{"id":105896,"date":"2026-05-06T00:11:01","date_gmt":"2026-05-05T22:11:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=105896"},"modified":"2026-05-05T13:39:33","modified_gmt":"2026-05-05T11:39:33","slug":"andrew-korybko-navrhovany-transkaspicky-plynovod-se-rysuje-v-bod-vzplanuti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/06\/andrew-korybko-navrhovany-transkaspicky-plynovod-se-rysuje-v-bod-vzplanuti\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Navrhovan\u00fd transkaspick\u00fd plynovod se r\u00fdsuje v bod vzplanut\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Strategick\u00e9 s\u00e1zky jsou prost\u011b p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 vysok\u00e9, proto\u017ee NATO zasahuje do cel\u00e9ho ji\u017en\u00edho okraje Ruska prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm dohody TRIPP a Turecko pr\u00e1v\u011b o\u017eivilo diskuse o Transkaspick\u00e9m plynovodu, kter\u00fd je pro rusk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy kontraproduktivn\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Tureck\u00fd ministr energetiky o\u017eivil debatu o dlouho diskutovan\u00e9m Transkaspick\u00e9m plynovodu za\u010d\u00e1tkem dubna v \u017eiv\u00e9m rozhovoru s m\u00edstn\u00edmi m\u00e9dii, kde hovo\u0159il o pl\u00e1nech sv\u00e9 zem\u011b na region\u00e1ln\u00ed plynovody, na co\u017e upozornil server Middle East Eye\u00a0<\/span>zde\u00a0<\/span><\/a>. Jejich report\u00e1\u017e o t\u00e9to z\u00e1le\u017eitosti n\u00e1sledovala po\u00a0<\/span>New Rules Geopolitics\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, co\u017e je zpr\u00e1va X podcastu\u00a0<\/span>Dimitrije\u00a0<\/span><\/a>Simese Jr. ze Sputniku, kde prezentoval sv\u00e9 n\u00e1vrhy jako sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed. Tyto report\u00e1\u017ee ka\u017edop\u00e1dn\u011b upozornily na Transkaspick\u00fd plynovod, kter\u00fd je pro rusk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy kontraproduktem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Za\u010d\u00e1tkem srpna zde bylo\u00a0<\/span><\/a>po ozn\u00e1men\u00ed \u201eTrumpovy cesty k mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmu m\u00edru a prosperit\u011b\u201c (TRIPP)\u00a0<\/span>varov\u00e1no , \u017ee tento koridor kontrolovan\u00fd USA p\u0159es ji\u017en\u00ed Arm\u00e9nii by mohl povzbudit \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n a Arm\u00e9nii\u00a0<\/span>k tomu, aby se v\u00fdstavbou tohoto plynovodu postavily Rusku\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc se tak\u00e9 usuzovalo, \u017ee \u201e\u00a0<\/span>izraelsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky na \u00edr\u00e1nskou kaspickou flotilu by mohly b\u00fdt motivov\u00e1ny pov\u00e1le\u010dnou energetickou geopolitikou\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u201c, konkr\u00e9tn\u011b neutralizac\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 schopnosti br\u00e1nit tomuto projektu, kter\u00fd by pozd\u011bji mohl z\u00e1sobovat mimo jin\u00e9 Izrael.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izrael ji\u017e nyn\u00ed z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1 z \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu\u00a0<\/span>p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 40 %\u00a0<\/span><\/a>sv\u00e9 ropy prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm ropovodu, kter\u00fd proch\u00e1z\u00ed Gruzi\u00ed a Tureckem, tak\u017ee v\u00fdvoz plynu po t\u00e9to trase nebo po trase TRIPP (kter\u00e1 je krat\u0161\u00ed) je mo\u017en\u00fd. I kdy\u017e by to zv\u00fd\u0161ilo strategickou z\u00e1vislost Izraele na Turecku, jeho\u017e ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>ned\u00e1vno varoval\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, \u017ee Izrael by mohl jeho zemi uprost\u0159ed\u00a0<\/span>stup\u0148uj\u00edc\u00ed se\u00a0<\/a>rivality po \u00cdr\u00e1nu znovu prohl\u00e1sit za\u00a0<\/a><\/span>sv\u00e9ho nov\u00e9ho region\u00e1ln\u00edho protivn\u00edka\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 si p\u0159edstavit, \u017ee by kter\u00e1koli ze stran tuto p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost k prosazen\u00ed sv\u00fdch z\u00e1jm\u016f prome\u0161kala.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud jde o z\u00e1jmy USA, expanze z\u00e1padn\u00edho vlivu na ji\u017en\u00ed Kavkaz, Kaspick\u00e9 mo\u0159e a St\u0159edn\u00ed Asii prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm dohody TRIPP by \u0161la na \u00fakor Ruska, jeliko\u017e tato oblast zahrnuje celou jeho ji\u017en\u00ed periferii, s politick\u00fdm a vojensk\u00fdm vlivem n\u00e1sledovan\u00fdm vlivem ekonomick\u00fdm. Koneckonc\u016f se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee Rusko bude proti Transkaspick\u00e9mu plynovodu, proto\u017ee to povede k tomu, \u017ee v sou\u010dasnosti na\u00a0<\/span>\u010c\u00ednu zam\u011b\u0159en\u00fd export plynu z Turkmenist\u00e1nu\u00a0<\/span><\/a>bude konkurovat jeho vlastn\u00edmu na glob\u00e1ln\u00edm trhu, a proto bude pot\u0159eba, aby ho \u010dlensk\u00e1 zem\u011b NATO Turecko odradila.<\/span><\/p>\n

Za t\u00edmto \u00fa\u010delem se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee TRIPP bude slou\u017eit dvoj\u00edmu \u00fa\u010delu \u2013 vojensk\u00e9mu logistick\u00e9mu koridoru \u2013 a pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 vysl\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>nezve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e9ho po\u010dtu hl\u00eddkov\u00fdch \u010dlun\u016f\u00a0<\/span><\/a>do \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu, kter\u00e9 bylo ozn\u00e1meno b\u011bhem\u00a0<\/span>Vanceovy n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy\u00a0<\/span><\/a>v \u00fanoru, p\u0159edstavuje realizaci t\u00e9to strategie. P\u0159esto\u017ee je Turkmenist\u00e1n \u00fastavn\u011b neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed zem\u00ed, o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee i on roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed sv\u00e9 \u201e\u00a0<\/span>tich\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 vazby s USA\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u201c, stejn\u011b jako Kazachst\u00e1n, kter\u00fd v prosinci lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku dramaticky ozn\u00e1mil sv\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny na\u00a0<\/span>v\u00fdrobu gran\u00e1t\u016f standardu NATO\u00a0<\/span><\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da si je v\u011bdoma v\u00fd\u0161e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho \u00fa\u010delu projektu TRIPP, jak nazna\u010dil n\u00e1m\u011bstek ministra zahrani\u010d\u00ed Alexej Over\u010duk\u00a0<\/span>a odsoudil tento projekt\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, kter\u00fd byl dosud\u00a0<\/span>expertn\u00ed komunitou jeho zem\u011b\u00a0<\/span>n\u00e1padn\u011b\u00a0<\/span><\/a>ignorov\u00e1n . Putin tak\u00e9 b\u011bhem sv\u00e9ho posledn\u00edho setk\u00e1n\u00ed s premi\u00e9rem Nikolem Pa\u0161injanem\u00a0<\/a>velmi d\u016frazn\u011b nazna\u010dil\u00a0<\/a>, \u017ee v rusko-arm\u00e9nsk\u00fdch vztaz\u00edch nast\u00e1v\u00e1 okam\u017eik pravdy. O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se proto, \u017ee pl\u00e1ny tureck\u00e9ho ministra energetiky na Transkaspick\u00fd plynovod se setkaj\u00ed s prudk\u00fdm odporem Ruska.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, jakou formu to bude m\u00edt, a nikdo nem\u016f\u017ee s jistotou \u0159\u00edci, zda Rusko zah\u00e1j\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operaci, aby tento projekt zastavilo, ale ani tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 nelze vylou\u010dit. Strategick\u00e9 s\u00e1zky jsou prost\u011b p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 vysok\u00e9, proto\u017ee NATO zasahuje do cel\u00e9ho ji\u017en\u00edho okraje Ruska prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm TRIPP a Turecko pr\u00e1v\u011b o\u017eivilo diskuse o Transkaspick\u00e9m plynovodu. Rusko je proto bu\u010f nuceno tyto pl\u00e1ny p\u0159ijmout se v\u0161\u00edm, co s sebou nese pro svou bezpe\u010dnost, nebo je n\u011bjak\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem zastavit, proto\u017ee Z\u00e1pad se jich dobrovoln\u011b nevzd\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Strategick\u00e9 s\u00e1zky jsou prost\u011b p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 vysok\u00e9, proto\u017ee NATO zasahuje do cel\u00e9ho ji\u017en\u00edho okraje Ruska prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":105897,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,215,310,55],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105896"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=105896"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105896\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/105897"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=105896"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=105896"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=105896"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}