{"id":105572,"date":"2026-04-30T00:22:20","date_gmt":"2026-04-29T22:22:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=105572"},"modified":"2026-04-29T18:17:09","modified_gmt":"2026-04-29T16:17:09","slug":"iran-ma-v-hormuzskem-prulivu-novy-mocny-nastroj-ktery-muze-pouzivat-i-dlouho-po-valce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/04\/30\/iran-ma-v-hormuzskem-prulivu-novy-mocny-nastroj-ktery-muze-pouzivat-i-dlouho-po-valce\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu nov\u00fd mocn\u00fd n\u00e1stroj, kter\u00fd m\u016f\u017ee pou\u017e\u00edvat i dlouho po v\u00e1lce"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Trumpova administrativa tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee blok\u00e1da Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu funguje: dev\u011bt lod\u00ed pokyny splnilo a oto\u010dilo se zp\u011bt.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jedn\u00edm z nich byl \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd tanker\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Rich Starry<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0, kter\u00fd se ve st\u0159edu v Om\u00e1nsk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu oto\u010dil a proplul zp\u011bt pr\u016flivem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n v\u0161ak trv\u00e1 na tom, \u017ee si ponech\u00e1v\u00e1 kontrolu nad pr\u016flivem a bude rozhodovat o tom, kter\u00e9 lod\u011b budou moci proplout touto strategicky d\u016fle\u017eitou vodn\u00ed cestou. Teher\u00e1n d\u00e1le varoval, \u017ee pokud budou ohro\u017eeny \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edstavy, \u201e\u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstav v Persk\u00e9m a Om\u00e1nsk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu nez\u016fstane v bezpe\u010d\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Bez ohledu na to, jak se blok\u00e1da vyvine, bude \u00cdr\u00e1n pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b v dlouhodob\u00e9m horizontu v podstatn\u011b lep\u0161\u00ed pozici, pokud jde o udr\u017een\u00ed kontroly nad pr\u016flivem \u2013 nikoli USA.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Nov\u00fd mocensk\u00fd n\u00e1stroj \u00cdr\u00e1nu<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed hrozil, \u017ee vyu\u017eije Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv jako p\u00e1ku proti sv\u00fdm protivn\u00edk\u016fm. A\u017e do sou\u010dasn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a Izraelem, kterou Teher\u00e1n pova\u017euje za existen\u010dn\u00ed hrozbu, se takov\u00e9ho jedn\u00e1n\u00ed zdr\u017eel.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Je ironi\u00ed, \u017ee tento konflikt nyn\u00ed dal \u00cdr\u00e1nu nov\u00fd mocn\u00fd n\u00e1stroj: kontrolu nad pr\u016flivem. USA a Izrael p\u0159itom ve skute\u010dnosti cht\u011bly oslabit \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 a raketov\u00e9 schopnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Teher\u00e1n pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b z t\u00e9to kontroly ud\u011bl\u00e1 trvalou sou\u010d\u00e1st sv\u00e9 dlouhodob\u00e9 strategie. \u00cdr\u00e1n\u0161t\u00ed vyjednava\u010di v ned\u00e1vn\u00fdch m\u00edrov\u00fdch rozhovorech s USA dokonce zahrnuli \u00edr\u00e1nskou suverenitu nad Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem na sv\u016fj seznam po\u017eadavk\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tento vliv slou\u017e\u00ed nejm\u00e9n\u011b t\u0159em kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm \u00fa\u010del\u016fm:<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">1. Vysok\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edjmy z tranzitn\u00edch poplatk\u016f<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n ji\u017e \u00fa\u010dtuje poplatky lod\u00edm proplouvaj\u00edc\u00edm pr\u016flivem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159i relativn\u011b n\u00edzk\u00fdch n\u00e1kladech \u2013 odhadovan\u00fdch na zhruba 1 dolar za barel nebo a\u017e 2 miliony dolar\u016f za tanker \u2013 by \u00cdr\u00e1n mohl \u00fadajn\u011b vyd\u011blat na v\u00fdvozu ropy kolem 600 milion\u016f dolar\u016f m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b a dal\u0161\u00edch 800 milion\u016f dolar\u016f m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b na dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch plynu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ekonomov\u00e9 odhaduj\u00ed, \u017ee nejm\u00e9n\u011b 80 % t\u011bchto n\u00e1klad\u016f by nesly st\u00e1ty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu \u2013 tedy a\u017e 14 miliard americk\u00fdch dolar\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b jen za ropu.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">2. Bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruka prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm ekonomick\u00e9ho odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">T\u00edm, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n demonstroval svou schopnost naru\u0161it jednu z nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch energetick\u00fdch tepen sv\u011bta, v\u00fdrazn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161il n\u00e1klady na jakoukoli budouc\u00ed vojenskou akci proti n\u011bmu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed \u00fa\u010dinek nejen vojensky, ale tak\u00e9 prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm ekonomick\u00fdch rizik.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">3. Geopolitick\u00fd vliv na glob\u00e1ln\u00edm Jihu<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Kontrola nad Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem d\u00e1v\u00e1 \u00cdr\u00e1nu dal\u0161\u00ed vliv na energeticky z\u00e1visl\u00e9 st\u00e1ty.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Teher\u00e1n by mohl t\u011bmto zem\u00edm nab\u00eddnout v\u00fdhody, pokud jde o p\u0159\u00edstup k pr\u016flivu, pokud na opl\u00e1tku obejdou americk\u00e9 sankce nebo prohloub\u00ed sv\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 vazby s \u00cdr\u00e1nem.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Meze americk\u00e9 strategie<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">USA se nyn\u00ed sna\u017e\u00ed neutralizovat vliv \u00cdr\u00e1nu prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm pr\u016flivu. Toto \u201eobl\u00e9h\u00e1n\u00ed obl\u00e9h\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c m\u00e1 v\u0161ak zna\u010dn\u00e9 struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed slabiny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pro \u00cdr\u00e1n je mnohem snaz\u0161\u00ed udr\u017eet si geografickou kontrolu nad pr\u016flivem ne\u017e pro USA vynucovat dlouhodobou blok\u00e1du v mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vod\u00e1ch.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">I s podporou spojenc\u016f \u2013 kter\u00e1 se dosud neuskute\u010dnila \u2013 by takov\u00e1 mise byla drah\u00e1 a m\u011bla by zna\u010dn\u00e9 d\u016fsledky pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">D\u00edky tomu by se Hormuz mohl st\u00e1t podobn\u00fdm symbolem Ameriky, jako kdysi Suezsk\u00fd pr\u016fplav: strategick\u00fdm \u00fazk\u00fdm hrdlem, kter\u00e9 sp\u00ed\u0161e odhaluje meze moci ne\u017e jej\u00ed dosah.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Jak bude \u010c\u00edna reagovat?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00edna nakupuje v\u00edce ne\u017e 80 % \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ropy. Mohl by tedy Peking vyv\u00edjet tlak na Teher\u00e1n?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zat\u00edm ne \u2013 a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b ani ne v budoucnu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00edna v sou\u010dasnosti obvi\u0148uje USA a blok\u00e1du odm\u00edt\u00e1. Mluv\u010d\u00ed ministerstva zahrani\u010d\u00ed Kuo \u0164ia-kun ji tento t\u00fdden ozna\u010dil za \u201enebezpe\u010dnou a nezodpov\u011bdnou\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159esto\u017ee byl jeden \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd tanker p\u0159esm\u011brov\u00e1n, v posledn\u00edch dnech propluly nov\u00fdm \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm m\u00fdtn\u00fdm syst\u00e9mem i dal\u0161\u00ed lod\u011b. To ukazuje ochotu \u010c\u00edny p\u0159izp\u016fsobit se nov\u00fdm pravidl\u016fm, alespo\u0148 prozat\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 40 % \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho dovozu ropy proch\u00e1z\u00ed touto trasou. \u010c\u00edna se nicm\u00e9n\u011b p\u0159ipravila:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Diverzifikace zdroj\u016f ropy<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Strategick\u00e9 rezervy, kter\u00e9 by mohly nahradit ztr\u00e1ty a\u017e po dobu sedmi m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zda \u010c\u00edna akceptuje trval\u00fd syst\u00e9m m\u00fdtn\u00e9ho, \u200b\u200bse teprve uvid\u00ed. Peking nad\u00e1le po\u017eaduje rychl\u00fd n\u00e1vrat k \u201enorm\u00e1ln\u00edmu pr\u016fjezdu\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Rostouc\u00ed role \u010c\u00edny v regionu<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00e1lka by mohla tak\u00e9 vyvolat politick\u00e9 zm\u011bny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">St\u00e1ty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu si st\u00e1le v\u00edce uv\u011bdomuj\u00ed, \u017ee \u00fazk\u00e9 vazby s USA a partnerstv\u00ed s Izraelem automaticky nezaru\u010duj\u00ed jejich bezpe\u010dnost.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Mohli by si proto roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it sv\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed vztahy. Nazna\u010duje to i n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bva korunn\u00edho prince Ab\u00fa Zab\u00ed v Pekingu tento t\u00fdden.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Obchod mezi \u010c\u00ednou a st\u00e1ty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu dos\u00e1hl v roce 2024 p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 257 miliard USD, co\u017e m\u00edrn\u011b p\u0159ekro\u010dilo kombinovan\u00fd objem obchodu regionu Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu s hlavn\u00edmi z\u00e1padn\u00edmi ekonomikami.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00edna tak\u00e9 roz\u0161i\u0159uje sv\u016fj diplomatick\u00fd vliv:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Zprost\u0159edkov\u00e1n\u00ed sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed mezi Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bi\u00ed a \u00cdr\u00e1nem v roce 2023<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Nep\u0159\u00edm\u00e1 role v ned\u00e1vn\u00fdch rozhovorech v P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu mezi \u00cdr\u00e1nem a USA o ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u010c\u00edna se jednozna\u010dn\u011b sna\u017e\u00ed z\u00edskat v regionu v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed roli.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00fdhled<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1n by se mohl pokusit vyu\u017e\u00edt t\u00e9to chv\u00edle k vybudov\u00e1n\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00edho bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu spole\u010dn\u011b se st\u00e1ty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu \u2013 p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b s \u010c\u00ednou jako garantem nebo prost\u0159edn\u00edkem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To by znamenalo v\u00fdznamn\u00fd rozchod s desetilet\u00ed trvaj\u00edc\u00ed rol\u00ed USA jako nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edho garanta bezpe\u010dnosti na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/iran-has-a-powerful-new-tool-in-the-strait-of-hormuz-that-it-can-leverage-long-after-the-war-280442\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trumpova administrativa tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee blok\u00e1da Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu funguje: dev\u011bt lod\u00ed pokyny splnilo a oto\u010dilo se&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":101544,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[6382,38,1503],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105572"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=105572"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105572\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/101544"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=105572"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=105572"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=105572"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}