{"id":10592,"date":"2022-05-14T01:05:49","date_gmt":"2022-05-13T23:05:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=10592"},"modified":"2022-05-13T18:54:39","modified_gmt":"2022-05-13T16:54:39","slug":"sok-rusko-navzdory-sankcim-smeruje-k-rekordnimu-obchodnimu-prebytku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/05\/14\/sok-rusko-navzdory-sankcim-smeruje-k-rekordnimu-obchodnimu-prebytku\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0160ok! Rusko navzdory sankc\u00edm sm\u011b\u0159uje k rekordn\u00edmu obchodn\u00edmu p\u0159ebytku"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"article-intro\"><strong>Navzdory sankc\u00edm rusk\u00fd export p\u0159e\u017eil, a to i sm\u011brem na Z\u00e1pad. Podle The Economist omezen\u00ed nezasahuj\u00ed do nep\u0159etr\u017eit\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek ropy a plynu a skokov\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst cen energi\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161il p\u0159\u00edjmy Moskvy.\u00a0Analytici proto o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee rusk\u00fd obchodn\u00ed p\u0159ebytek v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch dos\u00e1hne rekordn\u00edho maxima.<\/strong><\/div>\n<div class=\"article-body\">\n<p><span>N\u011bkolik dn\u00ed po zah\u00e1jen\u00ed speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operace na Ukrajin\u011b vznikl dojem, \u017ee rusk\u00fd finan\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9m je na pokraji kolapsu: Z\u00e1pad uvalil \u0159adu finan\u010dn\u00edch sankc\u00ed, rubl se zhroutil a ob\u010dan\u00e9 hore\u010dn\u011b sp\u011bchali s v\u00fdb\u011brem hotovosti.\u00a0Podle The Economist pak centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banka zv\u00fd\u0161ila \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby, zavedla kapit\u00e1lov\u00e9 kontroly a vlila do bankovn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu likviditu, na\u010de\u017e n\u011bkter\u00e9 pot\u00ed\u017ee ustaly.\u00a0A zat\u00edmco \u010d\u00e1st rusk\u00fdch devizov\u00fdch rezerv je st\u00e1le zmrazena, Moskva vyd\u011bl\u00e1v\u00e1 zhruba miliardu dolar\u016f denn\u011b exportem energie.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Jak publikace pokra\u010duje, Rusko p\u0159estalo zve\u0159ej\u0148ovat podrobn\u00e9 m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed obchodn\u00ed statistiky, ale abychom pochopili, co se d\u011bje, budou sed\u011bt data jeho obchodn\u00edch partner\u016f a z nich vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee jeliko\u017e se dovoz sni\u017euje a v\u00fdvoz z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 na stejn\u00e9 \u00farovni, Rusko z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 s rekordn\u00edm obchodn\u00edm p\u0159ebytkem.<\/span><\/p>\n<div><span>\u010c\u00edna 9. kv\u011btna ozn\u00e1mila, \u017ee jej\u00ed v\u00fdvoz do Ruska klesl v dubnu oproti lo\u0148sk\u00e9mu roku o v\u00edce ne\u017e \u010dtvrtinu, zat\u00edmco dovoz naopak vzrostl o v\u00edce ne\u017e 56 %.\u00a0N\u011bmecko v b\u0159eznu vyk\u00e1zalo 62% m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed pokles v\u00fdvozu do Ruska, zat\u00edmco jeho dovoz klesl o 3%.\u00a0Porovn\u00e1n\u00edm \u00fadaj\u016f osmi nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch obchodn\u00edch partner\u016f Ruska do\u0161li novin\u00e1\u0159i publikace k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee dovoz se zah\u00e1jen\u00edm speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operace na Ukrajin\u011b klesl asi o 44 %, zat\u00edmco v\u00fdvoz vzrostl asi o 8 %.<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><span>Dovoz \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b klesl kv\u016fli sankc\u00edm v\u016f\u010di rusk\u00e9 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed bance a odpojen\u00ed \u0159ady poskytovatel\u016f p\u016fj\u010dek od s\u00edt\u011b rychl\u00e9ho mezibankovn\u00edho zas\u00edl\u00e1n\u00ed zpr\u00e1v, co\u017e zt\u011b\u017euje spot\u0159ebitel\u016fm a firm\u00e1m n\u00e1kup z\u00e1padn\u00edho zbo\u017e\u00ed.\u00a0Elina Rybakova z bankovn\u00ed asociace Institute of International Finance se domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee legislativn\u00ed nejistota se v prvn\u00ed f\u00e1zi uk\u00e1zala jako d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd faktor: z\u00e1padn\u00ed firmy nev\u011bd\u011bly, na kter\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 banky se sankce budou vztahovat a na kter\u00e9 ne.\u00a0Posti\u017eeny byly tak\u00e9 v\u00fdpadky v logistice, v\u010detn\u011b rozhodnut\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00edch firem pozastavit dod\u00e1vky do Ruska.\u00a0A kone\u010dn\u011b, rusk\u00e1 popt\u00e1vka po dovozu byla tak\u00e9 ochromena po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00edm kolapsem sm\u011bnn\u00e9ho kurzu rublu.<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><span>Publikace poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1: Rusk\u00fd export p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b p\u0159e\u017eil, a to i sm\u011brem na Z\u00e1pad. Sankce nezasahuj\u00ed do nep\u0159etr\u017eit\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek ropy a plynu do zbytku sv\u011bta a prudk\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst cen energi\u00ed d\u00e1le zv\u00fd\u0161il p\u0159\u00edjmy.\u00a0Analytici proto o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee rusk\u00fd obchodn\u00ed p\u0159ebytek v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch dos\u00e1hne rekordn\u00edho maxima.<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><span>Institut mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch financ\u00ed v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee v roce 2022 bude p\u0159ebytek b\u011b\u017en\u00e9ho \u00fa\u010dtu, kter\u00fd zahrnuje obchod a \u010d\u00e1st finan\u010dn\u00edch tok\u016f, \u010dinit a\u017e 250 miliard USD (15 % lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho HDP) a v\u00edce ne\u017e zdvojn\u00e1sob\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 z roku 2021, kter\u00e1 \u010dinila 120 miliard USD.\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><span><span id=\"span-copy\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Navzdory sankc\u00edm rusk\u00fd export p\u0159e\u017eil, a to i sm\u011brem na Z\u00e1pad. Podle The Economist omezen\u00ed&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":9821,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[59,22,365,2403],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10592"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10592"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10592\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9821"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10592"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10592"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10592"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}