sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d se zhroutil. Te\u010f p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed ta nebezpe\u010dn\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

\u010cty\u0159icet let po Dill\u00edsk\u00e9 deklaraci sv\u011bt op\u011bt hled\u00e1 nov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d, ale tentokr\u00e1t bez sd\u00edlen\u00fdch pravidel nebo pou\u017eiteln\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu<\/h3>\n

\u201eMus\u00ed b\u00fdt vybudov\u00e1n nov\u00fd sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d, kter\u00fd zajist\u00ed ekonomickou spravedlnost a stejnou politickou bezpe\u010dnost pro v\u0161echny n\u00e1rody. Ukon\u010den\u00ed z\u00e1vod\u016f ve zbrojen\u00ed je nezbytn\u00fdm p\u0159edpokladem pro nastolen\u00ed takov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Letos si p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1me 40. v\u00fdro\u010d\u00ed t\u011bchto slov ze sov\u011btsko-indick\u00e9 Dill\u00edsk\u00e9 deklarace, podepsan\u00e9 v roce 1986 b\u011bhem n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy Michaila Gorba\u010dova v Indii a jeho rozhovor\u016f s premi\u00e9rem R\u00e1d\u017e\u00edvem G\u00e1ndh\u00edm. Byl to jeden z prvn\u00edch v\u00fdznamn\u00fdch dokument\u016f konce studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, kter\u00fd otev\u0159en\u011b hovo\u0159il o pot\u0159eb\u011b \u201enov\u00e9ho sv\u011btov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sov\u011btsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed tehdy v\u011b\u0159ilo, \u017ee tento \u0159\u00e1d vznikne d\u00edky tomu, co naz\u00fdvalo \u201enov\u00fdm politick\u00fdm my\u0161len\u00edm\u201c. My\u0161lenka byla, \u017ee b\u00fdval\u00ed protivn\u00edci opust\u00ed konfrontaci a spoj\u00ed nejlep\u0161\u00ed prvky sv\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f, aby vytvo\u0159ili stabiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a spravedliv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed r\u00e1mec. Byla to ambici\u00f3zn\u00ed vize: spole\u010dn\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed o obnovu glob\u00e1ln\u00ed politiky z trosek ideologick\u00e9 rivality. D\u011bjiny v\u0161ak m\u011bly jin\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sov\u011btsk\u00fd svaz brzy zmizel ve v\u00edru vnit\u0159n\u00edch kriz\u00ed, ne\u017e \u00fapln\u011b zmizel ze sv\u011btov\u00e9 sc\u00e9ny. Fr\u00e1ze \u201enov\u00fd sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d\u201c sice p\u0159e\u017eila, ale administrativa prezidenta George H. W. Bushe ji rychle p\u0159ehodnotila. Ve washingtonsk\u00e9 interpretaci tento koncept ji\u017e neznamenal sd\u00edlenou mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed architekturu. Za\u010dal znamenat liber\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d, v n\u011bm\u017e politicky a vojensky dominovaly USA a jejich spojenci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti se v\u016fbec nejednalo o zcela nov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d. Bylo to roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed syst\u00e9mu po roce 1945, jen nyn\u00ed bez protiv\u00e1hy Sov\u011btsk\u00e9ho svazu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mnoz\u00ed po ur\u010ditou dobu v\u011b\u0159ili, \u017ee toto uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159edstavuje p\u0159irozen\u00fd kone\u010dn\u00fd bod d\u011bjin. Na rozd\u00edl od t\u011bchto o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed se v\u0161ak po pominut\u00ed konfrontace studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky glob\u00e1ln\u00ed stabilita neprohloubila. Naopak se nap\u011bt\u00ed postupn\u011b stup\u0148ovalo a na za\u010d\u00e1tku roku 2010 se z\u00e1klady syst\u00e9mu ji\u017e za\u010daly hroutit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Od t\u00e9 doby se tempo rozpadu dramaticky zrychlilo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak lidstvo postupuje hloub\u011bji do druh\u00e9 \u010dtvrtiny 21. stolet\u00ed, je st\u00e1le obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pop\u0159\u00edt, \u017ee p\u0159edchoz\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d fakticky p\u0159estal existovat. Jak\u00e9koli pochybnosti, kter\u00e9 mohly p\u0159etrv\u00e1vat, se v prvn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch roku 2026 rozplynuly.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nez\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed jen na tom, \u017ee nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed st\u00e1ty st\u00e1le v\u00edce ignoruj\u00ed z\u00e1kony a konvence, kter\u00e9 se kdysi zd\u00e1ly b\u00fdt pevn\u011b zaveden\u00e9, ale d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je styl, jak\u00fdm se nyn\u00ed politika prov\u00e1d\u00ed. Rozhodnut\u00ed jsou impulzivn\u00ed a \u010dasto otev\u0159en\u011b protich\u016fdn\u00e1, proto\u017ee vl\u00e1dy nejprve jednaj\u00ed a pak improvizuj\u00ed. Prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed u\u010din\u011bn\u00e1 dnes mohou p\u0159\u00edmo odporovat t\u011bm, kter\u00e1 byla u\u010din\u011bna v\u010dera, ale zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee na tom u\u017e nez\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tuto atmosf\u00e9ru nelze nutn\u011b zam\u011b\u0148ovat za kolektivn\u00ed iracionalitu. Sp\u00ed\u0161e se zd\u00e1, \u017ee mnoho politick\u00fdch akt\u00e9r\u016f je p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010deno, \u017ee star\u00e1 omezen\u00ed se zhroutila a \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00fd okam\u017eik p\u0159edstavuje historickou p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost. Instinkt je jednoduch\u00fd: Vyu\u017e\u00edt co nejv\u00edce v\u00fdhod, ne\u017e se situace op\u011bt ztvrdne.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159erozd\u011blov\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u011bta ji\u017e za\u010dalo. Politick\u00fd vliv, dopravn\u00ed koridory, zdroje, finan\u010dn\u00ed toky, technologick\u00e9 ekosyst\u00e9my a dokonce i kulturn\u00ed a n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 sf\u00e9ry jsou p\u0159edm\u011btem boj\u016f sou\u010dasn\u011b. Ka\u017ed\u00e1 velk\u00e1 mocnost nyn\u00ed definuje sv\u00e9 ambice a testuje metody, jak jich dos\u00e1hnout.<\/span><\/p>\n

Chyby samoz\u0159ejm\u011b budou drah\u00e9, ale to alespo\u0148 v mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed politice nen\u00ed nic nov\u00e9ho.<\/span><\/p>\n

Skute\u010dn\u00e1 nejistota spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 jinde, proto\u017ee p\u0159edchoz\u00ed \u00e9ra zanechala p\u0159edpoklad, \u017ee po obdob\u00edch chaosu nakonec n\u00e1sleduje vznik nov\u00e9 rovnov\u00e1hy. Po nepo\u0159\u00e1dku p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed struktura a po konfrontaci nov\u00fd r\u00e1mec. Tentokr\u00e1t v\u0161ak neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 z\u00e1ruka.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed syst\u00e9m dnes nen\u00ed pr\u00e1zdn\u00fdm staveni\u0161t\u011bm \u010dekaj\u00edc\u00edm na nov\u00fd design. Po velk\u00fdch sv\u011btov\u00fdch v\u00e1lk\u00e1ch jsou star\u00e9 struktury \u010dasto ve velk\u00e9m m\u011b\u0159\u00edtku smeteny se zem\u00ed a vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed prostor pro vznik n\u011b\u010deho nov\u00e9ho, a to dnes nen\u00ed pravda.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u00edsto toho z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 sv\u011bt zahlcen institucemi a zvyky zd\u011bd\u011bn\u00fdmi z p\u0159edchoz\u00edch epoch. Mnoh\u00e9 z nich jsou zdiskreditovan\u00e9 nebo nefunk\u010dn\u00ed, ale st\u00e1le existuj\u00ed. A dokonce i ty st\u00e1ty, kter\u00e9 tyto instituce nejagresivn\u011bji napadaj\u00ed, je nad\u00e1le vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed, kdykoli se jim to hod\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Syst\u00e9m Organizace spojen\u00fdch n\u00e1rod\u016f z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edkladem. Jeho autorita se zmen\u0161ila, p\u0159esto se na n\u011bj vl\u00e1dy st\u00e1le selektivn\u011b odvol\u00e1vaj\u00ed, kdy\u017e to slou\u017e\u00ed jejich z\u00e1jm\u016fm. Stejn\u011b tak se struktury vytvo\u0159en\u00e9 b\u011bhem obdob\u00ed liber\u00e1ln\u00ed globalizace uk\u00e1zaly b\u00fdt odoln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e mnoz\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1vali.<\/span><\/p>\n

Navzdory obchodn\u00edm v\u00e1lk\u00e1m, sankc\u00edm, geopolitick\u00e9 fragmentaci a st\u00e1le otev\u0159en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed rivalit\u011b mezi velmocemi se glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00e1 s\u00ed\u0165 nad\u00e1le br\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fapln\u00e9mu rozpadu. Dodavatelsk\u00e9 \u0159et\u011bzce se oh\u00fdbaj\u00ed, ale zcela se nerozpadaj\u00ed. Trhy z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed propojen\u00e9. I zem\u011b zapojen\u00e9 do ostr\u00e9 politick\u00e9 konfrontace spolu nad\u00e1le nep\u0159\u00edmo obchoduj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee tato odolnost frustruje n\u011bkter\u00e9 z mocnost\u00ed, kter\u00e9 se sna\u017e\u00ed syst\u00e9m p\u0159etvo\u0159it.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vytvo\u0159en\u00ed skute\u010dn\u011b nov\u00e9ho mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho r\u00e1mce bude proto mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b bolestiv\u00fd proces. Dostupn\u00fd surov\u00fd materi\u00e1l se skl\u00e1d\u00e1 z fragment\u016f z r\u016fzn\u00fdch historick\u00fdch obdob\u00ed, ideologick\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f a institucion\u00e1ln\u00edch model\u016f. Tyto neslu\u010diteln\u00e9 komponenty je t\u0159eba n\u011bjak\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem spojit do n\u011b\u010deho funk\u010dn\u00edho.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bkter\u00e9 st\u00e1ty se o to pokou\u0161ej\u00ed opatrn\u011b a vyb\u00edraj\u00ed prvky, kter\u00e9 by mohly zapadat do relativn\u011b soudr\u017en\u00e9 struktury. Jin\u00e9 se chovaj\u00ed hrub\u011bji a sna\u017e\u00ed se nekompatibiln\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti vtla\u010dit na sv\u00e9 m\u00edsto pomoc\u00ed tlaku nebo zastra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed. Nebezpe\u010d\u00ed je z\u0159ejm\u00e9: Nadm\u011brn\u00e1 s\u00edla nemus\u00ed v\u00e9st k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 stabilit\u011b, ale pouze k dal\u0161\u00ed fragmentaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159esto je mo\u017en\u00e1 ur\u010duj\u00edc\u00edm rysem sou\u010dasnosti to, \u017ee nikdo nem\u00e1 skute\u010dn\u00fd pl\u00e1n na to, co bude n\u00e1sledovat. B\u011bhem d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00edch obdob\u00ed transformace, a\u0165 u\u017e byly vize jakkoli chybn\u00e9, si v\u016fdci alespo\u0148 mysleli, \u017ee ch\u00e1pou c\u00edl.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dnes v\u0161ak takov\u00e1 jasnost neexistuje a nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed boj o vybudov\u00e1n\u00ed nov\u00e9ho sv\u011btov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du prob\u00edh\u00e1 bez univerz\u00e1ln\u00edch princip\u016f nebo dokonce \u0161iroce p\u0159ij\u00edman\u00e9 p\u0159edstavy o tom, jak by m\u011bl \u00fasp\u011bch vypadat. Star\u00e1 pravidla sl\u00e1bnou, ale neobjevily se \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 dohodnut\u00e9 n\u00e1hrady.<\/span><\/p>\n

Prozat\u00edm je poselstv\u00ed, kter\u00e9mu \u010del\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00e1 velk\u00e1 mocnost, brut\u00e1ln\u011b jednoduch\u00e9: Ud\u011blejte si to sami a pak se pokuste \u017e\u00edt s n\u00e1sledky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Od\u00a0<\/span>Fjodora Lukjanova<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0, \u0161\u00e9fredaktora \u010dasopisu Rusko v glob\u00e1ln\u00edch z\u00e1le\u017eitostech, p\u0159edsedy prezidia Rady pro zahrani\u010dn\u00ed a obrannou politiku a \u0159editele v\u00fdzkumu Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho diskusn\u00edho klubu Valdaj.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

\"Fjodor<\/a><\/div>\n
\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u010cty\u0159icet let po Dill\u00edsk\u00e9 deklaraci sv\u011bt op\u011bt hled\u00e1 nov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d, ale tentokr\u00e1t bez sd\u00edlen\u00fdch pravidel…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":106115,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,2181,2190],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106114"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=106114"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106114\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/106115"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=106114"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=106114"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=106114"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}