{"id":105694,"date":"2026-05-02T03:55:14","date_gmt":"2026-05-02T01:55:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=105694"},"modified":"2026-05-02T03:55:14","modified_gmt":"2026-05-02T01:55:14","slug":"co-vlastne-brani-trumpovi-prijmout-nejnovejsi-nabidku-iranu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/02\/co-vlastne-brani-trumpovi-prijmout-nejnovejsi-nabidku-iranu\/","title":{"rendered":"Co vlastn\u011b br\u00e1n\u00ed Trumpovi p\u0159ijmout nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed nab\u00eddku \u00cdr\u00e1nu?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Skute\u010dn\u00fdm probl\u00e9mem je, \u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd v\u00fdsledek by Trumpa nevykreslil jako chytr\u00e9ho politika<\/h3>\n

Skute\u010dn\u00fdm probl\u00e9mem je, \u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd v\u00fdsledek by Trumpa nevykreslil jako chytr\u00e9ho politika.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ta pokryteckost je ohromuj\u00edc\u00ed. V centru pozornosti p\u0159i posledn\u00edch jedn\u00e1n\u00edch o otev\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu stoj\u00ed komick\u00fd dvoj\u00ed metr Ameriky. Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b si st\u011b\u017euje, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n nem\u00e1 podle mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va pr\u00e1vo kontrolovat tento \u00fazk\u00fd n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed pr\u016fliv, zat\u00edmco zd\u00e1nliv\u011b nevid\u00ed ironii v tom, \u017ee s\u00e1m uvalil blok\u00e1du na lodn\u00ed dopravu prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm sv\u00fdch vlastn\u00edch v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch lod\u00ed.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed nab\u00eddka \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u2013 otev\u0159\u00edt pr\u016fliv v\u00fdm\u011bnou za to, \u017ee Trump zru\u0161\u00ed svou blok\u00e1du, kter\u00e1 br\u00e1n\u00ed velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti \u2013 ale ne ve\u0161ker\u00e9 \u2013 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ropy v tom, aby se dostala ke sv\u00fdm z\u00e1kazn\u00edk\u016fm \u2013 se na prvn\u00ed pohled jev\u00ed jako rozumn\u00e1. Trump by mohl okam\u017eit\u011b sn\u00ed\u017eit ceny benz\u00ednu u \u010derpac\u00edch stanic v USA, proto\u017ee cena mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed ropy by klesla na mnohem ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed \u00farove\u0148, bl\u00edzko 70 USD za barel, a mohl by doufat, \u017ee si s bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00edmi se listopadov\u00fdmi volbami do Kongresu z\u00edsk\u00e1 zp\u011bt alespo\u0148 \u0161petku d\u016fv\u011bryhodnosti jako n\u011bkdo s ur\u010dit\u00fdmi ekonomick\u00fdmi z\u00e1sluhami. Alespo\u0148 d\u011bln\u00edci v USA by nemuseli platit za benz\u00edn \u010dty\u0159i dolary za galon. Pro \u00cdr\u00e1nce je samoz\u0159ejm\u011b lep\u0161\u00ed, aby byl pr\u016fliv otev\u0159en\u00fd a aby se ve\u0161ker\u00e1 jejich ropa dostala ven, proto\u017ee u\u017e jsou na pokraji zastaven\u00ed t\u011b\u017eby, proto\u017ee se jim pln\u00ed skladovac\u00ed kapacity. Je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n chce ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky a kontrolu nad pr\u016flivy vn\u00edm\u00e1 jako hlavn\u00ed trumf ve v\u0161ech jedn\u00e1n\u00edch. Jejich t\u0159\u00edbodov\u00e1 nab\u00eddka spo\u010d\u00edvala v tom, aby USA zaru\u010dily ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky, zru\u0161en\u00ed sankc\u00ed a odlo\u017een\u00ed t\u00e9matu jadern\u00fdch rozhovor\u016f.<\/p>\n

Uv\u00e1d\u00ed se, \u017ee Trump s nab\u00eddkou nen\u00ed spokojen, i kdy\u017e si dal \u010das na projedn\u00e1n\u00ed s bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edmi experty. Jeho pozornost se soust\u0159ed\u00ed na jadern\u00e9 z\u00e1ruky, proto\u017ee je posedl\u00fd my\u0161lenkou, \u017ee m\u016f\u017ee americk\u00e9mu lidu p\u0159edlo\u017eit v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed: \u017ee on, a pouze on, p\u0159im\u011bl \u00cdr\u00e1nce, aby souhlasili s ukon\u010den\u00edm obohacov\u00e1n\u00ed uranu. Ale Trump, kter\u00fd se chov\u00e1 jako nedosp\u011bl\u00fd chlapec, nech\u00e1pe, \u017ee tato \u00fastupek je d\u016fsledkem jeho vlastn\u00edho ne\u0161ikovn\u00e9ho jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, proto\u017ee tato nab\u00eddka byla p\u016fvodn\u011b na stole je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159edt\u00edm, ne\u017e USA a Izrael 28. \u00fanora zah\u00e1jily v\u00e1lku. \u00cdr\u00e1nci v\u011bd\u00ed, \u017ee ztrat\u00ed velkou \u010d\u00e1st sv\u00e9ho vlivu, pokud Trumpovi tento kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd bod nyn\u00ed poskytnou. Ve skute\u010dnosti sami hraj\u00ed kartu zm\u011bny re\u017eimu proti Trumpovi v obdob\u00ed p\u0159ed volbami do Kongresu, proto\u017ee pokud si nezajist\u00ed republik\u00e1nskou v\u011bt\u0161inu v obou komor\u00e1ch, m\u016f\u017ee \u010delit impeachmentu.<\/p>\n

Je ale Trump opravdu tak nespokojen\u00fd s nab\u00eddkou \u00cdr\u00e1nu, nebo se jedn\u00e1 o nespr\u00e1vn\u00e9 informace? \u010casto jsme vedeni k p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed, \u017ee Trump je ve t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u0161ech aspektech v\u00fdkonu prezidentsk\u00e9 funkce v\u0161emocn\u00fd, ve skute\u010dnosti ho v\u0161ak ovliv\u0148uj\u00ed i dal\u0161\u00ed hr\u00e1\u010di, v neposledn\u00ed \u0159ad\u011b samotn\u00e1 izraelsk\u00e1 lobby, ale mo\u017en\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed jsou kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 osobnosti z jeho bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho okol\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Ve Washingtonu nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdm tajemstv\u00edm, \u017ee jak J.D. Vance, tak Marco Rubio sami pom\u00fd\u0161lej\u00ed na kandidaturu na prezidenta v roce 2028. Vance v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b jedn\u00e1n\u00ed v Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1du vynalo\u017eil mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed, aby zajistil, \u017ee je pouze poslem a nen\u00ed sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 dohody, co\u017e v ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Izrael zklame. Rubio se poda\u0159ilo udr\u017eet si odstup \u00fapln\u011b. K nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu n\u00e1vrhu \u00cdr\u00e1nu Rubio uv\u00e1d\u00ed d\u016fvody, pro\u010d by m\u011bla b\u00fdt dohoda odm\u00edtnuta, t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jako by mluvil jm\u00e9nem izraelsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy.<\/p>\n

\u201eTo, co mysl\u00ed otev\u0159en\u00edm pr\u016fliv\u016f, je: \u201aAno, pr\u016flivy jsou otev\u0159en\u00e9, pokud se budete koordinovat s \u00cdr\u00e1nem, z\u00edsk\u00e1te na\u0161e povolen\u00ed, jinak v\u00e1s vyhod\u00edme do vzduchu a zaplat\u00edte n\u00e1m,\u2018\u201c \u0159ekl Rubio, kdy\u017e byl dot\u00e1z\u00e1n na Trumpovo tvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n poslal \u201emnohem lep\u0161\u00ed\u201c nab\u00eddku.<\/p>\n

\u201eTo nen\u00ed otev\u0159en\u00ed pr\u016fliv\u016f. Jsou to mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed vodn\u00ed cesty. Nemohou normalizovat, ani my nem\u016f\u017eeme tolerovat, \u017ee se sna\u017e\u00ed normalizovat syst\u00e9m, ve kter\u00e9m \u00cdr\u00e1nci rozhoduj\u00ed, kdo sm\u00ed pou\u017e\u00edvat mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed vodn\u00ed cestu a kolik jim za to mus\u00edte zaplatit,\u201c \u0159ekl Rubio.<\/p>\n

Je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 si uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee tyto koment\u00e1\u0159e zazn\u011bly *pot\u00e9*, co Trump pronesl pozn\u00e1mku o \u201elep\u0161\u00ed nab\u00eddce\u201c, proto\u017ee to ukazuje, \u017ee zat\u00edmco Trump mohl b\u00fdt p\u0159i posuzov\u00e1n\u00ed nab\u00eddky flexibiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, je ze v\u0161ech stran obklopen dv\u011bma hr\u00e1\u010di, kte\u0159\u00ed necht\u011bj\u00ed j\u00edt do voleb v roce 2028 bez pln\u00e9 podpory izraelsk\u00e9 lobby a jej\u00edch pen\u011bz.<\/p>\n

S nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed patov\u00e1 situace z\u016fstane zachov\u00e1na, i kdy\u017e \u0159ada odborn\u00edk\u016f pouk\u00e1zala na to, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 nab\u00eddka je rozumn\u00e1, proto\u017ee logika \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed jadern\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt realizov\u00e1na pouze za lep\u0161\u00edch podm\u00ednek pro zah\u00e1jen\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Analytik Negar Mortazavi, vedouc\u00ed pracovn\u00edk Centra pro mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed politiku, uvedl, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd n\u00e1vrh vypad\u00e1 \u201erozumn\u011b\u201c, proto\u017ee situace v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu vyvolala \u201eglob\u00e1ln\u00ed krizi a zem\u011b po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b cht\u011bj\u00ed, aby byla vy\u0159e\u0161ena\u201c.<\/p>\n

\u201eTeher\u00e1n i Washington se mus\u00ed okam\u017eit\u011b zam\u011b\u0159it na reformu pr\u016flivu,\u201c vysv\u011btlila Mortazavi. \u201eTeher\u00e1n se nepohne, pokud USA nezru\u0161\u00ed blok\u00e1du, a Washington tak neu\u010din\u00ed, pokud \u00cdr\u00e1n neotev\u0159e pr\u016fliv. M\u016f\u017ee to tedy b\u00fdt dobr\u00fd prvn\u00ed krok k trvalej\u0161\u00edmu p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed a pot\u00e9, co se nap\u011bt\u00ed zm\u00edrn\u00ed, mohou ob\u011b strany jednat o dal\u0161\u00edch ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch.\u201c<\/p>\n

Trump v tom v\u0161ak logiku neuvid\u00ed, proto\u017ee je pod p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00fdm tlakem ze strany Izraele, kter\u00fd by povolen\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016fm otev\u0159\u00edt jejich hlavn\u00ed zdroj p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f vn\u00edmal v nejlep\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b jako \u00fastupek a v nejhor\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b jako senza\u010dn\u00ed por\u00e1\u017eku. Jak Izrael, tak USA plat\u00ed cenu za to, \u017ee nemaj\u00ed v\u016fbec \u017e\u00e1dnou d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost, pokud jde o up\u0159\u00edmnost a dodr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed slib\u016f. \u00cdr\u00e1n jim prost\u011b nem\u016f\u017ee ani trochu v\u011b\u0159it, a proto nelze p\u0159ed jak\u00fdmikoli rozhovory o jadern\u00e9 situaci d\u00e1vat \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 sliby, a\u010dkoli Trump m\u00e1 v\u017edy mo\u017enost naslouchat odborn\u00edk\u016fm, kte\u0159\u00ed se v\u0161ichni shoduj\u00ed na tom, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n nem\u00e1 z\u00e1jem o jadernou bombu, pokud by ho to v\u00e1zalo k sankc\u00edm, kter\u00e9 dus\u00ed jeho ekonomiku. Skute\u010dn\u00fdm probl\u00e9mem je, \u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd v\u00fdsledek nevykresluje Trumpa jako chytr\u00e9ho hr\u00e1\u010de, proto\u017ee vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1 sp\u00ed\u0161e z pozice slabosti ne\u017e s\u00edly a st\u00e1le lp\u00ed na zastaral\u00e9 fantazii, \u017ee USA jsou obrovskou vojenskou silou a \u00cdr\u00e1n je jen bezv\u00fdznamn\u00fdm hr\u00e1\u010dem.<\/p>\n

Martin Jay<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

\n

What\u2019s really holding Trump back from accepting Iran\u2019s latest offer?<\/a> vy\u0161el 30.4.2026 na Strategic Culture<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Skute\u010dn\u00fdm probl\u00e9mem je, \u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd v\u00fdsledek by Trumpa nevykreslil jako chytr\u00e9ho politika Skute\u010dn\u00fdm probl\u00e9mem je,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":101716,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[38,565,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105694"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=105694"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105694\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/101716"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=105694"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=105694"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=105694"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}