{"id":105837,"date":"2026-05-05T00:20:24","date_gmt":"2026-05-04T22:20:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=105837"},"modified":"2026-05-04T14:13:19","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T12:13:19","slug":"pepe-escobar-silova-hra-spojenych-arabskych-emiratu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/05\/pepe-escobar-silova-hra-spojenych-arabskych-emiratu\/","title":{"rendered":"Pepe Escobar: Silov\u00e1 hra Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1t\u016f"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n
\n
\n

Po odstoupen\u00ed z OPEC a OPEC+ by Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty mohly odstoupit i z Ligy arabsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a dokonce i z Rady pro spolupr\u00e1ci v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu.<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

MbZ \u2013 jedin\u00fd vl\u00e1dce SAE \u2013 se tedy rozhodl vystoupit z OPEC a OPEC+.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159isluhova\u010di Epsteinova syndik\u00e1tu to prezentuj\u00ed jako sofistikovan\u00fd tah v r\u00e1mci \u201enov\u00e9ho energetick\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ne tak docela.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na prvn\u00ed pohled se tento krok zd\u00e1 rozumn\u00fd. SAE utratily jm\u011bn\u00ed za zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed sv\u00e9 produk\u010dn\u00ed kapacity na 5 milion\u016f barel\u016f ropy denn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jejich kv\u00f3ta v\u0161ak byla podle pravidel OPEC+ v\u00fdrazn\u011b ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed, a to zhruba 3,4 milionu barel\u016f denn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tak\u017ee se pln\u011b zam\u011b\u0159ili na monetizaci. Teoreticky te\u010f mohou prod\u00e1vat, kolik cht\u011bj\u00ed, pokud popt\u00e1vka ze strany asijsk\u00fdch z\u00e1kazn\u00edk\u016f, jako je \u010c\u00edna, Japonsko a Indie, z\u016fstane vysok\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie \u2013 hlavn\u00ed mocnost OPEC a spolu s Ruskem jedna ze dvou p\u0159edn\u00edch zem\u00ed OPEC+ \u2013 bude naopak nucena udr\u017eovat n\u00edzkou produkci, aby zabr\u00e1nila kolapsu cen.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vztah mezi Ab\u00fa Zab\u00ed a Rij\u00e1dem je nekontrolovateln\u011b vyhrocen\u00fd. Koneckonc\u016f, ob\u011b zem\u011b soupe\u0159\u00ed o stejn\u00e9 zdroje zahrani\u010dn\u00edch investic.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ab\u00fa Zab\u00ed se domn\u00edval, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd energetick\u00fd pr\u016fmysl je v zoufal\u00e9 situaci (co\u017e nen\u00ed pravda: Teher\u00e1n m\u00e1 doktor\u00e1t z oboru \u201eOdpor pod tlakem\u201c a v\u017edycky najde alternativn\u00ed \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed). Pro MbZ je tedy \u00cdr\u00e1n jako\u017eto hlavn\u00ed konkurent na trhu konec \u2013 a to na dlouhou dobu dop\u0159edu. Zde vstupuj\u00ed do hry SAE jako stabiln\u00ed dodavatel s vysokou kapacitou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kone\u010dn\u011b vstupuje do hry \u201e\u0159\u00ed\u0161e pir\u00e1t\u016f\u201c. Trump je posedl\u00fd my\u0161lenkou, \u017ee zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e1 nab\u00eddka vede k ni\u017e\u0161\u00edm cen\u00e1m ropy. Zde m\u00e1me MbZ, p\u0159\u00edmo spojenou s Trumpem. To plat\u00ed od doby Abrahamov\u00fdch dohod; z\u00e1vazek 1,4 bilionu dolar\u016f na investice do americk\u00e9 ekonomiky a datov\u00fdch center v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu; a jako partner v IMEC: chybn\u011b pojmenovan\u00e9m koridoru Indie-Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu, kter\u00fd je ve skute\u010dnosti koridorem Izrael (se zam\u011b\u0159en\u00edm na Haifu)-Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie-SAE-Evropa-Indie.<\/span><\/p>\n

Odm\u011bnou pro SAE za dal\u0161\u00ed sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed s pir\u00e1tskou \u0159\u00ed\u0161\u00ed \u2013 koneckonc\u016f, jde o dva motory mafie \u2013 jsou pos\u00edlen\u00e9 \u201ebezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky USA\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Probl\u00e9m je v tom, \u017ee pir\u00e1tsk\u00e1 \u0159\u00ed\u0161e u\u017e tyto v\u00fdhody nab\u00edzet nem\u016f\u017ee, jak uk\u00e1zala v\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu. A up\u0159\u00edmn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, Trumpovi je to prost\u011b \u00fapln\u011b jedno.<\/span><\/p>\n

Katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politika jako \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 jin\u00e1<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Termin\u00e1l ve Fud\u017eaj\u0159e byl oslavov\u00e1n jako \u201ezvratn\u00fd bod\u201c pro Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty. Obch\u00e1z\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv \u2013 a t\u00edm i m\u00fdtn\u00e9 m\u00edsto vybudovan\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvem Isl\u00e1msk\u00fdch revolu\u010dn\u00edch gard. Ropovod Hab\u0161\u00e1n-Fud\u017eajra umo\u017e\u0148uje Ab\u00fa Zab\u00ed \u010derpat ropu p\u0159\u00edmo do Indick\u00e9ho oce\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

A p\u0159esto MbZ mo\u017en\u00e1 \u0161patn\u011b odhadl energetickou \u0161achovnici. Po skon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky \u2013 za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee k n\u011bmu dojde \u2013 bude ropa vyv\u00e1\u017een\u00e1 z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu v podstat\u011b pod \u00edr\u00e1nskou kontrolou. Vliv \u201e\u0159\u00ed\u0161e pir\u00e1t\u016f\u201c nad Persk\u00fdm z\u00e1livem je p\u0159edur\u010den k zmizen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je docela v\u00fdmluvn\u00e9, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty nepat\u0159ily mezi \u010dty\u0159i sunnitsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, kter\u00e9 se poprv\u00e9 setkaly v Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1du \u2013 v po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed f\u00e1zi v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e1 nakonec nikam nevedla. Byly to P\u00e1kist\u00e1n, Turecko, Egypt a Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159eklad: Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie alespo\u0148 nomin\u00e1ln\u011b usiluje o m\u00edrovou dohodu s \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Ab\u00fa Zab\u00ed je s \u00cdr\u00e1nem prakticky ve v\u00e1lce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty p\u0159i\u0161ly kv\u016fli m\u00fdtnici v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu o majlant. Teher\u00e1n je pova\u017euje za nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fd st\u00e1t, tak\u017ee tudy nemohou proplout \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 tankery. Zoufalstv\u00ed se rychle rozho\u0159elo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ab\u00fa Zab\u00ed zpo\u010d\u00e1tku odm\u00edtl poskytnout P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu p\u016fj\u010dku ve v\u00fd\u0161i 3,5 miliardy dolar\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pak prosili o swapovou dohodu s americk\u00fdm Feder\u00e1ln\u00edm rezervn\u00edm syst\u00e9mem.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00danik kapit\u00e1lu se vyvinul v lavinu. Koneckonc\u016f, v\u0161ichni giganti mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho finan\u010dn\u00edho sv\u011bta jsou \u2013 nebo byli \u2013 zastoupeni ve Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1tech. P\u016fvodn\u011b preferovanou destinac\u00ed bylo Thajsko \u2013 s jeho vynikaj\u00edc\u00ed kvalitou \u017eivota. Nyn\u00ed v\u0161ak v\u011bt\u0161ina finan\u010dn\u00edch prost\u0159edk\u016f proud\u00ed do Hongkongu, a to v celkov\u00e9 v\u00fd\u0161i p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 40 miliard dolar\u016f t\u00fddn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty jsou ve skute\u010dnosti odno\u017e\u00ed. Odd\u011blily se od Om\u00e1nu v roce 1971: dal\u0161\u00ed britsk\u00fd pl\u00e1n, co jin\u00e9ho? 11 milion\u016f obyvatel, z nich\u017e pouze 1 milion jsou Arabov\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00edho p\u016fvodu. V\u011bt\u0161ina zem\u011b je pou\u0161\u0165. Arm\u00e1da \u2013 60 000 mu\u017e\u016f \u2013 se skl\u00e1d\u00e1 ze zahrani\u010dn\u00edch \u017eold\u00e1k\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty nemaj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd pr\u016fmysl. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00fd zbrojn\u00ed pr\u016fmysl. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e9 zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed. Zdroji p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f jsou ropa, finan\u010dn\u00ed obchod a \u2013 zat\u00edm \u2013 cestovn\u00ed ruch, kter\u00fd l\u00e1k\u00e1 zmaten\u00e9 masy bezmocn\u011b zaslepen\u00e9 leskem a p\u016fvabem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Teoreticky m\u011bla pir\u00e1tsk\u00e1 \u0159\u00ed\u0161e a Epstein\u016fv syndik\u00e1t zajistit bezpe\u010dnost. Jejda, ale ne tak docela \u2013 jak dok\u00e1zala v\u00e1lka.<\/span><\/p>\n

A pokud jde o zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku, jen m\u00e1lokdo se m\u016f\u017ee s SAE v zlomyslnosti rovnat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Byli hluboce zapojeni do vojensk\u00e9ho p\u0159evratu v Egypt\u011b; podporovali pokus o p\u0159evrat v Turecku; zasahovali do ob\u010dansk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky v Libyi a n\u00e1sledn\u00e9 politiky \u201erozd\u011bl a panuj\u201c; jednali bok po boku s kultem smrti v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii s c\u00edlem rozd\u011blit Som\u00e1lsko; podporovali separatisty v ob\u010dansk\u00e9 v\u00e1lce v S\u00fad\u00e1nu; a jednali extr\u00e9mn\u011b agresivn\u011b proti Ansarall\u00e1hu a H\u00fat\u00ed\u016fm v Jemenu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tak\u017ee kdo jsou jejich spojenci? Kult smrti v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii. A to je v\u0161e. Na vrcholu v\u00e1lky proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu z\u00edskal Ab\u00fa Zab\u00ed \u201e\u017deleznou kopuli\u201c \u2013 kompletn\u00ed s person\u00e1lem IDF.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty hn\u011bvaj\u00ed prakticky v\u0161echny sv\u00e9 sousedy. Posledn\u00ed kapkou jsou investice do energetick\u00e9 v\u00e1lky proti Rij\u00e1du.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u00e1 tato rakovina \u017eivotaschopnou budoucnost? Sotva. U\u010den\u00ed ir\u00e1\u010dt\u00ed u\u010denci \u2013 kte\u0159\u00ed maj\u00ed siln\u00fd smysl pro historii \u2013 si ji\u017e za\u010dali pohr\u00e1vat s r\u016fzn\u00fdmi sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i.<\/span><\/p>\n

Fikce \u201eemir\u00e1t\u016f\u201c by se brzy mohla rozpadnout: Nap\u0159\u00edklad republika \u0160ard\u017e\u00e1 je ji\u017e nyn\u00ed velmi re\u00e1lnou mo\u017enost\u00ed. Ab\u00fa Zab\u00ed by mohli pohltit Sa\u00fadov\u00e9 \u2013 a gangster MbZ \u200b\u200b\u200b\u200bby hledal azyl na Z\u00e1pad\u011b. V kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9m horizontu by IRGC mohla zasadit posledn\u00ed r\u00e1nu, pokud Trump obnov\u00ed v\u00e1lku, vzhledem k tomu, jak bylo jej\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed a z\u00e1kladny zneu\u017eity k \u00fatok\u016fm na \u00cdr\u00e1n.<\/span><\/p>\n

Po OPEC a OPEC+ by SAE mohly opustit Ligu arabsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a dokonce i Radu pro spolupr\u00e1ci v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu. Nen\u00ed nerozumn\u00e9 p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat, \u017ee by se mohly z diskus\u00ed \u00fapln\u011b st\u00e1hnout.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n
\n

Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Po odstoupen\u00ed z OPEC a OPEC+ by Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty mohly odstoupit i z Ligy…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":105838,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[831,4350,452,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105837"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=105837"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105837\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/105838"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=105837"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=105837"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=105837"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}