{"id":105668,"date":"2026-05-02T00:17:24","date_gmt":"2026-05-01T22:17:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=105668"},"modified":"2026-05-01T11:56:06","modified_gmt":"2026-05-01T09:56:06","slug":"pepe-escobar-iran-a-rusko-ponizily-trumpuv-plan-zastrasovani-plna-kontrola-nad-hormuzskym-prulivem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/02\/pepe-escobar-iran-a-rusko-ponizily-trumpuv-plan-zastrasovani-plna-kontrola-nad-hormuzskym-prulivem\/","title":{"rendered":"Pepe Escobar: \u00cdr\u00e1n a Rusko pon\u00ed\u017eily Trump\u016fv pl\u00e1n zastra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 Pln\u00e1 kontrola nad Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">V rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9m rozhovoru s Nemau na kan\u00e1lu \u201eNema &amp; Pepe\u201c z 29. dubna 2026 analyzuje renomovan\u00fd geopolitick\u00fd expert Pepe Escobar nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdvoj v \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9m konfliktu.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Escobar hovo\u0159\u00ed z idylick\u00e9ho \u00fato\u010di\u0161t\u011b na thajsk\u00e9m ostrov\u011b v Andamansk\u00e9m mo\u0159i a sleduje ud\u00e1losti z odstupu jako \u201e\u00fahel pohledu\u201c. Rozhovor se zam\u011b\u0159uje na \u00edr\u00e1nskou diplomatickou ofenzivu, jeho \u00fazkou koordinaci s Ruskem a strategickou izolaci Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Escobar ozna\u010duje cestu \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho ministra zahrani\u010d\u00ed Abb\u00e1se Arag\u010d\u010d\u00edho (v p\u0159episu \u201eArai\u201c) za \u201ep\u0159elomovou\u201c a vn\u00edm\u00e1 ji jako pon\u00ed\u017een\u00ed Trumpova \u201e\u0161ikanuj\u00edc\u00edho pl\u00e1nu\u201c. \u00cdr\u00e1n a Rusko se chopily iniciativy a z\u0159\u00eddily Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv jako strategick\u00fd n\u00e1stroj n\u00e1tlaku.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Pepe Escobar: \u00cdr\u00e1n a Rusko PR\u00c1V\u011a PON\u00d3\u017dILY Trump\u016fv \u0161ikanuj\u00edc\u00ed pl\u00e1n \u2013 PLN\u00c1 kontrola nad Hormuzskou oblast\u00ed\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/mCeseehHEUU?feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Diplomatick\u00e1 mistrovsk\u00e1 cesta: Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1d \u2013 Maskat \u2013 Petrohrad<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Araghchiho cesta za Escobarem byla pe\u010dliv\u011b napl\u00e1nov\u00e1na a skl\u00e1dala se ze t\u0159\u00ed etap.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nejprve odcestoval do Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1du, aby hovo\u0159il s p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi medi\u00e1tory. Tam zopakoval \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch \u201e10 bod\u016f\u201c, kter\u00e9 si Trump z\u0159ejm\u011b p\u0159e\u010detl a \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b p\u0159ijal \u2013 ani\u017e by jim skute\u010dn\u011b porozum\u011bl.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pot\u00e9 odcestovali do Maskatu (Om\u00e1n), kde Araghchiho osobn\u011b p\u0159ijal em\u00edr. T\u00e9matem diskuse byla budouc\u00ed organizace Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu, v\u010detn\u011b mo\u017en\u00fdch celn\u00edch stanic na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 a om\u00e1nsk\u00e9 stran\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Araghchi se pot\u00e9 vr\u00e1til do Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1du, aby up\u0159esnil t\u0159i hlavn\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 podm\u00ednky pro jedn\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Posledn\u00ed a nejsymboli\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zast\u00e1vkou byl Petrohrad, kde se setkal nejen s ministrem zahrani\u010d\u00ed Sergejem Lavrovem, ale tak\u00e9 osobn\u011b s prezidentem Vladimirem Putinem \u2013 hodinu a p\u016fl, co\u017e je pro ministra zahrani\u010d\u00ed v\u00fdjime\u010dn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Samotn\u00fd let byl pojmenov\u00e1n \u201eMinab 168\u201c jako pocta \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm \u0161kol\u00e1k\u016fm zabit\u00fdm p\u0159i americk\u00fdch \u00fatoc\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">T\u0159i \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 podm\u00ednky: \u0160achovnice bude p\u0159evr\u00e1cena<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n po Escobarovi zcela zm\u011bnil program jedn\u00e1n\u00ed:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Definitivn\u00ed konec v\u00e1lky s p\u00edsemn\u00fdmi z\u00e1rukami od velmoc\u00ed a ide\u00e1ln\u011b rezoluc\u00ed Rady bezpe\u010dnosti OSN.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nov\u00e1 pravidla pro Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv: zaveden\u00ed celnice, platby v \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch rialech (pro stabilizaci m\u011bny). Pr\u016fliv le\u017e\u00ed z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti v teritori\u00e1ln\u00edch vod\u00e1ch \u00cdr\u00e1nu a Om\u00e1nu (12 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch mil na ka\u017ed\u00e9 stran\u011b). \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 pr\u00e1vo takov\u00e9 opat\u0159en\u00ed zav\u00e9st.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nov\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 dohoda (\u201ez\u0159ed\u011bn\u00fd JCPOA\u201c) \u2013 a\u017e na konci agendy. S\u00e1m Trump od p\u016fvodn\u00edho JCPOA odstoupil v roce 2018; lep\u0161\u00ed nab\u00eddka ne\u017e ta z roku 2015 u\u017e nebude.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Trump tyto podm\u00ednky odm\u00edtl. M\u00edsto toho prosazuje prodlou\u017een\u00ed blok\u00e1dy, co\u017e poru\u0161uje mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pr\u00e1vo. Escobar to pova\u017euje za strategickou slepou uli\u010dku: Trump nal\u00e9hav\u011b pot\u0159ebuje \u201eodbo\u010dku\u201c, ale nem\u016f\u017ee ani vyhl\u00e1sit v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, ani pokra\u010dovat ve v\u00e1lce bez rizika.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Putin\u016fv jasn\u00fd vzkaz: Respekt a strategick\u00e9 partnerstv\u00ed<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Putinova prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed na setk\u00e1n\u00ed s Araghchi byla podle Escobara \u201eostr\u00e1 jako d\u00fdka\u201c:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">S plnou \u00factou k \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edmu v\u016fdci: Putin pod\u011bkoval za osobn\u00ed poselstv\u00ed a pop\u0159\u00e1l mu pevn\u00e9 zdrav\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Uzn\u00e1n\u00ed boje: \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd lid hrdinn\u011b bojuje za nez\u00e1vislost a suverenitu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Aktivn\u00ed role Ruska: \u201eUd\u011bl\u00e1me v\u0161e, co slou\u017e\u00ed z\u00e1jm\u016fm v\u0161ech n\u00e1rod\u016f v regionu.\u201c Rusko se p\u0159\u00edmo zav\u00e1zalo k diplomatick\u00e9mu \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tento krok Moskvy pos\u00edlil pozici Teher\u00e1nu. Jak\u00e9koli budouc\u00ed \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed mus\u00ed b\u00fdt vyjedn\u00e1no nejen s \u00cdr\u00e1nem, ale tak\u00e9 s Putinem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Escobar to vn\u00edm\u00e1 jako jasn\u00fd vzkaz pro \u201eSyndik\u00e1t abstinence\u201c (americk\u00e9 jest\u0159\u00e1by): \u00c9ra jednostrann\u00fdch americk\u00fdch dikt\u00e1t\u016f skon\u010dila.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Blok\u00e1da \u2013 ne\u00fa\u010dinn\u00e1 a kontraproduktivn\u00ed<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Americk\u00e1 blok\u00e1da nen\u00ed \u201e\u017eeleznou oponou\u201c. \u00cdr\u00e1n ji ji\u017e obch\u00e1z\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tankery se pohybuj\u00ed pobl\u00ed\u017e \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch\/p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00fdch teritori\u00e1ln\u00edch vod.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u0160est nov\u00fdch pozemn\u00edch koridor\u016f p\u0159es P\u00e1kist\u00e1n (ropa po \u017eeleznici, \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed v kontejnerech).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00fdm\u011bny plynu p\u0159es Turkmenist\u00e1n do z\u00e1padn\u00ed \u010c\u00edny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00ednsko-\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 \u017eeleznice (dokon\u010dena p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b od srpna 2025) a kaspick\u00e9 trasy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Escobar ozna\u010duje zv\u011bsti o hroz\u00edc\u00ed krizi skladov\u00e1n\u00ed a nucen\u00e9m uzav\u0159en\u00ed ropn\u00fdch pol\u00ed za \u201epodvod\u201c z americk\u00fdch zdroj\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 se sankcemi dlouholet\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti a v\u00ed, jak se s takov\u00fdmi situacemi vypo\u0159\u00e1dat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Blok\u00e1da je obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b \u0161kodliv\u00e1 pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed Jih, Evropu, Japonsko a Ji\u017en\u00ed Koreu \u2013 a sjednocuje sv\u011bt proti USA.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zased\u00e1n\u00ed \u0160OS v Kyrgyzst\u00e1nu: Sd\u00edlen\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti s bojem proti blok\u00e1d\u011b<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Soub\u011b\u017en\u011b s cestou do Ruska se v Kyrgyzst\u00e1nu setkali minist\u0159i obrany st\u00e1t\u016f \u0160OS (v\u010detn\u011b Ruska, \u010c\u00edny, Indie, P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu a \u00cdr\u00e1nu).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd ministr obrany nab\u00eddl, \u017ee se pod\u011bl\u00ed o sv\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti s \u201epor\u00e1\u017ekou Ameri\u010dan\u016f\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Escobar to interpretuje jako varovn\u00fd sign\u00e1l: V\u00e1lka USA je nam\u00ed\u0159ena proti euroasijsk\u00e9 integraci, BRICS, SCO a Nov\u00e9 hedv\u00e1bn\u00e9 stezce.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">D\u016fraz je kladen na \u201enov\u00fd Primakov\u016fv troj\u00faheln\u00edk\u201c (\u00cdr\u00e1n-Rusko-\u010c\u00edna).<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Z Hormuzu do Malaky: \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e1 posedlost<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Blok\u00e1da je zku\u0161ebn\u00edm provozem pro mo\u017enou glob\u00e1ln\u00ed blok\u00e1du ze strany USA.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00edna situaci bedliv\u011b sleduje kv\u016fli \u201eMalack\u00e9 pasti\u201c (80 % jej\u00edho dovozu energie z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu proch\u00e1z\u00ed Malack\u00fdm pr\u016flivem).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Peking ji\u017e l\u00e9ta buduje protiopat\u0159en\u00ed: plynovody, alternativn\u00ed trasy, obnoviteln\u00e9 zdroje energie a dobr\u00e9 vztahy s Malajsi\u00ed\/Indon\u00e9si\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Escobar varuje: Eskalace USA v Malacce by mohla v\u00e9st k p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9mu konfliktu s \u010c\u00ednou.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Vnit\u0159n\u00ed rozpory v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu: Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty opou\u0161t\u00ed OPEC+<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty (zejm\u00e9na Ab\u00fa Zab\u00ed) cht\u011bj\u00ed opustit OPEC+, aby mohly vyv\u00e1\u017eet v\u00edce ropy a sni\u017eovat ceny \u2013 co\u017e je krok zrozen\u00fd z chamtivosti a zoufalstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Escobar to vn\u00edm\u00e1 jako vtip regionu: \u201eSa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie by ho mohla brzy anektovat.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty se nad\u00e1le spol\u00e9haly na Izrael a USA (koridor IMEC), zat\u00edmco Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie se v\u00edce zam\u011b\u0159ovala na deeskalaci s \u00cdr\u00e1nem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dubaj jako obchodn\u00ed model je u\u017e mrtv\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Libanon a osa odporu<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Escobar se stru\u010dn\u011b zab\u00fdv\u00e1 situac\u00ed v Libanonu:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Izrael vede vyhlazovac\u00ed v\u00e1lku proti vesnic\u00edm a m\u011bst\u016fm na jihu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pouze Hizball\u00e1h se br\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n vn\u00edm\u00e1 konflikt holisticky \u2013 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed mus\u00ed zahrnovat celou \u201eosu odporu\u201c (v\u010detn\u011b Gazy).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To by bylo nere\u00e1ln\u00e9 s Trumpovou administrativou ovl\u00e1danou Izraelem.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1v\u011br: Strategick\u00e1 por\u00e1\u017eka USA a vzestup Eurasie<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pepe Escobar vykresluje jasn\u00fd obr\u00e1zek: \u00cdr\u00e1n tuto v\u00e1lku strategicky vyhr\u00e1v\u00e1, proto\u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd z c\u00edl\u016f USA nebyl dosa\u017een.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Aragh\u010diho cesta a jeho podpora Putina posunuly rovnov\u00e1hu sil.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Trump je v pasti \u2013 mezi nepopul\u00e1rn\u00ed blok\u00e1dou, kter\u00e1 naru\u0161uje glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00fd cyklus, a nemo\u017enost\u00ed obnovit v\u00e1lku bez rizika.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed reakce (glob\u00e1ln\u00ed Jih, Asie, Evropa) nebude blok\u00e1du dlouho tolerovat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pro Escobara se nejedn\u00e1 o izolovan\u00fd bl\u00edzkov\u00fdchodn\u00ed konflikt, ale o \u00fatok na euroasijskou integraci. Rusko, \u010c\u00edna a \u00cdr\u00e1n jsou si bl\u00ed\u017e ne\u017e kdykoli p\u0159edt\u00edm. Indie z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nestabiln\u00edm faktorem v BRICS a SCO.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">USA se pokusily zastavit multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed sv\u011bt pomoc\u00ed imperi\u00e1ln\u00ed logiky \u201erozd\u011bl a panuj\u201c \u2013 reakce v\u0161ak uk\u00e1zaly, \u017ee projekt selh\u00e1v\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Rozhovor podtrhuje Escobarovu \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed tezi: \u00c9ra americk\u00e9 unipolarity se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed ke konci. \u00cdr\u00e1n a Rusko nejen\u017ee Trump\u016fv pl\u00e1n zhatily, ale tak\u00e9 se chopily iniciativy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pln\u00e1 kontrola nad Hormuzskou oblast\u00ed \u2013 symbolicky i prakticky \u2013 p\u0159edstavuje zlomov\u00fd bod. Zda si to Trump uv\u011bdom\u00ed a poda\u0159\u00ed se mu spo\u0159\u00e1dan\u00fd \u00fastup, se teprve uvid\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u010cas se kr\u00e1t\u00ed pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku a stabilitu regionu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>V rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9m rozhovoru s Nemau na kan\u00e1lu \u201eNema &amp; Pepe\u201c z 29. dubna 2026 analyzuje&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":105669,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,22,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105668"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=105668"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105668\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/105669"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=105668"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=105668"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=105668"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}