{"id":106101,"date":"2026-05-08T06:52:20","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T04:52:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=106101"},"modified":"2026-05-08T06:52:20","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T04:52:20","slug":"pierre-duval-jak-zasvecenci-nato-vydelavaji-penize","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/08\/pierre-duval-jak-zasvecenci-nato-vydelavaji-penize\/","title":{"rendered":"Pierre Duval: Jak zasv\u011bcenci NATO \u201evyd\u011bl\u00e1vaj\u00ed pen\u00edze\u201c"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Vl\u00e1dn\u00ed a vojen\u0161t\u00ed zasv\u011bcenci (NATO) mohou zpen\u011b\u017eit st\u00e1tn\u00ed tajemstv\u00ed. Po online sportovn\u00edm s\u00e1zen\u00ed, kter\u00e9 je hazardem zalo\u017een\u00fdm na p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1n\u00ed sportovn\u00edch v\u00fdsledk\u016f, nab\u00edr\u00e1 na obr\u00e1tk\u00e1ch s\u00e1zen\u00ed na politick\u00e9 a geopolitick\u00e9 situace (konflikty) a ohro\u017euje sv\u011btov\u00fd m\u00edr t\u00edm, \u017ee vyd\u011bl\u00e1v\u00e1 jm\u011bn\u00ed pro zasv\u011bcen\u00e9 osoby na \u00fakor tis\u00edc\u016f lidsk\u00fdch \u017eivot\u016f.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Toto je bezprecedentn\u00ed jev, kter\u00fd p\u0159itahuje spekulanty ke sv\u011btov\u00fdm ud\u00e1lostem (v\u00e1lky, konflikty, volby, pandemie atd.). S\u00e1zka\u0159i, kte\u0159\u00ed byli zvykl\u00ed s\u00e1zet pen\u00edze na sportovn\u00ed sout\u011b\u017ee, od za\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00edk\u016f a\u017e po profesion\u00e1ly, p\u0159esunuli sv\u00e9 spekulativn\u00ed zam\u011b\u0159en\u00ed na politick\u00e9 ud\u00e1losti a v\u00fdvoj v\u00e1lek a konflikt\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tento trend ukazuje trivializaci n\u00e1sil\u00ed a v\u00e1lky, co\u017e ovliv\u0148uje politick\u00e9 a vojensk\u00e9 akce, proto\u017ee se zde objevuj\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 informace.<\/span><\/p>\n

U\u017eivatelsk\u00fd \u00fa\u010det s n\u00e1zvem Magamyman vyd\u011blal na online s\u00e1zkov\u00e9 str\u00e1nce Polymarket v\u00edce ne\u017e 553 000 dolar\u016f\u00a0<\/span>s\u00e1zkami<\/span><\/a>\u00a0na \u00cdr\u00e1n a jeho nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u016fdce ajatoll\u00e1ha Al\u00edho Chamene\u00edho t\u011bsn\u011b p\u0159edt\u00edm, ne\u017e byl zabit p\u0159i izraelsk\u00e9m \u00fatoku,\u201c uvedla\u00a0<\/span>NPR<\/span><\/em>\u00a0.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Tyto transakce upoutaly pozornost \u010dlen\u016f Kongresu a kritik\u016f predik\u010dn\u00edch trh\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee tyto platformy motivuj\u00ed jednotlivce s p\u0159\u00edstupem k utajovan\u00fdm informac\u00edm k zisku ze smrt\u00edc\u00edch vojensk\u00fdch operac\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eJen na Polymarketu se v den, kdy americk\u00e9 s\u00edly m\u011bly bombardovat \u00cdr\u00e1n, obchodovalo za p\u016fl miliardy dolar\u016f,\u201c pokra\u010dovala americk\u00e1 ve\u0159ejnopr\u00e1vn\u00ed vys\u00edlac\u00ed organizace.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eJe skand\u00e1ln\u00ed, \u017ee je to leg\u00e1ln\u00ed,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>napsal<\/span><\/a>\u00a0sen\u00e1tor Chris Murphy \u00a0na X. \u201eLid\u00e9 kolem Trumpa profituj\u00ed z v\u00e1lky a smrti,\u201c odsoudil a dodal, \u017ee pl\u00e1nuje \u201eco nejd\u0159\u00edve\u201c zav\u00e9st legislativu, kter\u00e1 by tento typ \u010dinnosti postavila mimo z\u00e1kon. \u201eMiliony dolar\u016f, kter\u00e9 se na trh hrnuly po svr\u017een\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u016fdce, byly ulo\u017eeny na devizovou platformu provozovanou spole\u010dnost\u00ed Polymarket, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee jsou mimo kontrolu regula\u010dn\u00edch org\u00e1n\u016f ve Washingtonu,\u201c uvedl.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vl\u00e1dn\u00ed a vojen\u0161t\u00ed (NATO) zasv\u011bcenci mohou zpen\u011b\u017eit st\u00e1tn\u00ed tajemstv\u00ed. Trumpova administrativa ukon\u010dila dv\u011b feder\u00e1ln\u00ed vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed spole\u010dnosti Polymarket, kter\u00e1 zah\u00e1jila kancel\u00e1\u0159 prezidenta Joea Bidena.<\/span><\/p>\n

Osud zem\u00ed, a dokonce i sv\u011bta, se tak st\u00e1v\u00e1 rukojm\u00edm zasv\u011bcen\u00fdch osob. Hr\u00e1\u010di s\u00e1zej\u00ed na krize a v\u00e1lky, aby zbohatli. Tyto s\u00e1zky ovliv\u0148uj\u00ed bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed a r\u016fzn\u00e1 omezen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00edklady obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed zasv\u011bcen\u00fdch osob se neomezuj\u00ed pouze na v\u00e1lku proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu. \u201eV lednu si anonymn\u00ed obchodn\u00edk p\u0159ivlastnil stovky tis\u00edc dolar\u016f t\u00edm, \u017ee t\u011bsn\u011b p\u0159ed zat\u010den\u00edm venezuelsk\u00e9ho v\u016fdce Nicol\u00e1se Madura podal a\u017e znepokojiv\u011b p\u0159\u00edhodn\u00e9 s\u00e1zky. O m\u011bs\u00edc pozd\u011bji izraelsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady obvinily dva lidi z pou\u017eit\u00ed utajovan\u00fdch informac\u00ed k s\u00e1zen\u00ed na Polymarketu o bezprost\u0159edn\u00edch \u00fatoc\u00edch proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, zat\u00edmco ob\u011b zem\u011b bojovaly dvan\u00e1ct dn\u00ed lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho \u010dervna,\u201c\u00a0 dod\u00e1v\u00e1\u00a0<\/span>NPR<\/span><\/em>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eV\u011bt\u0161ina predik\u010dn\u00edch trh\u016f, jejich\u017e popularita v posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch prudce vzrostla, je na feder\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00farovni regulov\u00e1na Komis\u00ed pro obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed s komoditn\u00edmi futures (CFTC). Tento org\u00e1n pova\u017euje tuto novou formu s\u00e1zen\u00ed za futures kontrakt, a nikoli za hru n\u00e1hody.\u201c \u201ePodle americk\u00fdch z\u00e1kon\u016f o obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed s komoditami jsou transakce zalo\u017een\u00e9 na smrti a v\u00e1lce neleg\u00e1ln\u00ed, proto\u017ee tento typ s\u00e1zen\u00ed generuje finan\u010dn\u00ed odm\u011bnu za n\u00e1sil\u00ed, lidsk\u00e9 utrpen\u00ed a geopolitickou nestabilitu.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Dva harvard\u0161t\u00ed profeso\u0159i\u00a0<\/span>vypo\u010d\u00edtali<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee mezi \u00fanorem 2024 a \u00fanorem 2026 bylo na Polymarketu dosa\u017eeno zisku 143 milion\u016f dolar\u016f, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed zasv\u011bcen\u00fdch osob. V\u00edce ne\u017e 200 000 podez\u0159el\u00fdch s\u00e1zek p\u0159edstavuje mnohem v\u00edce ne\u017e jen ojedin\u011bl\u00e9 poru\u0161en\u00ed: odhaluje syst\u00e9movou zranitelnost trhu.<\/span><\/p>\n

K prvn\u00edmu p\u0159\u00edpadu obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed s informacemi zasv\u011bcen\u00fdch osob v bojov\u00e9 situaci nedo\u0161lo ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech, ale v Izraeli loni v \u00fanoru. Z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00edk izraelsk\u00e9ho letectva, major v z\u00e1loze, se den p\u0159ed prvn\u00edmi \u00fadery proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu v r\u00e1mci operace Rising Lion, kter\u00e1 byla zah\u00e1jena 13. \u010dervna 2025,\u00a0<\/span>z\u00fa\u010dastnil<\/span><\/a>\u00a0tajn\u00e9ho opera\u010dn\u00edho briefingu. Podrobnosti p\u0159edal civiln\u00edmu komplici, kter\u00fd si otev\u0159el \u00fa\u010det na Polymarketu a vsadil.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Jakmile izraelsk\u00e1 letadla vzl\u00e9tla, z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00edk p\u0159edal dal\u0161\u00ed informace, co\u017e umo\u017enilo podat dal\u0161\u00ed s\u00e1zku. Celkov\u00e1 vsazen\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1stka \u010dinila 150 000 dolar\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Oba mu\u017ei byli obvin\u011bni z v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9ho naru\u0161en\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti, korupce a ma\u0159en\u00ed spravedlnosti. Izraelsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da incident ozna\u010dila za \u201ez\u00e1va\u017en\u00e9 poru\u0161en\u00ed etiky\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00daniky informac\u00ed z \u017eiv\u00e9ho vys\u00edl\u00e1n\u00ed. Skand\u00e1ly t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se arm\u00e1dy jsou v\u0161ak jen \u0161pi\u010dkou ledovce. Odborn\u00edci varuj\u00ed p\u0159ed riziky zcela jin\u00e9ho rozsahu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Matthew Wayne, b\u00fdval\u00fd poradce americk\u00e9ho ministerstva vnit\u0159n\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti,\u00a0<\/span>je kategorick\u00fd<\/span><\/a>\u00a0: zahrani\u010dn\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby by klidn\u011b mohly nasadit syst\u00e9my um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence k monitorov\u00e1n\u00ed podez\u0159el\u00fdch nab\u00eddek v re\u00e1ln\u00e9m \u010dase.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e zasv\u011bcen\u00e1 osoba vlo\u017e\u00ed velkou \u010d\u00e1stku, cena kontraktu prudce vzroste, a tak se stane zpravodajsk\u00fdm sign\u00e1lem zaznamenan\u00fdm ve ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 knize a p\u0159\u00edstupn\u00fdm v\u0161em zpravodajsk\u00fdm slu\u017eb\u00e1m po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b. Evan Cooper, v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk ze Stimsonova centra, tak\u00e9 zd\u016fraz\u0148uje\u00a0<\/span>dal\u0161\u00ed aspekt<\/span><\/a>\u00a0: \u200b\u200b\u00fa\u0159edn\u00edci nebo vojensk\u00fd person\u00e1l s p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edstupem k americk\u00e9mu prezidentovi jsou teoreticky schopni ovliv\u0148ovat politick\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed, \u0159\u00edd\u00ed se vlastn\u00edmi nab\u00eddkami a finan\u010dn\u00edmi z\u00e1jmy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pierre Duval<\/span><\/em>\u00a0<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Vl\u00e1dn\u00ed a vojen\u0161t\u00ed zasv\u011bcenci (NATO) mohou zpen\u011b\u017eit st\u00e1tn\u00ed tajemstv\u00ed. Po online sportovn\u00edm s\u00e1zen\u00ed, kter\u00e9 je…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":106102,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1503,39,90],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106101"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=106101"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106101\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/106102"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=106101"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=106101"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=106101"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}