{"id":105670,"date":"2026-05-02T00:18:14","date_gmt":"2026-05-01T22:18:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=105670"},"modified":"2026-05-01T11:58:50","modified_gmt":"2026-05-01T09:58:50","slug":"od-tepelneho-soku-po-obavy-z-doby-ledove-al-gore-nyni-varuje-pred-chladem-ano-opravdu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/02\/od-tepelneho-soku-po-obavy-z-doby-ledove-al-gore-nyni-varuje-pred-chladem-ano-opravdu\/","title":{"rendered":"Od tepeln\u00e9ho \u0161oku po obavy z doby ledov\u00e9 \u2013 Al Gore nyn\u00ed varuje p\u0159ed chladem\u2026 ano, opravdu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Od \u00fapalu ke strachu z chladu? Jak se m\u011bn\u00ed klimatick\u00fd narativ.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

B\u00fdval\u00fd americk\u00fd viceprezident Al Gore je po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed p\u0159edn\u00edm hlasem varuj\u00edc\u00edm p\u0159ed glob\u00e1ln\u00edm oteplov\u00e1n\u00edm. Nyn\u00ed v\u0161ak nov\u00e9 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 rozruch: najednou mluv\u00ed o ochlazov\u00e1n\u00ed, naru\u0161en\u00fdch oce\u00e1nsk\u00fdch proudech a dokonce i o mo\u017en\u00fdch chladn\u00fdch obdob\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Co zn\u00ed jako radik\u00e1ln\u00ed zm\u011bna kurzu, je ve skute\u010dnosti r\u00e9torick\u00fdm balancov\u00e1n\u00edm \u2013 a vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed ot\u00e1zku: Vysv\u011btluje se zde v\u011bdeck\u00fd model, nebo se adaptuje narativ?<\/span><\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e se p\u0159edpov\u011bdi m\u011bn\u00ed \u2013 ale poselstv\u00ed z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 stejn\u00e9<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n

Nov\u011b se pozornost zam\u011b\u0159uje na syst\u00e9m Golfsk\u00e9ho proudu (AMOC). Hypot\u00e9za:<\/span>
\nT\u00e1n\u00ed ledu by mohlo proud oslabit \u2013 co\u017e by m\u011blo za n\u00e1sledek v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 ochladnut\u00ed Evropy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 je, \u017ee<\/span>
\nz\u00e1kladn\u00ed sd\u011blen\u00ed z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nezm\u011bn\u011bno.<\/span><\/p>\n

A\u0165 je horko nebo zima \u2013 v\u00fdsledek z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u017edy stejn\u00fd:<\/span><\/p>\n

    \n
  • krize<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Tlak na jedn\u00e1n\u00ed<\/span><\/li>\n
  • politick\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Kritici to vn\u00edmaj\u00ed jako vzorec: kdy\u017e p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f ztrat\u00ed svou p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010divost, je dopln\u011bna novou \u2013 ani\u017e by se zpochyb\u0148oval celkov\u00fd obraz.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Od jednoduch\u00e9ho vypr\u00e1v\u011bn\u00ed ke slo\u017eit\u00e9 nejednozna\u010dnosti<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n

    D\u0159\u00edve bylo sd\u011blen\u00ed jasn\u00e9 a chytlav\u00e9:<\/span>
    \nZem\u011b se otepluje \u2013 te\u010dka.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Dnes je to mnohem slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed:<\/span><\/p>\n

      \n
    • Glob\u00e1ln\u011b teplej\u0161\u00ed<\/span><\/li>\n
    • region\u00e1ln\u011b chladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed<\/span><\/li>\n
    • Extr\u00e9mn\u00ed v\u00fdkyvy jsou mo\u017en\u00e9<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Probl\u00e9m je v tom, \u017ee<\/span>
      \n\u010d\u00edm slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed model, t\u00edm h\u016f\u0159e ho ve\u0159ejnost ov\u011b\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

      A pr\u00e1v\u011b zde za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 kritika:<\/span>
      \nJe v\u011bdeck\u00e1 slo\u017eitost zneu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1na \u2013 nebo je politicky instrumentalizov\u00e1na?<\/span><\/p>\n

      Ekonomie strachu<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n

      Kritici zd\u016fraz\u0148uj\u00ed i \u200b\u200bdal\u0161\u00ed bod:<\/span>
      \nklimatick\u00e1 politika je ji\u017e dlouho trhem v hodnot\u011b mnoha miliard dolar\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

        \n
      • Programy financov\u00e1n\u00ed<\/span><\/li>\n
      • Certifik\u00e1ty CO\u2082<\/span><\/li>\n
      • zelen\u00e9 investice<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

        V tomto prost\u0159ed\u00ed vznikaj\u00ed siln\u00e9 pob\u00eddky k zachov\u00e1n\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f hrozeb \u2013 bez ohledu na to, zda se m\u011bn\u00ed nebo zda si proti\u0159e\u010d\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

        Teze zn\u00ed:<\/span><\/p>\n

        Rozhoduj\u00edc\u00edm faktorem nen\u00ed konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed progn\u00f3za, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e to, \u017ee hrozba p\u0159etrv\u00e1v\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

        Dynamika m\u00e9di\u00ed: Titulky v\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed nad diferenciac\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n

        \u201eNov\u00e1 doba ledov\u00e1\u201c se prod\u00e1v\u00e1 l\u00e9pe ne\u017e \u201enestabilita komplexn\u00edch syst\u00e9m\u016f\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

        To vede k p\u0159ehnan\u00fdm zobrazen\u00edm, kter\u00e1 prom\u011b\u0148uj\u00ed v\u011bdeck\u00e9 modely v jednoduch\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhy.<\/span><\/p>\n

        V\u00fdsledek:<\/span>
        \nzmatek mezi ve\u0159ejnost\u00ed \u2013 a z\u00e1rove\u0148 zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e1 pozornost.<\/span><\/p>\n

        Z\u00e1v\u011br: Zm\u011bna, nebo adaptace?<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n

        Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 debata odhaluje sp\u00ed\u0161e posun ne\u017e zlom:<\/span><\/p>\n

          \n
        • P\u0159\u00edb\u011bh z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1<\/span><\/li>\n
        • Zd\u016fvodn\u011bn\u00ed se zm\u011bnilo a muselo se upravit.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

          Zda je to zn\u00e1mkou v\u011bdeck\u00e9ho pokroku nebo strategick\u00e9 komunikace, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm bodem sporu.<\/span><\/p>\n

          Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 v\u011bta<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n

          Ned\u016fv\u011bru nevyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 sm\u011br debaty o teplot\u011b \u2013 sp\u00ed\u0161e dojem, \u017ee se od\u016fvodn\u011bn\u00ed m\u011bn\u00ed, zat\u00edmco politick\u00e9 poselstv\u00ed z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 stejn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

          A on na to u\u017e l\u00e9ta varuje\u2026<\/span><\/p>\n

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