{"id":105617,"date":"2026-05-01T00:17:11","date_gmt":"2026-04-30T22:17:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=105617"},"modified":"2026-04-30T12:47:36","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T10:47:36","slug":"jako-v-letech-ruin-nemecko-dosahlo-historickeho-minima-v-porodnosti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/05\/01\/jako-v-letech-ruin-nemecko-dosahlo-historickeho-minima-v-porodnosti\/","title":{"rendered":"Jako v letech ruin: N\u011bmecko dos\u00e1hlo historick\u00e9ho minima v porodnosti"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">N\u011bmecko za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed porodnost od doby po druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce. Po\u010det obyvatel se dramaticky zmen\u0161uje zevnit\u0159. P\u0159esto m\u00edsto po\u017eadavku skute\u010dn\u00e9 podpory rodin vl\u00e1dn\u00ed agentura nab\u00edz\u00ed p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e9 a p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010div\u00e9 \u201e\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00edsla, kter\u00e1 ned\u00e1vno zve\u0159ejnil Feder\u00e1ln\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.destatis.de\/DE\/Presse\/Pressemitteilungen\/2026\/04\/PD26_146_126.html\"><span dir=\"auto\">statistick\u00fd \u00fa\u0159ad<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\"> ve Wiesbadenu, se rovnaj\u00ed demografick\u00e9mu prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed kapitulace. V roce 2025 se narodilo pouze 654 300 d\u011bt\u00ed. To je o dal\u0161\u00edch 22 817 d\u011bt\u00ed m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e v p\u0159edchoz\u00edm roce (pokles o 3,4 procenta). Jedn\u00e1 se o \u010dtvrt\u00fd rok prudk\u00e9ho poklesu porodnosti v \u0159ad\u011b. Tak dramatick\u00e9 minimum bylo naposledy zaznamen\u00e1no v roce 1946 \u2013 kdy N\u011bmecko le\u017eelo v trosk\u00e1ch a miliony mu\u017e\u016f byly v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdmi zajatci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1rove\u0148 loni zem\u0159elo ohromuj\u00edc\u00edch 1,01 milionu lid\u00ed. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee m\u00e1me za jedin\u00fd rok gigantick\u00fd deficit zhruba 352 000 lid\u00ed. Jedn\u00e1 se o nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed deficit porodnosti v cel\u00e9m pov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9m obdob\u00ed. Nav\u00edc je to zhruba ekvivalent toho, \u017ee by velk\u00e9 m\u011bsto jako Wuppertal nebo Bielefeld ka\u017ed\u00fd rok jednodu\u0161e mizelo z mapy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Situace je obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b kritick\u00e1 ve v\u00fdchodon\u011bmeck\u00fdch spolkov\u00fdch zem\u00edch. Zde porodnost kles\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b rychleji ne\u017e na z\u00e1pad\u011b (-3,2 procenta): pokles o 4,5 procenta! Meklenbursko-P\u0159edn\u00ed Pomo\u0159ansko je smutn\u00fdm l\u00eddrem v t\u00e9to sestupn\u00e9 spir\u00e1le s katastrof\u00e1ln\u00edm poklesem o ohromuj\u00edc\u00edch 8,4 procenta. Jedinou v\u00fdjimkou v cel\u00e9 zemi je hanzovn\u00ed m\u011bsto Hamburk, kde porodnost m\u00edrn\u011b vzrostla o 0,5 procenta (pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b tak\u00e9 kv\u016fli vysok\u00e9mu procentu zahrani\u010dn\u00edch obyvatel).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Kdo je\u0161t\u011b m\u00e1 d\u011bti v b\u00fdval\u00e9 zemi b\u00e1sn\u00edk\u016f a myslitel\u016f? Zpr\u00e1va s \u00fadaji odhaluje masivn\u00ed struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed a kulturn\u00ed posun: Zat\u00edmco celkov\u00e1 porodnost prudce kles\u00e1, pokles u n\u011bmeck\u00fdch matek je obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b dramatick\u00fd. Demografickou mezeru st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji zapl\u0148uj\u00ed matky s ciz\u00edm ob\u010danstv\u00edm. Bez nich by porodnost v N\u011bmecku byla je\u0161t\u011b katastrof\u00e1ln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Etnick\u00e1 a kulturn\u00ed krajina zem\u011b se m\u011bn\u00ed ji\u017e tak z\u00e1vratn\u00fdm tempem \u2013 a tento trend se zrychluje.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Navzdory pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00edmu klesaj\u00edc\u00edmu trendu se zd\u00e1, \u017ee politici nemaj\u00ed o podporu zakl\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed rodin zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed z\u00e1jem. Dokonce i Spolkov\u00fd statistick\u00fd \u00fa\u0159ad zcela bezosty\u0161n\u011b vol\u00e1 po zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 imigraci do N\u011bmecka jako \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed demografick\u00fdch v\u00fdzev. V\u00fdsledn\u00e9 soci\u00e1ln\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed a probl\u00e9my jsou v\u0161ak pohodln\u011b ignorov\u00e1ny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud N\u011bmci u\u017e necht\u011bj\u00ed p\u0159iv\u00e1d\u011bt na tento sv\u011bt d\u011bti (nebo si prost\u011b nemohou dovolit rodinu kv\u016fli prudce rostouc\u00edm \u017eivotn\u00edm n\u00e1klad\u016fm), pak je nutn\u00e9 p\u0159iv\u00e9st je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce lid\u00ed ze zahrani\u010d\u00ed. Skute\u010dnost, \u017ee tato logika vedla v posledn\u00edch letech k bezprecedentn\u00ed z\u00e1t\u011b\u017ei soci\u00e1ln\u00edch syst\u00e9m\u016f, \u0161kol a obc\u00ed, se statistik\u016fm zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt lhostejn\u00e1. M\u00edsto \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed z\u00e1kladn\u00edch p\u0159\u00ed\u010din bezd\u011btnosti se st\u00e1t rad\u011bji nad\u00e1le spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na bezpodm\u00edne\u010dnou migraci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Alternativou by byl i technologick\u00fd rozvoj (automatizace a robotizace) ke zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed produktivity s men\u0161\u00edm po\u010dtem pracovn\u00edk\u016f. D\u0159\u00edve \u010di pozd\u011bji budou m\u00edt zem\u011b jako \u010c\u00edna, Ji\u017en\u00ed Korea a Japonsko v t\u00e9to oblasti v\u00fdznamn\u00fd n\u00e1skok \u2013 a budou schopny udr\u017eet si ur\u010ditou \u00farove\u0148 prosperity i p\u0159es zmen\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed se a st\u00e1rnouc\u00ed populaci. Evropan\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed se rad\u011bji spol\u00e9haj\u00ed na n\u00e1hradn\u00ed migraci, pak budou \u010delit probl\u00e9mu, \u017ee v d\u016fsledku tohoto technologick\u00e9ho v\u00fdvoje budou muset podporovat nespo\u010det lid\u00ed prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm \u201ebezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u00e9ho z\u00e1kladn\u00edho p\u0159\u00edjmu\u201c a podobn\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed, zat\u00edmco jejich asij\u0161t\u00ed konkurenti budou ne\u00fanavn\u011b p\u0159edb\u00edhat, pokud jde o kvalitu \u017eivota zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edho (p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b p\u016fvodn\u00edho) obyvatelstva.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dramaticky klesaj\u00edc\u00ed porodnost p\u0159edstavuje pro st\u00e1t i spole\u010dnost obrovskou v\u00fdzvu. Ze t\u0159\u00ed existuj\u00edc\u00edch mo\u017enost\u00ed (v\u00edce n\u011bmeck\u00fdch d\u011bt\u00ed, v\u00edce imigrace nebo technologick\u00fd pokrok) je v\u0161ak vybr\u00e1na ta zd\u00e1nliv\u011b nejjednodu\u0161\u0161\u00ed (migrace) a v\u00fdsledn\u00e9 probl\u00e9my se p\u0159enesou na mlad\u0161\u00ed generace. Dne\u0161n\u00ed vedouc\u00ed politick\u00e1 t\u0159\u00edda, v\u011bt\u0161inou ve v\u011bku 50 a\u017e 65 let, u\u017e po roce 2050 sotva bude moci aktivn\u011b pro\u017e\u00edvat N\u011bmecko a d\u00edky \u0161t\u011bdr\u00fdm d\u016fchod\u016fm a \u00faspor\u00e1m bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b moci odej\u00edt do d\u016fchodu v zahrani\u010d\u00ed. A po mn\u011b p\u0159ijde potopa\u2026<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>N\u011bmecko za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed porodnost od doby po druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce. Po\u010det obyvatel se dramaticky zmen\u0161uje&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":105618,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[371,84,2728],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105617"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=105617"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105617\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/105618"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=105617"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=105617"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=105617"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}