{"id":105993,"date":"2026-05-07T00:22:22","date_gmt":"2026-05-06T22:22:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=105993"},"modified":"2026-05-06T13:02:48","modified_gmt":"2026-05-06T11:02:48","slug":"vyzkumnici-z-ipcc-pripousteji-hororove-klimaticke-scenare-jsou-zcela-prehnane","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/07\/vyzkumnici-z-ipcc-pripousteji-hororove-klimaticke-scenare-jsou-zcela-prehnane\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00fdzkumn\u00edci z IPCC p\u0159ipou\u0161t\u011bj\u00ed: Hororov\u00e9 klimatick\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e jsou zcela p\u0159ehnan\u00e9"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ekonomika je zni\u010dena, prosperita je ni\u010dena a ob\u010dan\u00e9 a podniky jsou pron\u00e1sledov\u00e1ni. A to v\u0161e kv\u016fli \u00fadajn\u00e9 klimatick\u00e9 apokalypse, kterou i p\u0159edn\u00ed klimatologi\u010dt\u00ed v\u011bdci IPCC nyn\u00ed ozna\u010duj\u00ed za \u201enepravd\u011bpodobnou\u201c. Kdo kone\u010dn\u011b zastav\u00ed toto \u0161\u00edlenstv\u00ed?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Deindustrializace N\u011bmecka, katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1kon o vyt\u00e1p\u011bn\u00ed, z\u00e1nik osv\u011bd\u010den\u00fdch spalovac\u00edch motor\u016f, exploduj\u00edc\u00ed ceny energi\u00ed, rostouc\u00ed dan\u011b z energie a poplatky za emise CO2 \u2013 v\u0161echny tyto ob\u011bti jsou n\u00e1m vnucov\u00e1ny s jedin\u00fdm argumentem: Pokud okam\u017eit\u011b neobr\u00e1t\u00edme cel\u00fd sv\u016fj \u017eivot vzh\u016fru nohama, planeta sho\u0159\u00ed! To n\u00e1m den co den k\u00e1\u017eou politici z etablovan\u00fdch stran, hysteri\u010dt\u00ed klimati\u010dt\u00ed alarmist\u00e9 a \u00faslu\u017en\u00e1 m\u00e9dia. Neust\u00e1le cituj\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy Mezivl\u00e1dn\u00edho panelu OSN pro zm\u011bnu klimatu (IPCC). Jak se v\u0161ak nyn\u00ed uk\u00e1zalo, z\u00e1klad t\u00e9to glob\u00e1ln\u00ed klimatick\u00e9 paniky \u2013 konkr\u00e9tn\u011b model RCP8.5 \u2013 je naprosto nesmysln\u00fd. Tento model, prod\u00e1van\u00fd jako \u201estandard\u201c, je zcela p\u0159ehnan\u00fd a ani zdaleka neodr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed realitu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ji\u017e v roce 2020<\/span><\/a>\u00a0bij\u00ed v\u00fdzkumn\u00edci Roger Pielke a Justin Ritchie na poplach. Odhalili gigantick\u00e9, systematick\u00e9 zneu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed klimatick\u00fdch dat.\u00a0<\/span>Napo\u010d\u00edtali ohromuj\u00edc\u00edch 17 000 \u00fadajn\u00fdch v\u011bdeck\u00fdch prac\u00ed, v\u0161echny zalo\u017een\u00e9 na stejn\u00e9m absurdn\u00ed katastrofick\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i IPCC: nechvaln\u011b zn\u00e1m\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i RCP 8.5.<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0Ale co p\u0159esn\u011b je RCP 8.5? Je to apokalyptick\u00fd stra\u0161\u00e1k klimatick\u00e9ho v\u00fdzkumu. Sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, kter\u00fd p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1 absurdn\u00ed oteplen\u00ed o 4 a\u017e 5 stup\u0148\u016f Celsia do roku 2100. Z\u00e1ke\u0159n\u00e9 na tom je, \u017ee IPCC tento extr\u00e9mn\u00ed konstrukt bezosty\u0161n\u011b prohl\u00e1sil za sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 \u201eb\u011b\u017en\u00e9ho postupu\u201c \u2013 tedy za to, co by se \u00fadajn\u011b stalo, kdyby tv\u016frci politik nezas\u00e1hli drastick\u00fdmi opat\u0159en\u00edmi.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Zdroj:\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Climatalab.uk<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Jak je jasn\u011b vid\u011bt, modelov\u00e9 v\u00fdpo\u010dty jsou v\u00fdrazn\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e skute\u010dn\u00e1 m\u011b\u0159en\u00ed.<\/span><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

RCP 8,5 je v podstat\u011b standardn\u00ed hodnota, z\u00e1klad, na kter\u00e9m jsou malov\u00e1ny v\u0161echny extr\u00e9mn\u00ed a d\u011bsiv\u00e9 hororov\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e hroz\u00edc\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed katastrofy. M\u00e9dia a politici pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed tento extr\u00e9mn\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 jako pohodln\u00fd n\u00e1stroj pro sv\u00e9 absurdn\u00ed bludy, jejich\u017e c\u00edlem je zastra\u0161it ve\u0159ejnost a vym\u00e1hat od n\u00ed pen\u00edze. Ale jak ji\u017e Pielke a Ritchie s zdrcuj\u00edc\u00edm vhledem uzav\u0159eli: \u201eV\u00fdzkum klimatick\u00fdch zm\u011bn a jeho hodnocen\u00ed zneu\u017e\u00edval sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e po v\u00edce ne\u017e deset let.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud se ale RCP8.5 m\u00fdl\u00ed, pak je chyba v\u0161echno, co se n\u00e1m legie fale\u0161n\u00fdch prorok\u016f po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed sna\u017e\u00ed prodat o \u00fadajn\u011b ni\u010div\u00fdch d\u016fsledc\u00edch klimatick\u00fdch zm\u011bn. A hle, p\u0159edn\u00ed model\u00e1\u0159i v oblasti klimatu to nyn\u00ed sami p\u0159izn\u00e1vaj\u00ed. V \u00fapln\u011b nov\u00e9m \u010dl\u00e1nku (s n\u00e1zvem: \u201e\u00a0<\/span>Projekt srovn\u00e1n\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159ov\u00fdch model\u016f pro CMIP7 (ScenarioMIP-CMIP7)<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c) od v\u00fdzkumn\u00e9 skupiny veden\u00e9 Detlefem van Vuurenem (zodpov\u011bdn\u00fdm pr\u00e1v\u011b za tyto v\u00fdpo\u010dty v r\u00e1mci ScenarioMIP) n\u00e1sleduje absolutn\u00ed p\u0159izn\u00e1n\u00ed selh\u00e1n\u00ed. Na za\u010d\u00e1tku \u010dl\u00e1nku slavnostn\u011b prohla\u0161uj\u00ed, \u017ee tyto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e mus\u00ed b\u00fdt \u201ev\u011brohodn\u00fdmi popisy\u201c budoucnosti \u2013 \u017ee jsou \u201ep\u00e1te\u0159\u00ed ve\u0161ker\u00e9ho v\u00fdzkumu\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

A pak, o p\u00e1r \u0159\u00e1dk\u016f pozd\u011bji, tu samou p\u00e1te\u0159 rozt\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed jedinou v\u011btou:\u00a0<\/span>\u201eNa horn\u00ed hranici se vysok\u00e9 hodnoty emis\u00ed (kvantifikovan\u00e9 modelem SSP5-8.5 [pozn\u00e1mka: n\u00e1stupnick\u00fd model RCP 8.5]) staly nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00fdmi\u2026\u201c<\/span><\/strong> Aha, to je dobr\u00e9 v\u011bd\u011bt. Katastrofick\u00fd model, kter\u00fd slou\u017e\u00ed jako ospravedln\u011bn\u00ed pro zni\u010den\u00ed na\u0161ich glob\u00e1ln\u00edch a n\u00e1rodn\u00edch ekonomik, kv\u016fli kter\u00e9mu lid\u00e9 p\u0159ich\u00e1zej\u00ed o pr\u00e1ci a jsou hn\u00e1ni do chudoby, kv\u016fli kter\u00e9mu byly promarn\u011bny miliardy pen\u011bz da\u0148ov\u00fdch poplatn\u00edk\u016f, je poh\u0159b\u00edv\u00e1n samotn\u00fdmi jeho tv\u016frci. Je jednodu\u0161e \u0159e\u010deno \u201enepravd\u011bpodobn\u00fd\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mezivl\u00e1dn\u00ed panel pro zm\u011bnu klimatu (IPCC) by se m\u011bl sv\u011btu skute\u010dn\u011b ve\u0159ejn\u011b omluvit za roky dezinformac\u00ed. Stejn\u011b jako se ale neomluvili ti, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou zodpov\u011bdn\u00ed za nespravedlnosti pandemie COVID-19, tak se ani klimati\u010dt\u00ed fanatici z IPCC rozhodn\u011b neomluv\u00ed za sv\u00e9 katastrofick\u00e9 modely a z nich vypl\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed klimatickou politiku. Neboj\u00ed se toti\u017e ni\u010deho v\u00edc, ne\u017e toho, \u017ee si ve\u0159ejnost uv\u011bdom\u00ed, \u017ee k \u00fadajn\u00e9 apokalypse nedoch\u00e1z\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Ekonomika je zni\u010dena, prosperita je ni\u010dena a ob\u010dan\u00e9 a podniky jsou pron\u00e1sledov\u00e1ni. A to v\u0161e…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":105994,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[873,1503,3308,839],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105993"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=105993"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105993\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/105994"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=105993"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=105993"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=105993"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}