{"id":105639,"date":"2026-05-01T07:21:07","date_gmt":"2026-05-01T05:21:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=105639"},"modified":"2026-05-01T07:22:56","modified_gmt":"2026-05-01T05:22:56","slug":"andrew-korybko-trumpova-doktrina-aplikovana-na-rusko-se-velmi-podoba-reaganove-doktrine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/01\/andrew-korybko-trumpova-doktrina-aplikovana-na-rusko-se-velmi-podoba-reaganove-doktrine\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Trumpova doktr\u00edna aplikovan\u00e1 na Rusko se velmi podob\u00e1 Reaganov\u011b doktr\u00edn\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Bez dohody s Trumpem, k n\u00ed\u017e by Putin mohl b\u00fdt d\u00e1le p\u0159im\u011b\u0161en, pokud Trump sl\u00edb\u00ed sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed tlaku USA na n\u011bkter\u00e9 \u2013 ale ne v\u0161echny \u2013 z t\u011bchto zem\u00ed, by Rusko mohlo \u010dasem ztratit v\u0161ech 15 t\u011bchto partner\u016f (a mo\u017en\u00e1 i v\u00edce).<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Kr\u00e1tce po zajet\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a>venezuelsk\u00e9ho prezidenta Nicol\u00e1se Madura bylo zji\u0161t\u011bno\u00a0<\/span>, \u017ee \u201e\u00a0<\/span>\u201aTrumpova doktr\u00edna\u2018 je formov\u00e1na \u201aStrategi\u00ed pop\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed\u2018 Elbridge Colbyho\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u201c, kter\u00e1 tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee USA nyn\u00ed up\u0159ednost\u0148uj\u00ed odep\u0159en\u00ed zdroj\u016f \u010c\u00edn\u011b pot\u0159ebn\u00fdch k udr\u017een\u00ed jej\u00edho hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9ho r\u016fstu. C\u00edlem je zhatit trajektorii \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 supervelmoci a zv\u00fd\u0161it tak pravd\u011bpodobnost, \u017ee Si \u0164in-pching p\u0159ijme jednostrannou obchodn\u00ed dohodu s USA za \u00fa\u010delem institucionalizace juniorn\u00edho postaven\u00ed \u010c\u00edny. T\u0159et\u00ed v\u00e1lka v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu tento c\u00edl napl\u0148uje, jak je vysv\u011btleno\u00a0<\/span>zde\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a\u00a0<\/span>zde\u00a0<\/span><\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve vztahu k Rusku se v\u0161ak Trumpova doktr\u00edna v\u00edce podob\u00e1 Reaganov\u011b doktr\u00edn\u011b. Strategie pop\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed je mnohem m\u00e9n\u011b relevantn\u00ed pro Rusko ne\u017e pro \u010c\u00ednu, a to kv\u016fli bohatstv\u00ed rusk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00edch zdroj\u016f, kter\u00e9 mu umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed autarkick\u00fd rozvoj (av\u0161ak za cenu zaost\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed v technologick\u00e9m z\u00e1vod\u011b). Nicm\u00e9n\u011b Madurovo zajet\u00ed a t\u0159et\u00ed v\u00e1lka v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu ovlivnily \u010c\u00ednu i Rusko, i kdy\u017e odli\u0161n\u011b; \u010c\u00edn\u011b byly odep\u0159eny zdroje, zat\u00edmco jeden rusk\u00fd partner byl odvol\u00e1n z moci a dal\u0161\u00ed oslaben.<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011bchto dvou v\u00fdsledk\u016f navazuje na podstatu Trumpovy doktr\u00edny, kter\u00e1 je ve stylu Reagana aplikov\u00e1na na Rusko. Jde o \u201e\u00a0<\/span>omezen\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u201c rusk\u00e9ho vlivu po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b s c\u00edlem donutit Putina k p\u0159ijet\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>jednostrann\u00e9\u00a0<\/span><\/a>dohody\u00a0<\/a>na Ukrajin\u011b, kter\u00e1 by institucionalizovala juniorn\u00ed status Ruska. Trump loni na ja\u0159e vyzval k zmrazen\u00ed konfliktu, co\u017e Putin odm\u00edtl, proto\u017ee tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 ne\u0159e\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1kladn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed probl\u00e9my, a proto konflikt pokra\u010duje dodnes bez dohody na dohled.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko i USA st\u00e1le slibuj\u00ed vz\u00e1jemn\u011b v\u00fdhodn\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 partnerstv\u00ed zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na zdroje, o kter\u00e9m se mluvilo\u00a0<\/span>zde\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a\u00a0<\/span>zde\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, jako odm\u011bnu za kompromis ohledn\u011b sv\u00e9ho postoje, kter\u00fd druh\u00e1 strana pova\u017euje za nep\u0159ijateln\u00fd. T\u00fdk\u00e1 se to rusk\u00e9ho odm\u00edtnut\u00ed zmrazit konflikt bez \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed z\u00e1kladn\u00edch bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f a odm\u00edtnut\u00ed USA je \u0159e\u0161it, stejn\u011b jako jejich odm\u00edtnut\u00ed donutit Ukrajinu a NATO, aby u\u010dinily tot\u00e9\u017e. Ani jedna strana se navzdory t\u00e9to odm\u011bn\u011b nedohodla na kompromisu.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00fdsledn\u00e9 dilema vedlo k transformaci Trumpovy doktr\u00edny. Putin postavil Trumpa do zugzwangu, v n\u011bm\u017e mohl bu\u010f udr\u017eet tempo konfliktu s rizikem dal\u0161\u00ed \u201ev\u011b\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky\u201c, nebo \u201eeskalovat za \u00fa\u010delem deeskalace\u201c s rizikem t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Trump se z t\u00e9to pasti kreativn\u011b vymanil t\u00edm, \u017ee v modern\u00edch podm\u00ednk\u00e1ch zopakoval Reaganovu politiku \u201e\u00fastupu\u201c. V dob\u011b, kdy \u201eomezil\u201c rusk\u00fd vliv ve Venezuele a \u00cdr\u00e1nu, ji\u017e u\u010dinil v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 kroky v Arm\u00e9nii-\u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu, Kazachst\u00e1nu a dokonce i v B\u011blorusku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Prvn\u00ed strana uzav\u0159ela m\u00edr ve Washingtonu a souhlasila s\u00a0<\/span>obchodn\u00edm koridorem kontrolovan\u00fdm USA\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, kter\u00fd bude fungovat jako dvoj\u00ed vojensk\u00e1 logistick\u00e1 trasa pro \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed vlivu Z\u00e1padu, v\u010detn\u011b NATO,\u00a0<\/span>pod\u00e9l cel\u00e9ho ji\u017en\u00edho okraje Ruska\u00a0<\/span><\/a>. To povzbudilo druhou stranu k souhlasu s\u00a0<\/span>dohodou o kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch nerostn\u00fdch surovin\u00e1ch\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a ozn\u00e1men\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 v\u00fdroby gran\u00e1t\u016f standardu NATO\u00a0<\/span><\/a>. Pokud jde o t\u0159et\u00ed stranu, jej\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s USA maj\u00ed za c\u00edl\u00a0<\/span>povzbudit ji k odchodu z Ruska\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, co\u017e by zna\u010dn\u011b zkomplikovalo\u00a0<\/span>hypoteticky neomezen\u00e9 pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operace .<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

T\u011bchto \u0161est zem\u00ed \u2013 Venezuela, \u00cdr\u00e1n, Arm\u00e9nie, \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n, Kazachst\u00e1n a B\u011blorusko \u2013 nejsou jedin\u00e9, kde USA \u201eomezuj\u00ed\u201c rusk\u00fd vliv, jeliko\u017e\u00a0<\/span>ter\u010dem \u00fatok\u016f jsou i\u00a0<\/span>Srbsko\u00a0<\/span><\/a>,\u00a0<\/span>Kuba\u00a0<\/span><\/a>,\u00a0<\/span>S\u00fdrie\u00a0<\/span><\/a>,\u00a0<\/span>Libye\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a\u00a0<\/span>Sahelsk\u00e1 aliance (Mali, Burkina Faso a Niger). Dal\u0161\u00ed by mohly b\u00fdt\u00a0<\/span><\/a>Myanmar\u00a0<\/a>a\u00a0Nikaragua\u00a0<\/a>. Bez dohody s Trumpem, k n\u00ed\u017e by Putin mohl b\u00fdt d\u00e1le p\u0159im\u011bvov\u00e1n, pokud Trump sl\u00edb\u00ed, \u017ee sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed tlak USA na n\u011bkter\u00e9 \u2013 ale ne v\u0161echny \u2013 z t\u011bchto zem\u00ed, by Rusko mohlo \u010dasem v\u0161echny tyto partnery ztratit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bez dohody s Trumpem, k n\u00ed\u017e by Putin mohl b\u00fdt d\u00e1le p\u0159im\u011b\u0161en, pokud Trump sl\u00edb\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":105640,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,102,452,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105639"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=105639"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105639\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/105640"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=105639"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=105639"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=105639"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}